Submitted by Kelso Sturgeon on Friday, October 5, 2012 at 5:56 PM
It is a very serious matter for many reasons to release a 200-unit College Football Game of the Year. First and foremost, there is an obligation to all clients to win it and that is something I have done consistently over the years. The issue of telling customers they can take the game and bet out on it to me is a tremendous responsibility. I will be the first to admit I am not always right but when it comes to games rated at the 100-unit and 200-unit level I know I get it done at a level and in a fashion that no handicapper has/will ever equal.
I have the formula; they do not.
When LA-Monroe (-20) crushed Tulane by 53 points, 63-10, last Saturday in winning my 200-unit College Blowout Game of the Year, it was no accident. The formula I use to handicap all football games will from time to time produce teams that are so much better than their opponents that they have a 100% chance-and I mean a 100% chance-to win straight up and at least a 90% chance to cover the number.
The team I am releasing Saturday as my 200-unit College Football Game of the Year is at least as strong a play as was LA-Monroe, grading out with a 100% chance to win and better than a 90% chance to cover the number.
As I have noted many times, I am a power vs. weakness handicapper and when I find a game that meets five basic requirements, I know I can send my clients after the big money. The requirements are basic while simple and complicated at the same time. They are as follows.
The team I am releasing must have a Grade 10 quarterback while the opposing signal caller is a Grade 1.
The team I am releasing must have a running game that can (1) control the pace of the game and (2) keep the ball and protect late leads. The opposing team has to lack this ability.
The team I am releasing must have at least one game-breaking offensive player while the opposing team has none. The team I am releasing Saturday has three game-breakers to zero for its opponent.
The team I am releasing must have a deep, experienced and dramatically superior offensive line that has the ability to destroy a defense, while its opponent lacks that element.
The team I am releasing must have a dramatic edge on defense as compared to its opponent.
It is as simple and complicated as that and the biggest edge I have is my formula's ability to not only grade teams but to grade individual players and how they stack up against their opponents. That will be my secret until I decide to retire.
These are all the things we have going for us Saturday with my 200-unit College Football Game of the Year.
You can get the game the first thing Saturday morning or toll free at 1-800-755-2255. It will cost you but $75, charged to your major credit card. Join me for a second giant-winning Saturday.
It's A 50-Unit 2-Team ESPN Night
Pittsburgh at Syracuse
Utah State at BYU
There are two outstanding college football games on ESPN tonight-Pittsburgh (2-2) at Syracuse (1-3) in a Big East affair and Utah State (4-1) at traditional rival BYU (3-2)-and a team in each of these contests grade out as a 25-unit play. Last Friday night I got the cash with BYU (-26) with its 47-0 win over Hawaii and intend to keep right on trucking tonight. The numbers on both these games are as hard as a rock but one element that favors one team in each has rendered them rather soft, and I fully expect to get the covers in both with a certain degree of ease. Win both 25-unit plays for just $25, charged to your major credit card and build your bankroll for another big weekend.
In addition to my 200-unit College Football Game of the Year, other standout plays for Saturday include the following.
50-Unit Knockout Saturday-Night Special Closes Out Perfect Day
I have found an absolute knockout Saturday night college football play to put the icing on the cake and since I want everyone to have money you will note I am offering this standout winner for just $25, instead of the customary $50 for all plays 50 units an up. This team grades out with a solid 90% chance to win straight up and with an 80% chance to cover the number. Finish the day on a roll and head into Sunday's NFL play with the big bankroll. Win this one for just $25, charged to your major credit card.
15-Unit Blowout Plus LSU-Florida Tops 3-0 Saturday
There are 53 college football games on the betting board today and I do not believe there has been a more attractive card for bettors the entire season. There are no less than 19 games that grade out as playable and several have all the makings of blowouts. I am releasing to my Best Bets Football Club members, a 15-unit blowout play, a 10-unit play on the nationally televised SEC battle between LSU (5-0) and Florida (4-0) in Gainesville, and an additional 10-unit bet on another team that has all the edges. I am very confident I will go 3-0 today. Last Saturday was a 2-1 day, with 10-unit wins by Northwestern (-12) 44-29 over Indiana and Wisconsin (+11 ½) in its cover in a 30-27 loss at Nebraska. The 10-unit loser was UTEP. Get all the money for just $15, charged to your major credit card.
Updated College Injury Report
Here is the latest report on starting skill players whose status for this weekend's game has been up in the air. I suggest you go to each school's website to check on the game-time status of each of the players on list.
- Arizona-QB Matt Scott (ankle) is probable against Stanford.
- Army-QB Trent Steelman (ribs) is probable for Boston College.
- Buffalo-RB Branden Oliver (leg) is probable for Ohio.
- BYU-RB Michael Alisa (arm) is out for Utah State.
- Clemson-WR Sammy Watkins is probable for Georgia Tech.
- Colorado State-QB Garrett Grayson (collarbone) out indefinitely.
- Duke-QB Sean Renfree (elbow) I questionable for Virginia.
- Kentucky-QB Maxwell Smith (ankle) is out indefinitely. QB Jalen Whitlow starts against Mississippi State.
- LA-Lafayette-QB Blaine Gautier (hand) out indefinitely.
- Louisiana Tech-RB Tevin King (knee) is out for the season.
- Miami-Ohio-WR Nick Harwell (knee) is probable for Cincinnati.
- Rice-QB Taylor McHargue (shoulder) is probable for Memphis.
- South Florida-QB B.J. Daniels (ankle) probable for Temple.
- Texas-RB Malcolm Brown (ankle) is out for West Virginia.
- TCU-QB Casey Pachall (legal problems) is out indefinitely. QB Trevone Boykin starts in his place against Iowa State. RB Matthew Tucker(ankle) probable for Iowa State.
- Tulane-QB Ryan Griffin (shoulder) is doubtful for LA-Lafayette.
- Western Michigan-QB Alex Carder (hand) is out indefinitely.
Wiseguy College Line Moves
Here is a list of the games Vegas wiseguys and sharps bet enough money to move betting lines.
Navy over Air Force-Air Force was 9 ½, now -8.
Florida State over N.C. State-FSU was -14 ½, now -17.
Texas A&M over Mississippi-A&M was -11, now -12 ½.
Iowa State over TCU-TCU was -11, now -7 (see personal report above).
Louisiana Tech over UNLV-Tech was -24 ½, now -27.
Fresno State over Colorado State-Fresno State was -16, now -18.