Submitted by Kelso Sturgeon on Monday, October 7, 2013 at 4:00 PM
I still can’t believe how many media pundits and sports bettors think that there isn’t any defense played in the NFL. If you watch one game a week…and that game involves the Denver Broncos…you might think that. Is anyone paying attention to the rest of the card?
*New England and Cincinnati could barely move the ball in their 13-6 snoozer early Sunday…and that was with Tom Brady on the field. Neither quarterback in that game or Houston/San Francisco could pass for more than 200 yards.
*Kansas City and Tennessee had a defensive struggle. That game only landed on 43 points because of a gift touchdown on special teams.
*Carolina and Arizona combined for seven turnovers.
NFL Over/Unders split out 6-6 on Sunday, and it would have been 4-8 to the Under if not for that cheap touchdown in KC/Tennessee, and an interception return for a TD in Baltimore/Miami. Two other games stayed Under even with defensive TD’s…San Diego/Oakland and Houston/San Francisco.
If you’re betting every team to score a million points, you’re going to go broke very quickly this year in the NFL. Yes, there are a few teams who are truly great at moving the ball and finding the end zone. Denver looks like they’ll be unstoppable until they suffer some injuries to their PLAYMAKERS and GAMEBREAKERS. Though, they haven’t run into any really great defenses yet. But, the story of the league right now is that many teams are STRUGGLING on offense. Why aren’t you noticing that?!
*If you have injuries to your offensive line, or are otherwise inexperienced, you have little chance to run the ball successfully or protect your quarterback against modern attacking defenses. Ask the NY Giants about that. They still haven’t won a game yet this year.
*If your best skill position players are out with an injury, it’s very hard to get much done. Ask the Detroit Lions about that. They didn’t score a TD until very late in their ugly loss at Green Bay Sunday.
*If you have to use a backup quarterback, you’re probably in trouble unless he’s a guy who’d capable of starting somewhere else. Oakland just released Matt Flynn on Monday. In his only start, he was the only quarterback this year to make Washington’s demonstrably bad defense look good.
*If you have a running quarterback…but you’re afraid that he’s going to get hurt if you rush him too often…then your offense becomes hamstrung in very short order. Ask the San Francisco 49ers about that. They lost to Seattle and Indianapolis with horrible games from Colin Kaepernick. And, he didn’t play well when they were gifted a blowout from Houston this past Sunday Night (6 of 15 passing in an NFL game!)
One of the most important lessons I can teach you in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping is to learn how to see what’s in front of you. ALL OF IT! Not just what’s happening in the main TV games. Not just what’s happening with your Fantasy team.
I know a lot of you love the Red Zone Channel on cable and satellite. Well, that channel shows you all the touchdowns, but NOT all the great defensive plays. It’s easy to think that it’s a high scoring league right now when all you do is watch touchdowns and field goals all day. Read the boxscores. Look at the passing stats for all 32 starting quarterbacks, not just the guys doing commercials for razor blades or car insurance.
Here’s an assignment for you. Figure you who the WORST 10 offenses are right now in the NFL. Look at points scored, yardage gained, yards-per-play, giveaways, whatever else you want. I’ll spot you Jacksonville. Find the nine others! Spend a couple of hours with that material, and your head will clear about all this “the rules have crippled NFL defenses” hype. Rules have crippled defenses only when they’re playing truly elite quarterbacks who have healthy offensive lines blocking for them and healthy skill position players to get the ball to. A lot of defenses are doing just fine thank you very much!
I’ll be back with you again later this week to talk more football. There’s a possibility I’ll have some baseball comments as well just before the NLCS and ALCS get started this weekend. So much to read and react to! Makes it fun to be The Dean of Sports Handicapping…and I hope it makes it fun to be a student as well. These are very exciting and profitable times to be a sports bettor if you know what you’re doing.
Please remember that additional assistance for nightly big plays is always just a few clicks away. You can purchase my top selections right here at this very website with your major credit card. If you have any questions, please talk to one of my representatives at the Vegas-Sports-masters office at 1-888-777-4155.
(If you’re reading this on Monday afternoon, you still have time to get my plays in Jets/Falcons plus night time baseball! If you’re reading this on Tuesday, we have AL playoff action)
I hope things have been going well for you this season. If you’ve been struggling on your own, make a concerted effort this week to SEE THE WHOLE PICTURE! The more you learn, the more you win.