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Submitted by Kelso Sturgeon on Tuesday, September 20, 2011 at 10:23 AM

My mantra never changes—if you know what you are doing in handicapping football, and you continue to do it over and again, the money is there for the taking for bettors every week, and this week I took it. My Personal Best Club had a 2-0-1 week, with $100-per-unit bettors taking down another $10,000 with 50-unit scores on the New York Giants (-7) in their Monday Night win over the St. Louis Rams, 28-16, and Kansas State (-17 ½) in its 37-0 College Game of the Week blowout over Kent State.

My Best Bets Club went 6-2, with the winners including two NFL underdogs—the Atlanta Falcons and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers—that  won straight up. In the Best Bets college plays Colorado, Boise State, underdog Iowa State and Texas Tech led the way.

The winning continues this week, with my next play a 25-unit Chairman's Club play on Thursday night's N.C. State (2-1) at Cincinnati (2-1) game. Cincinnati is a 7 ½-point favorite, with a total of 59. On Saturday it will be my annual 100-unit College Triple Crown that includes three teams and 11 different bets. On Sunday it will be my 50-unit NFL Game of the Week.

Needless to say, every football season is a work in progress with handicappers continually re-evaluating teams, because three games into the season nothing is written in stone.

Three things I know for sure: 

--LSU (3-0) is hell on wheels and whoever wins the national championship will most likely have
to beat the gentlemen from Baton Rouge. LSU is one of the best-coached team in the country, comes to every game on the razor's edge, has the nation's 6th-ranked defense, giving up 207.67 yards per game and an offense that operates with the efficiency of a Swiss watch.

--Kansas State (2-0) leads the nation in defense, giving up an average of 164 yards per game but in watching their 37-0 win over Kent State I realized the Wildcats have no quarterback. That puts K-State in deep water at Miami this week. It takes a miracle to win without a quarterback when playing at the very highest level of the game.

--It was somewhat surprising to me that many of the professional handicappers in Las Vegas were all over the Kansas City Chiefs this past Sunday, taking that +7 ½ in a manner that suggested the game was over before it started. I don't second-guess anyone who bets their own money but I know KC is a terrible team coached by a man, Todd Haley, who knows about as much about winning as does the water boy. I released Detroit (-7 ½) over KC as my biggest game of the day, an unlimited bet game by my Syndicate Club and won rather easily, 48-3.

The Chiefs opened the season with a 41-7 home loss to Buffalo as a 7-point favorite, causing one NFL insider to tell me the KC camp is in total chaos because the team knows Haley does not have a clue. This is a definite go-against team until further notice. The Chiefs are a 14 ½-point underdog at San Diego Sunday.

Here is how my four football clubs went this past week

Sunday, Sept. 18
10 Units…Falcons (+1 ½) 35, Eagles 31 (Win)
5 Units…Packers (-10) 30, Panthers 23 (Lose)
5 Units…Buccaneers (+2) 24, Vikings 20 (Win)
Saturday, Sept. 17
10 Units…Colorado (-7) 28, Colorado State 14 (Win)
5 Units…Houston (-6 ½) 35, Louisiana Tech 34 (Lose)
5 Units…Texas Tech (-20 ½) 59, New Mexico 14 (Win)
Friday, Sept. 16
10 Units…Boise State (-20) 40, Toledo 15 (Win)
5 Units…Iowa State (+4, 24, Connecticut (Win)
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Sunday, Sept. 18
25 Units…Chargers (+7) 24, Patriots 35 (Lose)
Saturday, Sept 17
25 Units…Miami-Ohio (+4 ½) 23, Minnesota 29 (Lose)
25 Units…Oklahoma State (-13 ½) 59, Tulsa 33 (Win)
Thursday, Sept. 15
LSU (-3 ½) 19, Mississippi State 6 (Win)
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Monday, Sept. 19
50 Units…Giants (-7) 28, Rams 16 (Win)
Sunday Sept. 18
50 Units…Cowboys (-3) 27, 49ers 25 (Push)
Saturday, Sept. 17
50 Units…Kansas State (-17 ½) 37, Kent State 0 (Win)
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Chance To Cover
Games Rated 50, 100 And 200 Units

Sunday, Sept. 18
Unlimited…Lions (-7 ½) 48, Chiefs 3 (Win)
Saturday, Sept. 17
Unlimited…Nevada (-6) 17, San Jose State 14 (Lose)
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Saturday, Sept. 17
25 Units…Tennessee (+9 ½) or +10) 23, Florida 33 (Loss/Push)
25 Units…Michigan State (+5) 13, Notre Dame 31 (Lose)
25 Units…Oklahoma (-3) 23, Florida State 13 (Win)
25 Units…Miami (-2 ½) 24, Ohio State 6 (Win)

From Where Did Georgia Tech Come

Georgia Tech (3-0 SU, ATS) has run a ground-oriented option attack during coach Paul Johnson's 3-year tenure, and it still does, but it has added a passing game that has permitted the Yellow Jackets to have their way with I-AA Western Carolina, 63-21, Middle Tennessee, 49-21, as a 12-point favorite in Murfreesboro, and last week with Kansas, burying the Jayhawks, 66-24, as a 14 ½-point home favorite.

There is simply no stopping these guys who are averaging an NCAA-best 675.3 yards per game, with 427 of it coming on the ground and an additional 247.7 yards in the air. Tech is averaging 10.34 yards per play (also an NCAA best) and is converting 24-of-34 first downs (70.69%), also an NCAA best. Oh, yes, Tech also leads the nation in scoring, averaging 59.3 points per game.
Georgia Tech will entertain North Carolina Saturday and is currently a 6-point favorite, a seemingly modest number but what do I know.

It is early in the season but is Georgia Tech Boise State on steroids, figuratively speaking, of course

No Action Baylor-Stephen F. Austin

The weather claimed another betting victim Saturday night when Baylor (-30) crushed I-AA Stephen F. Austin, 48-0, in a game shortened to 54 minutes (both second half quarters were just 12 minutes) by rain, lightning and wind. Betting rules state a football game must go 55 minutes to become official for betting purposes.

This is the third time this season this has happened. On the opening week of the season a violent storm with heavy rain and lightning forced officials to call the Western Michigan at Michigan game with 1:27 left in the third period with the Wolverines (-14) leading 34-10. The following day, the Marshall at West Virginia game was called because of extreme weather conditions (lightning) with 14:36 left in the fourth quarter and with WVU (-21 ½) leading, 31-13.

Kelso's College Top 15

My College Top 10 has been expanded to my Top 15 because of the difficult task of actually getting past seventh ranked Oklahoma State. Also of note, after three weeks of play I am updating my college and NFL power ratings for the first time and you will find many changes, some drastic. The new ratings will be available Tuesday morning.

  1. Texas A&;M…(2-0)…Hosts Oklahoma State…Gets the acid test in this one.
  2. LSU (3-0)…At West Virginia…Has talent, power, speed to go the distance.
  3. Wisconsin…(3-0)…Hosts South Dakota…Absolutely loaded and will contend for BCS title.
  4. Oklahoma...(2-0)…Hosts Missouri…Made its case with 23-13 win at Florida State.
  5. Boise State…(2-0)…Hosts Tulsa…Loaded and can run the table.
  6. Alabama (3-0)...Hosts Arkansas…Will get tested this week by Arkansas offense.
  7. Oklahoma State…2-0…At Texas A&;M…We will get the absolute truth Saturday.
  8. Oregon (2-1)…At Arizona…Opening loss 40-27 loss to LSU was wake-up call.
  9. Virginia Tech…(3-0)…At Marshall…The talent is there to get it done.
  10. Stanford…3-0)…Off this week.
  11. South Florida…(3-0)…Hosts Texas-El Paso…Might be best team in Florida.
  12. Florida State…(2-1)…At Clemson…This one will reveal the truth.
  13. Arkansas…(3-0)…At Alabama…Gets the acid test in Tuscaloosa.
  14. Clemson…3-0)…Hosts Florida State…Showdown time for Clemson.
  15. Nebraska…(3-0)…At Wyoming…Acid test next week at Wisconsin.




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