Submitted by Jim Hurley on Tuesday, August 27, 2013 at 7:00 AM
The Las Vegas betting world is abuzz with talk of college football. Opening week lines are up with increased limits…and there’s already been a bunch of action on the board. We know you’re excited about the start of the season this Thursday. JIM HURLEY IS TOO!
We’re not going to talk about specific selections in the NOTEBOOK this week because we have to protect information for our clients. JIM HURLEY will be picking his spots with big releases Thursday through Monday…based on information gathered from his scouts, sources, statheads, computer programmers, and Wise Guy connections. We strongly advise you to purchase those games as they become available online later this week (or sign up for the season NOW!).
Because we know you’re going to be watching a lot of games on TV…we wanted to provide some guidance today as to what to look for as you’re evaluating all the teams for future bets. Selections made in advance of this week’s games will be based on INFORMATION. Selections made from Week Two onward will be significantly influenced by what the market has learned based on on-the-field performance.
With that in mind, please consider studying these areas once the games begin:
You should already have compiled a list by now of every starting quarterback on the board. Watch closely to see whether or not newcomers are ready to perform at this level. Also keep an eye out for returning starters who may have taken a leap forward in the offseason. That’s very common when first-year starters turn into second year starters. Veteran seniors are typically proven quantities. You know what you’re going to get with them. Market edges you can exploit will come from what you learn about new and second-year quarterbacks.
*THE POINT OF ATTACK
The media keeps talking about how college football is trending away from running the ball and toward passing offenses who spread the ball around. That may be true. But, success still comes from owning the point of attack on both sides of the ball. If the offensive line can push around the defense, then the offense can do whatever it wants. If not, the quarterback doesn’t have time to spread the ball around! This sport still revolves around what happens on either side of the line of scrimmage in the first two seconds of a play. Don’t you ever forget that!
Far too many fans and TV commentators are focused on offense rather than defense. That’s why Fantasy Football became so popular so quickly. People love big plays and big scoring. Well, the defenses who PREVENT big plays and big scoring…or who make big plays on their own are the ones who win conferences and cover pointspreads. Force yourself this weekend to stop watching the ball…and start watching the front seven of each defense. In the future, you’ll want to fade soft defense (and bet Overs in their games), and you’ll want to back physical defenses (and bet Unders in their games). Remember, you don’t beat Las Vegas by looking at what everyone else is looking at. You beat the market by seeing things nobody else is seeing!
*SPECIAL TEAMS PLAY
Some teams will have excellent field goal kickers. Other teams will have no workable options at the position. Who do YOU think you should be betting on this year? Some teams will have speedsters returning kickoffs and punts who can put points on the board or create great field position. Other teams will have a sure-handed guy out there just doing the basics before running out of bounds. Hey, don’t forget about punting! Underdogs with great punters can offer consistent value. Underdogs with bad punters are constantly giving away cheap points, and should be avoided at all costs.
If you’d like to talk to a representative about signing up for seasonal service, call us in the office during normal business hours at 1-800-323-4453. You should think strongly about building your football bankroll with some baseball winners Tuesday and Wednesday. Daily best bets can always be purchased here at the website with your credit card.
Back with you Wednesday to talk more football. Here’s a look at this week’s big game preview schedule here in the NOTEBOOK…
Thursday: North Carolina at South Carolina on ESPN
Friday: Texas Tech at SMU on ESPN
Saturday: Georgia at Clemson on ABC
Sunday: Ohio at Louisville on ESPN
Monday: Florida State at Pittsburgh on ESPN
COLLEGE FOOTBALL IS BACK! Play it smart so you GET ALL THE MONEY with JIM HURLEY’S NETWORK!