Submitted by Kelso Sturgeon on Friday, April 5, 2013 at 11:07 AM
The college basketball season began six months ago with 347 undefeated NCAA Division I teams at least dreaming of winning a national championship, as far-fetched as that might have been for most. All but four of the 347 are now on the sidelines, with just four teams left to battle it out for that coveted title.
As the Final Four begins Saturday evening at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta, the number one overall seed, Louisville (33-5), is the odds on 10-13 favorite to win its third national championship. Michigan (30-7) is the second choice at 3-1, followed by Syracuse (33-5) at 4-1 and Wichita State (30-8) 12-1.
Saturday's Final Four Matchups
#1-Seeded Louisville (33-5) is -0.5 over #9-Seeded Wichita State (30-8)
Tips Off 6:05 Eastern...Televised On CBS
#4-Seeded Michigan (30-7) is -2 over #4 Syracuse (33-5)
Tips Off 8:45 Eastern...Televised On CBS
Bettors will have a long slate of wagering opportunities available on these games and the championship game Monday night. There are proposition bets galore, plus the opportunity to bet on totals and on the money line.
For the record, the over/under on both games opened at 130.5 but is now 133 on the Louisville-Wichita State matchup and 131 on Michigan Syracuse. If you are a money-line player, here are the prices
Wichita State +500
Michigan is -140
Syracuse is +120
For those unfamiliar with money line betting, the prices mean that one making such a bet on Louisville would have to put up $700 to win $100, while those backing Wichita State would get $500 for each $100 wagered. Obviously, if you like either of the dogs to win straight up, with no pointspread involved, they offer the best prices.
Louisville May Win - But The Cover Another Question Altogether
I have said for since the NCAA Tournament began with 68 teams that Louisville stood head and shoulders above them all, and was playing on a much higher plan than anyone left standing. Nothing has happened to change my mind and there is no disagreement on my part the Cardinals deserve to be the odds-on favorites to win it all. I made them 1-10 after the Sweet Sixteen round.
Winning it all is one thing and covering the number is quite another. The numbers of the two Final Four games are tighter than white on rice and raise many challenges for bettors.
For instance, the Michigan-Syracuse game grades out as an almost dead-even affair and a case could actually be made for making either side a 2-point favorite. As noted earlier Michigan is the -2 choice in this one but why not the Orange. After all, Syracuse Coach Jim Boeheim has faced Michigan Coach John Beilein nine times and stands 9-0 against him.
One must also ask if the betting line on Louisville, a 10.5-point favorite over Wichita State, is accurate and legitimate or a shaded public number. It goes without saying bookmakers know they are going to get heavy Louisville action and it is lost on no one the Cardinals have won three of their four tournament games by double digits, the last one a shocking 22-point, 85-63, win over Duke.
The -10.5 also must be weighed against the fact both Louisville and Wichita State are outstanding defensive teams. The Cardinals gave up an average of just 58.1 points per game this season and Wichita State has shut down every team it has beaten in the tournament, holding Pittsburgh to 35.2% from the floor, Gonzaga 35.6%, LaSalle 35.7% and Ohio State 31.1%.
Each Team Has Its Own Winning Personality
I have watched the Final Four teams all season long and each has a well-defined performance personality.
- Louisville is loaded with blue-chip players and has no weaknesses. The Cardinals can score on anybody, have a lock-down defense and play with an intensity that wears teams down, causing them to just give up.
- Michigan is talented, quick and can stand the heat.
- Syracuse plays great defense, to perfection, I might add, and gives up just 58.6 points per game. The Orange are patient, try to control the pace of every game and any team that hopes to beat them better have a good point guard.
- Wichita State is quite physical, focused, and fearless and challenges every single shot. The Shockers are the most relentless team in the Final Four and never give up, obviously believing they can beat anybody.
- As for the coaches, all four are outstanding at coming up with effective game plans and also have the ability to quickly change them if things are not working.
150 Units Of Winning Action On Final Four Weekend
I have worked long and hard on analyzing the Final Four and believe I have the edges to sweep right through Monday night's championship game. Here is how I will be handling the championship round, plus a special 50-unit game of the week play in the NBA.
On Saturday I will be releasing both games at the 25-unit level.
On Monday, in the championship game, I will be releasing a 50-unit side and total parlay
20 units on the side, 20 units on the total and then a 10-unit side/total parlay
But that's not all that is happening this weekend.
On Sunday I am releasing my 50-unit NBA Game of the Week and I am looking to win this one in dominating fashion.
You can get the entire 150-unit weekend package for just $75, charged to your major credit card. The games will all be available here online or toll free at 1-800-755-2255. As noted earlier, all major credit cards accepted.
Baseball Is Rolling And Winning
I have the Major League Baseball season on track and winning and invite you to join me to make the big money the sport offers. I have gone 2-0 each of the past two days and intend to continue this run on Saturday and Sunday. You can get these four weekend winners for just $15 per day, charged to your major credit card. Better yet, get on board for the entire baseball season and play all daily best bets right through the World Series in October for just $199.
Baseball 4-0 The Past 2 Days
10 Units: Nationals (-1.5 Runs -120) 6. Marlins 1 (Won)
5 Units: Phillies (+120) 2, Braves 0 (Won)
10 Units: Giants-Dodgers Over 7 Runs (Won)
5 Units: Nationals (-1.5 Runs -120) 3, Marlins 0 (Won)