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Submitted by Kelso Sturgeon on Friday, January 18, 2013 at 3:38 PM

Bettors are heading into a three-day weekend that offers the opportunity-no, make that the opportunities to make a number of scores in games rated from 10-to-100 units. There are 120 college basketball games, 21 NBA contests and the two NFL conference championship games between now and Sunday night and it is not a stretch to say the money is there for the taking. Highlights of the weekend will be:

Friday night's 50-unit NBA Game of the Week.
Saturday's 100-unit College Blowout Game of the Week.
Sunday's 100-unit NFL Conference Championship Game of the Year.

Every day offers its challenges but I never waiver from my believe that if you know what you are doing and will put in the time it takes to find the little edges that make the difference between winning and losing, you can own the sports betting universe.

Never easy, but always possible-this thing called winning.

Handicapping college basketball presents the biggest challenge simply because of the volume of games being played. As noted earlier there are 120 of them being played on Friday, Saturday and Sunday and hidden in the schedule are several standout plays, including the big 100-unit knockout number Saturday.
Handicapping college basketball winners is a puzzle of many pieces, some more important than others but all a part of the equation. Handicappers may differ on what is important but I use several elements as the starting point of analyzing each game and am sharing them with you here.

There are at least 14 of what I call marquee games on the college schedule Saturday and I am using them to illustrate the foundation on which I build my process of analysis. These factors are the beginning and not the end but they level the playing field and offer insight into what each team brings to the table, and of equal importance, how they are viewed by bookmakers and the betting world.

The Beginning Of Successful Handicapping

When I begin my handicapping I want to note the team's straight up (SU) won-lost record, its record against the spread (ATS), whether it is nationally-ranked (NR) in the Top 25 in the polls, its RPI rating which is a figure the NCAA uses to evaluable all 347 Division I teams and rate them against one another and last but not least the each team's strength of schedule (SOS)

  • SU speaks for itself.
  • ATS tells us if bookmakers have the right numerical rating on a team, or have over-rated it or under-rated it. A team that breaks even ATS is accurately rated, a team that covers a high percentage of the time is under-rated and a team that has a bad ATS record is over-rated.
  • RANK is the one factor that misleads more than any other element of the process. High profile teams are constantly promoted by the media and may or may not be as good as their rating. In fact, there are unranked teams that are better than ranked teams.
  • RPI combines every factor of a team's performance, i.e. the quality of its schedule and how it has performed against the good teams it has played, how it performs on the road etc. The RPI rating is the truest reading one can get on just how good/bad a team is.
  • SOS is the real bottom line. Duke is 15-1 and ranked first in the RPI ratings and has played the toughest schedule in the country. Stephen F. Austin is 15-1 and is ranked 54th against a schedule ranked 273 of 347. SOS is always a telling figure.

To give you a bit of insight into the past performance lines I create on each game on the schedule, here is how I list the elements. I can then take a quick glance at how each team stacks up against its opponent and the handicapping process begins. In the chart below, the bottom team is always the home team.

As noted earlier, this is just the beginning of the process, and not the end.

Game

SU

ATS

RANK

RPI

SOS

Maryland

14-3

5-4-1

NR

68

156

North Carolina

11-5

7-6-0

NR

41

22

 

 

 

 

 

 

Connecticut

12-4

4-7-1

NR

21

7

Pittsburgh

14-4

6-6-0

NR

61

98

 

 

 

 

 

 

Missouri

13-3

7-5-0

17th

24

33

Florida

13-2

8-4-0

10th

10

15

 

 

 

 

 

 

Kansas

15-1

7-8-0

4th

2

3

Texas

8-8

6-8-0

NR

144

90

 

 

 

 

 

 

Arizona

15-1

7-7-0

7th

3

8

Arizona State

14-3

8-4-0

NR

62

138

 

 

 

 

 

 

Creighton

17-1

12-3-1

12th

18

82

Wichita State

16-2

9-5-1

NR

22

99

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oregon

15-2

8-7-0

21st

26

92

UCLA

15-3

7-10-0

24th

32

59

 

 

 

 

 

 

Syracuse

16-1

8-7-0

6th

12

48

Louisville

16-1

10-7-0

1st

6

14

 

 

 

 

 

 

Oklahoma

12-3

9-2-0

NR

14

12

Kansas State

14-2

6-7-0

16th

34

107

 

 

 

 

 

 

Marquette

13-3

5-7-0

25th

17

23

Cincinnati

15-3

7-7-0

NR

28

39

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ohio State

13-3

9-5-0

11th

25

37

Michigan State

15-3

5-10-0

18th

19

38

 

 

 

 

 

 

UNLV

15-3

7-10-0

NR

20

30

Colorado State

14-3

7-6-0

NR

27

83

 

 

 

 

 

 

San Diego State

14-3

7-5-0

15th

33

62

Wyoming

14-2

9-3-1

NR

59

191

 

 

 

 

 

 

Gonzaga

17-1

9-6-1

8th

7

11

Butler

15-2

10-5-1

13th

13

41

My Big-Game Menu For The Weekend

50-Unit NBA Game Of Week Plus Free TV Bonus Plays Win Tonight
I have found a team on tonight's nine-game NBA scheduled that grades out with just under a 90% chance to cover the spread and I am releasing it as my 50-unit NBA Game of the Week. Seldom in the NBA do we find a team that has as many edges as does this team and I am quite confident we will get a dominating win. But that is not all. I am also putting in the Game of the Week package the two nationally televised ESPN games tonight-the Chicago Bulls (22-15) at the Boston Celtics (20-18) and the Oklahoma City Thunder (31-8) at the Dallas Mavericks (17-23)-and you can go 3-0 for just $50, charged to your major credit card.

100-Unit Basketball Blowout Game Of Week Wins Saturday
8-1-1 This Season
I have released ten 100-unit college basketball blowout plays this season-all over the past six weeks-and have gone 8-1-1 in those games, and I intend to get the big money again today with my 100-unit College Blowout Game of the Week. The team I am releasing grades out with a 90% chance to win and should again march right to the winner's circle. This is another outstanding opportunity to make a major score and you can win this game for just $50, charged to your major credit card.

My 8-1-1 Record With 100-Unit Games

1/16...N.C. State (+2.5) 50, Maryland 51 (W)
1/12...Arizona (-10) 80, Oregon State 70 (P)
1/9...Indiana State (-4.5) 69, Bradley 53 (W)
1/5...Colorado State (-10.5) 85, St. Bonaventure 64 (W)
12/29-Illinois (-12.5) 81, Auburn 79 (L)
12/22-Louisville (-22) 78, Western Kentucky 55 (W)
12/18-N. C. State (-7) 88, Stanford 79 (W)
12/15-Arizona State (-16.5) 61, Dartmouth 42 (W)
12/8-Villanova (-5.5) 68, Penn 55 (W)
12/1-Mississippi (-9) 80, Rutgers 67 (W)

Do not miss this opportunity to make another big score.

100-Unit NFL Championship Game Of Year Set To Crush Number Sunday
The two biggest games of the NFL season will be played today, with San Francisco (12-4-1) meeting Atlanta (14-3) in the Georgia Dome for the National Football Conference championship and with the Baltimore Ravens (12-6) at the New England Patriots (13-4) in the game that will decide the American Football Conference title. The winners go to the Super Bowl-the losers go home. All four of these teams have their strengths and weaknesses but we know for certain they are focused and tough as iron. That means we are going to witness football at its best today and it also means I am again going for the big money. Last week I won my 200-unit NFL playoff game of the year with the Seattle Seahawks (+3) who got the cover last week in a 30-28 loss at Atlanta and today I am releasing my 100-unit NFL Championship Game of the Year, confident I will again get the money. Get my 100-unit play on one of these games and a 25-unit side/total parlay on the other contest for just $50, charged to your major credit card. It's time to get the big money again. Let's go for it together.

ALL THESE GAMES AVAILABLE ON THIS WEBSITE AND TOLL FREE AT 1-800-755-2255

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