Vegas Sports Masters Blog

Network Notebook: MLB Check-up During the Break

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Wednesday, July 18, 2018 at 7:00 AM

The annual Major League Baseball All-Star break is a time for reflection and preparation. Let’s take a quick look at a couple of our favorite ways of measuring performance.First, we look at the big picture. Here’s how each of the six divisions has performed this season based on games above or below .500.AL West: plus 47NL Central: plus 20 (plus 22 vs. AL Central)AL East: plus 19NL West: plus 8NL East: minus 11AL Central: minus 83The American League Central is so bad, that it’s helped three other divisions seem better than they are (the other two AL divisions, plus the…

AL Grabs All-Star Win For 6th Straight Year

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Wednesday, July 18, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE MLB ALL-STAR GAME:LONG BALLS THE STORY OF THE NIGHTIN AL’S 8-6 EXTRA-INNING WIN …THE MACHADO-TO-DODGERS TRADE …PLUS COLLEGE FOOTBALL UP-TO-DATEODDS TO WIN IT ALL Talk about a game of Power Ball!The American League’s slug-it-out 8-6 win against the National League last night in Washington in the 89th edition of the Major-League Baseball All-Star Game featured 10 home runs – an All-Star record (of course) -- and some 25 strikeouts and so afterwards everyone naturally was sounding off about how this clash “typified” the 2018 season with lots of dingers and K’s and not much in between.Sure, the “experts” were correct…

Richie Baccellieri: Sharps Successful in MLB First Half

Tuesday, July 17, 2018 at 4:00 PM

The All-Star Break is when the media recaps the first half of the baseball season to get you ready for the second half. I should do the same from a sharp perspective, talking about how the Wise Guys have performed so far this season.I’d have to say, there are a lot of smiling faces out there. Sharps have done well, generally beating the market to new developments. The most recent was probably betting on the Cincinnati Reds more than anyone expected just as the team caught fire. Pro bettors, who focus on personnel rather than trends and angles as a…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Post All-Star Break Handicapping

Tuesday, July 17, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Now that the Major League Baseball All-Star Break has arrived, you have a few days to gather your senses and gear up for the final 2.5 months of the season. Today’s coursework will help you get in the right mindset for picking winners.In recent seasons, it’s become very important to fully understand THE MOTIVATION FACTOR at the team level. The main reasons for that are:*Some teams who coasted through the first half of the season kick up their intensity in the second half. This is particularly true for playoff caliber teams who had no reason to be “the champions” of…

Baseball’s All-Star Game Break is Here; What Teams will Shine in 2nd Half?

Sunday, July 15, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE ALL-STAR BREAK UPDATE:WILL THE FIRST-PLACE TEAMS HANG ON? … IT’S THE SHORT-BUT-SWEET ALL-STAR GAME TRIVIA TESTAhhh, the annual Major-League Baseball All-Star Game arrives Tuesday night in the nation’s capital with most of the sport’s 30 teams fast approaching the 100-game mark – but the $64,000 question here is will the teams that currently occupy first place in their respective divisions be the same ones who are sitting on top at the end of this 162-game schedule?Folks, we’re not gonna be a bit shy about revealing / sharing our thoughts on that matter and so get ready for our fast-paced…

The All Star Break MLB Report Card

Saturday, July 14, 2018 at 12:00 AM

HERE'S OUR JIM SEZ ALL STAR BREAK REPORT CARD GRADESThe Major-League Baseball All-Star Game is right around the bend - it's here on Tuesday night from Washington D.C. (you might have heard!) - and so that means it's time for our annual Jim Sez Report Card Grades for the unofficial first half of this 2018 season.THE NATIONAL LEAGUE REPORT CARD GRADESGrade: A+MILWAUKEE (55-39) - The Brew Crew has yet to take its foot off the gas pedal this year while staying just above the archrival Chicago Cubs in the NL Central race for first place. You can thank manager Craig…

Richie Baccellieri: Sharpest MLB Moves Tied to Personnel

Friday, July 13, 2018 at 4:00 PM

Whenever there’s a big line move in baseball, you’ll hear pundits or your buddies trying to guess what caused it. They’ll often point to trends or angles, or some kind of intangible like “revenge” or a “bounce back” spot.The fact is, sharps (professional wagerers) almost never bet based on those things. Many don’t believe in trends because it’s easy to dig through data and find stuff that sounds important but doesn’t really mean anything. They think emotional factors are overrated in pro sports (particularly baseball!). If there’s a line move, it’s usually because of a personnel change.And, I’m not talking…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Preparing for the NFL Season

Friday, July 13, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Last week at this time, we talked about doing initial preparations for the coming college football season. Today’s coursework in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping will focus on getting ready for the NFL. Did you realize that the Hall of Fame game is less than a month away?!I’ll give you some initial help today. Several teams will have new starting quarterbacks in 2018. You need to start THERE before you do anything else. Some offenses will be better, some worse, just by the nature of the change they’ve made at this position.Here’s a quick list of new…

Our NL Report Card Grades Are Here!

Friday, July 13, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  HERE’S OUR JIM SEZNATIONAL LEAGUE REPORT CARD GRADES The Major-League Baseball All-Star Game is right around the bend – it’s here on Tuesday night from Washington D.C. (you might have heard!) – and so that means it’s time for our annual Jim Sez Report Card Grades for the unofficial first half of this 2018 season.We’ll get things jump-started today with the National League grades and we’ll clue you in on the American League in our next column space, so don’t dare miss out! But first things first and so here’s an important reminder …Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers…

MLB Second-Half Surges? Plus NFL Team Reports Include the Eagles

Thursday, July 12, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 THE BASEBALL REPORT:CAN WE EXPECT ANY SECOND-HALF-OF-THE-SEASONSURGES FROM TEAMS BACK IN THE PACK? …OUR FINAL NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM ACCOUNT:IT’S THE BENGALS AND THE SB CHAMPION EAGLES Check out the Major-League Baseball standings today and you’ll see everyone’s played 90-plus games – and if you ask a whole bunch of folks they’ll be quick to tell you that the American League’s playoff spots are practically sealed up already while the National League already has dismissed a half-dozen or so teams from its post-season chase.But right here / right now our question is what teams we might expect to experience a “second-half surge” –…

Our NL Report Card Grades Are In!

Thursday, July 12, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  HERE’S OUR JIM SEZNATIONAL LEAGUE REPORT CARD GRADES The Major-League Baseball All-Star Game is right around the bend – it’s here on Tuesday night from Washington D.C. (you might have heard!) – and so that means it’s time for our annual Jim Sez Report Card Grades for the unofficial first half of this 2018 season.We’ll get things jump-started today with the National League grades and we’ll clue you in on the American League in our next column space, so don’t dare miss out! But first things first and so here’s an important reminder …Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers…

Network Notebook: Evaluating Starting Pitchers

Wednesday, July 11, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Handicapping baseball gets more and more complicated every season. The game is changing so much on the fly that old school approaches can turn irrelevant very quickly. Did you used to focus on starting pitchers who would reliably go seven or eight innings? Few do that any more! Did you like offenses who tried to string together hits rather than patiently waiting for a dinger? Same thing.*Starting pitchers only go 5-6 innings*Middle relievers are now CRUCIAL instead of irrelevant*Defensive shifts are curtailing some hitting stats*We're back to a "dead ball" era relative to the past 1.5 seasons*Some teams are actively…

MLB Projected Wins for Cubs, Halos and Nats Plus NFL Too

Tuesday, July 10, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE MID-WEEK BASEBALL REPORT - TIME TO TALK "OVER" WINS TOTALS ...NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM GOODIES: IT'S THE JAGS, BUCS & SEAHAWKSOkay, so we're actually beyond the halfway point of this here-and-now 2018 Major-League Baseball season and so we'll take some time to digest a few of the "over" wins totals with a look at three different teams here ...CHICAGO CUBS (93.5) - The Las Vegas big-wigs attached this "over" wins price to the Cubbies at the start of this season (some of you may had to lay - 130 in the process) and early on it appeared the number was too…

Richie Baccellieri: Beware of “Fool’s Gold” with Big MLB Favorites

Monday, July 9, 2018 at 4:00 PM

We just went through a weekend where some of the best teams in baseball crushed some of the worst teams in baseball. Those blowouts were a square’s dream, but it played to all of their worst instincts about how to bet this sport.Far too many in the general public look to bet big favorites because they think ‘they’re going to kill” the team they’re facing. Then, scores like this make it seem easy.*Washington beat Miami Saturday 18-4, meaning you would have pushed if you were laying two touchdowns!*Arizona did that one run better by beating San Diego 20-5.*AL powers Houston…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Pre-All Star Break Handicapping

Monday, July 9, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Veteran handicappers have a system for betting on or against quality starting pitchers in the days before the All-Star game that has stood the test of time. It won’t work in every single game. But, it generally makes money year-in and year-out.*Fade any starting pitcher in his final appearance before the All-Star game.*Back any prominent starting pitcher having a strong year who was snubbed.We usually talk more about THE MOTIVATION FACTOR in other sports here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping. But, here’s a case where it can be used successfully in baseball.Pitchers named to the All-Star…

Get The Pre-Season FREE

Monday, July 9, 2018 at 11:46 AM

GET THE ENTIRE NFL PRESEASON ABSOLUTELY FREEAND THAT INCLUDES 100-UNIT GAME OF THE YEARIt All Begins In Just 25 Days With Hall Of Fame Game That Matches The Bears And The RavensSign Up Today And Receive Free Baseball Best Bets Everyday Through End Of PreseasonTime To Solve Puzzle Of 7 New NFL Coaches, 12 New Starting Quarterbacks And 23 New College MentorsIt is time to get to work, and it will be work. NFL training camps are about to open with rookies reporting in just 11 days and the veterans arriving a week later. The first of 65 preseason games…

Forget All-Star Snubs, It’s Bosox on Our Minds

Sunday, July 8, 2018 at 12:00 AM

BASEBALL'S ALL-STAR SNUBS? WE CARE WAY MORE ABOUT THE SURGING RED SOX AND THEIR POTENTIAL TRADES THAT MAY LIE STRAIGHT AHEADOUR NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM ACCOUNTS: IT'S THE J-E-T-S AND VIKINGSThe Major-League Baseball world today is all caught up in the matter of All-Star Game snubs … hey, Tampa Bay LHP Blake Snell (he's 12-4 with an American League-leading 2.09 ERA) should have been a lead-pipe cinch for a berth and ditto for Los Angeles SS Andrelton Simmons (although he could get voted in still) along with National Leaguer LHP Kyle Freeland (8-6, 3.18 ERA) of the Colorado Rockies.Then again, there's always…

The Pirates on Wrong End of Another 17 Spot

Saturday, July 7, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE WEEKEND BASEBALL UPDATE –BUCCOS FIND “17” IS NO LUCKY NUMBER …MORE NFL TEAM ACCOUNTS:IT’S THE FALCONS & CHIEFS ON TODAY’S MENUWITH MORE NFL UPDATES NEXT WEEK AT JIM SEZ Go ahead and tell us what are the odds that a Major-League Baseball team is gonna surrender 17 runs in a game twice in one week (and the week’s not even over yet!)?The Pittsburgh Pirates have been on the short end of a 17-1 score (see last Monday at the Los Angeles Dodgers) and a 17-5 score (see Friday night as hosts to the Philadelphia Phillies) and Bucs’ manager Clint Hurdle…

Richie Baccellieri: Biggest MLB Surprises for Sharps in First Half

Friday, July 6, 2018 at 4:00 PM

All Major League teams have played more than 81 games, which means we’re in the second half of the 2018 season. That makes it a good time to review what surprised sharps (professional wagerers) in the first half of the season.The biggest surprise would have to be the number of “second-tier” teams who have made a run at their divisions while earning profits against the betting line. Everyone expected the usual powers to dominate. Washington, the Chicago Cubs, the Los Angeles Dodgers, Boston, the New York Yankees, Cleveland, and Houston were all expected to clear 90 wins. Only the Nats…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: College Football Preparation

Friday, July 6, 2018 at 1:00 AM

Now that July 4 is behind us, it’s time to start getting ready for the upcoming football season. Newsstand publications are on the shelves. Time to make your purchases and dig in and start your research.College Football 2018 is going to provide some interesting opportunities for sports bettors. The mainstream media is already hyper-focused on Alabama, Clemson, Ohio State, and Georgia. I’m sick of hearing about them and it’s only July! Those are the likely Final Four teams based on returning talent and head coaches. That intense media spotlight means other talented teams can stay off the radar a bit…

MLB’s What-to-Watch Weekend Series

Friday, July 6, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE BASEBALL UPDATE –THE WEEKEND’S BEST AS DODGERS-ANGELSHEADLINE THE EARLY JULY ACTION …MORE FOOTBALL TEAM-BY-TEAM REPORTS:IT’S THE RAIDERS & LIONS IN TODAY’S JIM SEZ Here’s some of the weekend’s best series that we’ll be tracking closely right here with the Jim Hurley Network. Make sure you’re on board with all the winners at 1-800-323-4453 or get ‘em online right here at www.jimhurley.com In National League play, it’s …ATLANTA (49-36) at MILWAUKEE (51-35) – This is a four-game set at Miller Park that started Thursday night and take note that the Brewers (27-17 at home entering this set) continue to be a spread-the-wealth…

The 4th of July MLB Stars / Football Too!

Thursday, July 5, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE BASEBALL REPORT: HERE'S THE 4TH OF JULY DIAMOND STARSNFL TEAM NEWS: TODAY WE CHECK OUT THE COLTS, COWBOYS & RAVENSAll hail the "Boys of Summer" for a great day/night of Major-League Baseball action on the 4th of July ... here's to the holiday's biggest heroes:The first pitch in Washington, D.C. happened at 11:05 a.m. ET but it was the host Nationals who didn't get the wake-up call. Boston Red Sox LHP Eduardo Rodriguez (10-3, 3.84 ERA) powered the American League East to a three-game series sweep in the nation's capital by throwing six shutout innings en route to giving…

AFC North Preview by Jim Feist

Thursday, July 5, 2018 at 12:00 AM

AFC North Preview by Jim FeistBaltimore Ravens:  Very marginal the last few years and have a potential QB problem.  Quarterback Joe Flacco has been a subpar performer since winning the Super Bowl a few years ago. Drafting Lamar Jackson will surely put pressure on Joe, if he continues to play like he has the last few years. I think Lamar could be a steal if he gets a chance to show it. You have to get real about this club from what they did last season. The Ravens were 27th in offensive total yards and passing yards. Nothing there will inspire,…

Network Notebook: Which MLB Contenders Thrive vs. Quality?

Wednesday, July 4, 2018 at 10:00 AM

For decades, July 4 has been the date circled on the calendar for MLB teams to evaluate where they stand in the big picture. It’s usually right around the halfway point of the season (teams just scooted past the 81-game mark in recent days). If you’re in first place…you’re a legitimate contender. If you’re off the pace, it’s time to get moving!One of JIM HURLEY’S favorite indicator stats for determining which contenders are likely to hang tough through the full season, and which are likely to fold under pressure, is Won-Lost Records against teams who are .500 or better. These…

4th of July Stars Plus Football Too

Wednesday, July 4, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 THE BASEBALL REPORT:HERE’S THE 4TH OF JULY DIAMOND STARS ….NFL TEAM NEWS:TODAY WE CHECK OUT THE COLTS, COWBOYS & RAVENS All hail the “Boys of Summer” for a great day/night of Major-League Baseball action on the 4th of July … here’s to the holiday’s biggest heroes: The first pitch in Washington, D.C. happened at 11:05 a.m. ET but it was the host Nationals who didn’t get the wake-up call. Boston Red Sox LHP Eduardo Rodriguez (10-3, 3.84 ERA) powered the American League East to a three-game series sweep in the nation’s capital by throwing six shutout innings en route to giving the…

4th of July Plus Football Notes Too

Wednesday, July 4, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE BASEBALL REPORT:HERE’S THE 4TH OF JULY DIAMOND STARS ….NFL TEAM NEWS:TODAY WE CHECK OUT THE COLTS, COWBOYS & RAVENS All hail the “Boys of Summer” for a great day/night of Major-League Baseball action on the 4th of July … here’s to the holiday’s biggest heroes: The first pitch in Washington, D.C. happened at 11:05 a.m. ET but it was the host Nationals who didn’t get the wake-up call. Boston Red Sox LHP Eduardo Rodriguez (10-3, 3.84 ERA) powered the American League East to a three-game series sweep in the nation’s capital by throwing six shutout innings en route to giving the…

The Fourth of July Baseball Lineup

Tuesday, July 3, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 HAPPY 4TH OF JULY!!!HERE’S THE HOLIDAY MENU OFWEDNESDAY’S BEST GAMES ON THE MLB BOARD …OUR NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM ACCOUNTSFEATURES THE DOLPHINS, PANTHERS & RAMS Happy Birthday, U.S.A.!It’s time for America’s Pastime to set off the fireworks – both during and after some big 4th of July games – and so while you’re out there cookin’ up the hot dogs, burgers, etc. we’ll be checking out the action on a busy Major-League Baseball day/night … here’s a sampling of what’s on the holiday menu with a bevy of Interleague games catching our attention (all records below thru Monday’s games): BOSTON (57-29) at WASHINGTON (42-41)…

Richie Baccellieri: LeBron Signs with the Lakers, Electrifying Vegas

Monday, July 2, 2018 at 4:00 PM

If you thought ESPN went overboard Sunday night with its coverage of LeBron James signing with the Los Angeles Lakers, you should have seen the buzz here in Las Vegas when the news was announced. Fans of the team raced to sports books to jump on the bandwagon. Oddsmakers played defense as quickly as they could to avoid overexposure. When the dust had settled, the Lakers were about 7/2 (plus 350) to win the NBA championship next season.Honestly, that’s NUTS! Even if the Lakers do manage to bring in Kawhi Leonard without losing too much talent in return, there’s no…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Braves Impressed Me in St. Louis

Monday, July 2, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Last week I assigned you the task of scouting the Red Sox/Yankees series that was going to get a ton of media coverage over the weekend. While you were doing that, I was watching the Atlanta/St. Louis series because I wanted to see how the Braves would perform on the road against a winning team.I have to admit I’ve been skeptical about Atlanta in recent weeks. Even though they’ve been on top of the NL East most of the season, they weren’t exactly breathing fire of late.*Dropped 2 of 3 to Cincinnati*Dropped 2 of 3 to Baltimore*Split with TorontoYou’re not…

The MLB Report: Price Isn’t Right for Bosox

Monday, July 2, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  BASEBALL NEWS & NOTES:RED SOX TELL YANKEES,SEE ‘YA NEXT MONTH IN BOSTON …NBA FREE AGENCY: LEBRON’S IN LA-LA LAND …NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM ACCOUNTS:IT’S THE BROWNS, PACKERS & BRONCOS If you were hoping for some sit-at-the-edge-of-your-chair baseball excitement this past weekend at Yankee Stadium, you didn’t get it.Three straight blowouts in the much-hyped series between the Boston Red Sox at the New York Yankees – see Yankees 8-1, Red Sox 11-0 and Yanks 11-1 – hardly qualified as captivating baseball but the proverbial bottom line is the series turned out as you might as expected with the host Bombers winning two-of-three and losing…

Richie Baccellieri: Sharps Aren’t Afraid of Action

Friday, June 29, 2018 at 4:00 PM

One of the great misperceptions about professional sports bettors is that they’re very picky about choosing games to bet on. Everybody knows that squares (the general public) usually bet too many games. But, just because sharps (pros) are “opposite” of squares doesn’t mean that sharps don’t bet a lot of games too.Sharps bet every edge they can find! The pickiness comes regarding “big” bets. Sharps invest whenever they believe they have an edge, but they only place really big bets when the size of their edge is at its biggest.Think about it this way. Oddsmakers post opening lines, and the…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Scout the Red Sox and Yankees This Weekend

Friday, June 29, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Usually your homework assignment isn’t something as basic as sitting and watching some baseball. But, I want you to do that this weekend with the Boston Red Sox/New York Yankees series because those teams are both going to be very important through the second half of the regular season and deep into the playoffs.*Obviously, these teams will meet again several more times this season. You might pick up something this weekend that helps you bet winners in later meetings. Be on particular lookout for key pitchers who can’t quite figure out how to disrupt the most dangerous hitting threats on…

Checkin’ Out the AL East -- Not Just Red Sox & Yankees

Friday, June 29, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE JIM SEZ WEEKEND REPORT –RED SOX-YANKEES IS CENTER STAGE THESE DAYSBUT WE WANNA DISH ON THE OTHER AL EAST TEAMS …NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM ACCOUNTS FEATURESTHE TEXANS AND ‘SKINS Surprise, surprise …The Major-League Baseball world has eyes focused on this weekend’s monstrous Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees series in The Bronx but gotta say that – top to bottom – the American League East has been one of the most fascinating divisions in the sport this year.Let’s examine the “other” teams in the AL East: TAMPA BAY (40-41) – No question the Rays have overachieved big-time so far (remember that Tampa…

AFC South Preview by Jim Feist

Thursday, June 28, 2018 at 12:00 AM

The AFC South produced two playoff teams last season with the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Tennessee Titans.  Both clubs actually went a few games deep into the postseason as well.Jaguars: The Jags won the AFC Championship. However, I’m not impressed with either team, from an overall league standpoint. The AFC was not very good last season when you consider both the Colts and the Texans finished 4-12 and played most, if not all of 2017, without their star players. The Jaguars return their entire coaching staff intact for 2018 and that will give them a head start on both the…

Red Sox-Yankees is Weekend Scene-Stealer

Thursday, June 28, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 THE BASEBALL REPORT –RED SOX-YANKEES RENEW “THE RIVALRY” …THE NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM UPDATES:STEELERS, GIANTS & BEARS Time to ask the $64,000 question again …Is the rivalry between the Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees the best in Major-League Baseball?Well, if you’re being totally honest, the 2003 and 2004 seasons – in which Red Sox-Yankees played out in a pair of seven-game American League Championship Series with the Yankees winning it in ’03 and the Sawx in ’04 – were the apex of this rivalry but ever since things have been lukewarm at best.This year the teams have split their first…

NFL Team-by-Team Accounts: Chargers, Saints on Today’s Hit List

Wednesday, June 27, 2018 at 12:00 AM

HERE'S MORE NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM UPDATES: WE BRING YOU THE CHARGERS, BILLS, SAINTS & CARDINALSTHE MLB REPORT: SWING AND A MISS!Okay, so if you're a big believer in National Football League teams "taking advantage" of a weak schedule, then this year's Houston Texans will be the team to watch.The Texans will play six of their 16 regular-season games against teams that won six-or-fewer games in 2017 and they'll be playing five games against teams that sport new head coaches ... no wonder there's lots of "worst-to-first" shirts/bumper stickers/etc. making the rounds in the great city of Houston.But, get this ... The…

Network Notebook: Checking in on Unbalanced Schedules

Tuesday, June 26, 2018 at 7:00 PM

BOSTON, SAN FRANCISCO AMONG TEAMS IN BETTER SHAPE THAN YOU MAY HAVE BEEN THINKINGIt's been awhile since we had a chance to do this. You longtime readers know JIM HURLEY always monitors home/road imbalances in schedules to make sure the standings aren't giving a false read on teams. The stat we invented here in the NOTEBOOK to capsulize that was "Wins Minus Home Games Played."Teams performing well against even or road-heavy schedules will shine in this measure. Teams who are creating illusions from a temporary surplus of home games will be exposed.Let's run through all six MLB divisions for this…

Are Dodgers Repeating Recent History?

Tuesday, June 26, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE BASEBALL NOTEBOOK - ARE DODGERS TURNING BACK THE CLOCK TO 2017?NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM RUNDOWNS: HERE'S THE STEELERS, GIANTS & BEARSJust a thought ... Are the Los Angeles Dodgers (42-35) right now in the midst of another epic run? Remember last year when the Dodgers surged to a 43-7 record during one 50-game stretch that started back on June 7th of 2017.Well, the Dodgers exited a weekend sweep of the New York Mets last year when that 43 wins in a 50-game stretch concluded and on Monday night LA began a 10-game homestand fresh off - guess what - another weekend…

Previewing the NFC South – by Jim Feist

Tuesday, June 26, 2018 at 12:00 AM

Previewing the NFC South – by Jim FeistThis is a power packed division and I would not be shocked if the one of these teams ends up in the Super Bowl and maybe winning it. For me, the best of the lot are the Saints and Falcons, followed not too closely by the Panthers and the Bucs.Let’s look at the QB’s that these teams should start the season with.We start off with the new 150 million dollar man. Yes, the Falcons rewarded Matt Ryan with a new 5-year, 30 million dollar per year contract. Ryan has proven over many years…

NFC East Preview by Jim Feist

Tuesday, June 26, 2018 at 12:00 AM

NFC East Preview by Jim FeistPhiladelphia Eagles: Can they do it again? And can they do it back-to-back? Not something that has been done very often in this division. The defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles will try to get past three teams that may not look great on paper but any of them could surprise. The last team to win the NFC East in consecutive seasons was actually Philadelphia. That was then and this is now. Let’s have a look at what the Eagles will be facing this year, but first let’s look at the Eagles themselves since they are…

Previewing the AFC West – by Jim Feist

Tuesday, June 26, 2018 at 12:00 AM

Previewing the AFC West – by Jim FeistI’ll start breaking down the NFL by division for the 2018 season. Today, I’m starting with the AFC West, one of the most competitive divisions in football.The current odds to win the division are : Oakland Raiders +190, Los Angeles Chargers +225, Kansas City Chiefs +240, Denver Broncos +380I don’t agree with these odds. I have the Chargers and Broncos, co-favorites.Oakland Raiders : The Oakland Raiders have a new head coach in Jon Gruden. He has been out of football for a number of years, so in a way he brings a different…

NFC North Preview by Jim Feist

Tuesday, June 26, 2018 at 12:00 AM

NFC North Preview by Jim FeistMinnesota Vikings: It seemed to me that in 2017 head coach Mike Zimmer did not fully have Case Keenums back at times. Judging by his off season moves, that may have been the case as all of his three QB’s are gone and he has brought in QB Kirk Cousins. Personally, I feel this is an upgrade, but Cousins has not yet done in his career. Keenum was 13-3 last year in the NFL, which is no small feat. Keenum was money for his team and for us bettors. Only time will tell if Zimmer’s…

Richie Baccellieri: Don’t be Square on High MLB Money Lines

Monday, June 25, 2018 at 4:00 PM

Sunday the Houston Astros were laying -370 here in Las Vegas at home against the Kansas City Royals. Get ready to see a lot of high numbers like that throughout the season.*There are several very good teams*There are several very bad teams*Good teams will be expensive at home vs. bad teamsThe first “square” reaction (that of losing bettors) when they see a high price is to say to themselves, “I can’t lay that high a price to win, the only way I can bet it is to lay -1.5 runs on the run line.” As we’ve discussed in the past.…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: What’s Wrong with the Washington Nats?

Monday, June 25, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Sometimes your homework assignment here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping involves big picture themes that cross the full Major Leagues. Sometimes it involves a specific team that’s performing at surprisingly good or bad levels.Today, it’s the latter. Your job is to figure out what the heck is wrong with the Washington Nationals, and whether or not it’s going to continue.The Nats are an important team in the markets because they still get so much respect. I’m seeing some stores still list them as favorites to win the NL in futures prices even though they’re in third…

Let’s Hear it For the Reds -- and All Those Profits!

Sunday, June 24, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 THE BASEBALL REPORT:HEY, THE CINCINNATI REDS AREPROOF POSITIVE THAT EVERYONE & ANYONECAN GET HOT DURING THE COURSE OF A SEASON …THE NFL UPDATE:WE BEGIN OUR NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM ACCOUNTSWITH A LOOK AT THE PATRIOTS, TITANS & 49ERS Folks, it’s a handicapping theory we never get tired of telling right here at Jim Sez:Years ago, a veteran/savvy “bettor” we know told us that “even the worst teams in Major-League Baseball are gonna have at least one hot streak in ‘em during the course of a season.”Exhibit A … the 2018 Cincinnati Reds.True, the Reds (32-45) have been full-time residents of the National League…

Weekend Notebook from MLB / NFL / NBA

Saturday, June 23, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE JIM SEZ WEEKEND REPORT - MLB, NFL & NBA QUICK-HITTER NOTESIt's officially the first full weekend of summer - but we'll put down the ice-cold beverage long enough to get you up to speed on some big happenings in MLB, NFL and the NBA too!MLBLooking for an under-the-radar type team to make a little run here in the next few days? Then try the Minnesota Twins (33-38) on for size. The American League Central squad - a major underachiever the first half of this here-and-now Major-League Baseball season - is in the midst of a three-game home series against…

Richie Baccellieri: Sharps Bet Prices, Not Teams

Friday, June 22, 2018 at 4:00 PM

I’ve mentioned this periodically through my time posting articles here at this website. But, I don’t think I’ve ever devoted a full article to it. This is very important to remember if you’re a day-to-day baseball handicapper, or just devoting the summer to getting ready for football.Sharps bet PRICES, not teams. You’ll often hear the mainstream media talking about “the so-called sharps” who keep betting on certain bad teams and losing. This was true with the Cleveland Browns last season. Somebody was saying about the Cincinnati Reds a few days ago (then the Reds started winning).It can also happen on…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Team Won-Lost Records by Pitcher

Friday, June 22, 2018 at 1:00 PM

In past years, I wouldn’t have recommended the strategy I’m going to outline for you today here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping. It didn’t work then, though some people swore by it as they threw their money away. In certain situations, it’s going to work very well in 2018.What’s the strategy?Focus on team won-lost records by pitcher. What’s the team’s record with their best starting pitcher on the mound. What’s the team’s record with the second-best, and so on down the line. In past years, this record was way too polluted by run support. An average…

NBA Draft Re-Caps

Friday, June 22, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NBA DRAFT REPORT - HERE'S THE REAL STORYLINES FROM LAST NIGHT'S BASH IN BROOKLYN ...THE MLB UPDATE: IT'S MARINERS AT RED SOX AS WEEKEND'S BEST SETGo ahead and raise your hand if you've fully digested all the trades and all the picks made last night at the 2018 NBA Draft .... yeah, right! Now, go ahead and raise your hand if you believe that ESPN analysts Jay Bilas and Chauncey Billups - and we happen to like both of these gents - made it sound as if every single dude selected inside the Barclays Center in Brooklyn on Thursday…

Our NBA Mock Draft

Thursday, June 21, 2018 at 12:00 AM

HERE'S OUR NBA MOCK DRAFT AS A SLEW OF ONE-AND-DONES WILL DOMINATE ROUND ONEEverybody's heading to Brooklyn for tonight's NBA Draft - but are we gonna get some shockers along the way and will there be some deals sprinkled in involving veteran/name players? Will we see any of the "power teams" move up into the top five picks of this year's draft ... and what teams holding more than one first-round choice are gonna be active in trying to trade up? Ahh, plenty of answers are ahead as here's our Jim Sez NBA Mock Draft:1. PHOENIX - Deandre Ayton, C,…

Network Notebook: Orioles Reach the Minus 30-Unit Threshold

Wednesday, June 20, 2018 at 1:00 PM

IT SHOULDN'T BE POSSIBLE IN MODERN MARKETS, BUT ORIOLES ARE DOWN 30 UNITS BEFORE ALL-STAR BREAKYou've often heard that point spreads and money lines are "the great equalizer." In betting terms, it doesn't matter what a team's won-lost record is because the markets will find an equilibrium. Betting all the good teams won't make money because high lines will counter-act any advantages. Fading bad teams won't make money because it will be too expensive to lay high point spreads or money lines against them.Let us introduce you to the 2018 Baltimore Orioles!After Tuesday night's "fall from ahead" loss to the…

The NBA Draft Is Coming!

Tuesday, June 19, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NBA DRAFT - TRADE TALK ALL AROUND PLUS ARE THERE ANY REAL "FRANCHISE PLAYERS" ON THIS YEAR'S BIG BOARD? ...BASEBALL NEWS & NOTES: THE BEST THREE POSITION PLAYERS YOU'RE NOT HEARING ANYTHING ABOUT Hey, before you even ask ...Our Jim Sez NBA Mock Draft is ready to roll come Thursday morning, so don't miss out on that "must read" column and remember we'll follow it all up on Friday with a draft re-cap!Now, let's get down to business here in the immediate hours leading up to Thursday night's NBA Draft from the Barclays Center in Brooklyn:There's loads of trade…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Baseball Betting Way Up

Monday, June 18, 2018 at 4:00 PM

Betting handle is WAY up this year in Las Vegas for Major League Baseball. That’s a bit of a surprise because TV ratings are down, and in-game attendance is down. The media is writing “baseball is slowly dying” stories at a time when gamblers are embracing the sport like never before.What gives?From my spot out here in the sports betting capital of the world, I think the answers are pretty obvious.*First, sports books have really upgraded their experience for bettors. Competition drove them all to put up much larger TV screens and install more comfortable seating. It was no longer…

Richie Baccellieri: Don’t Bet the Due Theory

Monday, June 18, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Word was making the rounds in sports books this past weekend that the Yankees had played a bunch of Unders in a row. Many gamblers couldn’t believe it…because the team has a great offense, and many of its starting pitchers ae just kind of there rather than being all-star material (Severino is all-star material, the others inconsistent). Of course, we’ve all seen games where home runs fly out of Yankee Stadium too…and the Yanks were at home against Tampa Bay.Final ScoresThursday: New York Yankees 4, Tampa Bay 3Friday: New York Yankees 5, Tampa Bay 0Saturday: New York Yankees 4, Tampa…

The Astros Playing Out-of-Orbit Baseball Lately

Monday, June 18, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 THE BASEBALL REPORT –WHAT’S STRAIGHT AHEAD FOR THE STREAKING ‘STROS …NFL NEWS & NOTES:THINK WORST-TO-FIRST TEAMS …PLUS, NBA DRAFT BREAKDOWN:WHO’S RISING, WHO’S FALLING AS WEHEAD TOWARDS THURSDAY NIGHT Hey, don’t look now but the defending World Series champion Houston Astros are just now “hitting their stride” on this here-and-now 2018 Major-League Baseball season.The ‘Stros zoom into the new week riding an MLB-best 11-game winning streak and how about the fact they just swept a weekend series in Kansas City -- and Houston was a better-than-2-to-1 betting favorite in each of those games! Here’s how last weekend’s action looked (home team in CAPS)…

Don’t Forget these MLB All-Stars Next Month

Saturday, June 16, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 THE JIM SEZ WEEKEND UPDATE –MLB & NFL NEWS/NOTES True, the Major-League Baseball All-Star Game is still a month away (July 17th at National Park in Washington) but we’re sure hoping that the powers-that-be in the bigs find a place on the respective National League and American League rosters for the following under-the-radar and oft-underappreciated players/pitchers: NICHOLAS CASTELLANOS, OF, Detroit – The Tigers may wind up being happy with a near-.500 record this year but their star rightfielder is putting up superior numbers: Castellanos is hitting .305 with 34 RBI and 32 runs scored and this dude just “gets it” as we…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: You Don’t Get Rich Betting Losing Teams

Friday, June 15, 2018 at 4:00 PM

You’ll still hear old-timers in Las Vegas saying things that were said back in the 1980’s, during the first big “media boom” in sports betting coverage. They’ll say you can’t make money betting favorites in Major League Baseball. You have to focus on grinding out money with “value” bets on underdogs. Wrong!While, it IS possible to find occasional value with teams the public doesn’t want to touch. Generally speaking, you won’t make money, let alone get rich by betting on losing teams.So far in the 2018 Major League season, there are quite a few teams with losing straight up records.…

Richie Baccellieri: Will Legalized Betting Change the Markets?

Friday, June 15, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Since the last time we were together, the state of New Jersey has started taking legal sports bets. Quite the crowd showed up Thursday at the locales that had been approved to write tickets. Imagine what a mess it’s going to be once football seasons starts! They had long lines for soccer, golf, and baseball. Of course, the addition of online access and apps will help alleviate congestion by then.Many have been asking me if the markets are going to change at all now that more people will be betting legally. Will lines become “easier” to beat because more squares…

Yankees Fans, Red Sox Backers Fearful of a Wild Card game

Friday, June 15, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE BASEBALL NOTEBOOK: TACKLING ALL THE HOT TOPICS OF THE DAYTHE NFL REPORT: SHOULD WE EXPECT BOUNCE BACK SEASONS FROM THE NY GIANTS AND OAKLAND RAIDERS? Folks, if we've heard it once, then we've heard it a thousand times already: The New York Yankees (44-20) and the Boston Red Sox (48-22) figure to be engaged in a monster head-to-head battle all year long for first place in the American League East. But all fans - of both teams - seem to talk about lately is the fear factor of finishing in second place with 100-plus wins and then having to…

Batters Up: Three Hitters that Could Be Changing Places

Thursday, June 14, 2018 at 12:00 AM

In an earlier-week column right here at Jim Sez, we mentioned three Major-League Baseball starting pitchers who could really shake up the scene if dealt away - they were Tampa Bay RHP Chris Archer, Texas LHP Cole Hamels and San Diego RHP Tyson Ross - and so in keeping with this "trade" theme we'll now take a look at three MLB hitters that could well shake things up if dealt away in the coming weeks. Here's the lowdown ...MIKE MOUSTAKAS, 3B, Kansas City - At this very moment, "The Moose" leads the woe-be-gone Royals in home runs (13), RBI (42),…

Network Notebook: Remember When NY Mets were 11-1?!

Wednesday, June 13, 2018 at 1:00 PM

It took a long time for betting markets to figure out the New York Mets. It was assumed that they wouldn't compete for a divisional title, given their uncertain roster containing many injury prone players. Yet, they started the season like gangbusters.*2-1 against St. Louis, who's turned out to be pretty good*2-0 against Philadelphia, who's been surprisingly good*3-0 at Washington, sweeping a projected league power*3-0 at Miami, another sweep, though against a loser*2-1 against Milwaukee, who's been playoff caliber thus farThat adds up to 12-2, as the Mets 11-1 start ran into a split in the last two games of…

MLB’s Starting Pitchers on the Trade Mart

Tuesday, June 12, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE BASEBALL REPORT –THE THREE STARTING PITCHERSTHAT ALL THE CONTENDERS ARE CHASIN’ AFTER …NFL NEWS & NOTES:TAKING A POINTSPREAD LOOK BACKAND A LOOK AHEAD AT LAST YEAR’S SUPER BOWL TEAMS Folks, it wasn’t all that long ago that the Major-League Baseball Trade Deadline fell on June 15th of each year – imagine the onslaught of big deals we’d have this week if that was still the case!Nowadays – as everyone knows – the MLB Trade Deadline is July 31st but as we’ve been saying in recent Jim Sez columns the fact of the matter is there figures to be a slew…

Richie Baccellieri: Do Sharps Lay -1.5 on the Run Line?

Monday, June 11, 2018 at 4:00 PM

Whenever we have a big difference between have’s and have not’s in Major League Baseball, which is true again this year and evolving even into a wider split, many bettors start to look at laying -1.5 runs on the run line with big favorites.They do that because:*It feels “cheaper” because the juice is much lower*The favorite is going to “kill” the dog anyway, so one run won’t matter*They HAVE to bet favorites, you can’t make them stop betting favorites!Unfortunately, taking big money line favorites down to what seem like more reasonable prices is often a trap. Sometimes it works out…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Time to Focus on Interleague Play

Monday, June 11, 2018 at 12:00 PM

I haven’t talked yet about Interleague Play this season. The schedule has been light. And, frankly, in recent seasons the betting markets have caught up to reality. Several years back, you could make a fortune simply betting all the AL teams over the NL teams. Oddsmakers (many of who were stubborn veterans even then) just couldn’t accept that the AL was not only superior, but VASTLY superior at the time.  The NL was basically “quadruple A” while the AL was Major League caliber for a few seasons.The line eventually did catch up. Even though the AL continues to win the…

Betting Baseball the Only Game in Town Now

Monday, June 11, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE BASEBALL NOTEBOOK - AMERICA'S PASTIME HAS CENTER STAGE ALL TO ITSELF THESE DAYS ...NBA ODDS TO WIN IT ALL, 2018-19 SEASON ...NFL QUICK-HITTER ITEMS: CAN WE EXPECT SOME BIG DEALS?Hey, Major-League Baseball ... it's your ball game!The NBA Playoffs are in the rear-view mirror - happy, happy, joy-joy for the Golden State Warriors and their three championships the past four years - and the NHL's Stanley Cup is the property of the wild-partying Washington Capitals ... and horse racing has its second Triple Crown winner in the past four years with a super-duper pony named Justify.So, MLB has the…

Game/Set/Match for the Warriors

Saturday, June 9, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 THE NBA FINALS REPORT –WARRIORS DELIVER KO BLOWWITH RESOUNDING GAME 4 SWEEPEROO WIN …WEEKEND EDITION OF BASEBALL NEWS & NOTES Folks, this here hoops dynasty is far from over and done with!The Golden State Warriors – who put a bold-faced exclamation point on this year’s NBA Finals (and this 2017-18 season) with Friday night’s easy-as-pie 108-85 win/cover against the 4.5-point home underdog Cleveland Cavaliers – may just be in the middle of one of the great championship runs in league history. The Dubs have won back-to-back and three of the last four NBA crowns and – get this – right now…

Richie Baccellieri: Sharps Still Adjusting to Current-Day MLB

Friday, June 8, 2018 at 4:00 PM

We haven’t had a chance to talk too much about baseball yet in these articles. The one thing that jumps out to me so far in the 2018 season is how much everyone in Las Vegas is complaining! Major League baseball really has changed dramatically these past couple of seasons. As a result:*Bettors are mad starting pitchers are getting pulled so early*Bettors are mad most hitters are just swinging for the fences*Bettors are mad the games are so boring to watchIf you sit in a sports book, you’ll hear public bettors complaining about this stuff around the clock (day games…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Use Run Differential to Evaluate MLB Teams

Friday, June 8, 2018 at 1:00 PM

If you’ve been following the divisional races lately, you may have inadvertently gotten too excited about some new contenders. In terms of pure entertainment, it’s great to have some surprising faces in the mix for awhile. But, as sports bettors, you need to have a clear read on true talent. With that in mind, memorize the following.It’s a lot easier to create a misleading won-lost record than it is to create a misleading run differential.History has shown that run differential is better correlated to performance in the immediate future than won-lost record is (leaving out cases where a major injury…

The NBA Finals: Dubs Go For Clean Sweep

Friday, June 8, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 THE NBA FINALS UPDATE –WARRIORS SHOOT FOR SWEEP TONIGHTPLUS, WE GETCHA IMPORTANT POINTSPREAD INFO …THE BASEBALL WEEKEND:BREWERS-PHILLIES HEADLINESTHE DIAMOND ACTION Okay, so they’ve been playing for NBA championships since the all the way back to 1947 – that’s 71 years now, folks -- and yet we’ve only had eight sweeps in the NBA Finals … and here they are: NBA FINALS SWEEPS –YEAR                               WINNING TEAM                           LOSING TEAM1959                               Boston Celtics                               Minneapolis Lakers1971                               Milwaukee Bucks                         Baltimore Bullets1975                               Golden State Warriors                Washington Bullets1983                               Philadelphia 76ers                       Los Angeles Lakers1989                               Detroit Pistons                             Los Angeles Lakers1995                               Houston Rockets                          Orlando Magic2002                               Los Angeles Lakers                      New Jersey Nets2007                               San…

Warriors Inch Closer to Another Crown With Game 3 Win

Thursday, June 7, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NBA FINALS GAME 3 RE-CAP: WARRIORS GO UP 3-ZIP AFTER 110-102 WIN IN CLEVELANDTHE BASEBALL NOTEBOOK: OVERACHIEVERS & UNDERACHIEVERS Think about it: In the past three years of NBA Finals play, the Golden State Warriors have owned 3-1, 3-0 and (again) 3-0 series leads against the Cleveland Cavaliers.Okay, so everyone remembers the "Dubs" blew it back in 2016 as the Cavs stormed back to win Games 5, 6 and 7 in that set and then last year G-State stubbed its toe in Game 4 while searching out a sweep and thus needed a Game 5 to wrap up the…

Network Notebook: AL West is Baseball’s Best Division

Wednesday, June 6, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Now that we’re deep enough into the 2018 season to get a meaningful sample size, it’s time to check in on divisional strength in Major League Baseball. You longtime regulars know this is an angle JIM HURLEY has been studying for fun and profit for years. Focusing on divisional records helps you find some hidden gems worth betting on, and some money-burners that should be avoided or faded.This year, it’s the AL West that’s been the big winner against outsiders. That’s a bit of a surprise, because this was supposed to be Houston and the Four Dwarfs entering the season,…

Its’ Warriors-Cavs in NBA Finals Game 3

Tuesday, June 5, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  NBA FINALS –HERE’S THE GAME 3 PREVIEW …MID-WEEK BASEBALL UPDATE:THE CURRENT WIN-IT-ALL ODDS If you’re a believer in this here-and-now Cleveland Cavaliers team than it’s a glass-half-full approach to Wednesday night’s Game 3 of this year’s NBA Finals:True, the Cavs are down two games-to-none but – you might reason – all the Golden State Warriors have done so far is “hold serve” with Game 1 and Game 2 wins at home and there’s little debate that Cleveland was the superior team for most of Game 1. Also, Cleveland did manage to get within six points of the Warriors in the second…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: What’s Happening With the Seattle Mariners?

Monday, June 4, 2018 at 4:00 PM

You students here in my Advanced College of Sports Betting and Handicapping have surely noticed that the Seattle Mariners have been on a tear lately. The mainstream media has mostly been oblivious to this run. As we speak, Seattle leads defending World Champion Houston in the AL West. I would guess that it was a 100% consensus that there was NO WAY something like this would happen 60 games into the 2018 season.It’s not like Houston has fallen apart! The Astros are still a popular choice to defend their title. Justin Verlander is having a historic season. Yet, somehow, SEATTLE…

Richie Baccellieri: Sharps Not Giving Up on Cleveland Yet

Monday, June 4, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Though the mainstream media is already acting like Golden State sweeping Cleveland is very likely, and another championship for the Warriors is almost 100% certain…sharps (professional wagerers) are still looking for ways to bet the Cavs.Why is that?Because betting value on point spreads comes from how many points you’re getting, not whether you can win straight up. Cleveland will be getting about 5 points (maybe more by tip off) in Wednesday’s Game Three…and possibly six in Friday’s fourth game.And, it’s obviously possible for Cleveland to win a game at home straight up to extend the series. Five-point underdogs do that…

Warriors Hold Serve With NBA Finals Game 2 Win

Monday, June 4, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 THE NBA FINALS GAME 2 RE-CAP –WARRIORS CRUSH CAVS 122-103AS CURRY’S 3’s LIGHT UP THE SKY …CHECKIN’ OUT THE NL WESTWHERE DODGERS, GIANTS VERY MUCH ALIVEFOLLOWING WEEKEND SWEEPS Two wins down, two wins to go for yet another NBA championship for the Golden State Warriors.Surprised?Hardly, as Golden State followed up the uber-controversial Game 1 of this year’s NBA Finals with a slick 122-103 never-in-doubt win/cover on Sunday night against the 11.5-point underdog Cleveland Cavaliers and so Game 2 was easy money for anyone that backed the “Dubs” … but who out there thought Golden State would drain 10 of its first…

Cavs-Warriors Slug it Out in Game 2

Saturday, June 2, 2018 at 12:00 AM

Hey, the NBA big-wigs really know how to kick someone when they're already down, eh?The latest to come from that NBA Finals Game 1 fiasco - see Golden State 124, Cleveland 114 in overtime - is now the league's head honchos say there should have been a "lane violation" assessed to Warriors' F Draymond Green on that missed free throw by Cavaliers' G George Hill with 4.7 seconds remaining in regulation play (we just watched the replay again and sure enough Green stepped into the lane prematurely) but a whole lot of good that's gonna do the Cavs right now!Let's…

NBA Finals Game 1 -- Warriors Win in OT But That Ain’t the Story

Friday, June 1, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NBA FINALS GAME 1 REPORT - CAVS GET SCREWED ROYALLY IN  124-114 OVERTIME LOSS TO WARRIORS ...MLB'S WHAT-TO-WATCH WEEKENDShame on you, NBA.Shame on the fact that - straight up - the league "punked" the heavy underdog Cleveland Cavaliers in more ways than one in last night's Game 1 of this year's NBA Finals.The Golden State Warriors' eventual 124-114 overtime non-cover win - and talk about what would have been one of the worst "beats" in major sports history had the Dubs won this game by more than the 13-point betting line! - came after one of the worst calls/worst…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: How to Analyze the NBA Finals

Thursday, May 31, 2018 at 1:00 PM

While the Golden State Warriors are heavy favorites over the Cleveland Cavaliers to win the 2018 NBA Championship, sports bettors like you and me are more worried about who's going to be covering point spreads...whether it's a four-game laugher or a seven-game thriller.How do we go about doing that? You students here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping have already done intensive work throughout the regular season and playoffs to get ready. I'm sure you have some ideas about Game One. What I want to talk to you today about involves the ability to read and react…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting the NBA Finals

Thursday, May 31, 2018 at 10:00 AM

As promised, I’m back on Thursday instead of Friday because the NBA Finals matching the Golden State Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers begins Thursday Night in Oracle Arena. I wanted to report to all of you how sharps (professional wagerers) have been betting Thursday’s Game One and the full series thus far.Unfortunately, the status of Kevin Love is dampening enthusiasm for early bettors. At least for those who are looking to bet Cleveland. Love suffered a concussion in the Eastern Conference Finals against Boston, and still hasn’t been cleared from protocol as I write this early Thursday morning Las Vegas time.…

It’s Cavs vs. Warriors in NBA Finals ... Again!

Thursday, May 31, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NBA FINALS - WARRIORS ARE MONSTROUS FAVORITES TO REPEAT BUT HERE WE TRY TO MAKE A CASE FOR THE CAVS ...BASEBALL NEWS & NOTES: TRIBE'S ON THE RISE (FINALLY!)You heard right: The Golden State Warriors - the NBA's defending champion and winners of two of the last three crowns - are a - 1200 favorite to cop this here-and-now NBA Finals against the Cleveland Cavaliers (+ 750) and the fact of the matter is the price tag's been going up, up, up and away since the matchup was established this past Monday night (we reported the Warriors as -1000…

Network Notebook: Garbage Time Might be Key in NBA Finals

Wednesday, May 30, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Normally, in the hours leading up to a major sporting event like the NBA Finals matching the Golden State Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers that begins Thursday night, JIM HURLEY'S HANDICAPPING NOTEBOOK would provide a comprehensive stat preview.This time around, there's not much point!*Golden State has the much better offense, with a variety of weapons that can score inside or out. Cleveland has LeBron James, and a bunch of guys who blow hot and cold…mostly cold when the pressure is on. One guy has to carry the Cavs. Any of a few can carry the Warriors.*Golden State has the much better…

NBA Finals Are Set -- Play it Again, Sam!

Tuesday, May 29, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NBA FINALS - GUESS WHAT, IT'S CAVS-WARRIORS ONE MO' TIME AFTER GOLDEN STATE OVERPOWERS NO-PAUL ROCKETS IN GAME 7 ...PLUS, IT'S OUR BASEBALL NEWS & NOTES: THE BEST/WORST IN RUN DIFFERENTIALJust think about it: The Golden State Warriors - owners of two of the last three NBA championships and seemingly headed to yet another crown sometime in these next two weeks - actually outscored the Houston Rockets by 59 points in the second halves of Game 6 / Game 7.Yes, the cream really did rise to the top in those 115-86 and 101-92 win/covers the last two games of…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Pay Attention to Current Form in Baseball

Monday, May 28, 2018 at 4:00 PM

Last time we were talking about the importance of avoiding old perceptions when handicapping. That’s an important theme to think about right now in Major League Baseball for those of you here in my Advanced College of Sports Betting and Handicapping. There are a handful of teams on both ends of the spectrum who have “changed their stripes” over the past month. Too many of you aren’t noticing!Let’s start at the top. Here are won-lost records over the last 30 games for the hottest teams in baseball right now. Most of the list isn’t all that surprising compared to pre-season…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting Game 7 of Rockets/Warriors

Monday, May 28, 2018 at 1:00 PM

There’s not much mystery to how the Wise Guys are betting Game Seven of the Western Conference Finals Monday Night, nor much mystery about who they expect to win the NBA Finals that begin Thursday.Ever since Chris Paul limped off the floor with a hamstring injury last Thursday night, it was assumed by serious bettors that the series was over. Even though Houston led 3-2 at the time…the Rockets were going to be huge dogs on the road in Game Six without Paul. No expectation yet that Paul will be able to return and contribute much in Game Seven.*The opener…

The Cavs Are NBA Finals-Bound ... Who’s Gonna Join ’Em?

Monday, May 28, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NBA CONFERENCE FINALS REPORT - THE KING AND THE CAVALIERS ARE MOVIN' ON (AGAIN) TO ANOTHER NBA FINALS ...PLUS, WE PREVIEW TONIGHT'S GAME 7 OF THE WESTERN FINALS BETWEEN WARRIORS VS. ROCKETS ...BASEBALL'S MEMORIAL DAY NOTEBOOK: IT'S ASTROS-YANKEES IN CENTER STAGEBeen there, done that?Heck, as everyone knows, LeBron James has made it his personal rite of spring to play in the NBA Finals and so maybe it doesn't come as any great surprise that "The King" is headed back to a fourth consecutive championship round after going to four straight NBA Finals while wearing the uniform colors of the…

NBA Conference Monster Matchups Galore

Saturday, May 26, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE JIM SEZ MEMORIAL DAY WEEKEND UPDATE:NBA CONFERENCE FINALS REPORT FEATURES GAME 6 PREVIEW OF ROCKETS-WARRIORS ... PLUS, IT'S ON TO GAME 7 AS CAVS-CELTICS GO THE DISTANCE IN THE EASTIn what's known in the business, the Houston Rockets are playing with "house money" in their Game 6 bash at Golden State on this Saturday night of Memorial Day Weekend: No point guard Chris Paul (hamstring) for the Rockets and thus the defending champion Warriors are heavy-duty 12-point betting favorites here and everyone expects there's gonna be a decisive Game 7 come Monday night in Houston ... right?WESTERN CONFERENCE FINALSHOUSTON…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Beware Falling Victim to Old Perceptions

Friday, May 25, 2018 at 3:00 PM

As we get together for this edition of coursework in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping, two recent NBA dynasties are both trailing three games to two in their respective conference championship series, even though both were big favorites before the battles started. The defending National League Champion Los Angeles Dodgers have cost their backers a fortune this season. No projected divisional winners in the Senior Circuit currently lead their divisions. And, an expansion team is getting ready to play a longshot from the other conference for the NHL Championship.Assumptions that Cleveland and Golden State would breeze through…

Richie Baccellieri: How Many Points is Chris Paul Worth?

Friday, May 25, 2018 at 12:00 PM

If you saw Chris Paul walk gingerly off the court Thursday night after his Houston Rockets beat the Golden State Warriors to take a 3-2 series lead in the Western Conference Finals, you knew that evaluating his true worth was going to become very important for Saturday’s Game Six, and then again in Game Seven if he can’t go the rest of the way.Oddsmakers and sharps immediately assumed he would either miss Game Six, or play at such a reduced level of effectiveness that it was going to hurt the Rockets badly. Golden State opened at -10.5 and was bet…

Cavs, Warriors Both in Deep Trouble

Friday, May 25, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NBA CONFERENCE FINALS UPDATE:ROCKETS PUSH DUBS TO BRINK OF ELIMINATION IN THE WEST; CELTICS LOOK TO CLOSE OUT CAVS IN THE EAST TONIGHTJust consider this factoid for just a moment: If we are to have a Cleveland Cavaliers versus Golden State Warriors Part IV in this year's NBA Finals, then the Cavs and Dubs must go a combined 4-and-oh SU (straight-up) the rest of this way in these ongoing NBA Conference Finals.Impossible? Nah.But gotta say it's a major hurdle for the two teams that have combined to win the league's last three titles and so desperation time has hit…

Warriors-Rockets Get it On in Game 5 Tonight

Thursday, May 24, 2018 at 1:55 AM

THE NBA POST-SEASON REPORT:CELTICS CRUSH CAVS 96-83 IN GAME 5 TILT (AND JIM HURLEY WINS THE SIDE AND ANOTHER "UNDER" PLAY!) ...PLUS, WE PEEK AHEAD AT TONIGHT'S MONSTROUS GAME 5 IN HOUSTON AS WARRIORS-ROCKETS COLLIDELet's get this straight as we head into Thursday's Game 5 bash between the Golden State Warriors and the Houston Rockets in the NBA's Western Conference Finals:It's the Rockets that come off a dizzying defensive display the other night when holding G-State to just a mere dozen points in the fourth/final quarter and Houston head coach Mike D'Antoni - and not know-it-all Warriors' boss-man Steve Kerr…

Network Notebook: Will 75% Under Trend in NBA Continue?

Wednesday, May 23, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Lost in the shuffle amidst all the media complaining about blowouts, and how some teams look great one night but horrible the next...is the reality that the market has been overpricing Over/Unders so far in both the Eastern and Western Conference championships in the NBA.EASTERN CONFERENCEGame One stayed Under 204 with a scoring sum of 191Game Two stayed Under 205.5 with a scoring sum of 201Game Three stayed Under 207 with a scoring sum of 202Game Four went Over 204 with a scoring sum of 213WESTERN CONFERENCEGame One stayed Under 225.5 with a scoring sum of 225Game Two went Over…

The Rockets Rev Up the Defense in Game 4 Shocker

Wednesday, May 23, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NBA PLAYOFF REPORT: ROCKETS STUN WARRIORS WITH 95-92 WIN ON TUESDAY NIGHT TO EVEN WESTERN SET AT 2 GAMES APIECE ...AND IT'S GAME 5 IN BOSTON TONIGHT BETWEEN CAVS-CELTICS BUT WILL HOME COURT BE THE DIFFERENCE (AGAIN)? ...MLB NEWS & NOTES: STAT STUFF AHEADDon't even dare say that you "saw this one coming"! Jim Hurley DID, taking the Rockets plus the points!The Houston Rockets' come-from-behind 95-92 victory at 8-point favorite Golden State last night was a hoop shocker for the ages - whether it's the fact the Warriors blew a third-quarter/double-digit lead or because G-State really panicked late with…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Are Tampa Bay Rays Crazy or Brilliant?

Monday, May 21, 2018 at 4:00 PM

You’ve probably heard that the Tampa Bay Rays did something bizarre this past weekend in Anaheim. They started relief pitcher Sergio Romo both Saturday and Sunday. Even with all the cutting-edge stuff going on in baseball right now involving pitch counts, bullpen usage, defensive shifts, and adjusted swing planes, THAT seemed borderline crazy.Maybe crazy like a fox.You see, what Tampa Bay was doing just might be the next big thing in major league baseball strategy. At least for mid-level teams who can’t afford to stockpile ace-caliber starting pitchers. It’s the new money-ball. Maybe you can call it “lineup ball.”What Tampa…

Richie Baccellieri: Some Expensive MLB Favorites do Offer Value

Monday, May 21, 2018 at 1:00 PM

I’m always surprised by how many public bettors never really noticed that the most expensive money line prices in Major League Baseball come in games with low Over/Unders. You almost never see a -300 favorite in a game that’s expected to see 9.5 runs or more. Why is that?The most obvious reason is that high prices are usually tagged to an elite starting pitcher. And, any game involving an elite starting pitcher isn’t going to have a high total. But, it’s also because it’s much harder for any team to dominate a game that’s projected to be high scoring compared…

NBA Playoffs: Where Are the Close Games?

Monday, May 21, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NBA CONFERENCE FINALS UPDATE: CAVS LOOK TO GET EVEN TONIGHT IN GAME 4 WHILE DUBS NATION WHIPS THE ROCKETS IN GAME 3 ... BASEBALL NEWS & NOTES:Don't look now but the first three games in the NBA's Eastern Conference Finals and first three games in the league's Western Conference Finals have been won by a per-game average of -- get this - 24 points! Jim Hurley is 3-1 in the Eastern Finals and 2-1 in the West after winning with the Warriors Sunday.Geez, we've had a pair of 13-point games (see Game 1 in Houston and Game 2 in…

All Eyes on Rockets-Warriors in Game 3

Saturday, May 19, 2018 at 12:00 AM

HERE'S THE GAME 3 SUNDAY NITE PREVIEW OF ROCKETS AT WARRIORS ...PLUS, MORE WEEKEND MLB NEWS/NOTESFolks, there are three major questions being asked when it comes to this NBA Western Conference Finals best-of-seven series between the wanna-be champion Houston Rockets and the defending champion Golden State Warriors:Number one ... Did Houston's resounding 127-105 win/cover in Game 2 versus the 2-point road underdog Warriors restore the Rockets' own confidence and maybe even erode some of G-State's overall confidence?Number two ... Has Golden State's superstar guard Stephen Curry actually become a "liability" between his poor shooting (see 7-of-19 field-goal shooting in Game…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps Will Likely Bet Weekend NBA

Friday, May 18, 2018 at 1:00 PM

We’ve come to the annual spot in the NBA Playoff schedule where the league gives championship contenders extra time off to set up a blockbuster TV weekend. The Boston/Cleveland series resumes Saturday night in Ohio with the pre-series underdog Celtics leading 2-0. The Houston/Golden State series gets back on the floor Sunday night in California all tied at one apiece.Lines for those matchups have already settled after initial betting. We may not see any dramatic changes until game day. Here’s how I expect the sharps to bet those games this weekend.BOSTON AT CLEVELAND (Saturday night): An opener of Cleveland -5.5…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Isolating Indicator Stats in NBA Playoffs

Friday, May 18, 2018 at 7:00 AM

As promised, I'm back at the end of the week to talk about the NBA Playoffs. Our normal schedule was disrupted this past Monday by the most important news in the sports betting industry for decades! It will be months before all that works itself out. Hopefully many of you will be betting legally in your home state by the time football season rolls around. I've been doing that since before many of you were even born right here in Las Vegas.Today, our coursework is going to focus on "indicator" stats. To me, that means the numbers in the key…

NBA East Game 3 - Top Baseball Weekend Series and More!

Friday, May 18, 2018 at 12:00 AM

NBA PLAYOFF UPDATE:LET'S LOOK AHEAD TO SATURDAY'S GAME 3 BASH BETWEEN BOSTON AT CLEVELAND ...PLUS, BASEBALL NEWS & NOTES WITH KEY NL AND AL WEEKEND SERIESSay what you will about these here-and-now Boston Celtics, but the fact remains they've been a bit Jekyl-and-Hyde-ish when it comes to home and away play this playoff season. The Celtics are 9-0 both SU (straight-up) and ATS (against the spread) at home this post-season while the green gang is just 1-4 SU and 2-3 versus the vig away in prior playoff series against Milwaukee and Philadelphia.So, should that "comfort" a desperate Cavaliers team as…

Blastoff! The Rockets Get Even

Thursday, May 17, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NBA PLAYOFFS: ROCKETS BLAST WARRIORS 127-105 TO SQUARE WESTERN FINALS AT A GAME APIECEPLUS, THE NEXT BATCH OF NBA LOTTERY PICKSFor most of the 2017-18 NBA season, the Houston Rockets kept everyone at "arm's length" while winning a league-best 65 games.In Game 2 of the NBA Western Conference Finals last night, "arm's length" was the key phrase again:After all, the Rockets - who displayed superior ball movement and didn't allow the shot clock to get whittled down before hurling up their shots (as was the case for much of Game 1) - led by 14 points at intermission while…

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