Submitted by Kelso Sturgeon on Wednesday, January 23, 2013 at 11:30 AM
College basketball bettors know when conference play begins the challenge of beating the spread night after night increases dramatically as the serious run to the NCAA Tournament two months down the road gets underway. The scores speak for themselves, as they did again last night.
Louisville, the number-one ranked team in the country just five days ago, takes on what appears to be a subpar Villanova as an 11.5-point favorite in Philadelphia and lays an egg, losing 73-64. Number 18 N.C. State is an 8-point favorite at Wake Forest and loses, 86-84, and those ever-hopeful Kentucky fans got hit in the mouth again as their beloved Wildcats were a 4-point favorite at Alabama and lost 59-55.
Unexpected losses by the powerful have been commonplace for the past week and have served as a powerful wake-up call for those who handicap. On the first two days of this week, favorites stand 4-16 against the spread (ATS) and that means underdogs are 16-4 and have covered 80% of the time on Monday and Tuesday.
While finding the winning edges in conference games is a bit tougher than it was during the non-conference season, they are there, but just buried deeper in the facts and the not-so-obvious factors that tend to decide who wins and who covers. That is simply the nature of the beast. Nothing new here - we go through this at this time each season.
I will admit I have struggled over the past few days, I am pleased to report I have won by big games - my 50-unit Big Ten Game of the Week last night with underdog Michigan State (+5) with its 49-47 victory at Wisconsin and my 100-unit College Blowout Game of the Week Saturday with New Mexico State (-12) with its 70-53 win over San Jose State.
Now it is time for another one.
Tonight's college basketball schedule is loaded with opportunities to make a major score and I am again going for the big money with another 100-unit college basketball blowout play. As noted I won my last 100-unit college basketball play this past Saturday with New Mexico State to push my record in 100-unit games to 9-1-1 this season, all released in the past six weeks. That is the way it is supposed to be since all 100-unit college basketball plays grade out with a 90% chance to win and/or cover, and tonight's game falls into that category. Win the big one with me again tonight for just $50, charged to your major credit card. The game is available on this website and toll free at 1-800-755-2255.
My 9-1-1 Record With 100-Unit Games
1/19...New Mexico State (-12) 70, San Jose State 53 (W)
1/16...N.C. State (+2.5) 50, Maryland 51 (W)
1/12...Arizona (-10) 80, Oregon State 70 (P)
1/9...Indiana State (-4.5) 69, Bradley 53 (W)
1/5...Colorado State (-10.5) 85, St. Bonaventure 64 (W)
12/29...Illinois (-12.5) 81, Auburn 79 (L)
12/22...Louisville (-22) 78, Western Kentucky 55 (W)
12/18...N. C. State (-7) 88, Stanford 79 (W)
12/15...Arizona State (-16.5) 61, Dartmouth 42 (W)
12/8...Villanova (-5.5) 68, Penn 55 (W)
12/1..Mississippi (-9) 80, Rutgers 67 (W)
Do not miss this opportunity to make this major score tonight.
Lakers Old And Show - And So Are Celtics
When the 2012-13 NBA season began the Los Angeles Lakers and the Miami Heat were 9-4 co-favorites to win the championship. Miami is 26-12 and is in first place in the Eastern Conference's Southeast Division and thus living up to expectations. The Lakers are 17-24 - 3-10 in their last 13 games - and are just three-four games out of being in last place in the Western Conference's Pacific Division and obviously are on their way out, so to speak.
Legions of Lakers fans are struggling for answers when superstar guard Kobe Bryant has already told the world what is wrong, i.e. "we're old and slow". How much clearer can one make it?
The Lakers, and the Boston Celtics with them, are going nowhere because both suffer from that same old-and-slow ailment, for which there is no immediate cure.
A team can survive if it is merely "old" but the combination of old-and-slow does not work. For instance, the New York Knicks (25-14 and in first place in the Eastern Conference's Atlantic Division) are the oldest team in the NBA with players who average 31.3 years in age. Old, yes, Slow, no.
When Boston lost last night 95-90 as a 4.5-point favorite at lowly Cleveland (11-32) it marked the Celtics fourth straight loss and you can take it to the bank this was not a rock-bottom performance. The worst is yet to come as this aging team gets slower and slower.
Problems in Laker Land are increased exponentially by the fact first-year coach Mike D'Antoni does not have a clue as to how to use his players and in the process cover up the "slow" part of the equation and give the team its best chance to win.
D'Antoni is so out of touch with reality as he tries to install and offense that is useless with the players he has that he appears to have all the markings of a fool.
Little that he does makes sense. For some reason he has a great dislike for 7-0 forward Pau Gasol and does everything he can to kill his spirit. For instance, this past week he had 25 points one night and in the next game was not even in the starting lineup. It is pure idiocy.
Bryant says he is doing his best to play the new offense and because of it is forced to pass up open shots he can make as he tries to get in step with what D'Antoni wants.
The bottom line: the Lakers have the talent to do the distance but it is not going to happen as long as the coach stands in the way. Just call the Lakers-D'Antoni union the marriage made in hell.
Tonight's Betting Menu
In addition to the 100-unit college blowout play tonight, my other services will be in action to, offer these games.
ESPN Battle Tops 3-0 Power Play Night - Duke at Miami
The Duke Blue Devils (16-1) have again moved to the top of the college basketball polls and tonight take to the road to meet the 25th-ranked Miami Hurricanes (13-3) and I am releasing this game as the top play on a 3-0 night for my Best Bets Basketball Investment Club, confident I have found the edges that will get the money. Click here to win a 15-unit play on Duke-Miami, plus two other 10-unit power plays, for just $20, charged to your major credit card.
25-Unit NBA Power Play Gets Cash Tonight
My Chairman's Club is having an outstanding season - especially in the NBA - and intends to get the money again tonight with a team that qualifies as a very strong power play. The team I am releasing grades out as a 25-unit play, is a modest favorite, and should cover the number by 9-10 points. Win this 25-unit play with me tonight for just $25, charged to your major credit card.