Vegas Sports Masters Blog

Richie Baccellieri: Building your NFL Power Ratings

New!

Monday, August 20, 2018 at 4:00 PM

The great thing about studying betting markets during dress rehearsal week is that you get to see how oddsmakers (by way of opening lines) and sharps (by way of early betting) are viewing team quality entering the regular season.This will help you build your own Power Ratings for teams. If your own evaluations seem off…you’re probably wrong (at least a little bit)…and should consider shading your numbers in the direction of the market. If you’re in synch…you’re ready to start digging deeper to find situational or stat angles that might help you find betting value each week.Of course, the problem…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Handicapping NFL Dress Rehearsals

New!

Monday, August 20, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Though KELSO STURGEON is always very serious about handicapping, it’s time for YOU to really get focused in these final days of August, 2018. The arrival of dress rehearsal week in the NFL preseason is the sign on the calendar that REAL football is about to begin.*NFL teams will be going at it for at least a half at regular season intensity THIS week.*We also have a couple of regular season college football games THIS week.*Next week, almost EVERYONE in college football is in action. Sure, there are some cupcake games. But, bowl caliber showdowns are also on that first…

More NFL Preseason Week 2 Tilts -- Including Bengals-Cowboys

Saturday, August 18, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NFL PRESEASON WEEK 2 WEEKEND UPDATE ... PLUS, IT'S THE MID-AMERICAN CONFERENCESo, just in case it's too hot or too stormy out there for you at the start of this summer weekend, there's back-to-back-to-back-to-back NFL Preseason Week 2 games "on the tube" for your viewing pleasure on this Saturday and we'll be glad to get y'all quick-hitter previews just below but first this reminder ...Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers keep bashing the books this NFL Preseason with lots more winners straight ahead as this week's card continues with Seven (7) games on the Saturday menu…

Richie Baccellieri: Sharps Winning in NFL by Studying Backup QB’s

Friday, August 17, 2018 at 3:00 PM

If you’ve been following the NFL betting markets this week, you’ve seen some major line moves already come through. Two steamed favorites won Thursday night (New England and Green Bay). Steamed totals did well. Sharps are making the right moves at the right times.I’m hearing from my sources, and noticing on my own, that many of these moves are connected to expectations for backup quarterbacks.*If sharps (professional wagerers) are expecting production from the backups, particularly with A LOT of passing, then they’re betting that team and/or the Over.*If sharps are expecting unimpressive play with a lot of incomplete passes and…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Prepare for a Wild NFL Season

Friday, August 17, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Just 20 games into the 2018 exhibition season, it’s become very clear that this is going to be a wild NFL campaign. Many teams are going to become even more pass-heavy than they already were on offense. Defenses have to back off because they don’t want to get penalties for illegal hits. Things are about to get messy!That doesn’t mean EVERY game is going to see 90 or more combined passes (Eagles/Pats made it to 91 total passes Thursday night), or that EVERY game is going to fly Over its total (Green Bay beat Pittsburgh 51-34 Thursday night, going over…

2018 College Football’s Top 21-40 By Jim Feist

Friday, August 17, 2018 at 12:00 AM

2018 College Football’s Top 21-40By Jim FeistIt’s time to kick off a new football season!  College football begins on August 25, so here’s a look at the top teams, starting with my top 21-40.  I have the odds to win the NCAA Championship next to team name (if they have odds) and the odds to win their respective conference championship next to that.  Let’s get started with teams 40 through 21.40.  Georgia Tech: 50/1 ACCReturning Starters: 13 (8 offense, 5 defense, 1 QB)Last Year’s Record: 5-6Projected Finish: 6-6The ACC is one of the tougher FBS conferences with Boston College, Clemson,…

NFL Preseason Week 2: Foles Injury Plus Five Games Tonight

Friday, August 17, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  NFL PRESEASON WEEK 2 –THURSDAY RE-CAPS PLUS TONIGHT’S TILTS TOO …COLLEGE FOOTBALL CONFERENCE UPDATES:IT’S THE SUN BELT This just in:The defending Super Bowl champions may need a “Philly Special” should QB Nick Foles be out for any prolonged period of time. Last night Foles suffered a now much-discussed shoulder sprain in that 37-20 loss at 4.5-point favorite New England and we’ve already witnessed those video clips of one-time Eagles’ starting QB Carson Wentz (and he doesn’t appear to be very mobile now, does he?).Hey, is this any way to start a run to back-to-back titles?Naturally, Foles’ injury was / is the…

Jets-Redskins on ESPN Tonight

Thursday, August 16, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE NFL PRESEASON WEEK 2 REPORT –THE LOWDOWN ON TONIGHT’S THREE (3) GAMES …COLLEGE FOOTBALL UPDATE:IT’S TIME TO CHECK OUT THE PAC-12 Okay, so we let ‘ya know in yesterday’s Jim Sez column that NFL Preseason Week 1 Betting Favorites wound up going 7-7-2 ATS (against the spread) and thus we enter this full week of exhibition games with NFL Preseason Betting Favs at 7-8-2 ATS overall this summer (remember Chicago’s cover as 2.5-point underdogs versus Baltimore in the Hall of Fame Game back on Aug. 2nd).Now, what we need to tell you is that NFL Preseason Home Teams are a…

Network Notebook: New NFL Head Coaches Struggled in Openers

Wednesday, August 15, 2018 at 12:00 PM

We hadn’t expected to come back to this topic so quickly here in JIM HURLEY’S HANDICAPPING NOTEBOOK. But, teams for new head coaches (that we introduced to you last week) mostly struggled very badly out of the gate. Smart bettors must monitor these situations very closely through the month.We mentioned there were seven new faces in new places. Only Jon Gruden could be considered a “veteran re-tread” with significant head coaching experience. Gruden’s Raiders did get a win and a cover. For the rest… Arizona Cardinals: Steve WilksResult: Win and Cover despite HORRIBLE statsIt’s a miracle that Arizona cashed tickets last…

Checking Out Some NFL Preseason Week 2 Bits

Tuesday, August 14, 2018 at 12:00 AM

NFL PRESEASON WEEK 2 WHAT-TO-WATCH ITEMS FOR THURSDAY'S GAMES AS WE WHET YOUR GRIDIRON WHISTLE...NCAA FOOTBALL UPDATE: HERE'S THE BIG 12 CONFERENCE UPDATEThe National Football League Preseason Week 2 menu swings into high gear on Thursday night with three games - including a "Super Bowl rematch" between the Philadelphia Eagles at the New England Patriots - and we're here to tell you that last week NFL Preseason Betting Favorites wound up going 7-7-2 ATS (against the spread) with a pair of Pick 'Em games tossed into the mix, so that means NFL faves now are 7-8-0 spreadwise when you include…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: I’m Impressed by the Vikings

Monday, August 13, 2018 at 3:00 PM

You should never draw a conclusion after one NFL Preseason game. I can assure you that’s not what I’m doing regarding my enthusiasm for the 2018 Minnesota Vikings. I’m taking what I saw from a stellar 2017 season…and adding in perceptions from this past Saturday night’s exhibition win in Denver.First, we have a team that made it all the way to the NFC Championship game a year ago. Plenty of PLAYMAKERS and GAMEBREAKERS already on the roster. Though, many of those are on DEFENSE. But that’s okay in the current era. Defenses may not win championships all by themselves. It…

Richie Baccellieri: Cubs Sunday Night Drama was NOT Historic!

Monday, August 13, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Even if you’re not a big baseball fan or bettor, you’re surely aware that the Chicago Cubs had a dramatically rally in the bottom of the ninth inning Sunday night to beat the Washington Nationals.Washington carried a 3-0 lead into the Cubs’ final at bat. Chicago loaded the bases, then won on a walk-off grand slam home run.Sure, walk-off grand slams are rare. But, I couldn’t believe the number of bettors who are calling that “their worst beat ever,” or “one of the worst beats in the history of baseball.” Give me a break! This one got a lot of…

Quarterbacks All the Talk in Preseason

Monday, August 13, 2018 at 12:00 AM

NFL PRESEASON WEEK 1 / PRE-WEEK 2 CHATTER ...PLUS COLLEGE FOOTBALL UPDATES: THE MOUNTAIN WEST CONFERENCEOkay, so what did we all learn about the National Football League's opening week of preseason play ... and what might we be looking for in Preseason Week 2 action straight ahead?Let's face it, most of the chit-chat regarding the NFL Preseason Week 1 games revolved around quarterbacks - the new ones such as rookies Baker Mayfield of the Cleveland Browns, Sam Darnold of the New York Jets and Josh Rosen of the Arizona Cardinals along with second-year stud Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City…

The NFL Preseason Week 1 Card Wraps Up Saturday Nite

Saturday, August 11, 2018 at 12:00 AM

NFL PRESEASON WEEK 1 WINDS DOWN WITH SATURDAY NITE ACTION , PLUS THE FRIDAY RECAP AS WE CHECK OUT JETS' DARNOLD (AND BRIDGEWATER, TOO)Wait ... there's more!The NFL Preseason Week 1 menu wraps up with a pair of games on this Saturday night card - it's Minnesota at Denver on NFL Network and the Los Angeles Chargers at Arizona - before getting Sunday "off" but we've got plenty to say about all the first full week of preseason play following this important reminder:Folks, Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers will be bashing the books plenty this NFL…

Richie Baccellieri: Sharps Surprised by High Scoring NFLP Action

Friday, August 10, 2018 at 3:00 PM

If you watched the first full night of NFL Preseason action Thursday, you noticed a lot of road teams cashing tickets by winning outright…and you noticed a lot of high scoring games.The first was not a surprise to sharps (professional wagerers). Home field advantage isn’t worth much in preseason action. The market usually gives it about 2 to 2.5 points because squares (the public) would auto-bet every home team if it was cheaper. You saw Thursday night that home field might have been worth about ZERO!The second point WAS a surprise to sharps. There’s usually not this much offense and…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Don’t Fall in Love with Browns Yet

Friday, August 10, 2018 at 12:00 PM

After watching the Cleveland Browns’ victory over the New York Giants Thursday night on the NFL Network, I have one thing to say to students here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping. Don’t fall in love with the Browns yet!Now, they might be a good betting team through August. No doubt about that. There’s a lot of new enthusiasm within the franchise. And, they appear to finally have some quarterbacks who know what they’re doing. But, please remember all of the following.*Upgrading from “D” on the report card to “B-minus” doesn’t mean you’re suddenly an “A” caliber…

Jets-Falcons, Lions-Raiders on Tap Tonight in NFL Preseason Play

Friday, August 10, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE NFL PRESEASON WEEK 1 LANDSCAPE –TONIGHT’S TWO TILTS (THAT’S FALCONS-JETSPLUS IT’S LIONS-RAIDERS) AND KEY NEWS/NOTESFROM A BUSY THURSDAY NIGHT MENU Okay, so if you want to just “get the facts, Jack” regarding the first full night of NFL Preseason action, then here they are:Betting Favorites went 3-7 ATS (against the spread) with two Pick ‘Em games last night as the only chalk-eaters to cover the numbers were Baltimore (- 3.5) besting the Los Angeles Rams 33-7, New England (- 2.5) charging from way back to down Washington 26-17 and Green Bay (- 1.5) bopping Tennessee 31-17.The Green Bay win/cover was…

Here’s All 12 of Tonight’s NFL Preseason Week 1 Tilts

Thursday, August 9, 2018 at 12:00 AM

Thursday Night Preseason Kickoff12 Games in ActionThursday really kicks of the first full weekend of preseason action, and what a good card it is! We have last year's Super Bowl teams kicking off their seasons, with Philadelphia hosting Pittsburgh and New England hosting Washington. There's Florida rivalry action between the Buccaneers and Dolphins, plus Panthers-Bills, Bears-Bengals, and TV action between Browns and Giants and Cowboys at 49'ers on the NFL Network.Thursday night we have a rivalry game and two AFC-NFC scores for just $10. These games rate high enough to build your August bankroll, just like I did last Thursday…

Network Notebook: Spotlighting New NFL Head Coaches

Wednesday, August 8, 2018 at 8:00 AM

We’ve finally reached the first FULL week of NFL Preseason action in advance of the 2018 campaign. One of the most important handicapping angles every summer involves recognizing how new head coaches will influence their teams.Coaching changes almost always involve:*Something that WASN’T working before*A new guy who can fix THATOccasionally a legend will retire…or, just have a falling out with ownership. But, typically, teams making changes are trying to fix something. And that thing getting fixed is a top priority in exhibition games. Sometimes that influences team side results because the new coach wants to set a tone with victories.…

Welcome to NFL Preseason Week 1

Wednesday, August 8, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 NFL PRESEASON WEEK 1 –HERE’S QUICK-HITTER PREVIEWSON HALF OF THURSDAY’S DOZEN GAMES The heat may be on full blast throughout the U.S.A. but there’s no foolin’ the calendar … it’s Football Season!The National Football League served up a little appetizer last week with a Hall of Fame Game clash between the Baltimore Ravens and the Chicago Bears but now the Preseason has arrived for good with a full slate of games and we’ll tackle half of the dozen showdowns on the Thursday night calendar in just a moment (the other six Thursday previews come your way in tomorrow’s Jim Sez) but…

Richie Baccellieri: So Many Cheap Home Favorites!

Monday, August 6, 2018 at 4:00 PM

If you’ve looked over the first full week of NFL Preseason action, you’ve surely noticed that almost every game shows the home team favored by just under a field goal. Minus 2, minus 2.5…the occasional -1.5.  Boring!What does this mean in terms of sharp betting?*First, it means that home field advantage is worth less than a field goal in August. So many exhibition games are virtual coin flips in terms of team Power Ratings, that all of those lines would be -3 if home field was worth three.*You can also deduce that sharps would POUND the underdog if the public…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: 11 of 15 AL Teams are Down Units

Monday, August 6, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Here’s a stat you wouldn’t have expected to see before the season started. Or, even a few weeks ago. Through Sunday’s action, fully 11 of the 15 American League teams are down money in terms of betting units in the 2018 season.There are two main reasons for this:*Boston and Oakland have been crushing everyone for weeks…gobbling up all the money! After sweeping the New York Yankees this past weekend, Boston is plus about 28.5 units. Oakland’s on another hot streak. The A’s are plus 26.5 units as they get ready for a big series against the Los Angeles Dodgers that…

NFL Preseason Week 1 Insights ... and More

Monday, August 6, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  NFL PRESEASON WEEK 1 GOODIES:MORE THURSDAY NITE QUICK HITTER PREVIEWS …THE BASEBALL REPORT:ARE THE RED SOX NOW GOING, GOING, GONEIN THE AL EAST RACE? …COLLEGE FOOTBALL CONFERENCE NOTES Okay, so when we last left you this past weekend we were busy sharing thoughts about a handful of NFL Preseason tilts slated for this Thursday night – remember there’s a dozen games on that night’s docket – and so let’s scoot ‘round the NFL and get you more goodies on a few of the other games on 8-9-2018: THURSDAY, AUG. 9TAMPA BAY at MIAMI -- If you check out all the current depth…

NFL Preseason Week 1 Games Straight Ahead

Saturday, August 4, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NFL PRESEASON WEEK 1 REPORT - WE TAKE AN EARLY PEEK AT A BATCH OF GAMES ...BASEBALL NEWS & NOTES: VERLANDER, PORCELLO KICK OFF SUMMER WEEKEND WITH MONSTER MOUND SHOWINGSYou got it ... the 2018 NFL Preseason is off-and-runnin' following the Baltimore Ravens' 17-16 non-cover win against the Chicago Bears the other night - we cashed here at the Jim Hurley Network with a solid play on "under" 35 points and that just meant we had to sweat out the Bears' two-point conversion attempt in the fourth quarter.Well, there's lots more NFL Preseason winners straight ahead this summer and…

Richie Baccellieri: How Much is Urban Meyer Worth?

Friday, August 3, 2018 at 4:00 PM

There was immediate reaction at sports books earlier this week when it was announced that Ohio State head football coach Urban Meyer was placed on administrative leave. Futures prices were taken down at some spots. “Game of the Year” betting was halted in matchups involving the Buckeyes.Part of the reason for that is that sports books hate uncertainty. Would Meyer be suspended for a game, or a month? Would he be fired before the season started? Maybe he’d just get a slap on the wrist and not miss any games. As I write this, we still don’t know.No sports book…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Football Prep Time Running Out

Friday, August 3, 2018 at 1:00 PM

This will be the last weekend without a busy football schedule until after the New Year. You can use it to rest up for the coming onslaught. Better…use it to really hunker down and prepare for the betting challenge ahead.If you haven’t yet started your college football preparation, you’re behind everyone who has! Summer annuals have been out for weeks. Vegas sports books have had their Regular Season Win props and “Game of the Year” point spreads up for months. It will be hard to find betting value on those or future prices at this point because everything has been…

We Hit the Rewind Button on NFL Hall of Fame Game

Friday, August 3, 2018 at 12:00 AM

NFL HALL OF FAME GAME - THE REAL KEY STORIES FROM THURSDAY NIGHT'S PRESEASON-OPENING TILT FROM CANTON ...THE WEEKEND BASEBALL REPORT - EVERYONE'S TALKING YANKEES-RED SOX (BUT DID YOU NOTICE THERE'S A WORLD SERIES REMATCH GOING IN HOLLYWOOD!)The Baltimore Ravens have seen their future ... and rookie QB Lamar Jackson is not it just yet!True, Thursday's NFL Hall of Fame Game - a 17-16 non-cover win by the Ravens over the 2.5-point underdog Chicago Bears - featured a slew of rookies / free agents / gridiron journeymen but most eyes were focused on the 2016 Heisman Trophy winner who wound…

It’s the NFL Hall of Fame Game -- Ravens-Bears Collide

Thursday, August 2, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NFL PRESEASON SWINGS INTO HIGH GEAR - IT''S RAVENS VS. BEARS IN TONITE''S ANNUAL HALL OF FAME GAME ... THE BASEBALL REPORT: RE-VISITING THE TRADES THAT WERE NOT MADE!The National Football League has pulled back the curtain on the 2018 preseason ... and that means it''s time to play ball and we''ll get right to it with tonite''s Hall of Fame Game showdown between the favored Baltimore Ravens (- 2.5) and the underdog Chicago Bears (total price is 34 points). Folks, we''ll clue you in shortly with what to expect from this pro football lid-lifter but first things first:Jim…

Network Notebook: Why Oddsmakers Hate the NFL Preseason

Wednesday, August 1, 2018 at 1:00 PM

The 2018 NFL Preseason officially kicks off Thursday night when the Baltimore Ravens take on the Chicago Bears in the annual Hall of Fame game in Canton Ohio. That marks the return of football to the airwaves and our betting portfolios. If you typically pass the Preseason waiting for the regular season to arrive…you should be aware of this one key fact…ODDSMAKERS HATE THE NFL PRESEASON!And, if oddsmakers hate the preseason, smart bettors should love it.Why do oddsmakers hate the preseason?*They don’t have the resources or time to track down the drive-by-drive quarterback plans for all 32 teams. Think about…

Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps Bet the NFL Preseason

Monday, July 30, 2018 at 4:00 PM

Thursday brings the start of the 2018 NFL Preseason when the Chicago Bears take on the Baltimore Ravens in the Hall of Fame game on NBC. If you want to think like a sharp and bet like a sharp, you should be relatively conservative throughout the month of August. The Preseason is for building bankroll, not burning it.Sharps (professional wagerers) do have some involvement in the NFL Preseason. But, lower limits make it tough to really fire hard at any game. Plus, oddsmakers are quick to move their numbers if they sense smart money is attacking based on personnel news…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Handicapping Huge MLB Favorites

Monday, July 30, 2018 at 1:00 PM

I can’t recall a baseball weekend that had SO many big favorites all over the card. The Yankees laid more than -400 in many spots Saturday against Kansas City. Boston was a big favorite all four games against Minnesota. Houston was big chalk in all three games vs. Texas. Cleveland wasn’t cheap as a road favorite in Detroit.Because we’re going to see a lot of this through the rest of the season…particularly when any projected AL playoff team is matched up with one of the many stragglers “rebuilding” for the future…it’s time to review the smart way to bet these…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Get ready for the NFL Preseason

Friday, July 27, 2018 at 3:00 PM

Hopefully you’re aware that the NFL Preseason is now less than a week away. The annual Hall of Fame game is on Thursday nights instead of Sunday nights. NBC will televise the Chicago Bears vs. the Baltimore Ravens this coming Thursday.Though the rest of the league doesn’t play until the following week, you should be getting your ducks in a row in terms of handicapping the exhibition games. It might take you two weekends to get everything in place. Here’s a longer-than-usual homework assignment for students of my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping that you can complete as…

Richie Baccellieri: Will Judge’s Injury Slow Down the Yankees?

Friday, July 27, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Earlier this week, I talked about how the general public (squares) often overvalue the impact of individual players. Now we get a great way to test that with Aaron Judge out of the lineup for the New York Yankees for a few weeks after suffering a fractured wrist Thursday night.Do the Yankees become an auto-fade with Judge out? Does this doom the Yankees to a Wildcard because it will be much harder to chase down the Boston Red Sox from behind without Judge? Should you just burn your Yankees futures tickets because there’s no way to win the World Championship…

Network Notebook: Many MLB Teams Blowing Hot or Cold

Wednesday, July 25, 2018 at 1:00 PM

If you’ve been following Major League Baseball, you know that several teams are on fire right now. The Oakland A’s continued a hot run that started long before the All-Star break with a huge come-from-behind win over Texas Tuesday night. Pittsburgh, supposedly dead in the water a few weeks ago, posted a double-digit winning streak against a slate of contenders. Boston’s been hot all season.Here’s a list of teams that have won 60% or more of their games over the last 30 days heading into Wednesday’s action…Best Records the Last 30 DaysOakland 19-5Boston 19-5Pittsburgh 17-8Colorado 15-7Chicago 16-9Houston 15-9LA Dodgers 15-10Philadelphia…

AFC East Quarterbacks Not Named Brady Are Camp News

Tuesday, July 24, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NFL CAMP REPORT - WHAT WE'RE WATCHING THIS WEEK ...BASEBALL NEWS & NOTES: HALL OF FAME TALKIt may be hot. It may be sticky out there ... but the National Football League is open for business and camps are open all 'round the league where they play for pay. Finally, some real football talk!Gotta say that we're paying particularly close attention to the quarterback battles in places such as Buffalo and Miami and the New York Jets - ahh, all AFC East teams and all teams that keep dreaming the big dream that somebody out there can finally KO…

Richie Baccellieri: Player Value in Major League Baseball

Monday, July 23, 2018 at 4:00 PM

It started last week and should continue for several days. Buyers and sellers in Major League Baseball. High impact players being acquired by contenders in hopes that they will be a difference-maker in divisional races and the postseason.There were a couple of big stories last week. Manny Machado is now a Los Angeles Dodger (championship contender) rather than a Baltimore Oriole (rebuilding doormat). Brad Hand is now a Philadelphia Phillie (divisional contender) rather than a San Diego Padre (rebuilding doormat, though not as bad as Baltimore).Interestingly, those high-profile acquisitions both addressed clear needs for the contenders, yet barely moved the…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Handicapping the NL Playoff Chase

Monday, July 23, 2018 at 1:00 PM

As of Monday morning, fully 11 of the 15 teams in the National League had records at .500 or better. Because nobody is running away and hiding from the field just yet (though the Cubs are starting to), that means all 11 are still playoff contenders. Any of them could win their own division or earn a Wildcard.While I often encourage you to study “indicator” stats that help you see your challenges more clearly, the best thing to do right now is study these teams against each other! With 11 teams in the hunt, there will always be games where…

NFL Camps Popping Up Open All Over

Sunday, July 22, 2018 at 12:00 AM

NFL NEWS & NOTES:CAMPS OPENING ALL AROUND THE LEAGUE THIS WEEK AND WE'RE ALL OVER THE ACTION! ...THE BASEBALL REPORT: THE BIGGEST OUT-OF-THE-BREAK NOISEMAKERSThe National Field League is open for business ... from Owings Mills to Latrobe to Metairie to Renton and all places in between it's time to pull on the spikes and get down to the nitty-gritty as all 32 teams will be in full-speed ahead camp mode by the time we get to the end of this July week.Excited yet?There's new head coaches in Arizona, in Chicago, in Detroit, in Indianapolis, with the New York Giants, in…

Baseball Q&A and Heisman Odds Too

Saturday, July 21, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE BASEBALL REPORT:IT’S A MID-SUMMER Q & A SESSION …THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL NOTEBOOK:HERE’S THE CURRENT HEISMAN TROPHY ODDS It’s a fact:We’re grinding our way to the final third of this month of July and most Major-League Baseball teams have played right around 100 games … so everyone should have a handle on this 2018 season, right?Well, there’s plenty of questions in mind as we draw near August and so let’s have some fun and explore a quickie Q & A session in today’s weekend edition of Jim Sez: Q: One of the factoids regarding this here-and-now ‘18 MLB season has been the…

Baseball’s Best This Weekend: There’s Some Natural Rivalries on Deck

Friday, July 20, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE MLB REPORT:TOP WEEKEND SERIESFEATURES THE NEW-LOOK DODGERS AT BREWERSPLUS, BAY AREA BATTLE IN OAKLAND …NCAA FOOTBALL TIDBITS You might have noticed that this year’s Major-League Baseball All-Star Game came upon us all a little later than usual on the calendar and so that means crunch time here in the season’s “second half” starts a bit sooner … like now!No better way to get the post-All Star break off and rollin’ with a batch of high-profile (and highly important) weekend series, so let’s kick it into high gear right after we let you know that …Jim Hurley and his Network of…

Baseball’s Back -- Play Ball Part II

Thursday, July 19, 2018 at 12:00 AM

Jim Hurley Wins Side & Total of All Star Game with American League & OVER!THE 2018 BASEBALL SEASON – WE’RE BAAAACK! …CHECKIN’ OUT SOME UNDER THE RADAR STORIES …COLLEGE FOOTBALL’S POINTSPREAD GOODIESThe “Boys of Summer” are back after that little All-Star break respite – yes, the St. Louis Cardinals at the Chicago Cubs (Thursday, 7:05 p.m. ET) get shorted the extra vacation day but all’s good in the world of Major-League Baseball – and so we resume the epic Boston Red Sox / New York Yankees race in the American League and the what-could-be-epic four-team donnybrook race for first place…

Network Notebook: MLB Check-up During the Break

Wednesday, July 18, 2018 at 7:00 AM

The annual Major League Baseball All-Star break is a time for reflection and preparation. Let’s take a quick look at a couple of our favorite ways of measuring performance.First, we look at the big picture. Here’s how each of the six divisions has performed this season based on games above or below .500.AL West: plus 47NL Central: plus 20 (plus 22 vs. AL Central)AL East: plus 19NL West: plus 8NL East: minus 11AL Central: minus 83The American League Central is so bad, that it’s helped three other divisions seem better than they are (the other two AL divisions, plus the…

AL Grabs All-Star Win For 6th Straight Year

Wednesday, July 18, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE MLB ALL-STAR GAME:LONG BALLS THE STORY OF THE NIGHTIN AL’S 8-6 EXTRA-INNING WIN …THE MACHADO-TO-DODGERS TRADE …PLUS COLLEGE FOOTBALL UP-TO-DATEODDS TO WIN IT ALL Talk about a game of Power Ball!The American League’s slug-it-out 8-6 win against the National League last night in Washington in the 89th edition of the Major-League Baseball All-Star Game featured 10 home runs – an All-Star record (of course) -- and some 25 strikeouts and so afterwards everyone naturally was sounding off about how this clash “typified” the 2018 season with lots of dingers and K’s and not much in between.Sure, the “experts” were correct…

Richie Baccellieri: Sharps Successful in MLB First Half

Tuesday, July 17, 2018 at 4:00 PM

The All-Star Break is when the media recaps the first half of the baseball season to get you ready for the second half. I should do the same from a sharp perspective, talking about how the Wise Guys have performed so far this season.I’d have to say, there are a lot of smiling faces out there. Sharps have done well, generally beating the market to new developments. The most recent was probably betting on the Cincinnati Reds more than anyone expected just as the team caught fire. Pro bettors, who focus on personnel rather than trends and angles as a…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Post All-Star Break Handicapping

Tuesday, July 17, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Now that the Major League Baseball All-Star Break has arrived, you have a few days to gather your senses and gear up for the final 2.5 months of the season. Today’s coursework will help you get in the right mindset for picking winners.In recent seasons, it’s become very important to fully understand THE MOTIVATION FACTOR at the team level. The main reasons for that are:*Some teams who coasted through the first half of the season kick up their intensity in the second half. This is particularly true for playoff caliber teams who had no reason to be “the champions” of…

Baseball’s All-Star Game Break is Here; What Teams will Shine in 2nd Half?

Sunday, July 15, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE ALL-STAR BREAK UPDATE:WILL THE FIRST-PLACE TEAMS HANG ON? … IT’S THE SHORT-BUT-SWEET ALL-STAR GAME TRIVIA TESTAhhh, the annual Major-League Baseball All-Star Game arrives Tuesday night in the nation’s capital with most of the sport’s 30 teams fast approaching the 100-game mark – but the $64,000 question here is will the teams that currently occupy first place in their respective divisions be the same ones who are sitting on top at the end of this 162-game schedule?Folks, we’re not gonna be a bit shy about revealing / sharing our thoughts on that matter and so get ready for our fast-paced…

The All Star Break MLB Report Card

Saturday, July 14, 2018 at 12:00 AM

HERE'S OUR JIM SEZ ALL STAR BREAK REPORT CARD GRADESThe Major-League Baseball All-Star Game is right around the bend - it's here on Tuesday night from Washington D.C. (you might have heard!) - and so that means it's time for our annual Jim Sez Report Card Grades for the unofficial first half of this 2018 season.THE NATIONAL LEAGUE REPORT CARD GRADESGrade: A+MILWAUKEE (55-39) - The Brew Crew has yet to take its foot off the gas pedal this year while staying just above the archrival Chicago Cubs in the NL Central race for first place. You can thank manager Craig…

Richie Baccellieri: Sharpest MLB Moves Tied to Personnel

Friday, July 13, 2018 at 4:00 PM

Whenever there’s a big line move in baseball, you’ll hear pundits or your buddies trying to guess what caused it. They’ll often point to trends or angles, or some kind of intangible like “revenge” or a “bounce back” spot.The fact is, sharps (professional wagerers) almost never bet based on those things. Many don’t believe in trends because it’s easy to dig through data and find stuff that sounds important but doesn’t really mean anything. They think emotional factors are overrated in pro sports (particularly baseball!). If there’s a line move, it’s usually because of a personnel change.And, I’m not talking…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Preparing for the NFL Season

Friday, July 13, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Last week at this time, we talked about doing initial preparations for the coming college football season. Today’s coursework in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping will focus on getting ready for the NFL. Did you realize that the Hall of Fame game is less than a month away?!I’ll give you some initial help today. Several teams will have new starting quarterbacks in 2018. You need to start THERE before you do anything else. Some offenses will be better, some worse, just by the nature of the change they’ve made at this position.Here’s a quick list of new…

Our NL Report Card Grades Are Here!

Friday, July 13, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  HERE’S OUR JIM SEZNATIONAL LEAGUE REPORT CARD GRADES The Major-League Baseball All-Star Game is right around the bend – it’s here on Tuesday night from Washington D.C. (you might have heard!) – and so that means it’s time for our annual Jim Sez Report Card Grades for the unofficial first half of this 2018 season.We’ll get things jump-started today with the National League grades and we’ll clue you in on the American League in our next column space, so don’t dare miss out! But first things first and so here’s an important reminder …Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers…

MLB Second-Half Surges? Plus NFL Team Reports Include the Eagles

Thursday, July 12, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 THE BASEBALL REPORT:CAN WE EXPECT ANY SECOND-HALF-OF-THE-SEASONSURGES FROM TEAMS BACK IN THE PACK? …OUR FINAL NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM ACCOUNT:IT’S THE BENGALS AND THE SB CHAMPION EAGLES Check out the Major-League Baseball standings today and you’ll see everyone’s played 90-plus games – and if you ask a whole bunch of folks they’ll be quick to tell you that the American League’s playoff spots are practically sealed up already while the National League already has dismissed a half-dozen or so teams from its post-season chase.But right here / right now our question is what teams we might expect to experience a “second-half surge” –…

Our NL Report Card Grades Are In!

Thursday, July 12, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  HERE’S OUR JIM SEZNATIONAL LEAGUE REPORT CARD GRADES The Major-League Baseball All-Star Game is right around the bend – it’s here on Tuesday night from Washington D.C. (you might have heard!) – and so that means it’s time for our annual Jim Sez Report Card Grades for the unofficial first half of this 2018 season.We’ll get things jump-started today with the National League grades and we’ll clue you in on the American League in our next column space, so don’t dare miss out! But first things first and so here’s an important reminder …Jim Hurley and his Network of Handicappers and Bloggers…

Network Notebook: Evaluating Starting Pitchers

Wednesday, July 11, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Handicapping baseball gets more and more complicated every season. The game is changing so much on the fly that old school approaches can turn irrelevant very quickly. Did you used to focus on starting pitchers who would reliably go seven or eight innings? Few do that any more! Did you like offenses who tried to string together hits rather than patiently waiting for a dinger? Same thing.*Starting pitchers only go 5-6 innings*Middle relievers are now CRUCIAL instead of irrelevant*Defensive shifts are curtailing some hitting stats*We're back to a "dead ball" era relative to the past 1.5 seasons*Some teams are actively…

MLB Projected Wins for Cubs, Halos and Nats Plus NFL Too

Tuesday, July 10, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE MID-WEEK BASEBALL REPORT - TIME TO TALK "OVER" WINS TOTALS ...NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM GOODIES: IT'S THE JAGS, BUCS & SEAHAWKSOkay, so we're actually beyond the halfway point of this here-and-now 2018 Major-League Baseball season and so we'll take some time to digest a few of the "over" wins totals with a look at three different teams here ...CHICAGO CUBS (93.5) - The Las Vegas big-wigs attached this "over" wins price to the Cubbies at the start of this season (some of you may had to lay - 130 in the process) and early on it appeared the number was too…

Richie Baccellieri: Beware of “Fool’s Gold” with Big MLB Favorites

Monday, July 9, 2018 at 4:00 PM

We just went through a weekend where some of the best teams in baseball crushed some of the worst teams in baseball. Those blowouts were a square’s dream, but it played to all of their worst instincts about how to bet this sport.Far too many in the general public look to bet big favorites because they think ‘they’re going to kill” the team they’re facing. Then, scores like this make it seem easy.*Washington beat Miami Saturday 18-4, meaning you would have pushed if you were laying two touchdowns!*Arizona did that one run better by beating San Diego 20-5.*AL powers Houston…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Pre-All Star Break Handicapping

Monday, July 9, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Veteran handicappers have a system for betting on or against quality starting pitchers in the days before the All-Star game that has stood the test of time. It won’t work in every single game. But, it generally makes money year-in and year-out.*Fade any starting pitcher in his final appearance before the All-Star game.*Back any prominent starting pitcher having a strong year who was snubbed.We usually talk more about THE MOTIVATION FACTOR in other sports here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping. But, here’s a case where it can be used successfully in baseball.Pitchers named to the All-Star…

Get The Pre-Season FREE

Monday, July 9, 2018 at 11:46 AM

GET THE ENTIRE NFL PRESEASON ABSOLUTELY FREEAND THAT INCLUDES 100-UNIT GAME OF THE YEARIt All Begins In Just 25 Days With Hall Of Fame Game That Matches The Bears And The RavensSign Up Today And Receive Free Baseball Best Bets Everyday Through End Of PreseasonTime To Solve Puzzle Of 7 New NFL Coaches, 12 New Starting Quarterbacks And 23 New College MentorsIt is time to get to work, and it will be work. NFL training camps are about to open with rookies reporting in just 11 days and the veterans arriving a week later. The first of 65 preseason games…

Forget All-Star Snubs, It’s Bosox on Our Minds

Sunday, July 8, 2018 at 12:00 AM

BASEBALL'S ALL-STAR SNUBS? WE CARE WAY MORE ABOUT THE SURGING RED SOX AND THEIR POTENTIAL TRADES THAT MAY LIE STRAIGHT AHEADOUR NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM ACCOUNTS: IT'S THE J-E-T-S AND VIKINGSThe Major-League Baseball world today is all caught up in the matter of All-Star Game snubs … hey, Tampa Bay LHP Blake Snell (he's 12-4 with an American League-leading 2.09 ERA) should have been a lead-pipe cinch for a berth and ditto for Los Angeles SS Andrelton Simmons (although he could get voted in still) along with National Leaguer LHP Kyle Freeland (8-6, 3.18 ERA) of the Colorado Rockies.Then again, there's always…

The Pirates on Wrong End of Another 17 Spot

Saturday, July 7, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE WEEKEND BASEBALL UPDATE –BUCCOS FIND “17” IS NO LUCKY NUMBER …MORE NFL TEAM ACCOUNTS:IT’S THE FALCONS & CHIEFS ON TODAY’S MENUWITH MORE NFL UPDATES NEXT WEEK AT JIM SEZ Go ahead and tell us what are the odds that a Major-League Baseball team is gonna surrender 17 runs in a game twice in one week (and the week’s not even over yet!)?The Pittsburgh Pirates have been on the short end of a 17-1 score (see last Monday at the Los Angeles Dodgers) and a 17-5 score (see Friday night as hosts to the Philadelphia Phillies) and Bucs’ manager Clint Hurdle…

Richie Baccellieri: Biggest MLB Surprises for Sharps in First Half

Friday, July 6, 2018 at 4:00 PM

All Major League teams have played more than 81 games, which means we’re in the second half of the 2018 season. That makes it a good time to review what surprised sharps (professional wagerers) in the first half of the season.The biggest surprise would have to be the number of “second-tier” teams who have made a run at their divisions while earning profits against the betting line. Everyone expected the usual powers to dominate. Washington, the Chicago Cubs, the Los Angeles Dodgers, Boston, the New York Yankees, Cleveland, and Houston were all expected to clear 90 wins. Only the Nats…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: College Football Preparation

Friday, July 6, 2018 at 1:00 AM

Now that July 4 is behind us, it’s time to start getting ready for the upcoming football season. Newsstand publications are on the shelves. Time to make your purchases and dig in and start your research.College Football 2018 is going to provide some interesting opportunities for sports bettors. The mainstream media is already hyper-focused on Alabama, Clemson, Ohio State, and Georgia. I’m sick of hearing about them and it’s only July! Those are the likely Final Four teams based on returning talent and head coaches. That intense media spotlight means other talented teams can stay off the radar a bit…

MLB’s What-to-Watch Weekend Series

Friday, July 6, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE BASEBALL UPDATE –THE WEEKEND’S BEST AS DODGERS-ANGELSHEADLINE THE EARLY JULY ACTION …MORE FOOTBALL TEAM-BY-TEAM REPORTS:IT’S THE RAIDERS & LIONS IN TODAY’S JIM SEZ Here’s some of the weekend’s best series that we’ll be tracking closely right here with the Jim Hurley Network. Make sure you’re on board with all the winners at 1-800-323-4453 or get ‘em online right here at www.jimhurley.com In National League play, it’s …ATLANTA (49-36) at MILWAUKEE (51-35) – This is a four-game set at Miller Park that started Thursday night and take note that the Brewers (27-17 at home entering this set) continue to be a spread-the-wealth…

AFC North Preview by Jim Feist

Thursday, July 5, 2018 at 12:00 AM

AFC North Preview by Jim FeistBaltimore Ravens:  Very marginal the last few years and have a potential QB problem.  Quarterback Joe Flacco has been a subpar performer since winning the Super Bowl a few years ago. Drafting Lamar Jackson will surely put pressure on Joe, if he continues to play like he has the last few years. I think Lamar could be a steal if he gets a chance to show it. You have to get real about this club from what they did last season. The Ravens were 27th in offensive total yards and passing yards. Nothing there will inspire,…

The 4th of July MLB Stars / Football Too!

Thursday, July 5, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE BASEBALL REPORT: HERE'S THE 4TH OF JULY DIAMOND STARSNFL TEAM NEWS: TODAY WE CHECK OUT THE COLTS, COWBOYS & RAVENSAll hail the "Boys of Summer" for a great day/night of Major-League Baseball action on the 4th of July ... here's to the holiday's biggest heroes:The first pitch in Washington, D.C. happened at 11:05 a.m. ET but it was the host Nationals who didn't get the wake-up call. Boston Red Sox LHP Eduardo Rodriguez (10-3, 3.84 ERA) powered the American League East to a three-game series sweep in the nation's capital by throwing six shutout innings en route to giving…

Network Notebook: Which MLB Contenders Thrive vs. Quality?

Wednesday, July 4, 2018 at 10:00 AM

For decades, July 4 has been the date circled on the calendar for MLB teams to evaluate where they stand in the big picture. It’s usually right around the halfway point of the season (teams just scooted past the 81-game mark in recent days). If you’re in first place…you’re a legitimate contender. If you’re off the pace, it’s time to get moving!One of JIM HURLEY’S favorite indicator stats for determining which contenders are likely to hang tough through the full season, and which are likely to fold under pressure, is Won-Lost Records against teams who are .500 or better. These…

4th of July Plus Football Notes Too

Wednesday, July 4, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE BASEBALL REPORT:HERE’S THE 4TH OF JULY DIAMOND STARS ….NFL TEAM NEWS:TODAY WE CHECK OUT THE COLTS, COWBOYS & RAVENS All hail the “Boys of Summer” for a great day/night of Major-League Baseball action on the 4th of July … here’s to the holiday’s biggest heroes: The first pitch in Washington, D.C. happened at 11:05 a.m. ET but it was the host Nationals who didn’t get the wake-up call. Boston Red Sox LHP Eduardo Rodriguez (10-3, 3.84 ERA) powered the American League East to a three-game series sweep in the nation’s capital by throwing six shutout innings en route to giving the…

4th of July Stars Plus Football Too

Wednesday, July 4, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 THE BASEBALL REPORT:HERE’S THE 4TH OF JULY DIAMOND STARS ….NFL TEAM NEWS:TODAY WE CHECK OUT THE COLTS, COWBOYS & RAVENS All hail the “Boys of Summer” for a great day/night of Major-League Baseball action on the 4th of July … here’s to the holiday’s biggest heroes: The first pitch in Washington, D.C. happened at 11:05 a.m. ET but it was the host Nationals who didn’t get the wake-up call. Boston Red Sox LHP Eduardo Rodriguez (10-3, 3.84 ERA) powered the American League East to a three-game series sweep in the nation’s capital by throwing six shutout innings en route to giving the…

The Fourth of July Baseball Lineup

Tuesday, July 3, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 HAPPY 4TH OF JULY!!!HERE’S THE HOLIDAY MENU OFWEDNESDAY’S BEST GAMES ON THE MLB BOARD …OUR NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM ACCOUNTSFEATURES THE DOLPHINS, PANTHERS & RAMS Happy Birthday, U.S.A.!It’s time for America’s Pastime to set off the fireworks – both during and after some big 4th of July games – and so while you’re out there cookin’ up the hot dogs, burgers, etc. we’ll be checking out the action on a busy Major-League Baseball day/night … here’s a sampling of what’s on the holiday menu with a bevy of Interleague games catching our attention (all records below thru Monday’s games): BOSTON (57-29) at WASHINGTON (42-41)…

Richie Baccellieri: LeBron Signs with the Lakers, Electrifying Vegas

Monday, July 2, 2018 at 4:00 PM

If you thought ESPN went overboard Sunday night with its coverage of LeBron James signing with the Los Angeles Lakers, you should have seen the buzz here in Las Vegas when the news was announced. Fans of the team raced to sports books to jump on the bandwagon. Oddsmakers played defense as quickly as they could to avoid overexposure. When the dust had settled, the Lakers were about 7/2 (plus 350) to win the NBA championship next season.Honestly, that’s NUTS! Even if the Lakers do manage to bring in Kawhi Leonard without losing too much talent in return, there’s no…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Braves Impressed Me in St. Louis

Monday, July 2, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Last week I assigned you the task of scouting the Red Sox/Yankees series that was going to get a ton of media coverage over the weekend. While you were doing that, I was watching the Atlanta/St. Louis series because I wanted to see how the Braves would perform on the road against a winning team.I have to admit I’ve been skeptical about Atlanta in recent weeks. Even though they’ve been on top of the NL East most of the season, they weren’t exactly breathing fire of late.*Dropped 2 of 3 to Cincinnati*Dropped 2 of 3 to Baltimore*Split with TorontoYou’re not…

The MLB Report: Price Isn’t Right for Bosox

Monday, July 2, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  BASEBALL NEWS & NOTES:RED SOX TELL YANKEES,SEE ‘YA NEXT MONTH IN BOSTON …NBA FREE AGENCY: LEBRON’S IN LA-LA LAND …NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM ACCOUNTS:IT’S THE BROWNS, PACKERS & BRONCOS If you were hoping for some sit-at-the-edge-of-your-chair baseball excitement this past weekend at Yankee Stadium, you didn’t get it.Three straight blowouts in the much-hyped series between the Boston Red Sox at the New York Yankees – see Yankees 8-1, Red Sox 11-0 and Yanks 11-1 – hardly qualified as captivating baseball but the proverbial bottom line is the series turned out as you might as expected with the host Bombers winning two-of-three and losing…

Richie Baccellieri: Sharps Aren’t Afraid of Action

Friday, June 29, 2018 at 4:00 PM

One of the great misperceptions about professional sports bettors is that they’re very picky about choosing games to bet on. Everybody knows that squares (the general public) usually bet too many games. But, just because sharps (pros) are “opposite” of squares doesn’t mean that sharps don’t bet a lot of games too.Sharps bet every edge they can find! The pickiness comes regarding “big” bets. Sharps invest whenever they believe they have an edge, but they only place really big bets when the size of their edge is at its biggest.Think about it this way. Oddsmakers post opening lines, and the…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Scout the Red Sox and Yankees This Weekend

Friday, June 29, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Usually your homework assignment isn’t something as basic as sitting and watching some baseball. But, I want you to do that this weekend with the Boston Red Sox/New York Yankees series because those teams are both going to be very important through the second half of the regular season and deep into the playoffs.*Obviously, these teams will meet again several more times this season. You might pick up something this weekend that helps you bet winners in later meetings. Be on particular lookout for key pitchers who can’t quite figure out how to disrupt the most dangerous hitting threats on…

Checkin’ Out the AL East -- Not Just Red Sox & Yankees

Friday, June 29, 2018 at 12:00 AM

  THE JIM SEZ WEEKEND REPORT –RED SOX-YANKEES IS CENTER STAGE THESE DAYSBUT WE WANNA DISH ON THE OTHER AL EAST TEAMS …NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM ACCOUNTS FEATURESTHE TEXANS AND ‘SKINS Surprise, surprise …The Major-League Baseball world has eyes focused on this weekend’s monstrous Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees series in The Bronx but gotta say that – top to bottom – the American League East has been one of the most fascinating divisions in the sport this year.Let’s examine the “other” teams in the AL East: TAMPA BAY (40-41) – No question the Rays have overachieved big-time so far (remember that Tampa…

Red Sox-Yankees is Weekend Scene-Stealer

Thursday, June 28, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 THE BASEBALL REPORT –RED SOX-YANKEES RENEW “THE RIVALRY” …THE NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM UPDATES:STEELERS, GIANTS & BEARS Time to ask the $64,000 question again …Is the rivalry between the Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees the best in Major-League Baseball?Well, if you’re being totally honest, the 2003 and 2004 seasons – in which Red Sox-Yankees played out in a pair of seven-game American League Championship Series with the Yankees winning it in ’03 and the Sawx in ’04 – were the apex of this rivalry but ever since things have been lukewarm at best.This year the teams have split their first…

AFC South Preview by Jim Feist

Thursday, June 28, 2018 at 12:00 AM

The AFC South produced two playoff teams last season with the Jacksonville Jaguars and the Tennessee Titans.  Both clubs actually went a few games deep into the postseason as well.Jaguars: The Jags won the AFC Championship. However, I’m not impressed with either team, from an overall league standpoint. The AFC was not very good last season when you consider both the Colts and the Texans finished 4-12 and played most, if not all of 2017, without their star players. The Jaguars return their entire coaching staff intact for 2018 and that will give them a head start on both the…

NFL Team-by-Team Accounts: Chargers, Saints on Today’s Hit List

Wednesday, June 27, 2018 at 12:00 AM

HERE'S MORE NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM UPDATES: WE BRING YOU THE CHARGERS, BILLS, SAINTS & CARDINALSTHE MLB REPORT: SWING AND A MISS!Okay, so if you're a big believer in National Football League teams "taking advantage" of a weak schedule, then this year's Houston Texans will be the team to watch.The Texans will play six of their 16 regular-season games against teams that won six-or-fewer games in 2017 and they'll be playing five games against teams that sport new head coaches ... no wonder there's lots of "worst-to-first" shirts/bumper stickers/etc. making the rounds in the great city of Houston.But, get this ... The…

Network Notebook: Checking in on Unbalanced Schedules

Tuesday, June 26, 2018 at 7:00 PM

BOSTON, SAN FRANCISCO AMONG TEAMS IN BETTER SHAPE THAN YOU MAY HAVE BEEN THINKINGIt's been awhile since we had a chance to do this. You longtime readers know JIM HURLEY always monitors home/road imbalances in schedules to make sure the standings aren't giving a false read on teams. The stat we invented here in the NOTEBOOK to capsulize that was "Wins Minus Home Games Played."Teams performing well against even or road-heavy schedules will shine in this measure. Teams who are creating illusions from a temporary surplus of home games will be exposed.Let's run through all six MLB divisions for this…

NFC East Preview by Jim Feist

Tuesday, June 26, 2018 at 12:00 AM

NFC East Preview by Jim FeistPhiladelphia Eagles: Can they do it again? And can they do it back-to-back? Not something that has been done very often in this division. The defending Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles will try to get past three teams that may not look great on paper but any of them could surprise. The last team to win the NFC East in consecutive seasons was actually Philadelphia. That was then and this is now. Let’s have a look at what the Eagles will be facing this year, but first let’s look at the Eagles themselves since they are…

Previewing the NFC South – by Jim Feist

Tuesday, June 26, 2018 at 12:00 AM

Previewing the NFC South – by Jim FeistThis is a power packed division and I would not be shocked if the one of these teams ends up in the Super Bowl and maybe winning it. For me, the best of the lot are the Saints and Falcons, followed not too closely by the Panthers and the Bucs.Let’s look at the QB’s that these teams should start the season with.We start off with the new 150 million dollar man. Yes, the Falcons rewarded Matt Ryan with a new 5-year, 30 million dollar per year contract. Ryan has proven over many years…

NFC North Preview by Jim Feist

Tuesday, June 26, 2018 at 12:00 AM

NFC North Preview by Jim FeistMinnesota Vikings: It seemed to me that in 2017 head coach Mike Zimmer did not fully have Case Keenums back at times. Judging by his off season moves, that may have been the case as all of his three QB’s are gone and he has brought in QB Kirk Cousins. Personally, I feel this is an upgrade, but Cousins has not yet done in his career. Keenum was 13-3 last year in the NFL, which is no small feat. Keenum was money for his team and for us bettors. Only time will tell if Zimmer’s…

Previewing the AFC West – by Jim Feist

Tuesday, June 26, 2018 at 12:00 AM

Previewing the AFC West – by Jim FeistI’ll start breaking down the NFL by division for the 2018 season. Today, I’m starting with the AFC West, one of the most competitive divisions in football.The current odds to win the division are : Oakland Raiders +190, Los Angeles Chargers +225, Kansas City Chiefs +240, Denver Broncos +380I don’t agree with these odds. I have the Chargers and Broncos, co-favorites.Oakland Raiders : The Oakland Raiders have a new head coach in Jon Gruden. He has been out of football for a number of years, so in a way he brings a different…

Are Dodgers Repeating Recent History?

Tuesday, June 26, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE BASEBALL NOTEBOOK - ARE DODGERS TURNING BACK THE CLOCK TO 2017?NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM RUNDOWNS: HERE'S THE STEELERS, GIANTS & BEARSJust a thought ... Are the Los Angeles Dodgers (42-35) right now in the midst of another epic run? Remember last year when the Dodgers surged to a 43-7 record during one 50-game stretch that started back on June 7th of 2017.Well, the Dodgers exited a weekend sweep of the New York Mets last year when that 43 wins in a 50-game stretch concluded and on Monday night LA began a 10-game homestand fresh off - guess what - another weekend…

Richie Baccellieri: Don’t be Square on High MLB Money Lines

Monday, June 25, 2018 at 4:00 PM

Sunday the Houston Astros were laying -370 here in Las Vegas at home against the Kansas City Royals. Get ready to see a lot of high numbers like that throughout the season.*There are several very good teams*There are several very bad teams*Good teams will be expensive at home vs. bad teamsThe first “square” reaction (that of losing bettors) when they see a high price is to say to themselves, “I can’t lay that high a price to win, the only way I can bet it is to lay -1.5 runs on the run line.” As we’ve discussed in the past.…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: What’s Wrong with the Washington Nats?

Monday, June 25, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Sometimes your homework assignment here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping involves big picture themes that cross the full Major Leagues. Sometimes it involves a specific team that’s performing at surprisingly good or bad levels.Today, it’s the latter. Your job is to figure out what the heck is wrong with the Washington Nationals, and whether or not it’s going to continue.The Nats are an important team in the markets because they still get so much respect. I’m seeing some stores still list them as favorites to win the NL in futures prices even though they’re in third…

Let’s Hear it For the Reds -- and All Those Profits!

Sunday, June 24, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 THE BASEBALL REPORT:HEY, THE CINCINNATI REDS AREPROOF POSITIVE THAT EVERYONE & ANYONECAN GET HOT DURING THE COURSE OF A SEASON …THE NFL UPDATE:WE BEGIN OUR NFL TEAM-BY-TEAM ACCOUNTSWITH A LOOK AT THE PATRIOTS, TITANS & 49ERS Folks, it’s a handicapping theory we never get tired of telling right here at Jim Sez:Years ago, a veteran/savvy “bettor” we know told us that “even the worst teams in Major-League Baseball are gonna have at least one hot streak in ‘em during the course of a season.”Exhibit A … the 2018 Cincinnati Reds.True, the Reds (32-45) have been full-time residents of the National League…

Weekend Notebook from MLB / NFL / NBA

Saturday, June 23, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE JIM SEZ WEEKEND REPORT - MLB, NFL & NBA QUICK-HITTER NOTESIt's officially the first full weekend of summer - but we'll put down the ice-cold beverage long enough to get you up to speed on some big happenings in MLB, NFL and the NBA too!MLBLooking for an under-the-radar type team to make a little run here in the next few days? Then try the Minnesota Twins (33-38) on for size. The American League Central squad - a major underachiever the first half of this here-and-now Major-League Baseball season - is in the midst of a three-game home series against…

Richie Baccellieri: Sharps Bet Prices, Not Teams

Friday, June 22, 2018 at 4:00 PM

I’ve mentioned this periodically through my time posting articles here at this website. But, I don’t think I’ve ever devoted a full article to it. This is very important to remember if you’re a day-to-day baseball handicapper, or just devoting the summer to getting ready for football.Sharps bet PRICES, not teams. You’ll often hear the mainstream media talking about “the so-called sharps” who keep betting on certain bad teams and losing. This was true with the Cleveland Browns last season. Somebody was saying about the Cincinnati Reds a few days ago (then the Reds started winning).It can also happen on…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Team Won-Lost Records by Pitcher

Friday, June 22, 2018 at 1:00 PM

In past years, I wouldn’t have recommended the strategy I’m going to outline for you today here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping. It didn’t work then, though some people swore by it as they threw their money away. In certain situations, it’s going to work very well in 2018.What’s the strategy?Focus on team won-lost records by pitcher. What’s the team’s record with their best starting pitcher on the mound. What’s the team’s record with the second-best, and so on down the line. In past years, this record was way too polluted by run support. An average…

NBA Draft Re-Caps

Friday, June 22, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NBA DRAFT REPORT - HERE'S THE REAL STORYLINES FROM LAST NIGHT'S BASH IN BROOKLYN ...THE MLB UPDATE: IT'S MARINERS AT RED SOX AS WEEKEND'S BEST SETGo ahead and raise your hand if you've fully digested all the trades and all the picks made last night at the 2018 NBA Draft .... yeah, right! Now, go ahead and raise your hand if you believe that ESPN analysts Jay Bilas and Chauncey Billups - and we happen to like both of these gents - made it sound as if every single dude selected inside the Barclays Center in Brooklyn on Thursday…

Our NBA Mock Draft

Thursday, June 21, 2018 at 12:00 AM

HERE'S OUR NBA MOCK DRAFT AS A SLEW OF ONE-AND-DONES WILL DOMINATE ROUND ONEEverybody's heading to Brooklyn for tonight's NBA Draft - but are we gonna get some shockers along the way and will there be some deals sprinkled in involving veteran/name players? Will we see any of the "power teams" move up into the top five picks of this year's draft ... and what teams holding more than one first-round choice are gonna be active in trying to trade up? Ahh, plenty of answers are ahead as here's our Jim Sez NBA Mock Draft:1. PHOENIX - Deandre Ayton, C,…

Network Notebook: Orioles Reach the Minus 30-Unit Threshold

Wednesday, June 20, 2018 at 1:00 PM

IT SHOULDN'T BE POSSIBLE IN MODERN MARKETS, BUT ORIOLES ARE DOWN 30 UNITS BEFORE ALL-STAR BREAKYou've often heard that point spreads and money lines are "the great equalizer." In betting terms, it doesn't matter what a team's won-lost record is because the markets will find an equilibrium. Betting all the good teams won't make money because high lines will counter-act any advantages. Fading bad teams won't make money because it will be too expensive to lay high point spreads or money lines against them.Let us introduce you to the 2018 Baltimore Orioles!After Tuesday night's "fall from ahead" loss to the…

The NBA Draft Is Coming!

Tuesday, June 19, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE NBA DRAFT - TRADE TALK ALL AROUND PLUS ARE THERE ANY REAL "FRANCHISE PLAYERS" ON THIS YEAR'S BIG BOARD? ...BASEBALL NEWS & NOTES: THE BEST THREE POSITION PLAYERS YOU'RE NOT HEARING ANYTHING ABOUT Hey, before you even ask ...Our Jim Sez NBA Mock Draft is ready to roll come Thursday morning, so don't miss out on that "must read" column and remember we'll follow it all up on Friday with a draft re-cap!Now, let's get down to business here in the immediate hours leading up to Thursday night's NBA Draft from the Barclays Center in Brooklyn:There's loads of trade…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Baseball Betting Way Up

Monday, June 18, 2018 at 4:00 PM

Betting handle is WAY up this year in Las Vegas for Major League Baseball. That’s a bit of a surprise because TV ratings are down, and in-game attendance is down. The media is writing “baseball is slowly dying” stories at a time when gamblers are embracing the sport like never before.What gives?From my spot out here in the sports betting capital of the world, I think the answers are pretty obvious.*First, sports books have really upgraded their experience for bettors. Competition drove them all to put up much larger TV screens and install more comfortable seating. It was no longer…

Richie Baccellieri: Don’t Bet the Due Theory

Monday, June 18, 2018 at 1:00 PM

Word was making the rounds in sports books this past weekend that the Yankees had played a bunch of Unders in a row. Many gamblers couldn’t believe it…because the team has a great offense, and many of its starting pitchers ae just kind of there rather than being all-star material (Severino is all-star material, the others inconsistent). Of course, we’ve all seen games where home runs fly out of Yankee Stadium too…and the Yanks were at home against Tampa Bay.Final ScoresThursday: New York Yankees 4, Tampa Bay 3Friday: New York Yankees 5, Tampa Bay 0Saturday: New York Yankees 4, Tampa…

The Astros Playing Out-of-Orbit Baseball Lately

Monday, June 18, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 THE BASEBALL REPORT –WHAT’S STRAIGHT AHEAD FOR THE STREAKING ‘STROS …NFL NEWS & NOTES:THINK WORST-TO-FIRST TEAMS …PLUS, NBA DRAFT BREAKDOWN:WHO’S RISING, WHO’S FALLING AS WEHEAD TOWARDS THURSDAY NIGHT Hey, don’t look now but the defending World Series champion Houston Astros are just now “hitting their stride” on this here-and-now 2018 Major-League Baseball season.The ‘Stros zoom into the new week riding an MLB-best 11-game winning streak and how about the fact they just swept a weekend series in Kansas City -- and Houston was a better-than-2-to-1 betting favorite in each of those games! Here’s how last weekend’s action looked (home team in CAPS)…

Don’t Forget these MLB All-Stars Next Month

Saturday, June 16, 2018 at 12:00 AM

 THE JIM SEZ WEEKEND UPDATE –MLB & NFL NEWS/NOTES True, the Major-League Baseball All-Star Game is still a month away (July 17th at National Park in Washington) but we’re sure hoping that the powers-that-be in the bigs find a place on the respective National League and American League rosters for the following under-the-radar and oft-underappreciated players/pitchers: NICHOLAS CASTELLANOS, OF, Detroit – The Tigers may wind up being happy with a near-.500 record this year but their star rightfielder is putting up superior numbers: Castellanos is hitting .305 with 34 RBI and 32 runs scored and this dude just “gets it” as we…

Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: You Don’t Get Rich Betting Losing Teams

Friday, June 15, 2018 at 4:00 PM

You’ll still hear old-timers in Las Vegas saying things that were said back in the 1980’s, during the first big “media boom” in sports betting coverage. They’ll say you can’t make money betting favorites in Major League Baseball. You have to focus on grinding out money with “value” bets on underdogs. Wrong!While, it IS possible to find occasional value with teams the public doesn’t want to touch. Generally speaking, you won’t make money, let alone get rich by betting on losing teams.So far in the 2018 Major League season, there are quite a few teams with losing straight up records.…

Richie Baccellieri: Will Legalized Betting Change the Markets?

Friday, June 15, 2018 at 12:00 PM

Since the last time we were together, the state of New Jersey has started taking legal sports bets. Quite the crowd showed up Thursday at the locales that had been approved to write tickets. Imagine what a mess it’s going to be once football seasons starts! They had long lines for soccer, golf, and baseball. Of course, the addition of online access and apps will help alleviate congestion by then.Many have been asking me if the markets are going to change at all now that more people will be betting legally. Will lines become “easier” to beat because more squares…

Yankees Fans, Red Sox Backers Fearful of a Wild Card game

Friday, June 15, 2018 at 12:00 AM

THE BASEBALL NOTEBOOK: TACKLING ALL THE HOT TOPICS OF THE DAYTHE NFL REPORT: SHOULD WE EXPECT BOUNCE BACK SEASONS FROM THE NY GIANTS AND OAKLAND RAIDERS? Folks, if we've heard it once, then we've heard it a thousand times already: The New York Yankees (44-20) and the Boston Red Sox (48-22) figure to be engaged in a monster head-to-head battle all year long for first place in the American League East. But all fans - of both teams - seem to talk about lately is the fear factor of finishing in second place with 100-plus wins and then having to…

Login

Forgot password

Register
Keep me logged in
Ok