Submitted by Kelso Sturgeon on Monday, August 22, 2011 at 3:58 PM
50-Unit Pre-Season Plays Set To Win Thursday, Saturday
College Football Season Begins In 9 Days With 100-Unit Kickoff Blowout Game Of Year
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Unusual Fact Of The Day
Donkeys Kill More People Annually That Airplane Crashes Or Shark Attacks-So Watch Your Ass
By Kelso Sturgeon
I know it usually falls on deaf ears when I tell people there is no detail too small to consider while handicapping a football game. This is a game where fortunes are won and lost on points and half-points and the little edge found hidden in the details may be just that thing that gets you the cover. One can also take edges by simply using one's eyes, as I proved last night in winning my 25-unit NFL Pre-Season Game of the Week with the New York Jets (-6 ½) in their 27-7 victory over the Cincinnati Bengals.
Here is how I released the game and what I told clients was behind my decision to make the Jets my game of the week play.
Pre-Season Game Of The Week
NEW YORK JETS (0-1) -6 over Cincinnati Bengals (0-1)
Prediction: Jets by 14-17
Comments: It may seem like a small thing to others, if they see it at all, but I could tell by the body language of New York Jets Coach Rex Ryan during last week's 20-16 loss at Houston that he wants to win them all, including pre-season games. This is the Jets first pre-season game at home and Ryan will turn up the heat to get it done and that should be easier than it looks against what may be the worst team in the NFL. Ryan says his starters will play into the second period. Cincinnati Coach Marvin Lewis says he expects to see his starters play most of the first half. He will again start rookie Andy Dalton (TCU) at quarterback and he will be followed by the weakest rotation in the game. The Bengals opened the pre-season with a 34-3 loss at Detroit and in that game had but 205 yards of total offense. First game or not what you see is what you get and I see a comfortable Jets win.
Yes, it was that easy. In that loss at Houston I noticed that every time the camera panned to the New York sideline Ryan's body language and facial expressions screamed out, "I want to win". I figured if he was that devoted to winning in the pre-season he certainly would turn the Jets lose in their first home exhibition game-and he did.
It helped immensely that New York was playing a rag-tag Cincinnati team that has been reduced to nothingness by team owner Mike Brown whose ego gets in the way of good judgment. In the Carson Palmer situation, he proved it is all about him, the team be damned. There is a reason the Bengals have had but two winning seasons since 1991 (11-6 in 2005) and in 2009 (10-7).
Brown-The Air-Headed Fool
Palmer had played his entire National Football League career at Cincinnati. He was the number one pick in the 2003 draft and while with the Bengals completed 2,024 of 3,217 passes for 22,694 yards and 154 touchdowns. His lifetime efficiency rating is an outstanding 86.9, and all this happened while playing with a team that has rarely done the things that it takes to win championships.
Palmer wanted that chance and told Brown at the end of last season that he would not return in 2011, despite having a contract that still owned him $54 million. He demand a trade, or said he would retire, which he did when Brown drew his line in the sand and said he counted Palmer retired.
Brown is a fool and a complete airhead who just happened to be lucky enough to inherit the team from his father, the legendary Paul Brown. It's been all downhill since.
Brown could have traded Palmer for any number of quality players, including a quarterback, but he said, no, despite the fact it left his team with no legitimate NFL quarterback.
Just How Bad Are The Browns?
Cincinnati went 4-12 last and at one point lost 10 consecutive games and, as bad as that might have been, it will be worse this time around. If you think that is a bold statement, just remember this is a team with no quarterback and that is an essential requirement for winning in the NFL.
The team's record in this pre-season speaks for itself. The Bengals are 0-2 in losing to the Jets and the Detroit Lions, 34-3, In the process, here is what the numbers say.
Cincinnati is averaging 5.0 points and 204 yards of total offense per game.
Starting quarterback, rookie Andy Dalton (TCU) has completed 19-of-34 passes for 154 yards, no touchdowns, with three interceptions, leaving him with an efficiency rating of 30.9.
Back-up Bruce Gradkowski has completed 9-of-18 passes for 108 yards with no touchdowns and an interception, leaving him with an efficiency rating of 45.6.
You can own me if this will win in the NFL-and that is desperate spot in which Brown has placed this team-the fans be damned
NFL Pre-Season Menu For This Week
10-Unit Play On Bears-Giants
50-Unit Pre-Season Game Of Year
10-Unit Best Bet
50-Unit Pre-Season Upset Game Of Year
10-Unit Play On Saints-Raiders
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My 200-unit NFL Game of the Year
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