23
Apr

Today’s Hot Plays

Richie Baccellieri Richie B. Baseball Gift Game Parlay Set To Sweep
On Monday Great Diamond Value Is Staring You In The Face As Richie B. Has The Kind Of Info That Gets Gift Value

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Richie Baccellieri Cash Richie B. NBA TV Showcase Game Of The Week
Tonight The NBA Showcases A Pair Of Crucial Position Battles. One Is A Richie B. Point Busting Blowout

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Kelso Sturgeon Kelso 2 Favorites Sweep Baseball Monday
Two Knockout Favorites Top 2-0 Baseball Monday

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Kelso Sturgeon Kelso 15-Unit NBA Mismatch Game Of Week
There are 2 games on the NBA schedule tonight, the Rockets at the Timberwolves and Thunder at Jazz. I have found one team that has edges in 9 of the 12 factors I am using right now in handicapping the pros - and that means a big winner tonight

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Jim Hurley TNT NBA Playoff Game Of Week
Monday’s TNT Playoff doubleheader features the Rockets at T’Wolves and Thunder at Jazz. One of these games will be a Hurley runaway winner.

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Jim Hurley Jim Hurley MLB Hurler Dominator Plus Bonus
When The Matchup Says A Pitcher Is Ready To Dominate the Opposition Hurley Takes His Stand. Hurler Dominator Is Top Play Plus Bonus Monday

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Blog Headlines

NBA’s Eastern Playoff Series Just Getting Wilder

THE NBA PLAYOFF UPDATE: CAVS GET EVEN WITH THE PACERS PLUS, THERE'S MORE WILD STUFF FROM 'ROUND THE EASTERN CONFERENCE ...

NFL DRAFT NOTEBOOK: TRACKING THE TOP D-BACKS

Let us ask you this important NBA Playoffs-related question:

Are you beginning to see a pattern developing in three of the four Eastern Conference first-round playoff sets where we'll head to Game 5's with series tied at two games apiece? It has to do with getting out to big leads in these games - and whether or not clubs can hang on right to the finish line.

Naturally, the most spell-binding of them all continues to…

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The Cavs & LeBron Facing Round I Troubles

 

THE JIM SEZ WEEKEND UPDATE –

NBA PLAYOFF NOTES PLUS

NFL DRAFT REPORT AS WE

CHECK OUT THE TOP O-LINEMEN

 

Wait a second …

Is this actually gonna be the year that LeBron James doesn’t make it to an NBA Finals?

Heck, “The King” has been part of the championship round for the past eight consecutive post-seasons but right now his Cleveland Cavaliers are facing a first-round problem of sorts following Friday night’s 92-90 meltdown loss to the 1.5-point home favorite Indiana Pacers. The Cavs – as you’re all well aware by now – blew a 57-40 halftime lead in the important “swing game” and so…

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Cavs, LeBron in Major Round One Tussle
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Richie Baccellieri: Why Sharps are Usually on Dogs in NBA Playoffs

If you’ve been paying attention to early betting in the NBA Playoffs so far, you’ve already noticed a continuation of the general “Pros vs. Joes” tendency in other sports. The public loves betting favorites. Sharps prefer backing underdogs.

While it’s obviously true that a big part of the reason for that is that public money drives lines higher than they should be…creating an additional half-point to a point (or more) of value, there are other reasons why sharps prefer fading the chalk. I wanted to discuss those with you today.

First of all, it’s a common phenomenon in ALL sports for dominant…

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NBA Playoffs: Cavs-Pacers Game 3 Plus NFL Draft Talk

 

OUR FRIDAY JIM SEZ

IS CHOCK FULL O’GOODIES

WITH THE NBA PLAYOFFS / NFL DRAFT / MLB

 

Step aside, NBA Western Conference:

Tonight’s all about the folks in the East as there are three NBA playoff series on this Friday night and the games are being played in Indiana, Washington and Milwaukee.

Obviously, the most intriguing game of the night is that Cleveland Cavaliers versus Indiana Pacers Game 3 showdown with that series even at a game apiece and you see that the gritty Pacers are the 1-point betting favorites at last check … hmm.

Consider that Cleveland – fresh off Wednesday night’s 100-97 non-cover win…

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Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: What’s Home Court Worth in NBA Playoffs?

If you watch a lot of NBA Playoff action on TV, you’ll often here TV announcers and the talking heads in studios talk about the enormous power of home court advantage in the playoffs. Loud, boisterous fans are the “sixth man” that intimidate opponents and officials. They’ll tell you home court is worth a lot more in the playoffs than in the regular season because houses are packed and the action is so intense.

While you will occasionally find teams who overachieve on their home floors, most of what those TV announcers are telling you is just hype. Home court advantage…

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More NBA Playoff Goodies

 

THE NBA PLAYOFF UPDATE –

WARRIORS AIM TO MAKE

IT A SHORT-AND-SWEET SERIES VS. SPURS

WITH GAME 3 ON THE THURSDAY NITE MENU …

MORE NFL DRAFT GOODIES:

THE TOP RBs/WRs/TEs

IN THIS ROOKIE FIELD

 

So, what’s the best path for the Golden State Warriors if – indeed – they wish to cop a second straight NBA Championship and a third title in the past four years?

Well, for starters the simple answer is to make this opening-round Western Conference playoff series against the San Antonio Spurs as short as possible as in clean sweep / broom job … what have you!

No doubt the Warriors –…

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Jim Sez NBA Report and NFL Draft: D-Linemen

THE NBA PLAYOFF REPORT - CHECKIN' OUT SOME GAME 2 TILTS (CAN CAVS, JAZZ, T-WOLVES GET EVEN?) ...

PLUS, WE JUMP-START OUR NFL DRAFT '18 COVERAGE WITH A LOOK AT THE TOP DEFENSIVE LINEMEN

You know the deal: NBA road teams are always happy "just to get a split" when playing the first two games of a playoff series and so both the Utah Jazz (at Oklahoma City) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (at West's #1 seed Houston) will be going all-out to snag Wednesday night's Game 2 affairs in an attempt to "get even" in their respective best-of-seven series.

As far as the…

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Network Notebook: Key Handicapping Stats for the NBA Playoffs

For years we’ve covered the NBA Playoffs for you in-depth here at this website. Between our HANDICAPPING NOTEBOOK and “Hurley Sez” columns, you’ve always been ahead of the analytical curve when it comes to understanding what it takes to pick winners.

Through those many years, the sport of pro basketball has evolved significantly. Right now, we’re seeing more of an emphasis than ever on three-pointers. That means you longtime handicappers need to adjust how you evaluate games. What used to be as important isn’t as important any more.

Here’s how JIM HURLEY currently ranks the box score stats in order of importance.

THREE-POINTERS:…

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Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Early Studies Show MLB Ball Not Juiced

Something important came up late last week that I wanted to alert you to. You may recall that multiple studies last season showed that a change in baseball construction was partly behind the huge increase in home runs in 2017. Even though the commissioner denied it, you can’t fool science!

The new batch of baseballs that was delivered across the league this year has largely returned to normal, which is part of the reason scoring has been lower than expected this April. Yes, the weather has been cold in many spots. And, yes a few sluggers are having so much trouble…

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Jim Sez NBA Playoff Report

THE NBA PLAYOFFS ARE OFF-AND-ROLLIN' WITH THE ROCKETS JUST HANGING ON WHILE THE WARRIORS FLEX THEIR MUSCLES IN A PAIR OF GAME 1 WESTERN CONFERENCE TILTS ...WHAT'S AHEAD ON THE NBA MONDAY NITE CARD? WE PREVIEW HEAT-SIXERS GAME 2

"The Beard" is boss."Dub Nation" is happy again.But "The King" and his on-the-court guys have plenty to worry about ... and we've only just begun the NBA Playoffs.

The approximately two-month chase to land the golden ball - a/k/a, the NBA Championship - began this past weekend and whatta doozy couple of days we had as the playoffs revved up its engines.Heck, in…

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Richie Baccellieri: Do Sharps Use the Zig Zag Theory?

Whenever the NBA Playoffs roll around, I get asked a lot about the zig-zag theory. Bettors everywhere assume that “the pros” use that to pick winners during the playoffs. I have to admit that it hasn’t been true for a long time. Sure, sometimes sharps will expect a team to bounce back off a bad game…or to come back to earth after a great game. But, they’re not really playing “the zig zag theory” when doing so.

The first problem is that nobody can agree on what the exact definition of “zig zag” is. Do you skip Game One and start…

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Previewing Sunday NBA Playoff Openers

THE NBA PLAYOFFS - HERE ARE THE SERIES THAT START UP SUNDAY

It's wall-to-wall NBA Playoffs this spring weekend and so let's get you up to snuff with the post-season series that get all revved up beginning on Sunday:

Folks, the NBA Playoffs is always a real blast - and this year Jim Hurley's Network is gonna rock-n-roll with a bunch of post-season basketball winners and so make sure you're all aboard for all the playoff goodies. And make sure you cash in big with all our Major-League Baseball winners too -- check it all out right here online or via our…

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Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Finding Smart Bets in the NBA Playoffs

I’ve been handicapping and beating the NBA Playoffs since before many of you were born. The game has changed a lot over the years. I think for the better, though some would say it’s for the worse. People used to think Michael Jordan’s championship level didn’t measure up to “the good old days” of Bill Russell’s Celtics. Now people are saying modern stars don’t measure up to Jordan. In 20 years, people might be thinking of the 2010’s as the glory years compared to 2038.

While the sport has changed a lot, my basic fundamentals haven’t changed. Though, I admit I’ve…

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Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting NBA Playoff Openers

There wasn't a lot of buzz in Las Vegas about the tail end of the NBA regular season. Bettors were much more focused on March Madness in college basketball. They knew that the pro PLAYOFFS would be much more fun to bet because all of the players would be trying. It's depressing to see how bad late-season NBA has gotten in the era where tanking is embraced (though denied by the commissioner).

The fun finally starts Saturday with the first four openers in Round One. Everyone else takes the floor Sunday. Here's a look at how sharps have been betting this…

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Saturday NBA Playoff Previews

THE NBA PLAYOFFS GET ALL REVVED UP - CHECK OUT SATURDAY'S ACTION THAT TIPS OFF A GREAT ROUND I

Hip, hip, hooray! The NBA Playoffs are here and everyone wants to know: Are we headed for a Cleveland Cavaliers versus Golden State Warriors IV in this year's NBA Finals?Well, check out

the up-to-the-minute Odds to Win it All here and you'll find out what the good folks in Las Vegas think ... hey, they do think we're headed to Cavs-Warriors one mo' time!

NBA ODDS TO WIN IT ALL

TEAM ODDS BASED ON $100 PLAYSGolden State- 225Houston- 150Cleveland+ 600Toronto+ 750Philadelphia+ 1600Oklahoma City+ 3100Portland+ 3800Utah+…
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Betting the NBA Playoffs by Jim Feist

Betting the NBA Playoffs by Jim Feist

The NBA playoffs are here and I have been asked if betting the playoffs is the same as betting the regular season.  My answer is a simple one, NO!   The playoffs are very different from what you've seen in the regular season. In the regular season many of the coaches and players pace themselves so that they avoid injuries and fatigue with the sheer intention of being ready for the playoffs which are much more important to them. Based on current odds the Golden State Warriors are the favorite to win the championship with…

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NBA First Round Plyoffs

THE NBA PLAYOFFS ARE (FINALLY) SET -AND WE WHET YOUR HOOPS APPETITE WITH QUICK-HITTER GLANCES AT ALL EIGHT OF THE OPENING-ROUND SERIES

On your mark, get set ... go!The NBA Playoffs are off-and-runnin' beginning this Saturday, April 14th and whatta way to put a capper on the 2017-18 regular season as last night the Minnesota Timberwolves outlasted the Denver Nuggets 112-106 in overtime to snag that eighth/final playoff berth in the Western Conference while everyone else in both the East and the West was busy sorting out the seeding stuff ... so catch our quick-hitter looks below at all the…

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Network Notebook: Important NBA Playoff Questions

The NBA Playoffs begin this weekend. About a month ago, the mainstream media had locked in on a storyline of "Golden State is still the clear favorite...if the Warriors don't win it will be Houston." Since Steph Curry's injury, the door seems to be a bit more wide open for welcoming in other contenders. Handicappers must determine how open that door really is...and who's capable of kicking it down.

Here's a list of key questions you should be thinking about as you approach the postseason.

*Is Golden State really as vulnerable as it seems?The Warriors have played so far below their normal…

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Jim Sez NBA Awards

THE WEST'S FINAL PLAYOFF SPOT GOES TO DENVER AT MINNESOTA WINNER ON SEASON'S FINAL NITE ... PLUS, IT'S TIME TO ANNOUNCE OUR NBA AWARDS

It's always a bit amazing to consider that NBA teams can play 81 of their 82 regular-season games and still not know whether they'll be headed to the playoffs or not.Consider the Denver Nuggets and the Minnesota Timberwolves:

Both of these clubs will head into the final night of the 2017-18 regular season on Wednesday with identical 46-35 records and up for grabs is that final Western Conference post-season berth.It's the only all-or-nothing game on the NBA's…

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Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Don’t Bet the “Due” Theory

The Dean of Sports Handicapping is very happy to announce that we’ll be expanding class time this spring to allow for TWO presentations per week in my Advanced College of Sports Betting and Handicapping. In the immediate future, course work will run on Mondays and Fridays rather than just on Wednesdays. That will allow for us to give both Major League Baseball and the NBA Playoffs acceptable coverage. Today we’ll talk about baseball. Friday, I’ll introduce the 2018 basketball playoffs that will begin Saturday.

Last week we talked about percentages, specifically how to turn any money line into the corresponding win…

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Richie Baccellieri: Japanese Star Ohtani is About to Get Expensive

A lot of sports bettors, sharp and square alike, were very interested in the performance this season of Japanese phenom Shohei Ohtani. If he was going to be overrated (which was possible given all of the hype), sharps were ready to jump in against him. If he was the real deal (which seemed less likely after a shaky spring), you’d have to bet him early before the line finally caught up.

Well, a week-and-a-half into the 2018 season, it’s now possible that Ohtani is going to be the most important player in the betting markets. His first two starts as a…

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NBA Down The Stretch Previews

THE NBA REPORT: THE REGULAR SEASON WRAPS UP WEDNESDAY BUT LOTS OF DRAMA STILL PLAYING OUT

BASEBALL NEWS & NOTES: BEWARE OF THE BUCCOS

It's in sight ... the NBA Playoffs are set to start on Saturday / Sunday and take note that there's only 27 games remaining in this 2017-18 regular season. But, hey, there's plenty of big hoop showdowns between now and Wednesday night and let's spend a few moments on Monday's action on the hardwood:

Tonight, it's ...OKLAHOMA CITY (46-34) at MIAMI (43-37) - 7:35 p.m. ETOkay, so who would have ever thought the OKC Thunder would be fighting for…

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Jim Sez NBA Playoff Report

THE NBA REPORT - THE PLAYOFFS BEGIN NEXT WEEKEND AND WE BREAK DOWN THE POST-SEASON FAVORITES, SLEEPERS AND LONG SHOTS

You tell us: Is there a major sports league that can truly drag through the regular season more than the NBA? C'mon, there's a batch of teams that continue to "rest" starters / star players all the time and so the NBA has become increasingly tough to handicap during its 82-game per-team regular season but the playoffs - ahh, the playoffs - that's a whole different story.

The NBA post-season is a blast - it's basically a two-month sprint to the finish…

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NBA Must-Win Games

THE NBA UPDATE - ARE TEAMS IN "MUST-WIN" GAMES GETTING OVERPRICED THESE DAYS? ...

MLB NEWS & NOTES: THE 2-AND-0 STARTING PITCHERS THAT DESERVE YOUR WAGERING ATTENTION

We're getting down to the real nitty-gritty time of this 2017-18 NBA regular season and that generally means one thing in the handicapping world:

Teams in a "must-win" mode are overpriced items and you can take full advantage.

Consider in Wednesday night's late game where the San Antonio Spurs - now 45-34 and very much locked in a ferocious fight for a playoff spot with five or six other Western Conference foes - were a 6.5-point betting…

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Network Notebook: Early MLB Surprises

Everyone knows you shouldn’t overreact to the first week of action in any sport. The results carry a huge load in short attention spans because baseball fans have been waiting months for the action to begin. It’s possible that, come June, NOBODY will remember that the NY Mets, Pittsburgh Pirates, Arizona Diamondbacks, and Minnesota Twins were leading their respective divisions entering the second weekend of 2018 action.

The betting markets are still pricing the preseason projected divisional winners like champions (Washington, the Chicago Cubs, the LA Dodgers, Cleveland, Houston, and the hybrid of Boston and the New York Yankees who were…

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Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps Bet April Baseball

As promised last time, we now move our focus to betting Major League Baseball and the NBA. I'm going to wait until the playoffs start before digging into basketball. That's a week from Saturday, so we'll have our first NBA article in a while a week from right now.

Today and Monday, we'll look at how sharps are betting baseball. The most important factor early in the season involves game conditions. It's amazing the stark variety of conditions teams are playing in right now. There's nice weather in California. Domes never have weather issues. But, other places are dealing with freezing…

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Baseball Betting Basics by Jim Feist

Baseball is here and I will give you tips on making money in baseball.  There are many ways to bet baseball, unlike years ago when you were limited to either the home or road team and maybe the total. Today, there are a variety of wagers you can make in games.

One thing you have to remember is that the game of baseball has changed over the last 20 or 30 years. At one time, pitchers like Gibson or Koufax would regularly go the distance in their games. Bullpens didn’t have the specialists they have today. Today, you have pitchers in…

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The Jim Sez NBA Report

ONLY ONE WEEK BEFORE THE PLAYOFFS BEGIN AND WE WALK YOU THRU THE FINAL DAYS OF REGULAR-SEASON PLAY

PLUS BASEBALL NEWS & NOTES

The clock is tick, tick, ticking down on the final days of this here-and-now 2017-18 NBA regular season and there's still plenty of storylines and subplots on the table.So, we're gonna spend part of today's Jim Sez column examining the biggest storylines/subplots as we approach the conclusion of this regular season on April 11th, but first this key reminder ...

Jim Hurley's Network of Handicappers and Bloggers will continue to bash the books with basketball winners after a brilliant NCAA…

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Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Knowing the Percentages in Baseball

Now that college basketball has ended, it’s time for students here in my Advanced College of Sports Betting and Handicapping to focus on Major League Baseball and the NBA. I’ll wait to talk about pro basketball until the playoffs arrive. There are so many garbage games right now in the NBA that it’s barely worth your effort…unless you can devote hours every day to studying how backups perform and how coaches change their rotations based on the needs of the moment. Let’s wait for the playoffs until the best players in the world are all trying to win a championship.

Major…

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Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting the NCAA Championship Game

This is going to be one of the easiest reports I’ve ever written. Sharp sentiment is very clear on both the side and the total in Monday Night’s NCAA Championship game featuring the favored Villanova Wildcats and the underdog Michigan Wolverines. The public still has time to make its presence felt between now and kickoff. That could be trickier to anticipate in advance because the dog is a “public” team and the price on the favorite is one of the highest we’ve seen since the Sweet 16 began.

First, the team side. The game opened at either Villanova -6.5 of -7…

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Network Notebook: Handicapping the NCAA Championship

It’s kind of popped up out of the blue. The Maize and Blue! But, Monday night’s National Championship showdown between the Villanova Wildcats and Michigan Wolverines is starting to look like some of the “David vs. Goliath” battles of years past.

Villanova has become a juggernaut, launching and burying treys from all over the court. Some computer systems now have the Wildcats as the highest Power Rated college basketball team ever after five straight double-digit victories in the Dance. At the very least, this team seems capable of higher “peaks” than anyone else in history because of the impact three-point shooting…

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NCAA Championship Game Preview

THE NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP GAME -IT'S MICHIGAN VS. VILLANOVA FOR ALL THE MARBLES (AND WE HAVE TONIGHT'S KEYS TO VICTORY!)

It's time to crown a college basketball champion - time for that final "one shining moment".

Who's it gonna be now, guys ... Michigan or Villanova?

Well, the Las Vegas oddsmakers - at last check - had the 'Nova Wildcats as 6.5-point betting favorites and need we remind y'all that Jay Wright's Big East bunch is a perfect 5-and-oh ATS (against the spread) in this man's tournament this spring (see our game-by-game tourney chart below).

Guess when you stroke 18 trifectas and practically lead…

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Jim Sez Final Four Previews

NCAA TOURNAMENT FINAL FOUR - HERE'S LOYOLA VS. MICHIGAN, VILLANOVA VS. KANSAS PREVIEWS

The Villanova Wildcats have that been-there/done-that feeling: Just two years ago Jay Wright's club won it all thanks to a near half-court heave at the buzzer to beat North Carolina and now - with a team that sat in the #1 spot in the polls for some 14 weeks of this 2017-18 college basketball season - we've seen the 'Cats priced at a minus 205 betting favorite to win it all and so the good folks believe this is Villanova's tourney to win. Right? We'll get to the…

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Network Notebook: Final Four Team Profiles

VILLANOVA AND MICHIGAN FAVORED SATURDAY, BUT BOTH KANSAS AND LOYOLA MIGHT BE LIVE DOGS

If there's one thing that's clear from studying the last four teams standing in this year's NCAA Tournament, it's that there are no pretenders. All four of Villanova, Kansas, Michigan, and Loyola-Chicago play smart basketball and emphasize fundamentals.

*Defense wins championships...and we have four teams who play excellent defense. That may be less clear to some of you who only look at final scores. But, when you adjust for pace and schedule strength...Villanova has a top 15 defense, Kansas a top 40 defense (out of 351 Division I…

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NCAA TOURNAMENT UPDATE: WE PREVIEW THE FINAL FOUR SHOWDOWN BETWEEN LOYOLA-CHICAGO VS. MICHIGAN

Let's face it ... the two words are just magical: Final Four.

And after a full week of the national media chatting up the likes of Sister Jean and this very special Loyola-Chicago squad, it's finally time we dig in and get you our Jim Sez preview of this Final Four bash with a quickie reminder that we'll preview the battle of the #1 seeds - that's Villanova versus Kansas in the Final Four nightcap - in our weekend edition of this column, so don't miss out.

THE FINAL FOURAlamodome - San Antonio, TX

#11 LOYOLA-CHICAGO (32-5) vs. #3 MICHIGAN (32-7) - 6:09…

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Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting the NCAA Final Four

The buzz has been building all week as the Final Four of the 2018 NCAA Tournament fast approaches. Both of Saturday’s national semifinals are going to be heavily bet. I’m not sure if we’ll set records because this is always a special attraction here in Las Vegas. But, it’s a good possibility because the number of props continues to rise in this sport, as it does in the Super Bowl. Plus, in-game wagering is bigger than it’s ever been in this sport.

Doesn’t hurt that we have some marquee teams involved.

*Villanova is an Eastern power that’s developed a confident betting constituency.…

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Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Dancing on Air

I’ve been handicapping and betting the NCAA Tournament since long before it became a national sensation. I have to admit that I’ve never seen this event run so EASY for analysts who know what they’re doing. It’s one thing to be a “hot” handicapper. But, this doesn’t feel like a hot streak. This feels like taking candy from a baby.

A week ago at this time, we talked about my 5-1 performance in the Round of 32. The only loser was when Kansas allowed a three-pointer at the buzzer to Seton Hall. After that, it got BETTER!

Check it out…

 

KELSO STURGEON’S RECENT…

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NCAA TOURNAMENT FINAL 4 REPORT
Network 22-9 (71%) in the NCAA's Going Into the Final Four3-0 In the First Four6-4 In Round 15-2 in Round 25-2 in the Sweet 163-1 in the Elite 8

 

So, who's gonna wind up cutting down the nets inside the Alamodome right 'round 11:45 p.m. ET come Monday night?

Ahh, the smart alecks who thought that blueblood teams such as Duke or North Carolina or Kentucky would snatch up the 2018 crown were all dead-wrong … but did you know that the story-of-this-tournament Loyola-Chicago entered the "Big Dance" at 300-to-1 odds to win it all and according to one web site story…

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Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting the NIT Final Four

The NIT has been quite a fun and profitable betting experience for underdog lovers. None of the top seeds advanced to the Final Four that will be played Tuesday Night at Madison Square Garden in New York. In fact, all four survivors had to win on the ROAD in the quarterfinals to advance. And, at some point in the process, all four had to beat their section’s #1 seed on the road.

At least we know that all four remaining teams are excited about being in this tournament. That helps handicappers focus on team strengths and weaknesses rather than worrying about…

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Network Notebook: Underdogs Still Dominating Dance

Another winning week in the NCAA Tournament for JIM HURLEY’S NETWORK, keyed by a recognition that the betting markets were still overpricing favorites. In fact, this year, that might have been more dramatic than ever because it was so obviously wrong!

This was a year of PARITY in college basketball, with very little separating those at the top of the computer ratings and those in the next 40 spots below them. A couple of buckets here and there, and anybody could beat anybody! Yet, oddsmakers kept pricing like it was the old days because the public still wants to bet the…

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The First Look at the Final Four
Network 22-9 (71%) in the NCAA's Going Into the Final Four3-0 In the First Four6-4 In Round 15-2 in Round 25-2 in the Sweet 163-1 in the Elite 8

THE NCAA TOURNAMENT - THE FIRST LOOK AT THE FINAL FOUR:MICHIGAN, 'NOVA ARE SOLID BETTING FAVS FOR SATURDAY'S BIG GAMES

Hey, whoever first coined the phrase "March Madness" really knew what they were talking about! It's gonna be a great week of b-ball build-up as we zoom in on Saturday's Final Four twin-bill ... that's Loyola-Chicago versus Michigan and Villanova vs. Kansas -- as college basketball's premier event hits center stage deep…

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NCAA Elite-8 Weekend Previews

Network 19-9 (68%) in the NCAA's after a 5-2 Sweet-16!

2-1 in Friday's Sweet-16!Texas Tech (+2) Purdue WINS 78-85Syracuse (+11) Duke WINS 65-69Kansas (-5) Clemson 80-76 Loses by 1 point

3-1 In Thursday's Sweet-16!Loyola-Chicago (+1) over Nevada 69-68Texas A&M (+2.5) vs. Michigan 72-99Kansas State (+5.5) over Kentucky 61-58Florida State (+6) over Gonzaga 75-60

NCAA TOURNAMENT - THE ELITE 8 MATCHUPS ARE HERE

Survive-and-advance ... yes, and this time ladies and gents you advance right to the Final Four! Here's the rundown on this weekend's four big, big, big games in the NCAA Tournament's Elite 8 round.

Don't miss out as we bring…

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Richie Baccellieri: Squares Getting Crushed with Money Line Parlays

A growing trend among square bettors (the general public) is to put favorites into money line parlays to make them seem less expensive. These bettors think they’re gaming the system…but they’re actually setting themselves up for disasters.

Thursday night’s Sweet 16 action was just the latest example, as prominent public teams like Kentucky and Gonzaga both lost outright. That after a Sunday where five of eight underdogs won outright, with prominent victims like Michigan State, North Carolina, Cincinnati, and Xavier falling by the wayside (Auburn was the other upset).

My main goal in writing these articles for you the past few years…

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Network Notebook: The Power of Pace

There’s already been a lot of press coverage about the upset-riddled half of the bracket that finished up Sweet 16 play Thursday night. The mainstream media and general public are in SHOCK that Kentucky and Gonzaga both lost so unimpressively. Loyola-Chicago’s luck was supposed to have run out a long time ago. The only favorite that won Thursday, Michigan, played awful the week before and seemed untrustworthy as chalk.

You know what hasn’t been talked about yet? The impact of PACE in Thursday’s action. Three of the four games saw slow teams take faster opponents out of their comfort zones to…

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Friday Sweet 16 Previews
THE NCAA TOURNAMENT UPDATE: THE SWEET 16 FRIDAY MENU

3-1 In Thursday's Sweet-16!Sweet-16 Stunner WINS! Loyola-Chicago (+1) over Nevada 69-68Underdog Bonus loses - Texas A&M (+2.5) vs. Michigan 72-99Sweet 16 Late Power Parlay Sweeps 2-0Kansas State (+5.5) over Kentucky 61-58Florida State (+6) over Gonzaga 75-60

It's a fun-fun-fun Friday night of NCAA Tournament hoops with powerhouses Villanova, Duke and Kansas all in action on the hardwood ... is there an upset (or two or three) out there lurking that involves these teams?

Heck, in last night's installment of the Sweet 16 the chalk guys were going down one right after the other…

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Thursday Sweet 16 Previews

THE NCAA TOURNAMENT UPDATE: HERE'S THE THURSDAY HOOPS MENU

It's been a sweet ride to the NCAA Tournament's Sweet 16 for the likes of Cinderella squad Loyola-Chicago and ACC after-thought Florida State - heck, these guys were supposed to be long gone from the scene by the time this tourney swung into its second week but both teams copped first- and

second-round NCAA Tournament wins en route to busting a whole lot of brackets.Now, Loyola-Chicago - a/k/a the "Fighting Sister Jeans" and the #11 seed in the South - and aforementioned Florida State (the #9 seed in the West) are just two…

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THE NCAA TOURNAMENT SWEET 16 REPORT

Hey, we all have to just sit tight till Thursday night for the next installment of "March Madness" as this year's NCAA Tournament has been like nothing we've ever witnessed ... but get a load of this:

While this week's Sweet 16 features #11 seed Loyola-Chicago and the ultimate comeback kids from #7 Nevada, the fact of the matter is the 13 power conference squads that comprise most of this remaining field -- that's Kansas State, Kentucky, Villanova, West Virginia, Texas Tech, Purdue, Florida State, Michigan, Texas A&M, Kansas, Clemson, Syracuse and Duke -- are a collective 22-4-1 ATS (against the…

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Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Keys to a Big Weekend

You probably saw the footage from Las Vegas this past weekend of bettors in sports books reacting in horror when Seton Hall nailed a three-pointer at the buzzer against Kansas to cover the spread by half a point. A seven-point loss turned to a four-point loss against a spread of 4.5. I was certainly among those angered by that shot. It kept me from going a perfect 6-0 in the Round of 32!

My selections last weekend were:

50 units on Loyola-Chicago (outright winner)

25 units on Gonzaga (winner)

25 units on Texas Tech (winner)

25 units on Syracuse (outright winner)

25 units on Maryland-Baltimore County…

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Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting the Sweet 16

Point spreads went up Sunday night here in Las Vegas for this week’s Sweet 16 action. There’s already been time to deduce sharp intent (strategies from professional wagerers) as well as the most likely bets from squares (the general public). I’ll run through what I’ve learned so far, taking the matchups in the order they’ll be played Thursday and Friday.

 

Thursday 7:05 p.m. ET: Nevada vs. Loyola-Chicago

Nevada opened as a favorite of -2.5, possibly because oddsmakers expected some interest from “locals” in betting the Wolfpack. But, it’s hard to lay points with a team that had to rally from way behind…

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