Submitted by Jim Hurley on Saturday, October 8, 2011 at 10:02 AM
In case you were wondering, there are 13 FBS schools still without a loss this 2011 season that are in action on this second Saturday in October - and there could be as many as 12 of 'em that exit the day/night still without a loss.
But something's gotta give in the Oklahoma vs. Texas showdown that pits two unbeaten teams - yes, it's just like the good old days in this year's version of the Red River Rivalry.
The 4-0 Oklahoma Sooners have rung up 170 points thus far in season-starting wins against Tulsa, Florida State, Missouri and Ball State but note you have to go all the way back to the 2003 season to discover the last time Oklahoma put on 40-plus points against the Texas Longhorns (see OU 65, UT 13).
On the flip side, the 4-and-0 'Horns have surrendered just 59 total points this year en route to season-starting victories against Rice, BYU, UCLA and Iowa State (that's a per-game yield of only 14.75 points a game) and it should be pointed out that the last time Texas held the Boomer Sooners to 15 points or less was just two years ago (see UT 16, OU 13).
What's more likely gonna happen here ... some sort of Oklahoma offensive explosion or some sort of major-league defensive stand by born-again Texas?
We'll dig further into College Football's biggest marquee matchup in the land in just a moment plus we'll get you insights into the games being played by #1 LSU, #2 Alabama and much more in just a moment but first this key reminder:
Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers will be winning big-time this College Football weekend starting with tonight's tilt between Boise State at Fresno State (it's on ESPN at 9 p.m. ET) plus there's a load of NFL Week #5 games too along with the aforementioned MLB Playoffs including the NLDS series that go to a Game #5 between Arizona at Milwaukee and St. Louis at Philadelphia. It's gonna be a slam-bang profitable month ahead for America's #1 Handicapper and a really great ride right through Super Bowl XLVI in early February. Just remember to call our toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 or else go online right here for the NFL, NCAA Football and MLB winners!
Now, here's a little look at how College Betting Favorites have fared on a week-by-week basis this 2011 season:
|Week #||FAVS VS SPREAD|
|#1||19-19-0 (2 no plays)|
|#3||24-23-0 (1 Pick 'Em)|
|#4||22-24-0 (1 Pick 'Em)|
|#5||16-35-1 (1 Pick 'Em)|
|Total||105-122-1 (3 Pick 'Ems and 2 No Plays)|
Note: College Football Betting Favorites are winning at a .462 winning rate thus far this 2011. That's it!
THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL SATURDAY PREVIEWS
Now, let's check out Saturday's top NCAA Football games with Spread Notes included in the mix ...
#3 OKLAHOMA (4-0) vs. #11 TEXAS (4-0) (at Dallas) - 12 p.m. ET, ABC
No question about it: When and if the Oklahoma Sooners and Texas Longhorns have been true contenders for the national championship in recent years, this has been a major hurdle game - a gotta-have-it-game, if you will.
Simply put, lose here and you can pretty much forget about any plans of hoisting the shiny national champion trophy in early January but no need to pile on any more pressure to either side here in this year's Red River Rivalry Game ... what's it gonna take to win here?
For starters, 10-point favorite Oklahoma needs QB Landry Jones (1,447 yards passing with 10 TDs and 5 INTs) to establish the short-to-intermediate part of the field so that his occasional long-ball tosses to WR Ryan Broyles (38 catches and 6 TDs) will be successful while the 'Horns must win time of possession here with freshman RB Malcolm Brown (327 yards rushing and a 4.9 yards-per-carry average) getting 25-or-more touches.
Looking for a"wild card" to determine this battle deep in the heart o'Texas?
Than check out the final couple of minutes prior to halftime: Oklahoma head coach Bob Stoops has gotten daring right before intermission in some of these recent games and it's paid off while Texas boss-man Mack Brown often has gone conservative and it's cost him - plus watch out for the Oklahoma special teams who've been known to block a punt or two in this rivalry game.
Spread Notes - Oklahoma has banged out pointspread"W's" in three of its first four games this season but did you know the Sooners are a dead-even but vig-losing 14-14 ATS (against the spread) as betting favorites since the start of the 2009 season? Note that Oklahoma's just 1-4-1 versus the vig in its last five head-to-head showdowns with the Longhorns. Meanwhile, Texas has notched pointspread wins in three of its first four games this season and the Longhorns are a collective 7-6 ATS as underdog sides the past 10 years.
#17 FLORIDA (4-1) at #1 LSU (5-0) - 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS
Isn't this how things usually work? The LSU Tigers now have two quarterbacks they can count on - backup-turned-starter Jarrett Lee (793 yards passing with 7 TDs and 1 INT) has been a godsend for the Bayou Bengals and last week once-suspended Jordan Jefferson made his return in that 35-7 non-cover win against Kentucky and all he did was score a touchdown on his first play back on a fourth-and-goal dive.
Meanwhile, the truth is the Florida Gators don't really have any quarterbacks they can count on as original starter John Brantley suffered a right leg injury in last Saturday's 38-10 loss against Alabama and so it's wet-behind-the-ears freshman slinger Jeff Driskel who gets the nod here and you can expect plenty of hand-holding sessions on the sideline with Florida offensive coordinator Charlie Weis.
C'mon, kid, it's only the LSU defense you're facing here (one that's allowed an average of 9.2 points a game since that season-opening 40-27 win against Oregon) - let's see what hell Tigers' CB Tyrann Mathieu can raise here!
Spread Notes - LSU is just 1-4-1 against the odds in its last half-dozen head-to-head showdowns against Florida and that includes last year's high-wire act 33-29 win as 6 ½-point road underdogs in Gainesville. On the flip side, Florida is 4-1 vig-wise to start off the Will Muschamp Era but the Gators are a collective 7-11-1 spreadwise in all SEC games since the start of the 2009 season.
VANDERBILT (3-1) at #2 ALABAMA (5-0) - 7 p.m. ET, ESPNU
The beat goes on for the 'Bama Crimson Tide who now have won 41 of the last 46 games played SU (straight-up) in the Nick Saban Era but do keep in mind here that these SEC teams have not played one another since the 2007 season (the very year Saban arrived on the job in Tuscaloosa) when Alabama struck up a 24-10 win/cover as 3 ½-point away favorites.
If the Tide is gonna roll as near 30-point betting favs here than RB Trent Richardson (622 yards rushing and 10 TDs) - who earlier this week entered our exclusive Jim Sez Heisman Trophy Watch list - must batter the 'Dores up the gut and did you realize that the Crimson Tide is averaging a haughty 6.0 yards a carry this year?
Spread Notes - Alabama has covered four of its first five tilts this 2011 season and did you know that the Crimson Tide is a tidy 8-2 ATS as double-digit betting favorites since the start of last year? Vanderbilt enters this conference hoot having covered three of its first four games this year and that's saying something after last year's Commodores finished the campaign on an ugly eight-game ATS losing streak ... remember?
#15 AUBURN (4-1) at #10 ARKANSAS (4-1) - 7 p.m. ET, ESPN
Might this 2011 season be more amazing thus far than all of the 2010 national championship season was for the Auburn Tigers?
After all, Gene Chizik's gang already has staged a major comeback to beat Utah State on opening weekend plus there's been rather shocking SEC wins against both 5-point fav Miss State and 10 ½-point favorite South Carolina - and now the Tigers must face the league's top-ranked offense and one that boasts red-hot QB Tyler Wilson who threw for a school-record 510 yards in last Saturday's come-from-way-behind 42-38 win against Texas A&M.
Spread Notes - Pig sooey! Arkansas is 12-4-1 versus the vig whenever in the chalk role while dating back to the start of the 2009 season and that already includes winners this year against 42-point pup Missouri State and 37 ½-point dog New Mexico. Note that Auburn is 12-6 ATS overall since the start of last year and"War Eagle" has covered seven of its last 10 games when placed in the underdog role.
OHIO STATE (3-2) at #14 NEBRASKA (4-1) - 8 p.m. ET, ABC
Guess much of the country found out last weekend what we suspected all along - neither the Ohio State Buckeyes nor the Nebraska Cornhuskers are quite as good as advertised!
The 'Eyes played miserably in their 10-7 home loss to 3-point pup Michigan State as starting QB Braxton Miller (5-of-10 passing for 56 yards with an INT) was lost behind an offensive line that never gave 'em much of a chance while the 'Huskers were hurting in last Saturday's 48-17 loss at 10-point fav Wisconsin as Bo Pelini's once-proud defense surrendered 486 yards and oft-erratic Nebraska QB Taylor Martinez was picked off three times - now maybe Brent and Herbie will entertain you here in case this one gets ugly!
Spread Notes - Nebraska has staggered out of the pointspread starting gate with a sloppy 1-4 ATS mark and did you know the Cornhuskers are a shabby 2-8-1 ATS at home while dating back to late in the 2009 season? Yuck! Meanwhile, Ohio State may be just 2-3 vig-wise this year but the Buckeyes are 21-8-1 against the odds overall since the start of '09 and that's a spiffy .724 winning rate.
NOTE: Get our NFL Week #5 Key Sunday Previews - that's including Philadelphia at Buffalo and the New York Jets at New England -- in tomorrow's jam-packed edition of Jim Sez.