Vegas Sports Masters Blog
Back to Blog Home…

Submitted by Jim Hurley on Wednesday, September 26, 2012 at 9:22 AM

Hey NFL ... when will the madness end?

No need to go chapter-and-verse here into Monday Night's colossal disaster that should have been a 12-7 Green Bay Packers win against Seattle and instead turned into a 14-12 Seahawks win -heck, ESPN has shown the "game-winning" touchdown more than the Zabruda film!

Yet you do have to wonder heading into NFL Week 4 action -and it all kicks off with Thursday Night's AFC North battle between the winless Cleveland Browns at the Baltimore Ravens -whether the on-the-field action is gonna be the thing here or will it once again be all about the zebras -a/k/a the replacement officials.

Let's just say the NFL -quite frankly -cannot afford to have too many more of these games chock full of referee blunders (yes, more than a few folks are beginning to tune out even if the hotsy-totsy NFL folks claim that's not the case as per the TV ratings) and so it's cross-your-fingers time again for Commish Roger Goodell and his won't-back-down owners who are slowly but surely destroying this great sport before our very own eyes.

Let's have NFL Week 4 action be about the players, the games and the great endings that don't include the men in stripes, okay?


CLEVELAND (0-3) at BALTIMORE (2-1) -- 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network
Folks, you have to go back to the second meeting in the 2007 season to find the last time the Browns beat the Ravens (see 33-30 in a game played in Baltimore) and so it's not as if recent history has been on the side here of the now 0-and-3 Cleveland Browns.

Still, one thing that Pat Shurmur's squad is hoping for here is that rookie RB Trent Richardson (just 175 yards rushing on 50 carries so far; a pedestrian 3.5 yards-per-carry average) will get 20-plus carries and thus maybe keep QB Joe Flacco and that Ravens offense (one that is averaging nearly 33 points per game) off the field.

In last Sunday Night's wild 31-30 non-cover win by the Ravens against 2 ½-point underdog New England, the Ravens relied on the right arm of Mr. Flacco for 382 yards and three TDs and he'll really spread around the wealth as five different payers caught three-or-more balls including emotionally-drained WR Torrey Smith (6 catches for 127 yards and two TDs) who just hours before had lost his little brother in a motorcycle accident.

Gotta believe that Baltimore TE Dennis Pitta (5 catches for 50 yards and one score against New England) will be a central character here as Flacco knows his wide outs will be getting lots of double-coverage looks -might this be a 10-catch (or so) game for Pitta on this night?

Now back to Cleveland's starry rookie:

Richardson's 12-carry, 27-yard rushing game in last week's 24-14 home loss to Buffalo surely was nothing to write home about but that six-yard pinball-type touchdown run showed this kid has a great feel for the game -providing this shabby Cleveland O-line can open up some holes here.

Spread Notes -Baltimore has covered six of its last eight head-to-head showdowns against Cleveland and note the Ravens are 5-1-1 ATS (against the spread) in divisional tilts since the start of last season. The Browns, meanwhile, enter this clash at 1-1-1 against the odds this year and 7-2 spreadwise as twin-figure underdogs while dating back to the midway point of the 2009 campaign.

Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers have all the NFL Week 4 winners beginning with the Browns-Ravens tilt on Thursday Night plus there are loads of NCAA Football and Major-League Baseball winners straight ahead too -- so go ahead and climb aboard right now with America's #1 Handicapper! Check in with us on Game Days either right here online or at our exclusive toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 for all the winners and note the check-in times are after 11 a.m. ET for the weekday Baseball Winners and than after 1 p.m. ET for weeknight NFL, NCAA and MLB action and than after 11 a.m. ET on Saturdays and Sundays.


On Thursday Night, it's ...#8 STANFORD (3-0) at WASHINGTON (2-1) -9 p.m. ET, ESPN

Enough of those "Andrew Who" signs in the stands already!

The two-time Heisman Trophy runner-up QB Andrew Luck was never a one-man gang at "The Farm" but now that he's playing ball on Sundays the focus of this here-and-now Stanford club has turned to a defense that's allowing just under 15 points a game (and is currently ranked #1 in the land in rushing defense while yielding 41.7 ground yards a game) and let's not forget new QB Josh Nunes (615 yards passing with 6 TDs and 3 INTs) has looked sharp after some dreary play in that season-opening 20-17 non-cover win against four-TD dog San Jose State.

One Stanford key for Nunes here is hooking up with TE Zach Ertz early and often against the Dawgs:

Ertz (9 catches for 146 yards and a score this year) is not only a true red-zone threat for head coach David Shaw's squad but he can break big plays down the middle of the field too and a Washington secondary that has vulnerabilities better watch him 20 yards down the pike.

Safe to say Stanford's do-it-all RB Stepfan Taylor (averaging 112.7 yards per game rushing so far) is an early-season Heisman Trophy candidate and love the way Stanford's "fed" him for nearly 23 carries per game so far this season 

Meanwhile, what's happened to Washington's passing offense as the Huskies rank 92nd in the land in passing offense while averaging 199.7 yards a game ... oh yeah, that's what happens when your team plays a game against LSU!

Spread Notes -Stanford is an electric 28-12-1 ATS overall since the start of the 2009 season (that's a neat .700 winning rate) and the Cardinal is 7-1 versus the vig in its last eight showdowns against Washington. On the flip side, the UW Huskies have failed to cover six of their last eight overall games but they do own a decent 15-12 ATS mark in conference games dating back to the start of the 2009 season.

In other College Football News & Notes ...
Quick: What NCAA Football team that started the season outside the Associated Press Top 25 poll now sports the highest ranking?

If you said the Notre Dame Fighting Irish (4-0) than give yourself a cookie!

The 10th-ranked team in the land surely has done it with defense so far as Brian Kelly's club has allowed a mere 46 points in its first four outings -they rank inside the FBS top 30 in both rush defense (112.5 yards a game) and pass defense (178.8 ypg) and now Kelly's club gets to rest up, figure out its current quarterback situation and gear up for the Oct. 6th game at Soldier Field in Chicago against the Miami Hurricanes.

No question that Notre Dame LB Manti Te'o has put himself firmly in the early-season conversation for this year's Heisman Trophy but it's the whole ND defense that deserves to take a bow as this year's club ranks 5th in the country in turnover margin and no doubt Michigan QB Denard Robinson (among others) knows just how tough the South Bend guys can be in the red zone.

Maybe all the criticism Kelly and the Irish dealt with the past two years has steeled this crew -and if Te'o and Company keep the Irish on the plus side of the turnover margin than maybe we will be seeing Notre Dame in one of the BCS big bowls at year end ...

Finally, the Big 10 surely has been taking its share of criticism in recent weeks with last weekend's non-league losses suffered by Iowa and Michigan further sullying the conference's reputation but did you realize that right now the highest-ranked Big 10 team out there is #14 Ohio State and the Buckeyes have barely squeaked past California and UAB the past two weeks at home.

Meanwhile, there are five SEC teams that currently rank above Ohio State -go ahead and look it up!

The biggest league game for the Big 10 guys this weekend is that Ohio State at Michigan State tilt in East Lansing (a 3:30 p.m. ET kickoff) and from a pointspread perspective do take note that the Buckeyes are a collective 37-17-2 against the odds in all Big 10 games since the start of 2005.

NOTE: Get more NCAA Football Previews in the next edition of Jim Sez as we'll bring you Texas at Oklahoma State and aforementioned Ohio State at Michigan State (among others).

Join the discussion


Forgot password

Keep me logged in