Vegas Sports Masters Blog

The AFC Championship Game Preview

Saturday, January 19, 2019 at 12:00 AM

THE AFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME - IT'S PATRIOTS VS. CHIEFS WITH SUPER BOWL 53 STARING AT 'EM STRAIGHT AHEADIf you're the New England Patriots, then this AFC Championship Game has become a well-travelled stop in your yearly scheduleEight in a row. Thirteen of 'em since the QB Tom Brady / head coach Bill Belichick alliance was formed way back in the 2001 season. Old news, if you will. Yet still amazing.But, ahh, if you're the Kansas City Chiefs then this is really something special. Your first AFC Championship Game since the 1993 season when a dude named Joe Montana quarterbacked your…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting Conference Championships

Friday, January 18, 2019 at 4:00 PM

This Sunday’s conference championship games in the NFL plays are going to be very heavily bet. They might as well be Super Bowls based on what we’re already seeing. All four teams have strong betting constituencies. Casual fans love betting huge TV games, and sharps have reasons to step in too.Let’s see what’s been happening so far in kickoff order.LOS ANGELES RAMS AT NEW ORLEANS: We’ve been hopping between Saints -3 and -3.5 all week. Generally speaking squares (the general public) wants to take favorites in big TV games. Give them Drew Brees in the Superdome, and they’re going to…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: NFL Conference Championships

Friday, January 18, 2019 at 1:00 PM

A fast-paced week just flew by, and now we’re closing in quickly on Championship Sunday in the NFL.Today’s coursework here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping will focus on handicapping angles for the NFC Championship game matching the Los Angeles Rams and the New Orleans Saints, and the AFC Championship game matching the New England Patriots and Kansas City Chiefs.So far this week, I’ve heard three main angles being discussed from the mainstream and gambling media (it’s getting harder to tell them apart these days). Those are… BET THE HOME TEAMSWe’re in a temporary run where home teams…

The NFC Championship Game Preview

Friday, January 18, 2019 at 12:00 AM

  THE NFC CHAMPIONSHIP GAME –IT’S RAMS VS. SAINTSSUNDAY AFTERNOON SHOWDOWNIN THE CRESCENT CITY Will the real Los Angeles Rams and the real New Orleans Saints please stand up here on NFL Championship Game Sunday?The Rams – who started this here-and-now season on a three-game SU (straight-up) and ATS (against the spread) winning streak and who enter Sunday’s game inside the Louisiana Superdome on a three-game SU /ATS winning streak – have endured some turbulence along the way as they went 2-7-2 vig-wise during an 11-game stretch between Sept. 27th thru Dec.16th.The Saints?They staggered early and late in ’18 but rock-n-rolled their…

AFC Championship Game Notes ... Plus College Roundball

Thursday, January 17, 2019 at 12:00 AM

THE NFL CHAMPIONSHIP GAMES - TODAY WE STUDY THE UPCOMING AFC TITLE TILT WITH KEY NUMBERS FROM PATRIOTS-CHIEFSPLUS THE COLLEGE ROUNDBALL REPORT Here's a strange-but-true factoid when it comes to the NFL Championship Games: As is the case in the NFC - which we illustrated in an earlier-week Jim Sez column - the last time an AFC Championship Game road team advanced to a Super Bowl was way back in the 2012 season (see Baltimore 28, New England 13).For the last five years in a row, AFC title tilt hosts not only have moved on to the SB, but in…

Network Notebook: Handicapping Championship Weekend

Wednesday, January 16, 2019 at 12:00 PM

TV networks are thrilled that the top four teams in the NFL made it to this weekend’s conference championship games. That guarantees huge ratings and a bunch of hype about offensive superstars. Sports books are thrilled because all four finalists have strong betting constituencies. The Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans and New England at Kansas City will be bet almost like Super Bowls themselves.The problem for handicappers is that all four teams aren’t quite following their media storylines. Some unique circumstances last week helped create one-sided results that may not have predictive value moving forward. A quick summary in…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Handicapping College Basketball

Monday, January 14, 2019 at 12:00 PM

College basketball is really heating up this week as many successful teams will go head-to-head. TV Networks know how to grab the attention of sports fans once football winds down!I’ve decided to devote today’s coursework to college hoops. The NFL Playoffs were kind of boring this weekend, with home favorites winning every game straight up and covering three of the four. We’ll get back to the NFL in our Friday class get-together here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping just in time for Championship Weekend. Both New England at Kansas City in the AFC and the Los…

Checkin’ Out the NFC Championship Game Notes

Monday, January 14, 2019 at 12:00 AM

THE NFL CHAMPIONSHIP GAMES: WE DIG INTO RECENT NFC TITLE GAME HISTORY PLUS ZOOM IN ON SOME KEY STATS FOR THE RAMS AND THE SAINTSCOLLEGE HOOPS UPDATE: KEEP YOUR EYES ON THESE POTENTIAL MARCH PARTY-CRASHERSOkay, so what does it mean to be at home for the NFC Championship Game?Well, check out the accompanying chart below and you'll notice that home teams have survived and advanced to the Super Bowl for the past five years in a row - with home teams covering the all-important pointspread in four of these last five title tilts - and so you gotta go all…

NFL Championship Game Sunday is Straight Ahead

Sunday, January 13, 2019 at 12:00 AM

  THE NFL PLAYOFFS –NOW HERE’S TO THE WINNERSAS CHIEFS, PATS, SAINTS & RAMS MOVE ONTO CHAMPIONSHIP GAME SUNDAY Talk about puttin’ the bite on the dog!After an NFL Wild Card round produced four-of-four underdog winners back on the weekend of Jan. 6-7, the league’s heavy hitters – a/k/a, the well-rested #1 and #2 seeds – put the hammer down during the just-completed NFL Divisional Playoff round. Three of the four chalk-eaters snagged the cash (that’s Kansas City, the Los Angeles Rams and New England) and thus put to rest this notion that NFL Underdogs were gonna rule yet another year of…

Now, It’s the NFL Divisional Playoffs Sunday Style

Saturday, January 12, 2019 at 12:00 AM

Jim Hurley 2-1 In Saturday's Divisionals winning with Rams and Colts/Chiefs UNDER. Now 6-2 in the Playoffs!THERE'S MORE NFL DIVISIONAL PLAYOFF ACTION - THE SUNDAY MENU WITH GAMES FROM FOXBORO AND N'ORLEANSThe weather outside could be frightening in Foxboro on this Sunday afternoon; it'll be room temperature warm inside the dome in New Orleans. The $64,000 question is will either - or both - visiting teams come into these rather hostile environments and play the survive-and-advance game? Ahh, that's what everyone wants to know on the NFL Sunday: LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (13-4) at NEW ENGLAND (11-5) - 1:05 p.m. ET, CBS…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting the NFL Divisional Round

Friday, January 11, 2019 at 4:00 PM

Last week’s Wildcard games were heavily bet here in Las Vegas. Reaction was somewhat subdued once the games were played because favorites weren’t having much success. Squares love laying points! And, we have a lot of transplanted Chicago sports fans who live here. They hated to see the Bears lose to the Eagles late last Sunday. Crowded but relatively subdued is the best way to describe local sports books last weekend.Let’s look at this weekend. The public typically loves laying points with rested bye teams. But, there are some quality dogs poised to challenge. Here’s how betting has played out…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: More NFL Handicapping

Friday, January 11, 2019 at 1:00 PM

A week ago at this time here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping, I emphasized to you the importance of studying defense in advance of Wildcard weekend. All the teams involved had defenses ranging from good to great in the categories that matter most. Once the final scores were in the books, you could see how defense controlled the quartet of playoff openers.*Indianapolis held Houston to just seven points, forcing DeShaun Watson to throw 20 incomplete passes even though he was mostly throwing short. Houston was just 3 of 13 on third down conversion attempts (and 2…

NFL Divisional Playoffs -- Saturday’s Action

Friday, January 11, 2019 at 12:00 AM

  THE NFL DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS –HERE’S THE SATURDAY SHOWDOWNSFROM KANSAS CITY AND LOS ANGELES Okay, so exactly when is all this underdog madness in the NFL post-season gonna end … or is it?Go back to the start of last year’s playoffs when pups cranked out a 9-1-1 ATS (against the spread) record and include last weekend’s Wild Cards and this is what you see:Underdogs are a collective 13-1-1 versus the vig (that’s a .929 winning percentage) in the league’s last 15 post-season games. Mama-mia!Now, the NFL storms its way into the “best weekend of the season” – don’t you wish you had…

NFL Divisional Playoffs -- #1 and #2 Seeds Join the Fun

Thursday, January 10, 2019 at 12:00 AM

THE NFL DIVISIONAL PLAYOFFS CHECKIN' OUT THE #1 AND #2 SEEDSPLUS COLLEGE BASKETBALL REPORTHey, remember them? They are the NFL's #1 and #2 seeds in the NFC / AFC Playoffs and they were sitting idly by last weekend when all four underdog sides cashed in the Wild Card Games - and three of 'em won outright! - but now #1's New Orleans and Kansas City and #2's the Los Angeles Rams and New England swing into post-season action this Saturday / Sunday.As one would expect, all of the top seeds are favored with the price tags ranging anywhere from Patriots…

Network Notebook: Handicapping the NFL Divisional Round

Wednesday, January 9, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Last week, JIM HURLEY outlined three keys to picking winners over Wildcard Weekend. Jim went 3-1 in the Wild Cards, losing only with the Bears. Those themes turned out to be very important. They were...*Quarterback Experience*Red Zone Defense*Coaching SavvyIf you watched the games, you probably spent last weekend marveling at how poorly the inexperienced quarterbacks played (we're talking about you DeShaun Watson, Lamar Jackson, and Mitchell Trubisky), and at the in-game decisions of some of the coaches. Red zone defense? Winners went 9 of 14 scoring touchdowns in the red zone, while losers went 4 of 10.This week, the red…

All Hail the Clemson Tigers

Tuesday, January 8, 2019 at 12:00 AM

Jim Hurley Ends Another Winning Bowl Season with Clemson (+5.5) over Alabama 44-16 and starts the NFL Playoffs going 3-1 in the Wild Cards!!THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL REPORT: CLEMSON'S THE GRIDIRON KING ONCE AGAIN AS WE HIT THE REWIND BUTTON ON THEIR ROLLICKING 44-16 WIN AGAINST 'BAMA ...PLUS, OUR FINAL COLLEGE FOOTBALL BOWL POINTSPREAD CHART AND OUR "FINAL FOUR" FOR NEXT YEARMaybe it's no coincidence at all: For the fifth consecutive year since College Football's National Championship Game was played to finish up the playoffs, a team that entered the game NOT #1 wound up winning the whole ball of wax…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: How to Handicap Alabama/Clemson

Monday, January 7, 2019 at 7:00 AM

This past Friday, I raised the possibility that defenses might be back in control of their own destiny in the NFL. That was certainly a theme over Wildcard Weekend. Will it be the theme of Monday night’s National Championship game featuring the Alabama Crimson Tide and the Clemson Tigers? Answer that question, and you’ll go a long way toward determining the right side and total selections.Regular students here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping know that I can’t post my official selections here in the coursework. That wouldn’t be fair to paying customers. I’m happy to provide…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting Alabama/Clemson

Sunday, January 6, 2019 at 6:00 PM

Just one game to talk about for Monday. But, it’s the most important game of the college football season. We’ll all be watching Alabama take on Clemson Monday night to see who wins the national championship.How have sharps been betting this game? Professional wagerers expressed a very clear preference for Clemson at the early numbers. First stores up this week were showing Alabama -7. Many quants I talked to had spent the past month saying these two teams were only a field goal apart. I know a few oddsmakers who had it more like three or four in their Power…

The NFL Postseason

Sunday, January 6, 2019 at 1:00 PM

Well, we finally reached the end of not only 2018 but the end of the regular season of NFL games. It has been an interesting ride; many things have changed over the past 4 months dating to back September and October.  The high-flying teams, the high-octane offenses like that of the Kansas City Chiefs, New Orleans Saints and the Los Angeles Rams have somewhat cooled off. You might have noticed that the teams that are running the ball and playing good defense are the teams that have taken over now.  The Baltimore Ravens are using an almost 60% running game…

College Football’s Championship Game is Here; Plus NFL Playoff Notes

Sunday, January 6, 2019 at 12:00 AM

COLLEGE FOOTBALL'S TITLE TILT IS ON TAP TONIGHT - GET OUR #1 ALABAMA VS. #2 CLEMSON PREVIEWPLUS, ALL THE KEY SPREAD STUFF ...NFL WILD CARD WEEKEND'S IN THE BOOKS - JIM HURLEY GOES 3-1!! - NOW AN EARLY-BIRD LOOK AT THIS WEEKEND'S DIVISIONAL PLAYOFF GAMES Play it again, Sam! The College Football National Championship Game tonight pits a real oldie-but-goodie matchup:It's Alabama versus Clemson for the fourth year in a row in these playoffs, the third time in four years these powerhouse squads will battle it out for the right to be the sport's champion and there's surely no shortage…

More NFL Wild Card Goodies

Saturday, January 5, 2019 at 12:00 AM

NFL WILD CARD PLAYOFF GAMES - THE SUNDAY SHOWDOWNSLet's rock-n-roll our way through the remainder of this NFL Wild Card Playoff Weekend:On Sunday, it's ...LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (12-4) at BALTIMORE (10-6) - 1:05 p.m. ET, CBS / Line: Baltimore - 2.5 and 42 points Folks in/around the LA Chargers are calling this one "instant revenge" because - as we know - the Ravens went out to the left coast just two weekends ago and battered this AFC West crew 22-10 and that wound up costing the Bolts a numero uno seed in the conference playoffs. Now, the Chargers want payback…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting Wildcard Weekend

Friday, January 4, 2019 at 4:00 PM

It was nice to have a few days off from last weekend’s football barrage to get ready for this week’s Wildcard action. We have four very interesting games that should set the tone for a fascinating playoffs. I’ve talked to a few sports books operators who were surprised at all the early betting interest in these games. Neither the sharps nor the public waited until the weekend to dive in.I’ll run through the games in schedule order. Here’s how sharps have been betting this weekend’s NFL action…SATURDAY, INDIANAPOLIS AT HOUSTON: An opener of Houston -2 was bet down to -1.5…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Are NFL Defenses Back in Control?

Friday, January 4, 2019 at 12:00 PM

Early in the 2018 NFL season, it looked like offenses were going to dominate the league. Offseason changes had made it very difficult to slow down passing attacks. If you breathed on a receiver you got called for pass interference or holding. If you looked funny at the quarterback you got called for roughing the passer.Luckily, the refs started swallowing their whistles more later in the year. That allowed the best defenses to impose their will on proceedings a bit more. We were watching REAL football again, rather than an outdoor Arena League. To my eye, NFL action over the…

NFL Wild Card Weekend Gets Rollin’

Thursday, January 3, 2019 at 12:00 AM

THE NFL WILD CARD PLAYOFFS - WE TACKLE SATURDAY'S GAMES (THAT'S COLTS AT TEXANS, SEAHAWKS AT COWBOYS) PLUS, WE GETCHA THE SUPER BOWL 53 WIN-IT-ALL ODDS TOOOkay, so who is your choice to be the Super Bowl LIII winner next month in Atlanta? Well, the good folks in Las Vegas have weighed in here just a couple of days before we crank up this year's NFL Playoffs and here's what they say (all odds based on $100 per play wagers):SUPER BOWL 53 ODDS TO WIN IT ALLTEAM       ODDSONE QUICK THOUGHTNew Orleans + 200 Saints are bigger-than-we-thought favorites for SB 53Kansas City…

Network Notebook: Handicapping Wildcard Weekend

Wednesday, January 2, 2019 at 1:00 PM

It’s shaping up as one of the most exciting Wildcard Weekends in years. The stars have really aligned because we have high quality Wildcards, divisional winners who could go deep if they can clear this first hurdle, and good quarterbacks rather than injury-riddled teams limping into the postseason with helpless backups.Is there any team playing this week that has NO chance to run the table? The biggest underdog is the defending Super Bowl champion, led by a quarterback who has peaked against his toughest challenges!  Anything can happen this weekend…and then next weekend as well.Of course, the danger there is…

College Bowl Report: Gettin Caught Up

Wednesday, January 2, 2019 at 12:00 AM

COLLEGE FOOTBALL UPDATE - WE HIT THE REWIND BUTTON ON THE 39 BOWLS PLAYED WITH KEY SPREAD STATS & MORE ... NFL WILD CARD WEEKEND COMIN'' FASTOkay, everyone, you can take a breath now!The 39 College Football Bowl Games that flooded the air waves from December 15, 2018 thru January 1, 2019 have come to an end ... the season is now down to one game called the National Championship and it''s being played Monday night with the "usual suspects" hooking up: We''ll have plenty to say about #2 Clemson vs. #1 Alabama in the next few days including an…

The New Year’s Day Bowl Menu

Tuesday, January 1, 2019 at 12:00 AM

HAPPY NEW YEAR! NOW HERE'S THE JAN. 1 COLLEGE BOWL GAMES OUTBACK BOWL - at Tampa, FLIOWA (8-4) vs. #18 MISS STATE (8-4) - 12 p.m. ET, espn2The totals price on this clash of Big 10 vs. SEC has steadily been comin' down in recent days - it opened at 44.5 points and has dropped to 40.5 points - and no wonder: Miss State sports the country's #1-ranked scoring defense (#2 in total defense) while Iowa is #11 in scoring "D" and 7th in total defense. Still, don't be shocked if there's a few high-tech aerial plays here with MSU's…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: SEC Prominent in Holiday Bowls

Monday, December 31, 2018 at 12:00 PM

If you’re trying to pick winners in college football bowl games played on New Year’s Eve and New Year’s Day, getting a read on the SEC is of vital performance. Even though they’ve already made several appearances, the SEC is all over the remaining card.Early results:Vanderbilt (-3.5) lost to Baylor 45-38Auburn (-3.5) pounded Purdue 63-14Florida (+4) mauled Michigan 41-15South Carolina (-3.5) lost to Virginia 28-0Alabama (-14.5) only beat Oklahoma 45-34That’s 3-2 straight up, but 2-3 ATS because Alabama couldn’t fully protect an early 28-0 lead in the Orange Bowl. Well, they protected it enough to advance to the National Championship…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting the New Year’s Bonanza

Monday, December 31, 2018 at 7:00 AM

We have six bowl games on Monday (New Year’s Eve), and five more Tuesday to bring in the New Year. Let’s see how sharps (professional wagerers) have been betting the final stage of this season’s bowl bonanza. Monday: Military Bowl (in Annapolis)CINCINNATI VS. VIRGINIA TECH: An opener of Cincinnati -5.5 has been bet up to -6.5. That’s a bit of a surprise because Cincinnati’s American Athletic Conference has had some poor results so far…and Virginia Tech has such a short trip to this site. But, the quants in particular are backing their gradings on Cincinnati and Central Florida in the bowls…

Here’s the New Year’s Day Bowl Sked

Monday, December 31, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 HAPPY NEW YEAR!NOW HERE’S THE JAN. 1 COLLEGE BOWL GAMES Here’s to a Happy, Healthy and Winning New Year to one and all …Jim Hurley’s Network of Handicappers and Bloggers have the College Football New Year’s Day Bowl winners plus there’s NFL Wild Card Playoff action this Saturday/Sunday too – just call us on game days at the toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 or go online right here at www.jimhurley.com and also cash in with NBA / NCAA hoops. COLLEGE BOWLMANIA – THE JAN. 1 BOWL MENU OUTBACK BOWL – at Tampa, FLIOWA (8-4) vs. #18 MISS STATE (8-4) – 12 p.m. ET,…

NFL Wild Card First Look; New Year’s Eve Bowls

Monday, December 31, 2018 at 12:00 AM

FIRST LOOK AT NFL WILD CARD WEEKEND ...PLUS, HERE'S THE NEW YEAR'S EVE BOWL MENU AND THE BOWL POINTSPREAD STANDINGS CHARTThere's gonna be plenty of time later this week to preview/analyze/chew on this weekend's NFL Wild Card Round playoff games but here's some quick-hitter comments on the Saturday/Sunday action that's coming up ...On Saturday, it's ...INDIANAPOLIS (10-6) at HOUSTON (11-5) - 4:35 p.m. ETThese AFC South rivals split their regular-season tilts - they each won by 3 points on the other guy's field - but is this a major disadvantage for the Colts having to play on the "short week"…

New Year’s Eve Bowl Schedule Ahead

Sunday, December 30, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 COLLEGE PLAYOFFS REWIND …PLUS, HERE’S THE NEW YEAR’S EVE BOWL MENUAND THE BOWL POINTSPREAD STANDINGS CHART The College Football Playoffs this past Saturday – maybe to no one’s real surprise – turned into an all-game victory parade for both #2 Clemson and #1 Alabama:Okay, so the ‘Bama Crimson Tide didn’t cover that whopping 15-point price tag in their 45-34 SU (straight-up) win against Oklahoma even though they galloped out to a 21-0 first-quarter lead – but there were few real dramatic moments in both playoff semifinal tilts and that seems to be the way things go since the CFP started back…

The College Football Playoffs!

Saturday, December 29, 2018 at 12:00 AM

3-0 In Friday's Bowl Games!Auburn crushing Purdue 63-14! Iowa State (+2.5) vs. Washington State 26-28 and UNDER 56!IT'S THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFFS - WE PREVIEW CLEMSON VS. NOTRE DAME, ALABAMA VS. OKLAHOMA PLUS, MORE SATURDAY BOWLS AND NFL WEEK 17 GOODIES TOOTHE COLLEGE PLAYOFFS COTTON BOWL - at Arlington, TX#3 NOTRE DAME (12-0) vs. #2 CLEMSON (13-0) - 4 p.m. ET, ESPNLet's face it ... getting to the College Football Playoffs is "old hat" for these Clemson Tigers who are 3-2 SU (straight-up) and 4-1 ATS (against the spread) in a handful of post-season games the past three years (Clemson…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting NFL Week 17

Friday, December 28, 2018 at 4:00 PM

Week 17 can be very tricky to evaluate. Sharps are betting based on news about which teams will be trying (or not). Sports books are known to “move on air” once that kind of news is made public. I’ll do my best to outline what’s probably going to happen between now and Sunday’s kickoffs.As always, games are presented in Nevada Rotation order. There are a lot of time changes this week because the league office tries to schedule meaningful games at the same time so one team doesn’t have an advantage in knowing what it “needs” to do over another…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Handicapping Football’s Final Four

Friday, December 28, 2018 at 12:00 PM

I’ve been giving a lot of thought to how to handicap Saturday’s college football Final Four matchups featuring Notre Dame vs. Clemson and Oklahoma vs. Alabama. I’m not going to post my official selections here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping. That’s not fair to clients. I will tell you what I believe to be the key to divining winners.You’ve surely noted the following similarities between these games.*Both point spreads are near two touchdowns*Both favorites have great defenses*Both underdogs have very productive quarterbacksIt’s not much of an oversimplification to say that the underdogs will cover if those…

The Friday Bowl Slate Plus Playoff Notes

Friday, December 28, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFFS - PLENTY MORE TO SAY ABOUT CLEMSON-NOTRE DAME, ALABAMA-OKLAHOMA, PLUS, THE FRIDAY BOWL MENU AND NFL WEEK 17 NEWS / NOTESThe clock keeps tick, tick, ticking on down to the kickoff of this year's College Football Playoffs ... is there gonna be an upset out there tomorrow as both #1 Alabama and #2 Clemson remain two-TD or so betting favorites for the Orange Bowl and Cotton Bowl, respectively?Well, we did a little digging here at Jim Sez and gotta tell y'all that the top-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide is a collective 13-0 SU (straight-up) and 8-5 ATS…

Here’s Today’s Bowl Menu -- With an Eye on Saturday’s Playoff Lines

Thursday, December 27, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL REPORT –WE’RE INCHIN’ CLOSER TO SATURDAY’SPAIR OF PLAYOFF GAMES PLUSHERE ARE THURSDAY’S BOWLS We are – give or take – about 48 hours away from the College Football playoffs pitting #2 Clemson against #3 Notre Dame (Cotton Bowl) and #1 Alabama versus #4 Oklahoma (Orange Bowl) and yet there’s been very little movement on the Las Vegas big board lately when it comes to these dynamic games:In fact, Clemson opened as an 11-point betting favorite and shot up to – 13.5 in the first few days – the Tigers have settled into being a 13-point fav even though…

Network Notebook: Handicapping the Final Four

Wednesday, December 26, 2018 at 3:00 PM

Though major conference teams are just now taking the field in the 2018-19 bowl season, the much-anticipated Final Four is fast approaching. Clemson vs. Notre Dame and Alabama vs. Oklahoma will be played Saturday afternoon and evening. You better get those games handicapped now so you’re not caught napping on game day.NETWORK’S market sources are telling JIM HURLEY that anything can happen in terms of line movement between now and kickoff. The public usually bets favorites in big games, and could still come in on Clemson and Alabama despite the high numbers. That said, Notre Dame and Oklahoma are both…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting Bowls and the Final Four

Wednesday, December 26, 2018 at 7:00 AM

I hope everyone had a wonderful Christmas. Bowl games are back on the schedule Wednesday with a tripleheader. On this report, I’ll cover all the college action for Wednesday through Saturday (including the two “Final Four” games Saturday afternoon and evening). Then I’ll be back at the usual time Friday afternoon to talk about the NFL. I’ll put together a special report Monday to cover all the college football action on New Year’s Eve and New Year’s Day.Are you ready for one of the most exciting football betting weeks of the entire year?! Wednesday: First Responder Bowl (in Dallas)BOSTON COLLEGE VS.…

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BOWLMANIA ROLLS ON THIS DAY-AFTER-CHRISTMAS

Tuesday, December 25, 2018 at 5:00 PM

Fifteen bowls down, twenty-five to go!Hey, no wonder they love to call this the "most wonderful time of the year" as we're really heating up with College Bowl Mania.In a moment or two we'll getcha the Three (3) College Bowl Previews set for this day-after-Christmas but let us not "bury the lead" here and that's the playoffs are here this Saturday with #2 Clemson (- 13) squaring off against #3 Notre Dame at 4 p.m. Eastern time in the Cotton Bowl followed by #1 Alabama (- 14) battling #4 Oklahoma at 8 p.m. ET in the Orange Bowl.Two absolute blowouts?…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Prepare for NFL Playoffs Now

Monday, December 24, 2018 at 11:00 AM

There will be a few games this coming weekend in the NFL with playoff ramifications. But, sports bettors already have a pretty good sense of which teams will be getting which seeds. To the degree there are question marks, they involve very few teams.That creates an opportunity for students here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping to get a head start on playoff preparations. Your assignment through the Christmas holiday is a fun one. I want you to sit down now, and determine what you think the point spreads will be for every possible playoff game.You can…

MNF Preview and Christmas NBA

Sunday, December 23, 2018 at 11:00 PM

HO-HO-HO - THE NFL WEEK 16 DELIVERS PLENTY OF "GIFTS" (YOU'LL SEE WHAT WE MEAN!)PLUS, WE SET THE CHRISTMAS DAY TABLE FOR YOU WHEN IT COMES TO THE NBA'Twas the night before Christmas and all thru the NFL's house, there were plenty of creatures stirring …  some were hungry for a playoff spot, others for a better post-season seed and some were downright greedy while looking for a #1 conference seed.Imagine that!In short, let's just say some NFL teams are gonna be enjoying this festive holiday week more than others - we can't imagine that it's going to be a…

NFL WEEK 16 - SUNDAYS KEY GAMES

Saturday, December 22, 2018 at 4:00 PM

As that old song went …It’s getting, it’s getting, it’s getting kinda hectic in the National Football League where – technically – 11 of the 13 games being played on Sunday have playoff-type implications. We’ll run thru a bunch of ‘em with quick-hitter comments below but first this important reminder:Jim Hurley’s Network of Handicappers and Bloggers have plenty of NFL Week 16 Side & Totals winners on this Sunday-before-Christmas – so go ahead and cash in big when you call us at the toll-free telephone # of 1-800-323-4453 or get ‘em online here online. And don’t forget that the College…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting NFL Week 16

Friday, December 21, 2018 at 4:00 PM

Two Saturday games once again this week. If you received a schedule printed early, be aware that Washington/Tennessee and Baltimore/LA Chargers are no longer on Sunday! Both Saturday games have playoff implications. Though, bettors don’t seem to think the Redskins have much of a chance to reach the postseason.Let’s get to it. Here’s how sharps (professional wagerers) have been betting this week’s NFL action. Sunday’s games are presented in rotation order. SaturdayWASHINGTON AT TENNESSEE: An opener of Tennessee -10.5 was bet down to the key number of 10, where it’s been painted ever since. That was mostly a value bet, figuring…

Saturday NFL and Bowl Previews

Friday, December 21, 2018 at 11:14 AM

GET READY FOR A MONSTER HOLIDAY WEEKEND!THERE'S NFL WEEK 16 BLOCKBUSTER GAMES ON TAP PLUS, A BATCH OF SATURDAY COLLEGE BOWLS TOO Hey, hope you've gotten all your holiday shopping done ... 'cause there's a whole lotta football to check out this weekend-before-Christmas and it starts with a pair of big-time NFL Week 16 games on Saturday. Here goes ...WASHINGTON (7-7) at TENNESSEE (8-6) - 4:30 p.m. ET, NFL NetworkGood luck trying to figure out this year's Tennessee Titans: Right now, they roll into this national TV tilt riding a three-game SU (straight-up) winning streak and riding the broad shoulders…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Favorites Dominating Bowls

Friday, December 21, 2018 at 11:00 AM

I had been leaning initially to devoting Friday’s coursework to the NFL. We just talked about college football this past Monday when I reviewed the thought process behind my 100-unit winner on Utah State over North Texas. But, a surprising development in the bowls has made it essential that we talk more about the bowls today.Favorites have won every game!We’re eight games into the 2018-19 bowl slate. Favorites are 8-0 straight up, 7-1 against the point spread. The only non-cover was by a half-a-point…and some bettors pushed that.I’m not here to tell you that favorites are going to keep it…

NFL Week 16 and Thursday-Friday Bowl Previews

Thursday, December 20, 2018 at 11:13 AM

OUR NFL WEEK 16 NOTEBOOK: WHY YOU CAN'T (AND SHOULDN'T) BURY NON-CONTENDERS WHEN YOU'RE WAGERING THIS WEEKEND ...COLLEGE BOWLMANIA: HERE'S THE THURSDAY/FRIDAY ACTIONDid you happen to notice something about last week's NFL action?Sure, NFL Week 15 featured 10 different "one-score" games including three one-point final scores in Kansas City, Denver and Buffalo and an overtime tilt tossed into the mix in San Francisco, but how about the fact that playoff non-contenders such as Tampa Bay (+ 9), San Francisco (+ 4) and Carolina (+ 6) all nabbed the cash in games played against playoff-bound / playoff-hopeful squads?What it goes to…

Network Notebook: NFL Passing Stats Way Down

Wednesday, December 19, 2018 at 11:00 AM

It’s gone largely unnoticed by the mainstream media. They love to hype big stats rather than wonder what’s happening when nobody’s moving the ball. Passing stats are WAY down in recent weeks in the NFL. It’s been obvious to statheads and fantasy football players. Did YOU notice?Remember when big passing stats were the norm back at the beginning of the season? Offseason rules changes had seemingly made it impossible to defend. Touch the quarterback, and that’s “roughing.” Get to close to a receiver, and that’s “defensive holding.” Make any contact when the ball is in the air, “pass interference,” which…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting This Week’s Bowls

Tuesday, December 18, 2018 at 1:00 PM

I’m posting earlier than normal this week because of all the weeknight bowls. Today I’ll talk about how sharps are betting all the bowl games from Tuesday through Saturday. There’s no Thursday night NFL this week…so I’ll cover the full pro football weekend in our standard Friday afternoon report. Tuesday: Boca Raton BowlNORTHERN ILLINOIS VS. ALABAMA-BIRMINGHAM: This could be a great game…a battle of conference champions. An opener of UAB -1 was bet up to UAB -2.5, but not to the key number of three. Northern Illinois would bring in a lot of sharp money at that price because it’s a…

NFL Stretch Run and More College Bowls

Tuesday, December 18, 2018 at 10:55 AM

Network Wins MNF Game of Year with Panthers (+6) over Saints 9-12! Goes 3-0 in Basketball with Thunder, Samford and New Mexico State!IT'S DOWN-THE-STRETCH TIME IN THE NFL AND WE'VE GOT  TOP 5 / BOTTOM 5 PONTSPREAD TEAMS, PLUS, THERE'S LOTS MORE TO CHEW ON ...COLLEGE BOWLMANIA ROLLS ON, PLUS, WE CHECK OUT THE BOWL POINTSPREAD STANDINGSHere's the deal: There are only two weeks remaining now in the 2018 NFL season and less than half the 12 playoff berths have been clinched - Kansas City and the Los Angeles Chargers know they're part of the post-season party in the AFC;…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Utah State Cashes for 100 Units

Monday, December 17, 2018 at 11:00 AM

Last Friday, I tried to step lightly around the fact that I was very confident about a 100-unit play I was releasing to clients Saturday. I was already planning this Monday tutorial because I knew Utah State (-7) was going to crush North Texas in the New Mexico Bowl.The final score was 52-13, and it wasn’t really that close. Utah State took its foot off the gas after jumping to a 38-7 halftime lead. Among the highlights…*Utah State won total yardage 556-313 despite relaxing. The Aggies might have gained 700 yards if there was any incentive to do so. There…

It’s Saints-Panthers to Cap Off Wild NFL Week 15

Monday, December 17, 2018 at 12:00 AM

   EXTRA, EXTRA:NFL WEEK 15 WRAPS UP WITHTONIGHT’S SAINTS VS. PANTHERS SHOWDOWNBUT WE’VE GOT A LOT TO SAY ABOUT SUNDAY’S ACTION TOO …IT’S CARDINALS, RAIDERS, J-E-T-S AT THE TOP OF THE2019 DRAFT (FOR NOW) …COLLEGE BOWL BONANZA:CHECK OUT OUR BOCA RATON BOWL PREVIEWFOR TOMORROW NIGHT Let’s get this straight …There already have been four division leaders that lost here in NFL Week 15 play -- and we ain’t finished yet as the NFC South-leading New Orleans Saints play a biggie at the fast-fading Carolina Panthers on Monday Night Football.Really, imagine if someone told you prior to the start of Sunday’s action that…

Here’s the NFL Week 15 Menu

Saturday, December 15, 2018 at 12:00 AM

Let's cut right to the chase with the NFL Week 15 menu:On this Saturday, it's ... HOUSTON (9-4) at NEW YORK JETS (4-9) - 4:30 p.m. ET, NFL NetworkThe Texans aren't getting to the enemy quarterback much lately (just two totals sacks in their last two games) but better believe they'll give rookie QB Sam Darnold plenty to think about here ... and think about this: Houston's a solid 21-15-1 ATS (against the spread) as betting favorites since the start of 2014.CLEVELAND (5-7-1) at DENVER (6-7) - 8:20 p.m. ET, NFL NetworkTruth be told, the Browns have enjoyed just one…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting NFL Week 15

Friday, December 14, 2018 at 4:00 PM

How about that Thursday night game?! Both the side and the total came down to the final moments in the Chargers/Chiefs thriller. You can imagine the tension in Las Vegas sports books. Then, the release of joy for Chargers and Over bettors, the cursing and misery for Chiefs and Under bettors. And, again, all the squares (public bettors) thinking they had a short cut by using KC in money line parlays started their week by swerving off the road.Don’t bet favorites in money line parlays! Even if they might make sense at the regular spread, they’re going to lose outright…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Time Proven Keys for Early Bowls

Friday, December 14, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Great to have a busy Saturday to kick off the 2018-19 college football bowl slate. As promised, I’m back to look at time-proven keys for handicapping the early bowl games.The most important factor…and this has always been true since the bowls began…is THE MOTIVATION FACTOR. You want to bet ON teams who are most excited to be there and who are focused on getting a result. You want to bet AGAINST teams who are disappointed to be in this particular bowl.Any team that has to “settle” for a bid to a lesser bowl is going to play at half-speed, maybe…

The Saturday Bowl Bonanza Rocks On

Friday, December 14, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 NFL WEEK 15 HAS INSTANT PRIME-TIME CLASSIC:IT’S CHARGERS 29, CHIEFS 28 …THE COLLEGE BOWL BONANZA –WE CHECK OUT THREE MORE SATURDAY TILTS Go for two with just four seconds left?Heck, why not if you’re the Los Angeles Chargers and you’ve lost nine a row to the Kansas City Chiefs. So, hats off to Chargers’ gutty head coach Anthony Lynn who took the challenge inside a noisier-than-you-can-believe Arrowhead Stadium and allowed 37-year-old QB Philip Rivers to lob the game-winning “two” to WR Mike Williams and thus knot up the AFC West:It’s Chargers 11-and-3; Chiefs 11-and-3 and the whole AFC playoff picture just…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting Late Week Football

Thursday, December 13, 2018 at 12:00 PM

More NFL to talk about than normal today, with a couple of Saturday games joining the Thursday nighter. I’ll run through sharp betting in those, along with the first six college football bowl games that kick off Saturday. Then, I’ll be back at the usual time Friday to run through the rest of the NFL.As always, games are listed in Nevada rotation order… Thursday NFLLA CHARGERS AT KANSAS CITY: Great game! This season’s much-improved Thursday night schedule has had a big impact on the bottom line at Las Vegas sportsbooks. Bigger handle on Thursday night’s than in the past without hurting…

Chargers vs. Chiefs Gets NFL Week 15 Jump-Started Tonite

Thursday, December 13, 2018 at 12:00 AM

NFL WEEK 15 GETS ROLLIN' WITH TONIGHT'S MARQUEE MATCHUP: IT'S CHARGERS-CHIEFS AND HOW TO WIN THE (AFC) WEST! ...COLLEGE BOWL BONANZA IS HERE - WE POUND OUT A PAIR OF PREVIEWS AS SATURDAY STARTS THE 40-BOWL FESTOkay, so here's the real lowdown while heading into tonight's must-see NFL Week 15 showdown between the visiting Los Angeles Chargers at the Kansas City Chiefs:For this season's first seven weeks of play, KayCee was outta sight ... the Chiefs won six of their first seven games SU (straight-up) and covered all seven games and that included a 38-28 win in Week 1 at…

Network Notebook: Handicapping “Minor” Bowls

Wednesday, December 12, 2018 at 1:00 PM

The college football bowl season officially gets underway this Saturday with five traditional “minor” bowls, and the recently added “Celebration Bowl” matching Alcorn State and North Carolina A&T. Always nice to have additional diversity for handicapping and betting purposes. (Though, don’t bet that game unless you know the teams!)JIM HURLEY won’t post any official selections here in the HANDICAPPING NOTEBOOK. That wouldn’t be fair to all the customers who signed up for the bowl package. But, he’s happy to provide general tips for handicapping all the pre-Christmas games that mostly feature teams from mid-major conferences like the Sun Belt, Conference…

What’s Ahead For Rest of this NFL ’18 Season

Tuesday, December 11, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NFL REPORT: WHAT'S STRAIGHT AHEAD THESE FINAL 3 WEEKS OF REGULAR-SEASON PLAY ...IT'S COLLEGE BOWLMANIA - AND WE'RE FEEDING YOU KEY SPREAD STATSJust in case you wanted to be precise, NFL teams have now played 81.3 percent of their regular-season schedule as we head towards a gigantic Week 15 beginning with Thursday Night's Los Angeles Chargers at Kansas City Chiefs ... and yet with less than 20 percent of the sked still straight ahead, there's precious little that's been decided: The aforementioned KC Chiefs have clinched a playoff berth in the AFC while the New Orleans Saints and Los…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Super Bowl Chase Tightens

Monday, December 10, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Earlier this season, it felt like the Los Angeles Rams and Kansas City Chiefs were on a collision course for the Super Bowl. Then, the New Orleans Saints replaced the Rams, New England started looking like its old selves on the scoreboard, and a little doubt was cast on who would play in the big game.With three weeks left in the regular season, there’s now A LOT of doubt about who will play in the big game.*The Los Angeles Rams continue to be overrated by the market (2-7-1 ATS their last 10 games), and unable to get meaningful scoreboard distance…

The Wild/Wacky NFL Week 14

Monday, December 10, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NFL REPORT - VIKES-SEAHAWKS WRAP UP A WILD WEEK 14 (SEE A PAIR OF OVERTIME GAMES PLUS SEVEN OUTRIGHT UPSET WINNERS!!!) ...THE HEISMAN TROPHY RESULTS: WHY THE VOTERS GOT IT ALL WRONGHey, do you know anyone out there in the wagering world that had a Miami Dolphins / Oakland Raiders money line parlay in Sunday's NFL Week 14 action?If you do, they're likely still sipping champagne after those crazy tilts - note the Dolphins were + 350 and the Raiders were + 425 - in their respective 34-33 and 24-21 wins against New England and Pittsburgh.It only seemed that…

NFL Week 14 Major Showdowns

Saturday, December 8, 2018 at 12:00 AM

NFL WEEK 14 - EXPECT PLENTY OF SUNDAY SLUGFESTSThis is what they like to call "crunch time" in the business:The NFL is in the final quarter of this here-and-now regular season - four games to go and plenty of playoff berths/positioning still up for grabs - and based on some recent history there's things to glean about individual teams when they get to this final "quarter" of the season:For example, the Dallas Cowboys are a collective 3-7-2 ATS (against the spread) in their final four games of a season the past three years;The Denver Broncos are just 4-8 versus the…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting NFL Week 14

Friday, December 7, 2018 at 4:00 PM

A lot of buzz here in Las Vegas about this particular NFL weekend. Some great matchups that will have playoff implications. I expect to see the most heavily bet NFL game of the season, in what might be the most active regular season pro football weekend of 2018.Games are presented in Nevada rotation order. Two kickoff times have been changed for television. SUNDAYBALTIMORE AT KANSAS CITY: An opener of Kansas City -7.5 has come down through the key number of seven to Baltimore +6.5. That’s a huge move because it broke through the seven and wasn’t bought back up. This shows…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: College Hoops Extravaganza

Friday, December 7, 2018 at 12:00 PM

I decided to devote today’s coursework to college basketball. There’s a fantastic schedule on Saturday because college football is off except for the Army/Navy game. Many teams you’ll be handicapping all through the new year into March Madness will be involved in “playoff style” matchups set up by TV networks.Among the Saturday highlights:Michigan State at FloridaKentucky vs. Seton Hall at MSGGeorgetown at SyracuseLouisville at IndianaWichita State vs Oklahoma in OKCWisconsin at MarquetteCreighton at NebraskaNotre Dame at UCLAThat’s not even the full list of interesting games. Here in Las Vegas, we’ll be paying attention to  UNLV at Illinois and a few…

NFL Week 14: It’s All About Revenge

Friday, December 7, 2018 at 12:00 AM

HERE'S THE SUNDAY SKED - IT'S NFL WEEK 14 AND IT'S ALL ABOUT THOSE "SECOND MEETINGS" ...PLUS, AN ARMY-NAVY PREVIEWThursday night's easy-as-pie 30-9 win/cover by the 5.5-point favorite Tennessee Titans over the downtrodden Jacksonville Jaguars - yes, we see you waving the white flag guys! - provided a glimpse into a so-called "second meeting" of the year between divisional rivals. In this particular case, score two straight for the Titans who also copped a 9-6 win as 10-point road underdogs way back in Week 3 action.Sometimes an NFL team gets revenge in these "second meeting" ... sometimes not so much!So,…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting Jags/Titans, Army/Navy + More

Thursday, December 6, 2018 at 1:00 PM

The “late-week” football schedule is quiet until the bowls. So, today’s report will focus on Thursday night NFL, Saturday’s Army/Navy game, and early betting in the most important bowl games that we’re all looking forward to. I’ll be back at the usual time Friday to run through the rest of this weekend’s NFL schedule. THURSDAY NFLJACKSONVILLE AT TENNESSEE: An opener of Tennessee -4 has been bet up to -5 or -5.5. depending on where you shop. We’re in the dead zone between the 3 and the 7, so there aren’t any “value” positions being taken in terms of key numbers. Sharps…

Jags-Titans Gets NFL Week 14 Off-and-Rolling

Thursday, December 6, 2018 at 12:00 AM

JAGS-TITANS GET THE NFL WEEK 14 SKED STARTED HERE ON THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL ...THE HEISMAN TROPHY UPDATE: WHO'S GONNA WIN (AND WHY)There's little doubt that the winner of the AFC South Division this year will be the club that resides deep in the heart o'Texas (see the 9-3 Houston Texans). But that doesn't mean everyone else in this 6-6 or worse division has thrown in the proverbial towel when it comes to the conference's two wild card spots.When the 6-and-6 Tennessee Titans host the 4-and-8 Jacksonville Jaguars in this latest edition of Thursday Night Football, we'll find out whether there…

RICHIE BACCELLIERI JUMPING ON ALL THE VEGAS MISTAKES…COLLEGE HOOPS RIGHT NUMBER ON 14-4 TEAR

Wednesday, December 5, 2018 at 3:55 PM

It never ceases to amaze and annoy me, how many otherwise savvy bettors pass up on basketball early in the season. Early in the season when the OPPORTUNITIES TO CASH IN ARE SO PREVALENT.   Remember, I spent almost 20 years MAKING THE LINE at Caesar’s, MGM Grand and The Palms. I knew every betting pattern of the public and made the lines which protected the house.Therefore, I know which teams they are overpricing and I know where all the bargain prices are. And when I add my College Basketball acumen to the formula it is no secret why I can…

Network Notebook: Why You Shouldn’t Bet Bowls Early

Wednesday, December 5, 2018 at 1:00 PM

College football bowl odds have been up for a few days now. You haven’t seen much line movement. That’s for a very good reason. Most smart bettors know you shouldn’t bet bowl games in early December!Why? Several reasons.*First, it’s very common for suspensions to take effect…sometimes with SEVERAL players on the same team! Maybe it’s for academic reasons. Maybe it’s for misbehaving on the bowl trip a couple of days before kickoff. Maybe it’s for mouthing off to the wrong coach at the wrong time. But, the worst thing that can happen to a bettor is placing a big early…

Bowl Talk Plus NFL Coaching Vacancies

Tuesday, December 4, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE COLLEGE BOWL SEASON IS STRAIGHT AHEAD - HERE'S SOME HANDICAPPING ANGLES THAT WE'LL BE CHECKIN' OUT IN SOME EARLY BOWL GAMES NFL NEWS & NOTESThe College Football Bowl Games have been announced - there's 40 of 'em in all even before we get to the National Championship Game from Santa Clara on the evening of Jan. 7, 2019 - and there's surely no shortage of handicapping angles as we approach these post-season bashes.So, let's spend some time skipping around to a batch of bowl games with just some of the "handicappable" items that we'll be applying this bowl season:SATURDAY,…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: NFL Shockers Stun Media

Monday, December 3, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Now that the mainstream media is paying more attention to point spreads and sports betting, they were in SHOCK at the number of upsets this past weekend in the NFL.Hey, a lot of us were caught by surprise by some of these results. But, the fact that there were upsets late in the season isn’t unheard of. Not every team that “needs” to win for playoff positioning has either the talent or motivation to perform at peak levels every week. Not every doormat is just going to lay down and let opponents walk all over them game by game.First, a…

’Skins vs. Eagles Put a Wrap on NFL Week 13 Action

Monday, December 3, 2018 at 12:00 AM

NFL WEEK 13 ROLLS ON WITH TONIGHT'S NFC EAST SHOWDOWN: IT'S 'SKINS VS. EAGLES PLUS SOME COMMENTARY ON SUNDAY'S ACTION ...THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFFS: OKLAHOMA WAS THE RIGHT CHOICE AT #4 BUT WHOLE PROCESS REMAINS A MESS!Okay, so whoever thought while heading into the final game of this NFL Week 13 menu that everyone in the NFC East would be looking up at the ... Dallas Cowboys?It's the strange-but-true world of this year's NFL 2018 season - hey, the Cowboys now have the second-longest SU (straight up) winning streak in the league at four in a row (behind Houston's amazing…

The NFL Week 13 Sunday Action

Saturday, December 1, 2018 at 12:00 AM

SUNDAY'S NFL WEEK 13 KEY GAMESHere's something you may want - or need - to know while heading into Sunday's sked of NFL Week 13 games:Nearly half of the 14-game card features road betting favorites - all told, there's six road favs including Indianapolis (- 4) at Buffalo, Carolina (- 3) at Tampa Bay, Chicago (- 3.5) at the New York Giants, Denver (- 5.5) at Cincinnati, the Los Angeles Rams (- 10) at Detroit and Kansas City (- 14.5) at Oakland. And note that earlier in the week the Baltimore Ravens were the betting favorites in Atlanta but that…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting NFL Week 13

Friday, November 30, 2018 at 4:00 PM

Some new quarterbacks in the NFL mix this week, which creates handicapping challenges for the general public. Sharps (professional wagerers) have ratings for all the backup quarterbacks so they’re prepared for late-season changes.Let’s see how the Wise Guys have been betting this weekend’s pro football action. Already a surprise in the books as the Dallas Cowboys upset the New Orleans Saints Thursday night. Games are presented in Nevada rotation order. SUNDAYINDIANAPOLIS AT JACKSONVILLE: Our first new quarterback is here at the top of the slate. Jacksonville has benched Blake Bortles (and fired the offensive coordinator!). Cody Kessler will get the start.…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Speed Thrills in Conference Championships

Friday, November 30, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Championship Week is about to begin in college football. There are two conference championships on the Friday night schedule (MAC and Pac 12), with most everybody else finishing out their seasons Saturday.The key point of emphasis for us today in my Advanced College of Sports Betting and Handicapping is SPEED. We’ve talked enough about PLAYMAKERS and GAMEBREAKERS in past coursework, as well as THE MOTIVATION FACTOR. You regular students have already handicapped this weekend’s slate from those perspectives.What bettors need to think more about in these games is the impact of SPEED in the neutral site games played indoors on…

College Football’s Championship Weekend

Friday, November 30, 2018 at 12:00 AM

LET'S GET IT ON!!! COLLEGE FOOTBALL'S CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WEEKEND IS UPON US AND WE'RE CASHIN' STARTING WITH TONIGHT'S PAC-12 TITLE BASH ... NFL POINTSPREAD UPDATESHey, the arguments/debates have been raging all week long ... will it be #5 Oklahoma or #6 Ohio State that lands the fourth and final berth in this year's College Football Playoffs (see Saturday, Dec. 29th) should top-ranked Alabama KO two-touchdown underdog Georgia in the SEC Championship Game?Or, are we headed for some really wacky scenario in which #4 Georgia, Oklahoma AND Ohio State each lose here on Championship Game weekend ... paging the UCF Knights,…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting Championship Week

Thursday, November 29, 2018 at 12:00 PM

This is one of my favorite weeks in all of sports betting. A great mix of major conference championships and exciting matchups from the mid-majors in college football. Today we’ll look at how sharps are betting Championship Week (after starting with tonight’s Saints/Cowboys game). I’ll finish up the NFL Friday afternoon at the usual time.As always, games are presented in the order they appear in the Nevada Rotation so you can make notes in your schedules. Thursday NFLNEW ORLEANS AT DALLAS: It’s been a tug-of-war all week between New Orleans -7 and Dallas +7.5. The quants like the Saints because their…

Can Saints Go Marching in For 10th Cover in a Row?

Thursday, November 29, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NFL WEEK 13 REPORT - SAINTS VS. COWBOYS KICK OFF A MONSTER GRIDIRON SKED ...MORE COLLEGE FOOTBALL CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP GAME KEY SPREAD STATS ...OUR HEISMAN TROPHY WATCH LIST: CAN SOMEONE JUST HAND TUA THE HARDWARE ALREADY?Wanna know why the New Orleans Saints (10-1) belong on the top of all those rather arbitrary NFL Power Ratings?Well, because they've won 10 in a row SU (straight up) following that season-opening shockeroo home loss against Tampa Bay and because they've covered their last nine games in a row ... take note that the next-best consecutive ATS (against the spread) mark is owned…

Network Notebook: Keys for Championship Week

Wednesday, November 28, 2018 at 1:00 PM

JIM HURLEY loves Championship Week in college football because the full force of NETWORK’S team handicapping approach comes into play. It really pays to be in the middle of an information hurricane when all the marbles are up for grabs in a championship scenario. Oddsmakers are too “locked in” to their full-season Power Ratings, and are too timid to make the right adjustments. Well-informed expert analysis has little trouble finding soft spots to attack.Obviously, we can’t go over EVERY edge and angle we’ve uncovered in this weekend’s games in a free web article. That wouldn’t be fair to paying customers.…

College Football’s Championship Weekend is Gonna Be a Blast

Tuesday, November 27, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL REPORT: GEARIN' UP FOR A MONSTER CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP WEEKEND ...NFL WEEK 13 NEWS & NOTESNo two ways about it ... Jim Hurley's Annual Thanksgiving Turkey Shoot was (once again!) a major success as we crushed Las Vegas with a slew of College Football and NFL Winners, but there's no time to gloat: The NFL Week 13 menu is straight ahead and this year there's an unprecedented 10 College Football Conference Championship Games on the docket - there's two on Friday night / 8 more on what's now a very busy Saturday. Okay, so with that in mind…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Handicapping the Big 10/ACC Challenge

Monday, November 26, 2018 at 11:00 AM

I’ve decided to pop in with a college basketball lecture today because of the importance of the annual Big 10/ACC Challenge that begins Monday night and runs through the week. We have several teams from both conferences who are making headlines in early action. Michigan State just won a tough four-team tournament played here in Las Vegas over the weekend. And, they weren’t even one of the teams people have been talking about!First, here’s the schedule, using the Nevada Rotation… MondayNebraska at ClemsonMinnesota at Boston College TuesdayIllinois at Notre DameVirginia Tech at Penn StateMichigan State at Louisville ***Pittsburgh at IowaNC State at…

Puttin’ a Capper on Jim Hurley Turkey Shoot

Monday, November 26, 2018 at 12:00 AM

IT'S TIME TO WRAP UP THE ANNUAL THANKSGIVING TURKEY SHOOTCATCH THE SIDE & TOTALS WINNERS OF TONIGHT'S TITANS-TEXANSPLUS, OUR TAKE ON NFL WEEK 12 AND THIS WEEKEND'S COLLEGE FOOTBALL CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIP GAMESShoot ... it's time to put the finishing touches on this year's Annual Jim Hurley Thanksgiving Turkey Shoot and whatta holiday weekend ride it's been: There's been monstrous NCAA Football winners with the likes of Washington (+3) over Washington State winning outright, 28-15; Baylor (+6.5) over Texas Tech outright, 35-24; and BYU (+10.5) snagging the all-important pointspread cover against long-time rival Utah in a 35-27 verdict. Plus, there's been…

NFL Week 12 -- Monster Games All Around During Turkey Shoot Weekend

Saturday, November 24, 2018 at 12:00 AM

NFL WEEK 12 SUNDAY GOODIES - AS JIM HURLEY'S ANNUAL TURKEY SHOOT ROCKS ONOkay, so NFL fans can't rely on either the Los Angeles Rams nor the Kansas City Chiefs for their pigskin entertainment here in Week 12 - they both have byes comin' off last Monday's wild/wacky 54-51 win/push by the Rams - but there's still plenty of goodies on the table ... and that reminds us:Jim Hurley's Network of Handicappers and Bloggers keep banging out lots of Football winners this holiday weekend with our latest Annual Jim Hurley Thanksgiving Turkey Shoot - hey, we take you right thru…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting NFL Week 12

Friday, November 23, 2018 at 4:00 PM

Hope you had a great Thanksgiving…and already got in your Friday exercise to burn off all those extra calories. Time to analyze how sharps (professional wagerers) have been betting the rest of this week’s pro football action. Note that only two teams had byes this week. Kansas City and the LA Rams are getting rest after what was supposed to be a Monday night game in Mexico. They still need it after that thriller in LA!Matchups below are presented in Nevada Rotation order so you can make notes in your schedule. SUNDAYJACKSONVILLE AT BUFFALO: An opener of Jacksonville -4 has been…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Should You Bet Parlays and Teasers?

Friday, November 23, 2018 at 12:00 PM

It’s been a long time since I talked about making anything besides straight bets here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting. Generally speaking, you shouldn’t worry about parlays and teasers if you’re in the early stages of your career as a sports bettor. And, you should only get involved minimally if you’re more experienced and trying to earn a living.In fact, one of the surest signs that a better is no longer a square (to use common industry parlance for the general public) and is getting more sharp is that they’ve trimmed parlays and teasers from their repertoire.Think of…

More Turkey Shoot Winners Ahead

Friday, November 23, 2018 at 12:00 AM

IT'S THE ANNUAL JIM HURLEY THANKSGIVING TURKEY SHOOT - HERE WE'RE GETTIN' YOU UP TO DATE WITH SATURDAY'S BIG COLLEGE GAMES PLUS AN NFL WEEK 12 GOODY TOOThe beat rolls on with great holiday football action all weekend long ...Jim Hurley's Network of Handicappers and Bloggers keep banging out lots of Football winners this holiday weekend with our latest Annual Jim Hurley Thanksgiving Turkey Shoot - there are four more days of winning gridiron selections from this day-after-Thanksgiving right thru Monday Night Football (that's Tennessee Titans at scorching-hot Houston Texans) - and you can really make your holiday a blast.…

Happy Thanksgiving -- And Welcome to Jim Hurley’s Annual Turkey Shoot

Thursday, November 22, 2018 at 12:00 AM

JIM HURLEY'S TURKEY SHOOT ROLLS ON - HERE ARE THE THANKSGIVING DAY/NITE GAMES AND FRIDAY'S KEY COLLEGE GRIDIRON TILTSHappy Thanksgiving, one and all!!! The Jim Hurley Network wishes you and yours a wonderful holiday weekend … and a big-time winning weekend too as there's loads of action from sea to shining sea. Now hear this …Jim Hurley's Network of Handicappers and Bloggers will be banging out lots of Football winners all this holiday weekend long with the latest Annual Jim Hurley Thanksgiving Turkey Shoot - that's five full days of winning gridiron selections from Thanksgiving right thru Monday Night Football…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting Thanksgiving Football

Wednesday, November 21, 2018 at 2:00 PM

Today we’ll cover sharp betting (smart money from professional wagerers) in all five Thanksgiving games, plus marquee matchups in college football Friday and Saturday. I’ll be back with you at the usual time Friday afternoon to look at the rest of the NFLGames are presented in the order they appear in the Nevada Rotation so you can make notes in your personal schedules. THANKSGIVING NFLCHICAGO AT DETROIT: An opener of Chicago -4 was bet down to -3 because quarterback Mitchell Trubisky will either play with a bad shoulder or miss the game. Right now, he’s expected to play. Chase Daniel is…

Network Notebook: Is “Need to Win” Overrated Over Thanksgiving?

Wednesday, November 21, 2018 at 10:00 AM

You’re about to be overwhelmed by media pundits and TV touts talking about how a team is a smart bet or has upset potential because they “need to win.” No doubt, SOME of those WILL be. They’ll rise to the occasional and get the job done. Will all of them?Hardly. The main problem with “need to win” teams this late in the season is that they many have flaws or they wouldn’t have such urgency in the first place. The New York Giants “need” to win to stay alive in the NFC East race. They’re 3-7! Many NFL teams are…

Looking Ahead to a Healthy Thanksgiving Menu -- and Lots of Annual Jim Hurley Turkey Shoot Winners!

Tuesday, November 20, 2018 at 12:00 AM

OUR NFL WEEK 12 THANKSGIVING DAY QUICK-HITTER PREVIEWS ...COLLEGE FOOTBALL NOTEBOOK: THE HEISMAN TROPHY LEADERS PLUS COLLEGE ACTION ON THE HOLIDAYOkay, so are points gonna be as plentiful on Thanksgiving Day in the three NFL games as they were in Monday Night's wild 54-51 win/push by the Los Angeles Rams over the Kansas City Chiefs? Stay tuned and let's just say that "over" winner for the public was as easy as pumpkin pie, eh? We're zooming in on what should be a great holiday weekend of NFL Week 12 and College Football and here's a quickie reminder ...We will be…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: How to Handicap Thanksgiving Football

Monday, November 19, 2018 at 11:00 AM

As promised, I’m going to talk today about how to handicap “holiday” week football games. I won’t get specific about individual teams because I need to protect that information for paying clients. (Thanks, by the way, to all of you who signed up for my 200-unit winner on Navy over Tulsa this past Saturday). I will focus on the elements of THE MOTIVATION FACTOR that typically loom the largest over Thanksgiving weekend.We’re going to see some extreme results this week. Teams who lack motivation against opponents that don’t get their juices flowing are going to miss the market by a…

NFL Week 11: Ready for Some Football? Chiefs-Rams Get MNF Stage

Monday, November 19, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NFL REPORT: CHIEFS-RAMS WRAP UP WILD WEEK 11 WITH SHOWDOWN IN HOLLYWOOD TONIGHT ...WHAT'S STRAIGHT AHEAD ON THIS ULTRA-BUSY HOLIDAY WEEK/WEEKEND INCLUDING THE JIM HURLEY ANNUAL THANKSGIVING TURKEY SHOOT ...COLLEGE FOOTBALL NOTEBOOK: LAYING OUT THE FBS PLAYOFF REAL SCENARIOSLet's call it the "NFL Game of the Year, Part II".After all, back on Nov. 4th the National Football League trotted out the Los Angeles Rams at the New Orleans Saints - see Saints 45, Rams 35 in a real doozy - in what was then hailed as the "Game of the Year" but now with this prime-time tilt this evening…

The NFL Week 11 Key Games

Saturday, November 17, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NFL WEEK 11 MENU - HERE'S WHAT LAS VEGAS "WANTS" YOU TO BET PLUS, A COUPLE OF QUICK-HITTER PREVIEWS AS WE CHECK OUT TEXANS-'SKINS AND EAGLES AT SAINTSOkay, so by now everyone's heard plenty about that three-week "run" where the books were the ones getting whacked by Joe Public - notice you didn't hear any whining from the desert last week, right?But the fact of the matter is that based on many of the prices, there are sides (we're convinced) that Vegas "wants" you to bet ... here's a couple of examples as we zoom into Sunday's NFL Week…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting NFL Week 11

Friday, November 16, 2018 at 4:00 PM

An intense start to the new NFL week with Seattle surviving the Green Bay Packers Thursday night 27-24. A lot of complaining in Las Vegas about officiating and Green Bay’s time management. At the end of the evening, it was sports books complaining the loudest. Everyone betting Seattle -2.5 won. Anybody betting the game day line on the key number of three was refunded for a push. Sportsbooks hate it when nobody loses!Now we move to the rest of the pro schedule to see how sharps have been betting. A whopping SIX bye teams this week! Those are: Buffalo, Cleveland,…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: NFL Litmus Tests

Friday, November 16, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Because so many bad teams have byes this week (New England is the only contender to get Sunday off, with the Bills, Browns, Dolphins, Jets and 49ers all staying home to watch great TV games with the rest of us), handicappers will have a prime opportunity to evaluate top playoff threats vs. quality opposition.It’s not quite the same as the playoffs, because a lot of non-playoff caliber teams will be exposed. But, the following games in particular will be true litmus tests for teams hoping to close strong.SundayDallas (4-5) at Atlanta (4-5)Tennessee (5-4) at Indianapolis (4-5)Houston (6-3) at Washington (6-3)Philadelphia…

The College Football Weekend Menu -- It’s Hot!

Friday, November 16, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  HERE’S COLLEGE FOOTBALL’SKEY WEEKEND PREVIEWS –HOW TO APPROACH AND ‘CAPTHESE MARQUEE MATCHUPS The College Football world is zooming full-speed ahead towards next month’s playoffs – see Saturday, Dec. 29th – but there’s plenty of “meat on the bone” when it comes to this 2018 regular-season sked … we’ll offer up some handicapping tips as we examine a batch of games on the Saturday docket. But first … Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers banged out plenty of winners last week/weekend and now we’re ready to roar with lots more gridiron goodies as NFL Week 11 rolls on … and…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting Late Week Football

Thursday, November 15, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Back for a new week of college and pro football. Today we’ll look at how sharps have been betting Thursday and Friday action, as well as marquee matchups in Saturday’s relatively soft schedule. I’ll be back with you Friday afternoon to study the rest of this weekend’s NFL.Games are presented in the order they appear in the Nevada Rotation so you can make notes in your personal schedules. THURSDAY NFLGREEN BAY AT SEATTLE: We had been painted Seattle -2.5 all week, but that moved to a solid three across the board this morning. You could take that two ways. Either sharps…

Packers at Seahawks Jump-Star NFL Week 11 Tonite

Thursday, November 15, 2018 at 12:00 AM

NFL WEEK #11 IS HERE - A PACKERS-SEAHAWKS QUICKIE PREVIEW ...CHECKIN' OUT THE "SLEEPER GAMES" ON NFL WEEK 11 & COLLEGE FOOTBALL ... PLUS, THIS WEEK'S HEISMAN TROPHY WATCH LIST WITH OUR ODDS TO WIN THE SHINY TROPHYEveryone knows the deal: NFL fans from sea-to-shining-sea are itching to get at Monday Night's showdown between the 9-and-1 Kansas City Chiefs at the 9-1 Los Angeles Rams (and thank goodness they won't be playing on that shabby field in Mexico City!) and the fact of the matter that prime-time tilt is one of only three NFL Week 11 games that will pit…

Network Notebook: Don’t Bet Hot/Cold Trends

Wednesday, November 14, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Many handicappers will be tempted to bet on the “red hot” Pittsburgh Steelers and New Orleans Saints this weekend. Both teams are enjoying long runs of success straight up and against the spread. Both proved last week that they’re playing at PEAK levels…each scoring more than 50 points!*Pittsburgh beat Carolina 52-21, gaining 457 yards on 7.9 yards-per-play. The Steelers scored touchdowns on all four journeys into the red zone…and had five touchdowns and a field goal coming on drives of 60 yards or more.*New Orleans won at Cincinnati 51-14, gaining 509 yards on 6.9 yards-per-play. The Saints scored touchdowns on…

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