Submitted by Kelso Sturgeon on Sunday, January 20, 2013 at 11:49 AM
Bookmakers in Las Vegas and in the offshore betting shops say the public and the sharps are betting the San Francisco 49ers and the Baltimore Ravens in the National Football League conference championship games as if they were already over. Just mail it in. Why waste time getting beat up on Sunday? Save it all for the Super Bowl which is two weeks down the road.
If you are from the school that believes bookmakers usually get what they need, then your money should be on the Falcons and the Patriots because they are the two teams those taking bets need, almost desperately.
It is next to impossible to find a bookmaker in Nevada, in the off-shore shops in Central America or in those spread throughout the Caribbean who have not taken heavy action on the 49ers to beat the Atlanta Falcons and the Baltimore Ravens to get the cover at New England. What makes the action interesting, if not a bit frightening for traditional handicappers, is the simple fact it is a rare day when the public and the wiseguys are on the same teams.
This just doesn't happen - but it has.
It is believed the public is seldom right, especially in big games, and it usually finds itself on the opposite side of the sharps and the wiseguys. Personally, I no longer buy that thought because the playing field has been leveled via the Internet, removing the edges that in the past made bookmaker's rich.
A bettor who can better analyze the data can beat the sharpest of bookmakers.
One Game Will Be Released Sunday At 100 Units - The Second One As A 25-Unit Side/Total Parlay
It goes without saying the two biggest games of the NFL season will be played today, with San Francisco (12-4-1) meeting Atlanta (14-3) in the Georgia Dome for the National Football Conference championship and with the Baltimore Ravens (12-6) at the New England Patriots (13-4) in the game that will decide the American Football Conference title. The winners go to the Super Bowl - the losers go home. All four of these teams have their strengths and weaknesses but we know for certain they are focused and tough as iron.
That means we are going to witness football at its best today and it also means I am again going for the big money. Last week I won my 200-unit NFL playoff game of the year with the Seattle Seahawks (+3) who got the cover last week in a 30-28 loss at Atlanta and today I am releasing my 100-unit NFL Championship Game of the Year, confident I will again get the money. Get my 100-unit play on one of these games and a 25-unit side/total parlay on the other contest for just $50, charged to your major credit card. It's time to get the big money again. Let's go for it together. Click Here - The games are available on this website and toll free at my office, 1-800-755-2255. All major credit cards accepted
Current Numbers For Sunday's Title Games
Here is a rundown of the two championship games Sunday.
In the National Football Conference game, beginning at 3:05 (EST) and being televised nationally on FOX, the San Francisco 49ers (12-4-1) will meet the Atlanta Falcons (14-3) indoors in the Georgia Dome in Atlanta.
San Francisco, which buried the Green Bay Packers last week, 45-31, in one of the divisional championship playoff games, currently is a 4-point favorite over the Falcons, with a total of 48.5. The game opened San Francisco -3, with a total of 49.
Atlanta earned its spot in the championship game with a wild 30-28 win home win over the Seattle Seahawks.
If you are a money-line player and like San Francisco to win but with no pointspread involved, you will find the 49ers -205, which means you will have to lay $205 for each $100 you would like to win. If your choice is Atlanta, which is +175, you can win $170 for each $100 wagered. Bookmakers say they are getting equal money-line action on both sides.
In the American Football Conference title game, beginning at 6:35 (EST) and being televised nationally on CBS, the New England Patriots (13-4) hosts the Baltimore Ravens (12-6) outdoors at Gillette Stadium, where game-time temperatures will be about 20 degrees with a wind-chill factor of 14 degrees. Wind will be out of the west at 15-25 miles per hour, with a 10% chance of precipitation.
New England is still the solid favorite to win the game at -7.5 with a total of 51.5 or 52, again depending on where one bets. The game opened with New England -9 and with a total of 51.
A money-line play on New England will require you to lay $300 to win $100. If you like Baltimore to win straight up, you can get $360 for each $100 wagered.
Bookmakers are getting money-line play on New England but 'nil on Baltimore. It is obvious that despite the Patriots success in the playoffs they are but 2-8 against the spread (ATS) in their last 10 playoff games.
For the record, New England made it to the championship game with a 41-28 win over the Houston Texans.
High Winds, Bitter Cold In Foxborough Today
The weather forecast for the game Baltimore at New England game has changed considerably over night. The AccuWeather report says, " Gusty winds and brutal cold will arrive just in time for the Baltimore Ravens vs. New England Patriots AFC Championship game on Sunday. A cold front will move through Foxboro, Mass., on Sunday afternoon, giving way to strong winds and falling temperatures. The AccuWeather predicted temperature for kickoff is 33 degrees F, with sustained winds between 15 and 25 mph. According to Senior Meteorologist Dave Samuel the wind-chill factor will make temperatures for the kickoff in the lower 20s."
New Mexico State Pushes Record To 9-1-1 In 100-Unit Rated College Basketball Games Just As Advertised - 90% Winners
I won another 100-unit college basketball play Saturday as New Mexico State (-12) rolled past San Jose State, 70-53, to push my record in 100-unit games to 9-1-1 this season, all released in the past six weeks.
All 100-unit college basketball plays grade out with a 90% chance to win and/or cover, and here is what I said about the New Mexico state-San Jose State game when I released it. I hope it gives you a bit of insight into why I released this game at the 100-unit level.
NEW MEXICO STATE (11-8) -12 over San Jose State (9-8)
Prediction: New Mexico State by 19-20
Played at Pan American Center (12,482) in Las Cruces, New Mexico
Results: New Mexico State 70, San Jose State 53
Comments: This is as much a play against San Jose State as it is a play on New Mexico. San Jose State is in a nightmare situation for the third straight game, being without two suspended starters - 6-2 senior guard James Kinney who is the team's leading scorer (20.6 points per game) and 6-6 junior forward Louis Garrett (7.1 points per game). Reserve Nick Grieves may also miss the game (no reasons given). Kinney and Garrett have missed the last two games, both on the road and both losses, first at Utah State, 66-60, and in its last game, at Denver, 73-37. It is of note that in those games, San Jose State shot 35.9% and 28.0% from the floor. New Mexico State has a very decent basketball team and comes into this game off a 64-51 home win over Utah State, is 8-1 at home this season and is going for its sixth straight win. I rest my case.
My 9-1-1 Record With 100-Unit Games
1/19...New Mexico State (-12) 70, San Jose State 53 (W)
1/16...N.C. State (+2,5) 50, Maryland 51 (W)
1/12...Arizona (-10) 80, Oregon State 70 (P)
1/9...Indiana State (-4.5) 69, Bradley 53 (W)
1/5...Colorado State (-10.5) 85, St. Bonaventure 64 (W)
12/29...Illinois (-12.5) 81, Auburn 79 (L)
12/22...Louisville (-22) 78, Western Kentucky 55 (W)
12/18...N. C. State (-7) 88, Stanford 79 (W)
12/15...Arizona State (-16.5) 61, Dartmouth 42 (W)
12/8...Villanova (-5.5) 68, Penn 55 (W)
12/1...Mississippi (-9) 80, Rutgers 67 (W)
Stayed tuned for my next 100-unit play which will come in two-three days.