Submitted by Kelso Sturgeon on Monday, November 21, 2011 at 9:26 AM
A special round of applause and a big, thank you, for the Buffalo Bills who lived down to all expectations and permitted me to win my 100-unit AFC Game of the Year with the Miami Dolphins who crushed them 35-8. This is the first time in memory that a win in a 100-unit play came because of a bet against a team and not a bet on a team.
Yes, I liked the way Miami has been playing and using them was not a bet one the Dolphins but a bet against A Buffalo team that opened the season 4-1, including wins over New England and the Philadelphia Eagles, and then fell off the edge of the world because of injuries.
Those who did their homework on Sunday's Miami-Buffalo game were made aware of the fact the Bills would be starting 11 back-up players, none of which had more than five career NFL starts. Teams break down in their effectiveness to win in direction relationship to how many starters would not play-and Buffalo proved that.
The Bills arrived in Miami off back-to-back wins in which their offense was in the early stages of rigor mortis, having lost to the New York Jets, 27-11, and to the Dallas Cowboys, 44-7. This was a team that in its first three games, all wins, had averaged 37.7 points and in its first 30.1. Then an average of 9.0 points in their last two outings. Injuries will do that to you.
It is of note the game's statistical data told the story of 11 back-ups starting. Buffalo scored its eight points on two field goals and a safety and was 0-for-12 on third down conversions, 0-2 on fourth down conversions and 0-4 in the red zone.
Sometimes a bet against a team makes sense, even in a 100-unit game.
LSU 13-Point Favorite Over Arkansas In Big One
It most certainly was a wild weekend in college football, with three of the nation's Top 5 teams-Oklahoma State, Oklahoma and Oregon-losing straight up. And we cannot forget number 7 Clemson also bit the dust. Needless to say, losses by these three giants of NCAA I-A football had the folks scrambling who run the Bowl Championship Series that decides the national championship.
When the dust settled the BCS Old Boys Club decided the top five teams in the country and thus the strongest candidates to play for all the marbles where, in order, LSU (11-0), Alabama (10-1), Arkansas (10-1), Oklahoma State (10-1) and Virginia Tech (10-1). The top three are all from the Southeastern Conference which has seen its teams win the last five national championships.
Favorites to meet in the championship game in New Orleans on January 9 are LSU and Alabama in a rematch game. The teams met November 5 in Tuscaloosa and LSU, as a 5 ½-point underdog, won straight up 9-6 in a classic defensive battle.
This Saturday, LSU closes out its regular season Friday at home against number three-ranked Arkansas and is a 13-point favorite to head into the SEC championship game December 3 against Georgia standing a perfect 12-0. Alabama is at Auburn this week and is a 21-point favorite to end its regular season 11-1.
LSU won the national championship in 2009 with a 37-21 win over Texas while LSU won the title in 2007 with a 38-24 over Ohio State.
Tonight's Betting Menu
25-Unit Knockout Play On Chiefs At Patriots Tonight On ESPN
I won my 100-unit AFC Game of the Year yesterday as the Miami Dolphins (-3) buried the Buffalo Bills, 35-8, and then put the icing on the cake with a 75-unit Syndicate Club play with the Chicago Bears (-4) with their 31-20 victory over the San Diego Chargers. Big game winners in the NFL ruled the day and it all continues tonight. The New England Patriots (6-3) host the Kansas City Chiefs (4-5) in this week's Monday night NFL game and the number on this one is both challenging and beatable. The big money showed on New England late Sunday and pushed the number out to the Patriots -16 ½ and solidified my opinion on this one. Get all the cash in this one for just $25, charged to your major credit card. It is available on this website and toll free at 1-800-755-2255.
50-Unit College Basketball Blowout Crushes Number Tonight
It was another winning day in college basketball Sunday as my Chairman's Club remained unbeaten, winning its 5th straight game since it opened for business as Lehigh (-6) buried eastern Kentucky, 76-51. And my Best Bets Club went 1-1 and put another profitable day in the bank as Saint Louis (-5) crushed Washington, 77-64, as a 10-unit play while I lost a 5-unit bet on UAB. The winning moves to a higher level tonight as I release another 50-unit blowout winner and when I say blowout I mean just that. I am looking for this modest favorite to win by at least 10 points above the number and you can get it for just $50, charged to your major credit card. It is available on this website and toll free at 1-800-755-2255.
Nationally Televised Georgetown-Kansas Top 3-0 College Basketball Night...$15
The Monday college basketball schedule is outstanding and loaded with opportunities for bettors to make a major score and I intend to do just that by going 3-0 tonight with my top play of 10 units being released on the nationally televised (ESPN2) Georgetown-Kansas game from the Maui Invitational in Hawaii. Get this giant showdown winner, plus two other college best bets, for just $15, charged to your major credit card. All three games available on this website and toll free at 1-800-755-2255.
Kansas State's Snyder Football Genius
There certainly were some stunning upsets in college football this past week but the most remarkable of all was Kansas State's 17-13 win over Texas in Austin. For the record on my Friday College of Advanced Sports Handicapping video I gave Kansas State away as a free winner-and said without hesitation the Wildcats would beat Texas straight up.
It is of note the week before I told my Friday video viewers underdog Oregon would beat Stanford straight up and the Ducks did, 53-30. The week before that my free video game of the week was underdog LSU over Alabama and in that one I also predicted LSU would win straight up.
It pays to watch the videos.
Now, back to Kansas State.
Head coach Bill Snyder who is doing his second stint at Kansas State is an absolute genius and designs a game plan that gives his team its best chance to win, regardless of the opponent. There is a reason why the Wildcats have lost only to Oklahoma, 58-17, and to Oklahoma State, 52-45.
In their last eight games, the Wildcats have been an underdog in seven of them and as an underdog have beaten Miami, Baylor, Missouri, Texas Tech, Texas A&M and Texas.
Snyder's game plans are several planes above even the best coaches in the country-a fact that is reflected in the statistical data from the Texas win.
In that game, Kansas State had a total of eight first downs and just 121 yards of total offense while the Longhorns had 15 first downs and 310 yards of offense, yet the Wildcats opened up a 17-3 lead and held on for the victory.
If one analyzes this game, Snyder played a classic field position game, using a bend-but-don't break defense and great punting by Ryan Doerr whose 10 punts for a total of 427 yards (an average of 42.7 yards) kept Texas penned for most of the game, forcing them to repeated start from poor field position.