Submitted by Jim Hurley on Friday, November 18, 2011 at 9:59 AM
There's a saying that's been made quite famous in/around the New York City area and it goes like this:
Same Old Jets.
Well, the Big Apple folks who root for the green-and-white are saying it today over and over again after the New York Jets (5-5) lost 17-13 at 6-point home underdog Denver on Thursday night.
Hey, nobody needs to rant about Jets QB Mark Sanchez and his latest "pick six" but here's the real story, if you wish to know the truth:
The Jets' defense - yes, the one that very much held Broncos QB Tim Tebow and Company in check for 55 minutes of this prime-time game - melted down big-time while allowing a 12-play, 95-yard touchdown drive capped by Tebow's wild 20-yard touchdown run and let's just say this ain't the first time Rex Ryan's "great" defense flopped when the game was on the line.
Think the Tebow-led offense is boring now, CB Darrell Revis? Heck, you looked like you didn't even want to tackle Tebow on one of his sideline runs and to think the Jets would yield a TD drive that started in the shadow of Denver's own end zone may be all you need to know about the NYJ stop unit when the chips are down - no excuses about a short week plus travel.
Nobody wants to hear it. Same Old Jets.
THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL REPORT
Is this whole BCS Championship Game a fait accompli? In short, are folks all getting worked up about such things as we presented in our earlier-week Jim Sez where we presented a million different possibilities for this year's BCS title game - and might this simply be #1 LSU versus #2 Oklahoma State when all the dust settles in early December?
One word for that ... you-never-know! Now, let's check out some of the top NCAA Football games with Spread Notes included in the mix (note that all rankings below reflect the current BCS Standings) and we begin with a quick look at tonight's Big 12 game:
#2 OKLAHOMA STATE (10-0, 7-0 Big 12) at IOWA STATE (5-4, 2-4 Big 12) - 8 p.m. ET, espn2
Just when do the Oklahoma State Cowboys allow their 2011 opponents to "cry uncle"? Check out the game-by-game results and you see that the 'Boys have won five games by 25-or-more points en route to this perfect start and now Mike Gundy's club must not yet think about that regular-season finale at home versus Oklahoma 'cause this game comes first-and-foremost.
Quarterback Brandon Weeden - the best 28-year-old college slinger in the land - enters this clash having thrown for 3,635 yards with 31 TDs and 9 INTs and tell us right now whether WR Justin Blackmon (93 receptions and 14 TDs) is a stat-sheet stuffer and we'll tell you whether Okie State covers this near-four-TD pointspread.
Spread Notes - Oklahoma State's covered eight of its first 10 games this season and the Cowboys are 12-3 ATS (against the spread) in their last 15 conference affairs. Iowa State has failed to cover three of its last four head-to-head battles with O-State including a 34-8 home loss as 7 ½-point pups back in 2009.
On Saturday, it's ...
USC (8-2, 5-2 Pac-12) at #4 OREGON (9-1, 7-0 Pac-12) - 8 p.m. ET, ABC regional, espn3
Quack, quack! The Oregon Ducks - who started out this year at #3 in the preseason Associates Press Top 25 - have climbed all the way back up the BCS charts and here they are with probably three games remaining (that would include the first-ever Pac-12 game on Friday, Dec. 2nd) and very much alive for an encore appearance in the BCS Championship Game providing either LSU or Oklahoma State loses a game.
Here the Ducks are a better-than-two-TD betting favorite against USC and head coach Chip Kelly's home-standing club looks to born-again RB LaMichael James (three rushing TDs in last weekend's electric 53-30 win at Stanford) and QB Darron Thomas (3 TD passes against the Cardinal) to lead the charges and let's see how the Oregon defense holds up against red-hot USC slinger Matt Barkley who has thrown 19 TDs and only 3 picks the past six weeks when the Troy Boys were busy going 5-1 SU (straight-up).
Spread Notes - Oregon has notched spread wins in six of its last nine games when laying twin-figure prices and the Ducks are a collective 6-2 ATS in conference action dating back to late last year. On the flip side, USC is 4-0-1 vig-wise in its last handful of games this year and the Trojans are 9-6-1 ATS as dogs since 2001.
#5 OKLAHOMA (8-1, 5-1 Big 12) at #22 BAYLOR (6-3, 3-3 Big 12) - 8 p.m. ET, ABC regional, espn3
Go ahead and admit it ... you thought the Oklahoma Sooners were cooked in terms of this year's BCS Championship Game when they were beaten 41-38 by 29-point pup Texas Tech but now here's Bob Stoops' crew really in control of their own fate:
Wins here, against Iowa State next weekend and then at #2 Oklahoma State on Dec. 3rd should get the Sooners as high as #2 in the BCS Standings - and keep in mind there's no Big 12 Championship Game anymore - but also there's no WR Ryan Broyles here for Oklahoma as the NCAA's career receptions leader is gone for the year with a torn left ACL. Look for QB Landry Jones (3,349 yards passing with 28 TDs) to zoom in on WR Kenny Stills who has 41 catches and 8 TDs this year.
Baylor's best shot at landing the upset against 15 ½-point fav Oklahoma?
What else but have do-it-all QB Robert Griffin III (3,093 yards passing and 478 yards passing with a combined 34 TDs) take over this game when he can. Hey, did you know Oklahoma's 20-and-oh SU all-time against the Baylor Bears?
Spread Notes - Oklahoma enters this Big 12 clash with a spiffy 35-18-1 ATS log in all league games since the start of the 2005 campaign (that's a .661 winning rate) while Baylor is a rotten 2-8 vig-wise as underdog sides since the start of 2010.
MISS STATE (5-5, 1-5 SEC) at #6 ARKANSAS (9-1, 5-1 SEC) - (at Little Rock) 3:30 p.m. ET, CBS
Don't bother trying to come up with all the ways Arkansas can get a shot at this year's national championship - it could happen as long as everything breaks right for Bobby Petrino's team that ranks 12th in scoring (38.8 ppg) and has a passing game that ranks 11th in the land (averaging 323 ypg).
If QB Tyler Wilson (2,850 yards passing with 18 TDs and 5 INTs) makes solid red-zone decisions - something he's getting better at - than the Hogs should cover this 13-point price.
Spread Notes - Arkansas has split its six SEC spread verdicts so far this season but did you realize the Razorbacks are a tasty 15-7 ATS in conference play since the start of the 2009 campaign? Meanwhile, Miss State's notched four consecutive spread wins this year and the Bulldogs are just now a dead-even and vig-losing 5-5 against the odds on the year.
#1 LSU (10-0. 6-0 SEC) at OLE MISS (2-8, 0-6) - 7 p.m. ET, ESPN, espn3
Here's what the LSU Tigers have done away from Baton Rouge this year ... won versus Oregon (in the Cowboys Classic in Arlington), won at Miss State, won at West Virginia, won at Tennessee and won at Alabama.
So you don't possibly believe that Les Miles' crew is shaking in its high-tops here now for this trip to Oxford, now do you?
The Tigers are a 30 ½-point betting fav at press time and the ground game that churned out 291 rushing yards in last week's 42-9 non-cover win against Western Kentucky should get plenty of action and how about a shout-out to RB Alfred Blue who ran for 119 yards on 9 carries last weekend?
Spread Notes - LSU has covered seven of its first 10 games this 2011 season and the Bayou Bengals are 6-0 spreadwise away dating back to last year's 41-24 Cotton Bowl win against 2-point pup Texas A&M. Note that LSU's a crummy 2-8 versus the vig in its last 10 head-to-head showdowns with Ole Miss. Note the Rebels stagger into this conference clash having failed to cover their last three consecutive spread results and they are 3-7 ATS overall this season (and 7-14 ATS overall since the start of last year).
Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers will win big-time all week and weekend long as we zoom deeper into the month of November with NFL Week #11 play plus along with NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball. Remember that Jim Hurley's darted right out of the 2011-12 College basketball starting gate with a sizzling 13-6 start that included with Idaho (+9) over Montana 52-57 and USC (+6.5) vs. San Diego State 54-56 Thursday night. Hey, there's lots more hoop winners, so get 'em each/every day. Make sure you're all aboard for all the football action right through Super Bowl XLVI on February 5th - and all the College B-Ball winners through next March. Just remember to call our toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 or go online right here online for the NFL, NCAA Football and NCAA Basketball Winners!
COLLEGE BASKETBALL NEWS/NOTES
Want to track what figures to be a really fun team in NCAA hoops this year?
Then check out the Michigan Wolverines (3-0) who banged out a 59-55 home win against Western Illinois on Thursday night - okay, so maybe that won't exactly qualify as Michigan's toughest opponent on this 2011-12 sked but head coach John Beilein has some top-shelf talent on board including Tim Hardaway, Jr. who finished off the Leathernecks with 16 points for the nation's 17th-rankled squad.
The Wolves are never mentioned in the same basketball breath with archrival Ohio State but do not be stunned when/if Michigan winds up in the Top 10 sooner rather than later and it's possible Hardaway could be first- or second-team All-America material providing the aforementioned Beilein turns 'em loose sometimes.
A major test for Michigan comes next week when the maize-and-blue head to the 50th state for this year's Maui Invitational - a first-round game against #10 Memphis is up first there and a potential Round 2 game versus Duke would be sweet.
NOTE: Get our NFL Week #11 Key Sunday Previews - that's including Cincinnati at Baltimore -- in tomorrow's jam-packed edition of Jim Sez.