The last time we were together I talked about how difficult it is to anticipate which teams are going to be great against the pointspread. Even if you find an early surprise, the market will typically adjust fairly quickly.

What about the other end of the spectrum? Does it make sense to fade bad teams all through a season? Unfortunately, many of the same issues apply.

*Not all teams who are projected to be bad turn out to be bad.

*Many of those ugly teams are already on people’s “bet against” list anyway

*If you’re ahead of the curve at first, the line should…