Vegas Sports Masters Blog

Browns Roar Back for First Win in 635 Days!

New!

Friday, September 21, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE JIM SEZ WEEKEND UPDATE - BROWNS KICK OFF NFL WEEK 3 WITH A COME-FROM-BEHIND PRIME-TIME WIN (YES, A BROWNS WIN, WE SAID!) ...COLLEGE FOOTBALL'S OUTSIDE-THE-TOP-25 KEY MATCHUPSScore one for the Cleveland Browns ... and those Las Vegas numbers-crunchers that listed the Brownies as 3-point betting favorites prior to last night's come-from-behind 21-17 victory over the stumbling/bumbling New York Jets.If we told y'all during the week just how many folks told us the "wrong team was favored" then we'd be living in the French Alps but the fact is the Jets - playing a third game in 11 days -…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting Late Week Football

Thursday, September 20, 2018 at 1:00 PM

The late-week (Thursday/Friday) college football schedule is starting to pick up. So, my Thursday reports will now feature all Thursday and Friday board games (including the NFL). Then, I’ll come back at the usual time on Fridays to run through how sharps are betting Sunday and Monday action in pro football. THURSDAY NFLNY JETS AT CLEVELAND: Clear tug-of-war here between Cleveland -3 and the NY Jets +3.5. Most stores are settling at Cleveland -3 with -120 vigorish (you have to lay 12 to win 10 instead of the standard 11/10). The Jets +3 is even money at that price. A lot…

Jets at Browns Kick Starts NFL Week 4 Plus Our College Goodies

Thursday, September 20, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  IT’S JETS VS. BROWNS TO OPEN NFL WEEK 3 ACTION …THE COLLEGE GRIDIRON REPORT:OUR JIM SEZ TOP 10 PLUS MUCH MORE! Weeks before this here-and-now 2018 NFL season ever started, folks were wondering about just how the New York Jets would handle the start of their campaign:Three games in a span of 11 days would test any NFL team but this is a squad starting a 21-year-old quarterback – the youngest player ever to start at that position in league history – and that would be a major challenge but then the J-E-T-S pummeled TD-favored Detroit 48-17 in a Week 1…

Network Notebook: Public Falling Prey to Media Hype

Wednesday, September 19, 2018 at 1:00 PM

JIM HURLEY has a quick question for you. Would the #8 team in the country in college football only beat Ball State 24-16 and Vanderbilt 22-17 at home? Seems pretty insane, right? But, you know that happened. Notre Dame is the #8 team in the nation, despite not impressing in its last two home games.Michigan State? Carried a respectful ranking down to Tempe to face Arizona State. Went back to East Lansing with a loss. Most of the Big Ten has a result it’s embarrassed about. That’s the conference with the huge TV contracts with ESPN, ABC, and FOX. Notre…

College Football’s Perfect Spread Sides

Tuesday, September 18, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL REPORT - ALL HAIL THE 3-AND-OH SPREAD TEAMS …NFL NEWS & NOTES: GOING AGAINST LEAGUE'S FIRST-YEAR HEAD COACHES AIN'T GETTING YOU RICH!Okay, so we're quite sure it comes as no big surprise that everyone's #1 team in College Football - the Alabama Crimson Tide - is a perfect 3-0 ATS (against the spread) to start off this here-and-now 2018 campaign … but you might be a bit stunned to find some of the other teams that have roared their way out of the starting gate with 3-oh spread marks. Here's the rundown with some quick-hitter comments on…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Look for Rust after Hurricane Postponements

Monday, September 17, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Several college football teams endured an unscheduled week off when hurricane Florence stormed ashore in the Carolinas last week. Smart handicappers will anticipate rustiness from all programs involved in those postponements or cancellations.Why? Because an early-season break is the WORST possible time in the schedule in terms of developing rhythm, consistency, and confidence. Coaches learned this a few years ago. You long time bettors might recall that some coaches would delay the starts of their season thinking an extra week or practice would help. Others would take a break in Week Two or Week Three. What those coaches learned is…

Seahawks vs. Bears Wrap Up NFL Week 2 Play

Monday, September 17, 2018 at 12:00 AM

Network Hotline Sweeps 5-0 This Weekend! Blue Ribbon Adds 3 More WinnersTHE NFL WEEK 2 REPORT - COWBOYS CRUSH G-MEN ON SUNDAY NITE ... PLUS, OUR MNF PREVIEW: SEAHAWKS-BEARS WILL CLASH IN CHITOWN ...COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEKEND WRAPUP: MORE DOUBLE-DIGIT DOGS STEALING THE SHOWNo matter how you slice it, NFL Week 2 has been really rough on former Super Bowl-winning quarterbacks ... check it out:Five-time Super Bowl winner QB Tom Brady of the New England Patriots took more than a few hits in his team's 30-21 loss in Jacksonville;Two-time Super Bowl winner QB Ben Roethlisberger and his Steelers were beaten 42-37…

Key NFL Week 2 Tilts -- All Divisional Duels

Saturday, September 15, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE JIM SEZ WEEKEND UPDATE: NFL WEEK 2 / KEY PREVIEWS AHEADJim Hurley Early Sunday NFL Line BusterThe Wise Guys are pounding this game NOW! So should you! Bet this early Sunday NFL play early and often, and take advantage of the line before it moves.Click Here, the pick is available right now for just $10.Let's stay on our little topic of divisional matchups and examine some of Sunday's biggest rivalry games:NFL WEEK 2 CAROLINA (1-0) at ATLANTA (0-1) - 1 p.m. ET, FoxThe Falcons have been chomping at the bit following that sloppy 18-12 loss in Philly back on…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting NFL Week 2

Friday, September 14, 2018 at 3:00 PM

Time to look at how the Wise Guys have been betting this weekend’s NFL. I’ll run through all the matchups in official Nevada Rotation order so you can make notes in your schedules. SUNDAYINDIANAPOLIS AT WASHINGTON: An opener of Washington -4.5 has been bet up to -5.5. Stores testing six (a key number, though not as important as three or seven) do see Colts money come in. That could mean a tug-of-war between Washington -5.5 and Indy +6 through the weekend. Sharps who liked the Redskins got in early at -4.5 and -5. Dog lovers will take the full six whenever…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: NFL Rules Changes Have Helped Scoring

Friday, September 14, 2018 at 12:00 PM

In recent weeks we’ve been discussing how the evolution of pro football might help or hurt scoring totals in the 2018 season. I’ve given homework that would help you handicap in either direction. Now 17 games into the new season, it looks like scoring is going to be helped…at least until more quarterbacks get injured!Here were the two competing points of view:*Scoring would be HELPED because rules changes involving illegal hits were doing to discourage defenses from playing too aggressively. That would open up the field for more pass completions. And, it would also increase the number of penalties that…

Bengals Snag NFL Week 2 Win /Cover; Key College Games Ahead

Friday, September 14, 2018 at 12:00 AM

Jim Hurley Piles Up the Prime Time Profits!Won Monday Night with Rams (-4) over Raiders 33-13 and Thursday Night with Bengals (+1) over Ravens 34-23 NFL WEEK 2 IS HERE - AND THE BENGALS KICK IT OFF WITH A 34-23 WIN/COVER AGAINST THE RAVENS ...COLLEGE FOOTBALL'S SATURDAY SIX-PACK: #4 OHIO STATE VS. #15 TCU HEADLINES MONSTER WEEKEND THAT ALSO FEATURES #12 LSU AT #7 AUBURNAs we informed you in an earlier-week Jim Sez column, NFL Week 1 divisional dogs went a sweet 4-0 against the prices and, well, they're at it again!In last night's NFL Week 2 lid-lifter, the 1-point home…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting Thursday/Saturday Football

Thursday, September 13, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Back for the first of two reports this week on how sharps are betting. Today we’ll study Thursday night action and marquee matchups in Saturday’s colleges. Then, I’ll return at the usual time Friday afternoon to study the rest of the pro football slate.THURSDAY NFLBALTIMORE AT CINCINNATI: As I write this, the market can’t make up its mind on who should be the 1-point favorite! Baltimore opened there…but Cincinnati money comes in at that price. Stores that go all the way to Bengals -1 get Ravens money. Many stores are at pick-em. I honestly have no idea where this is…

Ravens-Bengals Kick Off NFL Week 2 Action

Thursday, September 13, 2018 at 12:00 AM

READY OR NOT, NFL WEEK 2 SWINGS INTO ACTION WITH A THURSDAY NIGHT SHOWDOWN THIS EVENING: IT'S RAVENS AT BENGALS IN AFC NORTH TOSS-UP BASH ... THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL UPDATEHere's an NFL pointspread ditty that might have slipped through the cracks in Week One - and that's same divisional underdogs swept the board with a perfect 4-and-oh pointspread mark as Cleveland (+ 3.5) over Pittsburgh, Tampa Bay (+10) over New Orleans, Kansas City (+ 3.5) over the Los Angeles Chargers and Chicago (+ 7) over Green Bay all cashed with - of course - the Bucs and Chiefs winning easily…

NFL Changes on the Horizon by Jim Feist

Thursday, September 13, 2018 at 12:00 AM

There is a changing of the guard in the NFL.  Not only are the seven new head coaches to start this season, there are also new quarterbacks ready to take over.  In addition, there are a few aging QB’s ready to step down within a few years, if not sooner.Football NFL style is a very physical game. Careers can end with one hit.  How long can we expect to see Tom Brady, Drew Brees and Aaron Rodgers hang around? Yes, Tom Brady just said he would like to play another five years. I know the money is good but, they…

Network Notebook: New NFL Coaches Struggled in Week One

Wednesday, September 12, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Here’s a complete list of all the first-year head coaches that won their regular season debuts last week in the NFL. Ha! That was it. There’s no list! All seven new head coaches (counting Jon Gruden in his first year back after a very long layoff) lost straight up. Only one was able to cover the point spread.In schedule order…Indianapolis (Frank Reich) lost to Cincinnati 34-23NY Giants (Pat Shurmur) lost to Jacksonville 20-15Tennessee (Mike Vrabel) lost to Miami 27-20Arizona (Steve Wilks) lost to Washington 24-6Chicago (Matt Nagy) lost to Green Bay 24-23 (only cover!)Detroit (Matt Patricia) lost to the NY…

NFL Week 2 Favorites -- Are You Paying Too Much With Atlanta, Pittsburgh and N’Orleans?

Tuesday, September 11, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  NFL WEEK 2 IS STRAIGHT AHEAD –NOW WILL YOU BE LAYING “TOO MANY POINTS”WITH DESPERATE FALCONS, STEELERS & SAINTS? …THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL REPORT:OUR JIM SEZ TOP 10 PLUS A WHOLE LOT MORE Don’t dare tell us that folks – including the ones in Las Vegas – don’t “overreact” after NFL Week 1 games have been played!Heck, you would think the world is coming to an end if you listened to fans of the Atlanta Falcons, Pittsburgh Steelers and New Orleans Saints – none of whom won (or cashed) in their respective season-opening tilts and do keep in mind that Pittsburgh’s 21-all…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: 200-unit Winner on Boise State!

Monday, September 10, 2018 at 7:00 AM

Normally I’m not one to review my winners from the prior weekend here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping. But, my first major release of the 2018 football season provides such a great tutorial in itself, that I really must.Boise State (-31) over Connecticut 62-7 was a harmonic convergence of everything I stand for as a handicapper. This was one of those games where I truly believed I had a 100% chance of winning straight up, and a 90% chance of covering the spread. That may strike some of you as unbelievable given the point spread. We…

Mr. Rogers Strikes Up Week 1 Non-Cover Win in GB; Plus MNF’s Big Night

Monday, September 10, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  NFL WEEK 1 UPDATE –WE LOOK BACK AT PACKERS’SCINTILLATING COMEBACK WIN AT LAMBEAU(AND THE EFFECT IT WILL HAVE ON THE BEARS)PLUS LOOK AHEAD TO TONIGHT’S MNF TWIN-BILL Please don’t sit there and tell us you currently have big NFL wagers on the likes of New Orleans, Pittsburgh and/or Chicago in “over” wins-for-the-season, okay?The fact of the matter is NFL Week 1 was extremely painful for anyone in that boat to say nothing of the fact that Bears’ fans can’t be blamed for feeling sick to their collective stomachs following last night’s 24-23 loss-but-cover at 7-point favorite Green Bay.Sure, following that epic…

It’s NFL Week 1 Wall-to-Wall Action

Saturday, September 8, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  NFL WEEK 1 –QUICK-HITTER REVIEWSON A BATCH OF SUNDAY SHOWDOWNS Here’s something that may surprise you:Last year in NFL Week 1 play there were only three games that finished with a one-score margin of victory … something is telling us there’s gonna be a whole lot more “close calls” in the opening week of NFL play this time around.Heck, already we had that down-to-the-wire finish the other night when the defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles nipped the Atlanta Falcons 18-12 and just go ahead and look at the pointspreads for the remainder of this NFL Week 1 card and you’ll…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting NFL Week 1

Friday, September 7, 2018 at 3:00 PM

Now that the NFL has started, we’re back to our usual schedule focusing on how sharps (professional wagerers) are betting Sunday and Monday pro football action. I always take the games in official Nevada Rotation order so you can make notes in your schedules. SUNDAYPITTSBURGH AT CLEVELAND: Of course, in this first week, we’ll be talking about line moves that started MONTHS ago when lines first went up. That will be a bit tricky in some spots. Sharps may have liked one team at one price in July and another at a different price yesterday. This game opened at Steelers -7…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Many NFL Offenses Not Ready

Friday, September 7, 2018 at 1:00 PM

If we learned anything from Thursday night’s season opener in the NFL, it’s that many offenses aren’t ready for the start of the new season. They didn’t get enough reps in August exhibition games. They blew off their dress rehearsals, or only went hard for a quarter. They worried more about keeping everyone healthy than preparing for real time action.I can understand an emphasis on health. Everybody saw Green Bay fall off the map last year when Aaron Rodgers got hurt. Atlanta kept Matt Ryan bottled up in August because they don’t think they can make the playoffs with Matt…

NFL Week 1: What Else is New as Atlanta Melts Down at Crunch Time

Friday, September 7, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 FLY, EAGLES, FLY:DEFENDING CHAMPS PULL ANOTHERPHILLY SPECIAL IN GRITTY 18-12 WINTO KICK OFF NFL ’18 CAMPAIGNAS FALCONS MELT DOWN (AGAIN) …THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL REPORT:HERE’S FIVE TOP GAMES ON THESATURDAY GRIDIRON MENU Talk about the same old song!The Atlanta Falcons – the NFL’s kings of close / heart-break losses – did it again to start this here-and-now 2018 NFL season with last night’s 18-12 loss at the 1-point home underdog Philadelphia Eagles … just hope your life is never really on the line when the Falcs make it to the red zone late in a close game!Last night QB Matt Ryan and…

NFL Division Breakdowns by Jim Feist

Friday, September 7, 2018 at 12:00 AM

The NFL is back, and I wanted to look at each division, give you my picks in those divisions, the conferences and who I expect to be in this year’s Super Bowl.AFC North: The Ravens could unseat the Steelers in the division. I do prefer coach Harbaugh over Tomlin even though the Steelers might be the better team. With Bell not answering the bell, so to speak, the Steelers take a major hit until he returns. Does this open the door for the Browns or the Bengals to sneak into the mix? I won’t go that far, but I will say I…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting Marquee College Games

Thursday, September 6, 2018 at 2:00 PM

Before we take a look at the biggest TV games on Saturday, let’s start with the important line movement in Thursday night’s NFL season opener matching the Atlanta Falcons and Philadelphia Eagles. I delayed release of this report on Thursday because some stores had made the Falcons a favorite! THURSDAY NFLATLANTA AT PHILADELPHIA: This game sat on Philadelphia -4 or -3.5. all summer. When it was confirmed Carson Wentz wouldn’t be able to return…on the heels of a dismal preseason performance for the Eagles…the line dropped through the key number of three all the way to Philly -2. That’s a HUGE…

Falcons-Eagles Collide to Kick Off Here-and-Now NFL ’18 Season

Thursday, September 6, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE NFL IS BAAAACK!FALCONS VS. EAGLES KICKS OFFTHE 2018 CAMPAIGN TONIGHTPLUS, WE HAVE THE SUPER BOWL 53WIN IT ALL ODDS TOO! …THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL REPORT Allow us to turn back the calendar pages for a moment:Last year on the eve of the 2017 National Football League season, the Philadelphia Eagles were listed at + 3600 to win the Super Bowl:In other words, if you risked $100 on Philly, you won $3,600 and let us remind y’all that half the league – that’s 16 teams in all – had shorter win-it-all prices in Las Vegas than did those Eagles.Get to the here-and-now…

Network Notebook: Keys to Success in NFL Season Openers

Wednesday, September 5, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Last week at this time, we talked about how to handicap season openers in college football. We hope you took that advice to heart. We might as well have written the Saturday script for you on Wednesday! We also hope you took that opportunity to sign up with JIM HURLEY for a full season of BIG, JUICY WINNERS.Now, the companion piece. The keys to success for handicapping and betting season openers in the NFL.*First, you need to focus very intently on the battle between starting quarterback and opposing defense. Games will be decided by THIS more than anything else. Can…

The Jim Hurley Network Rocks Vegas -- Again!

Tuesday, September 4, 2018 at 12:00 AM

VIRGINIA TECH FLOORS FLORIDA STATE 24-3 TO CAP INCREDIBLE FIRST WEEK OF COLLEGE FOOTBALL FOR THE JIM HURLEY NETWORK ...MORE COLLEGE FOOTBALL: FAVS/DOGS BREAK ALMOST DEAD-EVEN IN FIRST WEEK BUT WHAT'S AHEAD HERE FOR TROUBLED MICHIGAN PLUS OUR WEEKLY JIM SEZ TOP 10 ... AND OUR NFL WEEK 1 GOODIES TOOAs they say in the business, it doesn't get any better than that!The Jim Hurley Network really / truly rock-n-rolled the wagering world right out of the proverbial starting gate with a spectacular opening holiday weekend that featured outright underdog winners by Cincinnati (+ 14.5) over UCLA and BYU (+…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: More Work on College Quarterbacks

Monday, September 3, 2018 at 12:00 PM

In our last class get-together, I provided you with four quadrants for classifying college football quarterbacks based on their ability to move the ball…and their ability to avoid turnovers. If you missed that class day, please go back in the archives now and study the discussion. As I was watching high profile games this past weekend, it occurred to me that we need to add an extra dimension to that analysis.The ability to perform vs. pressure!If you watched Michigan/Notre Dame and Miami/LSU (along with several others I’m sure), you noticed that the losing quarterbacks put up a lot of yardage…

Jim Hurley Knocks ’Em Dead in College Football Opening Week

Monday, September 3, 2018 at 12:00 AM

JIM HURLEY'S NETWORK SMOKES 'EM - FIRST FULL WEEK OF COLLEGE FOOTBALL IS A SLAM-BANG AFFAIR WITH TONS OF WINNERS!!! ...PLUS, WE RECAP HOLIDAY WEEKEND WINS BY #25 LSU, #9 AUBURN & #12 NOTRE DAME AND TONIGHT'S ACC SHOWDOWN BETWEEN #20 V-TECH AT #19 FLORIDA STATE ...NFL WEEK ONE STRAIGHT AHEAD: FALCONS-EAGLES GETS IT JUMP-STARTED THURSDAY NITEGo ahead ... you can take LSU head coach Ed Orgeron off that "hot seat" already.The embattled boss-man of the Bayou Bengals was all smiles following Sunday night's rollicking - and never/ever in doubt - 33-17 win against 3-point favorite Miami in Arlington as…

College Football Odds & Ends This Holiday Weekend

Saturday, September 1, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  EXTRA, EXTRA:COLLEGE FOOTBALL STEALSTHE SHOW THIS HOLIDAY WEEKEND It’s truly a slam-bang first weekend of this College Football Season when you stop to consider the following:There are a dozen head coaches making their debuts at new Power Conference schools and we ain’t expecting long “honeymoon” periods for the likes of UCLA’s Chip Kelly, Arizona’s Kevin Sumlin and Nebraska’s Scott Frost … in other words, you’re all twin-figure betting favorites for your weekend games here and the alumni (wink, wink) really would like to see some lopsided scores put up on the board.There’s also some national powers away from home this very…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting Marquee Matchups

Friday, August 31, 2018 at 1:00 PM

From this point forward, Friday’s will be reserved for our sharp reports for weekend NFL. This week, we look at marquee matchups in college football. Beginning next week, our Thursday report will cover Thursday Night football and the college blockbusters.As always, I look at the games in official rotation order…SATURDAYTEXAS AT MARYLAND: Earlier this summer, Texas opened up around -8 or -9. At lot has happened since then, particularly with Maryland’s program in turmoil because of off-the-field occurrences. Texas is up to -13.5 as I write this, with some stores testing -14. Sharps aren’t currently laying the points with the…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: A Shortcut for Classifying Quarterbacks

Friday, August 31, 2018 at 10:00 AM

As I was watching Northwestern/Purdue Thursday night on ESPN, it occurred to me that I could present to you an easy but useful way to evaluate and categorize college football quarterbacks. We’ve talked a lot over the years about how to focus on talent and GAMEBREAKING ability. And, we’ve also talked about the importance of avoiding turnovers. Today, we discuss an easy method for categorization that you can use as “homework” as you watch games all weekend.These are the two basic questions you should ask of every quarterback:*Can he move the ball downfield?*Can he avoid turnovers?Some college quarterbacks drive the…

Northwestern Win Gets Holiday Weekend Off and Runnin

Friday, August 31, 2018 at 12:00 AM

IT'S A MONSTER LABOR DAY WEEKEND FOR THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL KIDS - WE'VE GOT QUICK-HITTER PREVIEWS/KEY SPREAD STATSOkay, so everyone into the pool!Yes, indeed, each and every one of the Associated Press Top 25 college football teams is in action during this jam-packed Labor Day weekend - last night #21 UCF obliterated UConn 56-17 behind five TD passes by QB McKenzie Milton to ick-start the whole dang holiday -- and you better believe there are lots of other ranked teams out there looking to "make a statement" and scale their way up the charts ... we're thinking #9 Auburn (vs.…

College Football, NFL Preseason Week 4 Action Tonight

Thursday, August 30, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL UPDATE:FIRST FULL WEEK KICKS OFF TONIGHTWITH A KEY BIG 10 GAME LEADING THE CHARGE …THE NFL PRESEASON WEEK 4 REPORT Okay, College Football fans, it’s time to hunker down for this here-and-now 2018 season.Sure, they played a few games last Saturday night to whet the proverbial appetite but right now we’re looking at a grand total of 44 games between this evening through Labor Day Monday and gotta say we’re particularly intrigued by tonight’s Big 10 showdown between Northwestern at 1-point betting fav Purdue. The N’western Wildcats have been taking the loot – Purdue opened as a 3-point…

Network Notebook: Keys to Success in College Football Openers

Wednesday, August 29, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Though the 2018 college football season officially began last week with a handful of games, the REAL start to the season is upon us, with a massive slate of games just about to kick off. There are matchups worth your betting attention as early as Thursday and Friday. And, then true bowl-caliber (and maybe Final Four caliber) blockbusters Saturday. Of course, it’s Labor Day Weekend, which means TV specials Sunday and Monday as well.JIM HURLEY loves handicapping early season football because that’s when the lines are most vulnerable to INFORMATION. Oddsmakers will never be more out of touch than they…

College Football is Back and It’s Full-Steam Ahead

Tuesday, August 28, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL REPORT:THE KIDS ARE ALRIGHT AS WE INCHCLOSER TO A JAM-PACKED LABOR DAY WEEKENDPLUS, OUR FINAL CONFERENCE-BY-CONFERENCE LOOKS TOO! …THE NFL NOTEBOOK:WE HAVE FANTASY “ADVICE” DURING DRAFT WEEK Just in case you’ve been too busy planning out the holiday weekend barbecue ahead, let us be the first to tell y’all that there are some 44 College Football games on this Labor Day Weekend menu – and better believe there are some real marquee matchups on the docket including #6 Washington vs. #9 Auburn (in Atlanta) and #14 Michigan at #12 Notre Dame (a prime-timer on NBC) on Saturday plus…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Dress Rehearsals Were Awful!

Monday, August 27, 2018 at 4:00 PM

I have to say that was one of the worst weekends of pro football I’ve ever watched in my life. Yes, I know it was the preseason…but it was the worst week of preseason football I’ve ever watched in my life!At least, in earlier exhibitions this month you got the sense that many players were fighting to win jobs. Even if they knew they were destined to be cut (or squeezed out) by their current team, they could latch on elsewhere. Remember all those high scoring early games with second, third, and fourth-team quarterbacks putting up big numbers.But, when it…

Richie Baccellieri: Two Surprises Kick Off College Football Season

Monday, August 27, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Generally speaking, my football articles will be looking forward through this coming season. Starting next week, Thursdays will focus on how sharps are betting the Thursday and Friday action, plus select marquee matchups in college football Saturday. Then, our traditional Friday report (popular for years under different authors) will look at how sharps are betting the rest of that week's NFL action.This is our final week in the summer schedule...so, our last Monday report for awhile. I wanted to spend today talking about how far off the betting markets were for the first two games of the college season. A…

NFL Preseason Pointspread Goodies Plus More!

Sunday, August 26, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NFL PRESEASON NOTEBOOK: GOING 'ROUND THE LEAGUE AFTER "DRESS REHEARSAL" WEEK ...THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL REPORT: TIME TO TACKLE THE SEC AND THE AAC WITH A FULL SLATE OF NCAA GAMES AHEAD!Okay, so you've probably heard those TV/radio commercials regarding investment houses that like to claim "past performances are not always an indication of future results" but just thought we'd let you know that NFL Preseason Betting Favorites exited the Week 3 games at 18-27-2 ATS (against the spread) with a pair of Pick 'Em games.Folks, that means NFL Preseason Underdogs have been winning at a nifty .600 clip ...…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Are You Ready for College Football?

Friday, August 24, 2018 at 12:00 PM

If you’re only half-paying attention to the sports schedule, you may not be aware that college football starts this Saturday with a pair of games in my half of the country. Wyoming is a road favorite at New Mexico State in a game that’s been time changed to evening for ESPN2. Hawaii is a two-touchdown road underdog at Colorado State on CBS Sports Network.Are you ready to pick those games? Are you ready to pick the games that will be played next week? The first full week of action runs from Thursday night through Labor Day evening. If you’ve been…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting the NFL Dress Rehearsals

Thursday, August 23, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Once the regular season starts, we’ll be back to the normal schedule studying how sharps (professional wagerers) have been betting important college games and the NFL. I definitely wanted to do that for the preseason dress rehearsal games too. Those start TONIGHT, so let’s get busy. THURSDAY’S GAMEPHILADELPHIA AT CLEVELAND: Cleveland went up at -2 initially. That went up to as high as -3.5 before it was clear that Nick Foles was going to play for the Eagles. That brought the line back down to -3. But…sharps like the Browns on the key number, and have driven the line back up…

Network Notebook: What to Look For in Dress Rehearsals

Wednesday, August 22, 2018 at 7:00 AM

A lot of people want to tell you how to bet this week’s dress rehearsal games in the NFL preseason. JIM HURLEY’S NOTEBOOOK has been there…done that…and has nothing new to say on the matter because the fundamentals don’t change. What we taught you five years ago, or 10 years ago still holds true. But, what to LOOK FOR in these matchups…and how to use that information once the regular season starts? That’s helpful to handicappers who want to get a head start on analyzing the 2018 pro football campaign. That’s something you can focus on this week as you watch…

Richie Baccellieri: Building your NFL Power Ratings

Monday, August 20, 2018 at 4:00 PM

The great thing about studying betting markets during dress rehearsal week is that you get to see how oddsmakers (by way of opening lines) and sharps (by way of early betting) are viewing team quality entering the regular season.This will help you build your own Power Ratings for teams. If your own evaluations seem off…you’re probably wrong (at least a little bit)…and should consider shading your numbers in the direction of the market. If you’re in synch…you’re ready to start digging deeper to find situational or stat angles that might help you find betting value each week.Of course, the problem…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Handicapping NFL Dress Rehearsals

Monday, August 20, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Though KELSO STURGEON is always very serious about handicapping, it’s time for YOU to really get focused in these final days of August, 2018. The arrival of dress rehearsal week in the NFL preseason is the sign on the calendar that REAL football is about to begin.*NFL teams will be going at it for at least a half at regular season intensity THIS week.*We also have a couple of regular season college football games THIS week.*Next week, almost EVERYONE in college football is in action. Sure, there are some cupcake games. But, bowl caliber showdowns are also on that first…

More NFL Preseason Week 2 Tilts -- Including Bengals-Cowboys

Saturday, August 18, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NFL PRESEASON WEEK 2 WEEKEND UPDATE ... PLUS, IT'S THE MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCESo, just in case it's too hot or too stormy out there for you at the start of this summer weekend, there's back-to-back-to-back-to-back NFL Preseason Week 2 games "on the tube" for your viewing pleasure on this Saturday and we'll be glad to get y'all quick-hitter previews just below but first this reminder ...Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers keep bashing the books this NFL Preseason with lots more winners straight ahead as this week's card continues with Seven (7) games on the Saturday menu…

Richie Baccellieri: Sharps Winning in NFL by Studying Backup QB’s

Friday, August 17, 2018 at 3:00 PM

If you’ve been following the NFL betting markets this week, you’ve seen some major line moves already come through. Two steamed favorites won Thursday night (New England and Green Bay). Steamed totals did well. Sharps are making the right moves at the right times.I’m hearing from my sources, and noticing on my own, that many of these moves are connected to expectations for backup quarterbacks.*If sharps (professional wagerers) are expecting production from the backups, particularly with A LOT of passing, then they’re betting that team and/or the Over.*If sharps are expecting unimpressive play with a lot of incomplete passes and…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Prepare for a Wild NFL Season

Friday, August 17, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Just 20 games into the 2018 exhibition season, it’s become very clear that this is going to be a wild NFL campaign. Many teams are going to become even more pass-heavy than they already were on offense. Defenses have to back off because they don’t want to get penalties for illegal hits. Things are about to get messy!That doesn’t mean EVERY game is going to see 90 or more combined passes (Eagles/Pats made it to 91 total passes Thursday night), or that EVERY game is going to fly Over its total (Green Bay beat Pittsburgh 51-34 Thursday night, going over…

2018 College Football’s Top 21-40 By Jim Feist

Friday, August 17, 2018 at 12:00 AM

2018 College Football’s Top 21-40By Jim FeistIt’s time to kick off a new football season!  College football begins on August 25, so here’s a look at the top teams, starting with my top 21-40.  I have the odds to win the NCAA Championship next to team name (if they have odds) and the odds to win their respective conference championship next to that.  Let’s get started with teams 40 through 21.40.  Georgia Tech: 50/1 ACCReturning Starters: 13 (8 offense, 5 defense, 1 QB)Last Year’s Record: 5-6Projected Finish: 6-6The ACC is one of the tougher FBS conferences with Boston College, Clemson,…

NFL Preseason Week 2: Foles Injury Plus Five Games Tonight

Friday, August 17, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  NFL PRESEASON WEEK 2 –THURSDAY RE-CAPS PLUS TONIGHT’S TILTS TOO …COLLEGE FOOTBALL CONFERENCE UPDATES:IT’S THE SUN BELT This just in:The defending Super Bowl champions may need a “Philly Special” should QB Nick Foles be out for any prolonged period of time. Last night Foles suffered a now much-discussed shoulder sprain in that 37-20 loss at 4.5-point favorite New England and we’ve already witnessed those video clips of one-time Eagles’ starting QB Carson Wentz (and he doesn’t appear to be very mobile now, does he?).Hey, is this any way to start a run to back-to-back titles?Naturally, Foles’ injury was / is the…

Jets-Redskins on ESPN Tonight

Thursday, August 16, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE NFL PRESEASON WEEK 2 REPORT –THE LOWDOWN ON TONIGHT’S THREE (3) GAMES …COLLEGE FOOTBALL UPDATE:IT’S TIME TO CHECK OUT THE PAC-12 Okay, so we let ‘ya know in yesterday’s Jim Sez column that NFL Preseason Week 1 Betting Favorites wound up going 7-7-2 ATS (against the spread) and thus we enter this full week of exhibition games with NFL Preseason Betting Favs at 7-8-2 ATS overall this summer (remember Chicago’s cover as 2.5-point underdogs versus Baltimore in the Hall of Fame Game back on Aug. 2nd).Now, what we need to tell you is that NFL Preseason Home Teams are a…

Network Notebook: New NFL Head Coaches Struggled in Openers

Wednesday, August 15, 2018 at 12:00 PM

We hadn’t expected to come back to this topic so quickly here in JIM HURLEY’S HANDICAPPING NOTEBOOK. But, teams for new head coaches (that we introduced to you last week) mostly struggled very badly out of the gate. Smart bettors must monitor these situations very closely through the month.We mentioned there were seven new faces in new places. Only Jon Gruden could be considered a “veteran re-tread” with significant head coaching experience. Gruden’s Raiders did get a win and a cover. For the rest… Arizona Cardinals: Steve WilksResult: Win and Cover despite HORRIBLE statsIt’s a miracle that Arizona cashed tickets last…

Checking Out Some NFL Preseason Week 2 Bits

Tuesday, August 14, 2018 at 12:00 AM

NFL PRESEASON WEEK 2 WHAT-TO-WATCH ITEMS FOR THURSDAY'S GAMES AS WE WHET YOUR GRIDIRON WHISTLE...NCAA FOOTBALL UPDATE: HERE'S THE BIG 12 CONFERENCE UPDATEThe National Football League Preseason Week 2 menu swings into high gear on Thursday night with three games - including a "Super Bowl rematch" between the Philadelphia Eagles at the New England Patriots - and we're here to tell you that last week NFL Preseason Betting Favorites wound up going 7-7-2 ATS (against the spread) with a pair of Pick 'Em games tossed into the mix, so that means NFL faves now are 7-8-0 spreadwise when you include…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: I’m Impressed by the Vikings

Monday, August 13, 2018 at 3:00 PM

You should never draw a conclusion after one NFL Preseason game. I can assure you that’s not what I’m doing regarding my enthusiasm for the 2018 Minnesota Vikings. I’m taking what I saw from a stellar 2017 season…and adding in perceptions from this past Saturday night’s exhibition win in Denver.First, we have a team that made it all the way to the NFC Championship game a year ago. Plenty of PLAYMAKERS and GAMEBREAKERS already on the roster. Though, many of those are on DEFENSE. But that’s okay in the current era. Defenses may not win championships all by themselves. It…

Richie Baccellieri: Cubs Sunday Night Drama was NOT Historic!

Monday, August 13, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Even if you’re not a big baseball fan or bettor, you’re surely aware that the Chicago Cubs had a dramatically rally in the bottom of the ninth inning Sunday night to beat the Washington Nationals.Washington carried a 3-0 lead into the Cubs’ final at bat. Chicago loaded the bases, then won on a walk-off grand slam home run.Sure, walk-off grand slams are rare. But, I couldn’t believe the number of bettors who are calling that “their worst beat ever,” or “one of the worst beats in the history of baseball.” Give me a break! This one got a lot of…

Quarterbacks All the Talk in Preseason

Monday, August 13, 2018 at 12:00 AM

NFL PRESEASON WEEK 1 / PRE-WEEK 2 CHATTER ...PLUS COLLEGE FOOTBALL UPDATES: THE MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCEOkay, so what did we all learn about the National Football League's opening week of preseason play ... and what might we be looking for in Preseason Week 2 action straight ahead?Let's face it, most of the chit-chat regarding the NFL Preseason Week 1 games revolved around quarterbacks - the new ones such as rookies Baker Mayfield of the Cleveland Browns, Sam Darnold of the New York Jets and Josh Rosen of the Arizona Cardinals along with second-year stud Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City…

The NFL Preseason Week 1 Card Wraps Up Saturday Nite

Saturday, August 11, 2018 at 12:00 AM

NFL PRESEASON WEEK 1 WINDS DOWN WITH SATURDAY NITE ACTION , PLUS THE FRIDAY RECAP AS WE CHECK OUT JETS' DARNOLD (AND BRIDGEWATER, TOO)Wait ... there's more!The NFL Preseason Week 1 menu wraps up with a pair of games on this Saturday night card - it's Minnesota at Denver on NFL Network and the Los Angeles Chargers at Arizona - before getting Sunday "off" but we've got plenty to say about all the first full week of preseason play following this important reminder:Folks, Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers will be bashing the books plenty this NFL…

Richie Baccellieri: Sharps Surprised by High Scoring NFLP Action

Friday, August 10, 2018 at 3:00 PM

If you watched the first full night of NFL Preseason action Thursday, you noticed a lot of road teams cashing tickets by winning outright…and you noticed a lot of high scoring games.The first was not a surprise to sharps (professional wagerers). Home field advantage isn’t worth much in preseason action. The market usually gives it about 2 to 2.5 points because squares (the public) would auto-bet every home team if it was cheaper. You saw Thursday night that home field might have been worth about ZERO!The second point WAS a surprise to sharps. There’s usually not this much offense and…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Don’t Fall in Love with Browns Yet

Friday, August 10, 2018 at 12:00 PM

After watching the Cleveland Browns’ victory over the New York Giants Thursday night on the NFL Network, I have one thing to say to students here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping. Don’t fall in love with the Browns yet!Now, they might be a good betting team through August. No doubt about that. There’s a lot of new enthusiasm within the franchise. And, they appear to finally have some quarterbacks who know what they’re doing. But, please remember all of the following.*Upgrading from “D” on the report card to “B-minus” doesn’t mean you’re suddenly an “A” caliber…

Jets-Falcons, Lions-Raiders on Tap Tonight in NFL Preseason Play

Friday, August 10, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE NFL PRESEASON WEEK 1 LANDSCAPE –TONIGHT’S TWO TILTS (THAT’S FALCONS-JETSPLUS IT’S LIONS-RAIDERS) AND KEY NEWS/NOTESFROM A BUSY THURSDAY NIGHT MENU Okay, so if you want to just “get the facts, Jack” regarding the first full night of NFL Preseason action, then here they are:Betting Favorites went 3-7 ATS (against the spread) with two Pick ‘Em games last night as the only chalk-eaters to cover the numbers were Baltimore (- 3.5) besting the Los Angeles Rams 33-7, New England (- 2.5) charging from way back to down Washington 26-17 and Green Bay (- 1.5) bopping Tennessee 31-17.The Green Bay win/cover was…

Here’s All 12 of Tonight’s NFL Preseason Week 1 Tilts

Thursday, August 9, 2018 at 12:00 AM

Thursday Night Preseason Kickoff12 Games in ActionThursday really kicks of the first full weekend of preseason action, and what a good card it is! We have last year's Super Bowl teams kicking off their seasons, with Philadelphia hosting Pittsburgh and New England hosting Washington. There's Florida rivalry action between the Buccaneers and Dolphins, plus Panthers-Bills, Bears-Bengals, and TV action between Browns and Giants and Cowboys at 49'ers on the NFL Network.Thursday night we have a rivalry game and two AFC-NFC scores for just $10. These games rate high enough to build your August bankroll, just like I did last Thursday…

Network Notebook: Spotlighting New NFL Head Coaches

Wednesday, August 8, 2018 at 8:00 AM

We’ve finally reached the first FULL week of NFL Preseason action in advance of the 2018 campaign. One of the most important handicapping angles every summer involves recognizing how new head coaches will influence their teams.Coaching changes almost always involve:*Something that WASN’T working before*A new guy who can fix THATOccasionally a legend will retire…or, just have a falling out with ownership. But, typically, teams making changes are trying to fix something. And that thing getting fixed is a top priority in exhibition games. Sometimes that influences team side results because the new coach wants to set a tone with victories.…

Welcome to NFL Preseason Week 1

Wednesday, August 8, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 NFL PRESEASON WEEK 1 –HERE’S QUICK-HITTER PREVIEWSON HALF OF THURSDAY’S DOZEN GAMES The heat may be on full blast throughout the U.S.A. but there’s no foolin’ the calendar … it’s Football Season!The National Football League served up a little appetizer last week with a Hall of Fame Game clash between the Baltimore Ravens and the Chicago Bears but now the Preseason has arrived for good with a full slate of games and we’ll tackle half of the dozen showdowns on the Thursday night calendar in just a moment (the other six Thursday previews come your way in tomorrow’s Jim Sez) but…

Richie Baccellieri: So Many Cheap Home Favorites!

Monday, August 6, 2018 at 4:00 PM

If you’ve looked over the first full week of NFL Preseason action, you’ve surely noticed that almost every game shows the home team favored by just under a field goal. Minus 2, minus 2.5…the occasional -1.5.  Boring!What does this mean in terms of sharp betting?*First, it means that home field advantage is worth less than a field goal in August. So many exhibition games are virtual coin flips in terms of team Power Ratings, that all of those lines would be -3 if home field was worth three.*You can also deduce that sharps would POUND the underdog if the public…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: 11 of 15 AL Teams are Down Units

Monday, August 6, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Here’s a stat you wouldn’t have expected to see before the season started. Or, even a few weeks ago. Through Sunday’s action, fully 11 of the 15 American League teams are down money in terms of betting units in the 2018 season.There are two main reasons for this:*Boston and Oakland have been crushing everyone for weeks…gobbling up all the money! After sweeping the New York Yankees this past weekend, Boston is plus about 28.5 units. Oakland’s on another hot streak. The A’s are plus 26.5 units as they get ready for a big series against the Los Angeles Dodgers that…

NFL Preseason Week 1 Insights ... and More

Monday, August 6, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  NFL PRESEASON WEEK 1 GOODIES:MORE THURSDAY NITE QUICK HITTER PREVIEWS …THE BASEBALL REPORT:ARE THE RED SOX NOW GOING, GOING, GONEIN THE AL EAST RACE? …COLLEGE FOOTBALL CONFERENCE NOTES Okay, so when we last left you this past weekend we were busy sharing thoughts about a handful of NFL Preseason tilts slated for this Thursday night – remember there’s a dozen games on that night’s docket – and so let’s scoot ‘round the NFL and get you more goodies on a few of the other games on 8-9-2018: THURSDAY, AUG. 9TAMPA BAY at MIAMI -- If you check out all the current depth…

NFL Preseason Week 1 Games Straight Ahead

Saturday, August 4, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NFL PRESEASON WEEK 1 REPORT - WE TAKE AN EARLY PEEK AT A BATCH OF GAMES ...BASEBALL NEWS & NOTES: VERLANDER, PORCELLO KICK OFF SUMMER WEEKEND WITH MONSTER MOUND SHOWINGSYou got it ... the 2018 NFL Preseason is off-and-runnin' following the Baltimore Ravens' 17-16 non-cover win against the Chicago Bears the other night - we cashed here at the Jim Hurley Network with a solid play on "under" 35 points and that just meant we had to sweat out the Bears' two-point conversion attempt in the fourth quarter.Well, there's lots more NFL Preseason winners straight ahead this summer and…

Richie Baccellieri: How Much is Urban Meyer Worth?

Friday, August 3, 2018 at 4:00 PM

There was immediate reaction at sports books earlier this week when it was announced that Ohio State head football coach Urban Meyer was placed on administrative leave. Futures prices were taken down at some spots. “Game of the Year” betting was halted in matchups involving the Buckeyes.Part of the reason for that is that sports books hate uncertainty. Would Meyer be suspended for a game, or a month? Would he be fired before the season started? Maybe he’d just get a slap on the wrist and not miss any games. As I write this, we still don’t know.No sports book…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Football Prep Time Running Out

Friday, August 3, 2018 at 1:00 PM

This will be the last weekend without a busy football schedule until after the New Year. You can use it to rest up for the coming onslaught. Better…use it to really hunker down and prepare for the betting challenge ahead.If you haven’t yet started your college football preparation, you’re behind everyone who has! Summer annuals have been out for weeks. Vegas sports books have had their Regular Season Win props and “Game of the Year” point spreads up for months. It will be hard to find betting value on those or future prices at this point because everything has been…

We Hit the Rewind Button on NFL Hall of Fame Game

Friday, August 3, 2018 at 12:00 AM

NFL HALL OF FAME GAME - THE REAL KEY STORIES FROM THURSDAY NIGHT'S PRESEASON-OPENING TILT FROM CANTON ...THE WEEKEND BASEBALL REPORT - EVERYONE'S TALKING YANKEES-RED SOX (BUT DID YOU NOTICE THERE'S A WORLD SERIES REMATCH GOING IN HOLLYWOOD!)The Baltimore Ravens have seen their future ... and rookie QB Lamar Jackson is not it just yet!True, Thursday's NFL Hall of Fame Game - a 17-16 non-cover win by the Ravens over the 2.5-point underdog Chicago Bears - featured a slew of rookies / free agents / gridiron journeymen but most eyes were focused on the 2016 Heisman Trophy winner who wound…

It’s the NFL Hall of Fame Game -- Ravens-Bears Collide

Thursday, August 2, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NFL PRESEASON SWINGS INTO HIGH GEAR - IT''S RAVENS VS. BEARS IN TONITE''S ANNUAL HALL OF FAME GAME ... THE BASEBALL REPORT: RE-VISITING THE TRADES THAT WERE NOT MADE!The National Football League has pulled back the curtain on the 2018 preseason ... and that means it''s time to play ball and we''ll get right to it with tonite''s Hall of Fame Game showdown between the favored Baltimore Ravens (- 2.5) and the underdog Chicago Bears (total price is 34 points). Folks, we''ll clue you in shortly with what to expect from this pro football lid-lifter but first things first:Jim…

Network Notebook: Why Oddsmakers Hate the NFL Preseason

Wednesday, August 1, 2018 at 1:00 PM

The 2018 NFL Preseason officially kicks off Thursday night when the Baltimore Ravens take on the Chicago Bears in the annual Hall of Fame game in Canton Ohio. That marks the return of football to the airwaves and our betting portfolios. If you typically pass the Preseason waiting for the regular season to arrive…you should be aware of this one key fact…ODDSMAKERS HATE THE NFL PRESEASON!And, if oddsmakers hate the preseason, smart bettors should love it.Why do oddsmakers hate the preseason?*They don’t have the resources or time to track down the drive-by-drive quarterback plans for all 32 teams. Think about…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps Bet the NFL Preseason

Monday, July 30, 2018 at 4:00 PM

Thursday brings the start of the 2018 NFL Preseason when the Chicago Bears take on the Baltimore Ravens in the Hall of Fame game on NBC. If you want to think like a sharp and bet like a sharp, you should be relatively conservative throughout the month of August. The Preseason is for building bankroll, not burning it.Sharps (professional wagerers) do have some involvement in the NFL Preseason. But, lower limits make it tough to really fire hard at any game. Plus, oddsmakers are quick to move their numbers if they sense smart money is attacking based on personnel news…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Handicapping Huge MLB Favorites

Monday, July 30, 2018 at 1:00 PM

I can’t recall a baseball weekend that had SO many big favorites all over the card. The Yankees laid more than -400 in many spots Saturday against Kansas City. Boston was a big favorite all four games against Minnesota. Houston was big chalk in all three games vs. Texas. Cleveland wasn’t cheap as a road favorite in Detroit.Because we’re going to see a lot of this through the rest of the season…particularly when any projected AL playoff team is matched up with one of the many stragglers “rebuilding” for the future…it’s time to review the smart way to bet these…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Get ready for the NFL Preseason

Friday, July 27, 2018 at 3:00 PM

Hopefully you’re aware that the NFL Preseason is now less than a week away. The annual Hall of Fame game is on Thursday nights instead of Sunday nights. NBC will televise the Chicago Bears vs. the Baltimore Ravens this coming Thursday.Though the rest of the league doesn’t play until the following week, you should be getting your ducks in a row in terms of handicapping the exhibition games. It might take you two weekends to get everything in place. Here’s a longer-than-usual homework assignment for students of my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping that you can complete as…

Richie Baccellieri: Will Judge’s Injury Slow Down the Yankees?

Friday, July 27, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Earlier this week, I talked about how the general public (squares) often overvalue the impact of individual players. Now we get a great way to test that with Aaron Judge out of the lineup for the New York Yankees for a few weeks after suffering a fractured wrist Thursday night.Do the Yankees become an auto-fade with Judge out? Does this doom the Yankees to a Wildcard because it will be much harder to chase down the Boston Red Sox from behind without Judge? Should you just burn your Yankees futures tickets because there’s no way to win the World Championship…

Network Notebook: Many MLB Teams Blowing Hot or Cold

Wednesday, July 25, 2018 at 1:00 PM

If you’ve been following Major League Baseball, you know that several teams are on fire right now. The Oakland A’s continued a hot run that started long before the All-Star break with a huge come-from-behind win over Texas Tuesday night. Pittsburgh, supposedly dead in the water a few weeks ago, posted a double-digit winning streak against a slate of contenders. Boston’s been hot all season.Here’s a list of teams that have won 60% or more of their games over the last 30 days heading into Wednesday’s action…Best Records the Last 30 DaysOakland 19-5Boston 19-5Pittsburgh 17-8Colorado 15-7Chicago 16-9Houston 15-9LA Dodgers 15-10Philadelphia…

AFC East Quarterbacks Not Named Brady Are Camp News

Tuesday, July 24, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NFL CAMP REPORT - WHAT WE'RE WATCHING THIS WEEK ...BASEBALL NEWS & NOTES: HALL OF FAME TALKIt may be hot. It may be sticky out there ... but the National Football League is open for business and camps are open all 'round the league where they play for pay. Finally, some real football talk!Gotta say that we're paying particularly close attention to the quarterback battles in places such as Buffalo and Miami and the New York Jets - ahh, all AFC East teams and all teams that keep dreaming the big dream that somebody out there can finally KO…

Richie Baccellieri: Player Value in Major League Baseball

Monday, July 23, 2018 at 4:00 PM

It started last week and should continue for several days. Buyers and sellers in Major League Baseball. High impact players being acquired by contenders in hopes that they will be a difference-maker in divisional races and the postseason.There were a couple of big stories last week. Manny Machado is now a Los Angeles Dodger (championship contender) rather than a Baltimore Oriole (rebuilding doormat). Brad Hand is now a Philadelphia Phillie (divisional contender) rather than a San Diego Padre (rebuilding doormat, though not as bad as Baltimore).Interestingly, those high-profile acquisitions both addressed clear needs for the contenders, yet barely moved the…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Handicapping the NL Playoff Chase

Monday, July 23, 2018 at 1:00 PM

As of Monday morning, fully 11 of the 15 teams in the National League had records at .500 or better. Because nobody is running away and hiding from the field just yet (though the Cubs are starting to), that means all 11 are still playoff contenders. Any of them could win their own division or earn a Wildcard.While I often encourage you to study “indicator” stats that help you see your challenges more clearly, the best thing to do right now is study these teams against each other! With 11 teams in the hunt, there will always be games where…

NFL Camps Popping Up Open All Over

Sunday, July 22, 2018 at 12:00 AM

NFL NEWS & NOTES:CAMPS OPENING ALL AROUND THE LEAGUE THIS WEEK AND WE'RE ALL OVER THE ACTION! ...THE BASEBALL REPORT: THE BIGGEST OUT-OF-THE-BREAK NOISEMAKERSThe National Field League is open for business ... from Owings Mills to Latrobe to Metairie to Renton and all places in between it's time to pull on the spikes and get down to the nitty-gritty as all 32 teams will be in full-speed ahead camp mode by the time we get to the end of this July week.Excited yet?There's new head coaches in Arizona, in Chicago, in Detroit, in Indianapolis, with the New York Giants, in…

Baseball Q&A and Heisman Odds Too

Saturday, July 21, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE BASEBALL REPORT:IT’S A MID-SUMMER Q & A SESSION …THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL NOTEBOOK:HERE’S THE CURRENT HEISMAN TROPHY ODDS It’s a fact:We’re grinding our way to the final third of this month of July and most Major-League Baseball teams have played right around 100 games … so everyone should have a handle on this 2018 season, right?Well, there’s plenty of questions in mind as we draw near August and so let’s have some fun and explore a quickie Q & A session in today’s weekend edition of Jim Sez: Q: One of the factoids regarding this here-and-now ‘18 MLB season has been the…

Baseball’s Best This Weekend: There’s Some Natural Rivalries on Deck

Friday, July 20, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE MLB REPORT:TOP WEEKEND SERIESFEATURES THE NEW-LOOK DODGERS AT BREWERSPLUS, BAY AREA BATTLE IN OAKLAND …NCAA FOOTBALL TIDBITS You might have noticed that this year’s Major-League Baseball All-Star Game came upon us all a little later than usual on the calendar and so that means crunch time here in the season’s “second half” starts a bit sooner … like now!No better way to get the post-All Star break off and rollin’ with a batch of high-profile (and highly important) weekend series, so let’s kick it into high gear right after we let you know that …Jim Hurley and his Network of…

Baseball’s Back -- Play Ball Part II

Thursday, July 19, 2018 at 12:00 AM

Jim Hurley Wins Side & Total of All Star Game with American League & OVER!THE 2018 BASEBALL SEASON – WE’RE BAAAACK! …CHECKIN’ OUT SOME UNDER THE RADAR STORIES …COLLEGE FOOTBALL’S POINTSPREAD GOODIESThe “Boys of Summer” are back after that little All-Star break respite – yes, the St. Louis Cardinals at the Chicago Cubs (Thursday, 7:05 p.m. ET) get shorted the extra vacation day but all’s good in the world of Major-League Baseball – and so we resume the epic Boston Red Sox / New York Yankees race in the American League and the what-could-be-epic four-team donnybrook race for first place…

Network Notebook: MLB Check-up During the Break

Wednesday, July 18, 2018 at 7:00 AM

The annual Major League Baseball All-Star break is a time for reflection and preparation. Let’s take a quick look at a couple of our favorite ways of measuring performance.First, we look at the big picture. Here’s how each of the six divisions has performed this season based on games above or below .500.AL West: plus 47NL Central: plus 20 (plus 22 vs. AL Central)AL East: plus 19NL West: plus 8NL East: minus 11AL Central: minus 83The American League Central is so bad, that it’s helped three other divisions seem better than they are (the other two AL divisions, plus the…

AL Grabs All-Star Win For 6th Straight Year

Wednesday, July 18, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE MLB ALL-STAR GAME:LONG BALLS THE STORY OF THE NIGHTIN AL’S 8-6 EXTRA-INNING WIN …THE MACHADO-TO-DODGERS TRADE …PLUS COLLEGE FOOTBALL UP-TO-DATEODDS TO WIN IT ALL Talk about a game of Power Ball!The American League’s slug-it-out 8-6 win against the National League last night in Washington in the 89th edition of the Major-League Baseball All-Star Game featured 10 home runs – an All-Star record (of course) -- and some 25 strikeouts and so afterwards everyone naturally was sounding off about how this clash “typified” the 2018 season with lots of dingers and K’s and not much in between.Sure, the “experts” were correct…

Richie Baccellieri: Sharps Successful in MLB First Half

Tuesday, July 17, 2018 at 4:00 PM

The All-Star Break is when the media recaps the first half of the baseball season to get you ready for the second half. I should do the same from a sharp perspective, talking about how the Wise Guys have performed so far this season.I’d have to say, there are a lot of smiling faces out there. Sharps have done well, generally beating the market to new developments. The most recent was probably betting on the Cincinnati Reds more than anyone expected just as the team caught fire. Pro bettors, who focus on personnel rather than trends and angles as a…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Post All-Star Break Handicapping

Tuesday, July 17, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Now that the Major League Baseball All-Star Break has arrived, you have a few days to gather your senses and gear up for the final 2.5 months of the season. Today’s coursework will help you get in the right mindset for picking winners.In recent seasons, it’s become very important to fully understand THE MOTIVATION FACTOR at the team level. The main reasons for that are:*Some teams who coasted through the first half of the season kick up their intensity in the second half. This is particularly true for playoff caliber teams who had no reason to be “the champions” of…

Baseball’s All-Star Game Break is Here; What Teams will Shine in 2nd Half?

Sunday, July 15, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE ALL-STAR BREAK UPDATE:WILL THE FIRST-PLACE TEAMS HANG ON? … IT’S THE SHORT-BUT-SWEET ALL-STAR GAME TRIVIA TESTAhhh, the annual Major-League Baseball All-Star Game arrives Tuesday night in the nation’s capital with most of the sport’s 30 teams fast approaching the 100-game mark – but the $64,000 question here is will the teams that currently occupy first place in their respective divisions be the same ones who are sitting on top at the end of this 162-game schedule?Folks, we’re not gonna be a bit shy about revealing / sharing our thoughts on that matter and so get ready for our fast-paced…

The All Star Break MLB Report Card

Saturday, July 14, 2018 at 12:00 AM

HERE'S OUR JIM SEZ ALL STAR BREAK REPORT CARD GRADESThe Major-League Baseball All-Star Game is right around the bend - it's here on Tuesday night from Washington D.C. (you might have heard!) - and so that means it's time for our annual Jim Sez Report Card Grades for the unofficial first half of this 2018 season.THE NATIONAL LEAGUE REPORT CARD GRADESGrade: A+MILWAUKEE (55-39) - The Brew Crew has yet to take its foot off the gas pedal this year while staying just above the archrival Chicago Cubs in the NL Central race for first place. You can thank manager Craig…

Richie Baccellieri: Sharpest MLB Moves Tied to Personnel

Friday, July 13, 2018 at 4:00 PM

Whenever there’s a big line move in baseball, you’ll hear pundits or your buddies trying to guess what caused it. They’ll often point to trends or angles, or some kind of intangible like “revenge” or a “bounce back” spot.The fact is, sharps (professional wagerers) almost never bet based on those things. Many don’t believe in trends because it’s easy to dig through data and find stuff that sounds important but doesn’t really mean anything. They think emotional factors are overrated in pro sports (particularly baseball!). If there’s a line move, it’s usually because of a personnel change.And, I’m not talking…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Preparing for the NFL Season

Friday, July 13, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Last week at this time, we talked about doing initial preparations for the coming college football season. Today’s coursework in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping will focus on getting ready for the NFL. Did you realize that the Hall of Fame game is less than a month away?!I’ll give you some initial help today. Several teams will have new starting quarterbacks in 2018. You need to start THERE before you do anything else. Some offenses will be better, some worse, just by the nature of the change they’ve made at this position.Here’s a quick list of new…

Our NL Report Card Grades Are Here!

Friday, July 13, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  HERE’S OUR JIM SEZNATIONAL LEAGUE REPORT CARD GRADES The Major-League Baseball All-Star Game is right around the bend – it’s here on Tuesday night from Washington D.C. (you might have heard!) – and so that means it’s time for our annual Jim Sez Report Card Grades for the unofficial first half of this 2018 season.We’ll get things jump-started today with the National League grades and we’ll clue you in on the American League in our next column space, so don’t dare miss out! But first things first and so here’s an important reminder …Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers…

MLB Second-Half Surges? Plus NFL Team Reports Include the Eagles

Thursday, July 12, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 THE BASEBALL REPORT:CAN WE EXPECT ANY SECOND-HALF-OF-THE-SEASONSURGES FROM TEAMS BACK IN THE PACK? …OUR FINAL NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM ACCOUNT:IT’S THE BENGALS AND THE SB CHAMPION EAGLES Check out the Major-League Baseball standings today and you’ll see everyone’s played 90-plus games – and if you ask a whole bunch of folks they’ll be quick to tell you that the American League’s playoff spots are practically sealed up already while the National League already has dismissed a half-dozen or so teams from its post-season chase.But right here / right now our question is what teams we might expect to experience a “second-half surge” –…

Our NL Report Card Grades Are In!

Thursday, July 12, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  HERE’S OUR JIM SEZNATIONAL LEAGUE REPORT CARD GRADES The Major-League Baseball All-Star Game is right around the bend – it’s here on Tuesday night from Washington D.C. (you might have heard!) – and so that means it’s time for our annual Jim Sez Report Card Grades for the unofficial first half of this 2018 season.We’ll get things jump-started today with the National League grades and we’ll clue you in on the American League in our next column space, so don’t dare miss out! But first things first and so here’s an important reminder …Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers…

Network Notebook: Evaluating Starting Pitchers

Wednesday, July 11, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Handicapping baseball gets more and more complicated every season. The game is changing so much on the fly that old school approaches can turn irrelevant very quickly. Did you used to focus on starting pitchers who would reliably go seven or eight innings? Few do that any more! Did you like offenses who tried to string together hits rather than patiently waiting for a dinger? Same thing.*Starting pitchers only go 5-6 innings*Middle relievers are now CRUCIAL instead of irrelevant*Defensive shifts are curtailing some hitting stats*We're back to a "dead ball" era relative to the past 1.5 seasons*Some teams are actively…

MLB Projected Wins for Cubs, Halos and Nats Plus NFL Too

Tuesday, July 10, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE MID-WEEK BASEBALL REPORT - TIME TO TALK "OVER" WINS TOTALS ...NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM GOODIES: IT'S THE JAGS, BUCS & SEAHAWKSOkay, so we're actually beyond the halfway point of this here-and-now 2018 Major-League Baseball season and so we'll take some time to digest a few of the "over" wins totals with a look at three different teams here ...CHICAGO CUBS (93.5) - The Las Vegas big-wigs attached this "over" wins price to the Cubbies at the start of this season (some of you may had to lay - 130 in the process) and early on it appeared the number was too…

Richie Baccellieri: Beware of “Fool’s Gold” with Big MLB Favorites

Monday, July 9, 2018 at 4:00 PM

We just went through a weekend where some of the best teams in baseball crushed some of the worst teams in baseball. Those blowouts were a square’s dream, but it played to all of their worst instincts about how to bet this sport.Far too many in the general public look to bet big favorites because they think ‘they’re going to kill” the team they’re facing. Then, scores like this make it seem easy.*Washington beat Miami Saturday 18-4, meaning you would have pushed if you were laying two touchdowns!*Arizona did that one run better by beating San Diego 20-5.*AL powers Houston…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Pre-All Star Break Handicapping

Monday, July 9, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Veteran handicappers have a system for betting on or against quality starting pitchers in the days before the All-Star game that has stood the test of time. It won’t work in every single game. But, it generally makes money year-in and year-out.*Fade any starting pitcher in his final appearance before the All-Star game.*Back any prominent starting pitcher having a strong year who was snubbed.We usually talk more about THE MOTIVATION FACTOR in other sports here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping. But, here’s a case where it can be used successfully in baseball.Pitchers named to the All-Star…

Get The Pre-Season FREE

Monday, July 9, 2018 at 11:46 AM

GET THE ENTIRE NFL PRESEASON ABSOLUTELY FREEAND THAT INCLUDES 100-UNIT GAME OF THE YEARIt All Begins In Just 25 Days With Hall Of Fame Game That Matches The Bears And The RavensSign Up Today And Receive Free Baseball Best Bets Everyday Through End Of PreseasonTime To Solve Puzzle Of 7 New NFL Coaches, 12 New Starting Quarterbacks And 23 New College MentorsIt is time to get to work, and it will be work. NFL training camps are about to open with rookies reporting in just 11 days and the veterans arriving a week later. The first of 65 preseason games…

Forget All-Star Snubs, It’s Bosox on Our Minds

Sunday, July 8, 2018 at 12:00 AM

BASEBALL'S ALL-STAR SNUBS? WE CARE WAY MORE ABOUT THE SURGING RED SOX AND THEIR POTENTIAL TRADES THAT MAY LIE STRAIGHT AHEADOUR NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM ACCOUNTS: IT'S THE J-E-T-S AND VIKINGSThe Major-League Baseball world today is all caught up in the matter of All-Star Game snubs … hey, Tampa Bay LHP Blake Snell (he's 12-4 with an American League-leading 2.09 ERA) should have been a lead-pipe cinch for a berth and ditto for Los Angeles SS Andrelton Simmons (although he could get voted in still) along with National Leaguer LHP Kyle Freeland (8-6, 3.18 ERA) of the Colorado Rockies.Then again, there's always…

Login

Forgot password

Register
Keep me logged in
Ok