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  • Kelso+2015+Best+Bets+Football+and+Preseason Kelso+Personal+Best+Bet+Football+2015 Richie+B+PreSeason+Football Kelso+2015+Best+Bets+Football+and+Preseason
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The Vegas Sports Masters

Kelso
Sturgeon
Wayne
Root
Jim
Hurley
Richie
Baccellieri
Tony
Salinas
Jim
Feist
SportsMasters
Consensus

Kelso Sturgeon

Kelso Sturgeon is not a shadow or a mirage. I am a real person, a man who has been handicapping football for more than 4 decades, and I bring to the table a set of credentials you can't find anywhere else in this business.

And so there is no misunderstanding, Kelso Sturgeon is my real name and I make my home in Las Vegas, the betting capital of the world.

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Wayne Root

Wayne Allyn Root is the only man to create a multi-million dollar empire out of nothing but picking winners! Long-time host of his own shows on Fox and USA Network, he has been celebrated in the business press and by all the TV pundits. He set the record for most outright upset winners in football in three different seasons and has enjoyed another winning and profitable basketball season. Wayne is the only oddsmaker/handicapper with his own Star on the Las Vegas Walk of Stars.

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Jim Hurley

JIM HURLEY is the founder and president of the most unusual organization in sports wagering.

Created as a small handicapping service back in 1985, Jim's NETWORK has evolved into a nationwide TASK FORCE of, handicappers, scouts, number crunchers, draftniks and former pro players who study and analyze every team and every game to develop BETTER information, make SMARTER picks and win MORE money!

In simple words, Jim's system approach to handicapping picks more winners and makes more money for their customers. And they are able to do this not because they are a one-man band, but because of the "TEAM" approach that utilizes a huge information gathering system to fine tune every selection.

But because they truly are a "Network" and cover the colleges and pros wall-to-wall, they know what's going on inside the locker rooms and dugouts. They know who's hot, who's hurt and who's ready to kick butt. NETWORK’s computer department analyzes upcoming matchups like it was the Dow Jones. They dig beneath surface factors to find out how two teams really compare. Who needs it more? Who's tapped out? Who's out for revenge? NETWORK finds those answers.

So when they run NETWORK'S number up against Vegas', we can immediately spot whether a game is off, and how much, and just cherrypick the contests that are giving us the most points

That's why JIM has racked up twentyone consecutive money making season for his customers.

Now what about YOU? Wouldn't you like to know who the big winners are going to be this week? NETWORK can tell you. Want to make money off that knowledge? Jim's NETWORK can help you there, too.

Want the best shot at the most money? There are dozens of ways to get you there, no matter what your wagering patterns or budget. So, why not get started NOW!

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Richie Baccellieri

In case you don't know me, for years people in Vegas knew Richie B as a kind of linesmaker's linesmaker - a kind of numerical purist who, when every other sports book in Vegas was posting Ohio State (-7) over Texas, I was saying... "NO! It ought to be Ohio State (-8)!"

I took a position. I didn't just put up a "betting middle" where I could draw even betting action from both sides. Instead - if I really felt the Buckeyes were stronger than generally thought - I'd put up (-8) or even (-9) and dare the bettors, "Come and get me! Prove me wrong!"

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Tony Salinas

Tony Salinas arrived in Las Vegas over two decades ago fresh from the family ranch in Texas, looking for the next winning thing. After all, he'd always been a winner back home... captain of the football team, State Champion tennis player, point guard for the district-winning basketball team, and Texas Calf Roping Champion in both high school & College.

Tony was an immediate hit, winning the $85,000 Castaways Challenge of 1980, and has never looked back. Tony is the proud winner of over a dozen handicapping contests, including two years ago when he beat out 226 other rivals to take the title in the $135,000 Hilton Superbook Handicapping Championship.

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Jim Feist

Jim Feist for decades has been the leader in the sports wagering information field. Beginning in the 1970s Jim has been ahead of the curve with Proline, the longest running sports football handicapping show on USA Cable Network and the Internet. Also, National Sports Services, utilizing the first telephone line services (Jim Feist’s Personal Line Service), former publisher of the Official Nevada Rotation, creator of Sports Tracker, Internet Web Sites (Jim Feist.com; DonBest.com)

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SportsMasters Consensus

In the world of Handicapping, the average bettor is up against a well financed, information-rich, experienced Casino Sportsbooks and Linesmakers.
ARE YOU STANDING ALONE AGAINST ALL ODDS?
YOU ARE NO LONGER ALONE!

Five professional handicappers have stepped forward to beat the line. If getting one strong man to help you win a fight, surely finding six is a dream come true. Isn't it time you learned more about the Vegas Sports Masters?

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Blog Headlines

Wayne Root: How to Find Week One College Football Upsets

College Football starts this Thursday, and you can bet that the KING OF UPSETS has already studied the huge Week One card from all angles to see if there are any great underdog bets. I’m not going to tell you my best options here in a free web article…because that’s not fair to paying customers. But, I will outline the strategies I use for finding live dogs in season openers.

*The first point of emphasis involves OVERRATED FAVORITES. This is actually very common early in a new season because oddsmakers, the general public, and the media are still greatly influenced by…

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Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Many NFL Teams Didn’t Dress for Rehearsals!

I have to say I was a little surprised by how many NFL teams didn’t actually play full blown dress rehearsals this past weekend. Many coaches have apparently decided that it’s much better to protect their key players from injury rather than emphasize timing and execution in Week Three of the Preseason. If you run through the boxscores, you’ll note that many veteran quarterbacks only made token appearances for a couple or a few series.

Any veteran quarterback who performed well right away was taken off the field! Maybe that’s the right way to go in terms of being ready for…

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Jim Sez for Monday, August 31 …

HEY, COLLEGE KIDS, WELCOME BACK! –

NOW WE PUT EVERYONE TO AN

EARLY SCHOOL-YEAR TEST

WITH A BATCH OF KEY HANDICAPPING QUESTIONS …

THE NFL PRESEASON REPORT:

ARE THE VIKINGS (4-0 THIS SUMMER) THE REAL DEAL?

 

Now hear this …

Jim Hurley is ready for a slam-bang football season straight ahead!

The College Football 2015 campaign swings into high gear with a full week/weekend card scheduled for Thursday night and then going right through Labor Day evening.

Here’s a quick-hitter list of just some of this week/weekend’s nationally-televised tilts (all times Eastern):

On Thursday –

South Carolina vs. North Carolina (in Charlotte) on ESPN (6 p.m.)

Michigan at Utah on Fox…

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Network Notebook: MLB Series Preview…S. Francisco at LA Dodgers

This will be our final baseball report for the forseeable future with both college and pro football ready to take over the sports betting landscape. Great that we get to wrap up MLB NOTEBOOK coverage with this classic rivalry at the top of the NL West.

The Los Angeles Dodgers settled their ship in recent days…and have put a bit of distance between themselves and the Giants in the standings. They can basically go for the knockout blow the next few days with both Zack Greinke and Clayton Kershaw scheduled to pitch. We’ve talked about the Giants often in recent days…

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Network Notebook: NFL TV Preview…Houston at New Orleans (FOX)

When Drew Brees and the New Orleans Saints beat Peyton Manning and the Indianapolis Colts in the Super Bowl, it was assumed that the team from the Big Easy would be an annual championship contender from that point forward. Instead, the Saints have been consistently overrated for two big reasons:

*Their defense has been lousy

*The league has been gradually catching up with their high octane offense

Last year the Saints missed the playoffs with a 7-9 record against one of the easiest schedules in the NFL. It was tough to really count them out because Brees is so productive. But, they weren’t…

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Jim Sez Sunday Preseason Previews and the ACC and MAC
JIM SEZ IT'S THE LAST WEEKEND IN AUGUST - NFL PRESEASON WEEK 3 WINDS DOWN, THE COLLEGES GET READY TO CRANK IT UP, AND BASEBALL'S HOT, HOT, HOT TOO

By Jim Hurley:

Just be patient, folks. The "real games" are right around the corner. Yes, it's a rare August where there are no college football games being played - the late Labor Day is reason for that - but just sit tight through these final NFL Preseason games and keep in mind this Thursday there's two handfuls of on-the-board College Football action including the debut of Michigan head coach Jim Harbaugh (at…

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Network Notebook: NFL TV Preview…Seattle at San Diego (CBS)

Many pundits expected the Seattle Seahawks to suffer a Super Bowl letdown last season after they embarrassed the Denver Broncos to win the Lombardi Trophy. There was certainly some steps backward in intensity during parts of the regular season. But, Seattle did get its act together in the playoffs before losing a heartbreaker to New England in their Super Bowl return.

Were the concerns of a hangover a year early? Is THIS the season the Seahawks fall out of the sky? Early returns are pointing to YES, even if the “Futures” markets still make them NFC favorites.

*The first two Preseason games…

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Jim Sez Saturday Preseason Previews
JIM SEZ NFL PRESEASON WEEK 3OUR QUICK-HITTER WHAT-TO-WATCH COMMENTS FOR A HANDFUL OF SATURDAY'S GAMES ...PLUS MORE COLLEGE FOOTBALL CONFERENCE PREVIEWS AS WE EXAMINE THE PAC-12, THE AAC AND THE SUN BELT TOO

By Jim Hurley:

It's "go time" - don't 'ya think? After all, the NFL Preseason Week 3 games are here - the week where starters log heavy minutes and coaches often times play for keeps - plus note the 2015 College Football Season now is literally right around the corner with 10 on-the-board games slated for Thursday night and another handful of games on tap next Friday even before…

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Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting the NFL Dress Rehearsals

Time for the NFL dress rehearsals, the most actively bet weekend of the Preseason every summer. Pro football betting action will cut way back next week because games featuring mostly non-starters are scheduled against the first night of regular season college football. THIS is the week to pay attention to if you’re thinking about the regular season, from a team or “market” perspective.

For the teams…obviously this is the closest thing you’ll see to regular season pro football until Week One after Labor Day. For the market…oddsmakers have priced the games close to where they’d be during the regular season for…

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Wayne Root: Finding NFL Dress Rehearsal Upsets

If you’re like most of the wagering public, you’re chomping at the bit to bet those cheap home favorites during dress rehearsal weekend. The games are being played at regular season intensity…and all of those short favorites seem irresistible. You just KNOW the home teams are going to show up and play well because they don’t want to be embarrassed in front of their home fans.

Well there surely are a few great bets out there on cheap home favorites. I’ve won a few of those already this month. But, THE KING OF UPSETS wants you to be aware that underdogs…

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Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Handicapping the NFL Dress Rehearsals

The most important weekend of the NFL Preseason begins Friday night with the first of the dress rehearsals. These 16 matchups Friday through Sunday will provide the closest approximation to regular season football we’ll experience until the real deal arrives after Labor Day. That’s important for many reasons. Among them:

*You can test your handicapping vs. real world dynamics

*You can test the TEAMS vs. real world dynamics

As much as I love picking winners…and I certainly plan to do plenty of that this weekend…I’m aware that the dress rehearsals are vital for LEARNING about all 32 teams as they gear up for…

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Jim Sez Friday Preseason Previews Plus College Football
WILL THE FAVORITES JUST KEEP ROLLIN' ALONG?OUR JIM SEZ COLLEGE FOOTBALL PREVIEWS CONTINUE WITH THE BIG 12 & SEC ON TAP TODAYNFL PRESEASON WEEK 3 PREVIEWS FOR FRIDAY

By Jim Hurley:

The NFL's Preseason Week 3 games have long been called "dress rehearsals":

Starters -- or "ones" -- tend to play at least a half and coaches take one really last long look before eventually slicing down a team's roster to 53 players just prior to the start of regular-season play (everyone knows the Preseason Week 4 games next week are nothing than glorified scrimmages).

But is there anything else of major interest we…

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Network Notebook: NFL TV Preview…Detroit at Jacksonville (CBS)

It’s not the most star-studded of affairs Friday night when the NFLX dress rehearsals hit their TV spotlight with the Detroit Lions visiting the Jacksonville Jaguars on CBS. You get the feeling that the league is sticking the worst teams with the networks so they can show better stuff on their own channel! We got Tennessee, then Tampa Bay last week to show off the top draft picks. Now Jacksonville…JACKSONVILLE kicks off the most important August weekend!

Well…at least football fans can check in with that great Lions’ defense and man-monster Ndamukong Suh. Wait a minute…he plays for Miami now! Why…

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Jim Sez for Wednesday, August 26

THE NFL MID-WEEK PRESEASON REPORT –

NEWS, NOTES & POINTSPREAD GOODIES TOO! …

COLLEGE FOOTBALL’S JUST A WEEK AWAY

AND WE PREVIEW THE BIG 10 & CONFERENCE USA

 

It’s always interesting to get the mass media’s take on the NFL Preseason action:

Let’s just say the TV network folks – and you know who you are! – tend to jump to conclusions and so, following a week where both #1 draft pick QB Jameis Winston of the Tampa Bay Bucs and #2 draft pick QB Marcus Mariota of the Tennessee Titans each won a prime-time national TV game, you began hearing about how the league’s…

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Network Notebook: MLB Big Game Preview…Toronto at Texas

You regular readers of the NOTEBOOK know that we often emphasize “recent form” at the expense of full season numbers when handicapping Major League Baseball. There’s no better example of that than what we’re seeing right now with the Toronto Blue Jays and Texas Rangers as they continue a three-game series Wednesday night and Thursday afternoon.

You know the Kansas City Royals have dominated the AL this year. And, you know that the Houston Astros have been in relative control of the AL West much of the way. Yet, if you look at records over just the last 30 games…

 

Last 30…

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Network Notebook: MLB Series Preview…Chicago Cubs at San Francisco

A week ago we talked about how the San Francisco Giants were in a precarious position in both the NL West and NL Wildcard races. And, how they were confronting that danger at the beginning of a BRUTAL schedule stretch.

The first week of that challenge didn’t go so well!

San Francisco dropped two games out of three in St. Louis

San Francisco dropped three games out of four in Pittsburgh

That 2-5 performance was a huge blow in the Wildcard race. The red hot Chicago Cubs kept winning…and now hold a seemingly comfortable six game lead over the Giants for the second and…

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Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Why We Won 100-Units on the Broncos

Last week I outlined many of the important steps I use to isolate games that should be bet for big money in the NFL Preseason for all of you students here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping. When Saturday rolled around, my 100-unit NFL Preseason Game of the Year won outright as an underdog…and it was backed by many of the key influences we discussed.

In fact, that play was much more dominant than the final score made it seem.

First…the play. I released 100-units on Denver (+2) over Houston. The Broncos won the game outright 14-10. Now…that doesn’t…

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Jim Sez Preseason Notebook and Top 5 College Storylines
THE JIM SEZ NFL PRESEASON NOTEBOOK ARE THE PACKERS NO LONGER THE SUPER BOWL FAVS WITH THAT INJURY TO WR NELSON? PLUS TONIGHT'S BENGALS-BUCS GAME AND EXAMINING THE 0-AND-2 TEAMS THIS SUMMERTHE COLLEGE FOOTBALL REPORT: THE 2015 SEASON IS JUST MORE THAN A WEEK AWAY AND WE HAVE THE TOP 5 STORYLINES INCLUDING OUR HEISMAN TROPHY WINNER

By Jim Hurley:

Oh, about five or six weeks back, the Green Bay Packers were declared the "new" betting favorites at 6-to-1 to cop Super Bowl 50 in Santa Clara this season ... but is that all about to change now that veteran WR Jordy…

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Wayne Root: Could We Have a Surprise Super Bowl Champion?

As I’ve been studying the dynamics of the 2015 NFL season, it’s becoming clear to me that the stage is set for a surprise champion. There are just a handful of clear favorites to go the distance. Each of those favorites has a vulnerability that could knock them out of the picture. Then, the class of teams just below that is RICH with potential.

Let’s start with the favorites…

 

SEATTLE (4-1)

The Seahawks are in danger of losing (or may have already lost) that “chip on the shoulder” that took them to the Super Bowl the past two seasons. I’m not seeing the…

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Network Notebook: NFL TV Preview…Cincinnati at Tampa Bay (ESPN)

Yesterday we talked about the potential for Marcos Mariota to have a positive impact on the Tennessee Titans this season because of a favorable growth environment. Today, we look at how Jameis Winston might be in much worse shape with the Tampa Bay Bucs.

*Winston’s head coach is a defensive guru, rather than an offensive one

*Winston’s team has been legitimately awful lately, rather than tanking

*Winston didn’t master risk/reward issues in college

Winston was the #1 pick, while Mariota went #2. It will be interesting to see how they develop through 2015. Fans will get their first nationally televised look at Winston as…

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Network Notebook: NFL TV Preview…St. Louis at Tennessee (FOX)

The top two NFL draft picks from the Spring of 2015 will be front and center the next two days on network television. Marcos Mariota of the Tennessee Titans will face the St. Louis Rams Sunday on FOX. Monday, it’s Jameis Winston and the Tampa Bay Bucs at home against the Cincinnati Bengals on this year’s formal first edition of “Monday Night Football” on ESPN.

Both potential stars had turnover issues last week in their debuts. But, both also showed why their respective franchises are ready to throw them in the deep end so quickly. Let’s deal with Mariota and the…

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Jim Sez Sunday NFL Previews
THE JIM SEZ NFL PRESEASON WEEKEND UPDATE: SUNDAY'S ACTION PLUS MUCH MORE!COLLEGE FOOTBALL CONFERENCE REPORT - WE TAKE A QUICK-HITTER LOOK AT THE NATION'S INDEPENDENTS

Here's a little memo that goes out to each/every one of the 32 teams in the National Football League: It may be the "preseason" but you can still get a quarterback hurt out there ... just ask the Washington Redskins who watched QB Robert Griffin III get sacked three times and suffer a concussion in Thursday's 21-17 win/cover against the 3-point underdog Detroit Lions.

Folks, this ain't touch football being played out there and there are plenty…

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Network Notebook: NFC South Preview

Looks like we saved the worst for last! The nature of NFL parity is such that it’s very hard to find a division where NOBODY can play .500 ball. If it’s a bad division…they all get six games against each other which should launch at least one team up to fake respectability. But, in 2014, the entire NFC South finished below .500. Carolina Panthers made the playoffs at 7-8-1.

 

2014 NFC SOUTH DIVISION STANDINGS

Carolina: 7-8-1 (+3 turnovers, #20 rated schedule)

New Orleans: 7-9 (-13 turnovers, #27 rated schedule)

Atlanta: 6-10 (+5 turnovers, #28 rated schedule)

Tampa Bay: 2-14 (-8 turnovers, #29 rated schedule)

Notebook: Oh…

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Jim Sez Saturday Preseason Previews
THE JIM SEZ NFL PRESEASON WEEK 2 MENUWHAT TO WATCH FOR THIS JAM-PACKED SATURDAY ...THE BASEBALL WEEKEND AHEAD - GIANTS-BUCCOS CONTINUE THEIR FOUR-GAME MAJOR CLASH

If you checked this NFL Preseason Week #2 sked, than you know it's a busy-bee Saturday with eight games on the docket and so we're gonna take a few moments to get you our quick-hitter comments on what to watch here:

On Saturday, it's ...

MIAMI (0-1) at CAROLINA (1-0) - 7 p.m. ETNaturally, the news revolves here around what the Carolina Panthers do now without injured WR Kelvin Benjamin (73 catches for 1,008 yards and 9 TDs…

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Network Notebook: AFC West Preview

We continue our summer series of NFL divisional previews with a look at the AFC West. Ostensibly, this was originally scheduled to get you ready for the Kansas City Chiefs’ big Friday Night game at home against the Seattle Seahawks. But, the rest of the division plays Saturday! So, you can evaluate all four teams heading into their second week of Preseason action.

Here’s what the schedule looks like for this division…

Friday: Kansas City hosts Seattle

Saturday: Denver visits Houston

Saturday: Oakland visits Minnesota

Saturday: San Diego visits Arizona

Two years ago, this division got three teams into the playoffs. Last year, that honor went…

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Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Keys to Finding Biggest Preseason Bets

Now that you’ve had a taste of NFL Preseason action…both from a handicapping and stat review perspective…it’s a great time to review what factors smart bettors should be looking for when trying to find games you can really step out on this week and next.

Now…I’m not going to post my big plays here in the coursework of my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping. That information is for paying customers. I’m going to review the key factors that go into what might trigger a 50-unit, 100-unit, or possibly even a 200-unit release. More of those will be coming up…

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Jim Sez: Friday NFL and Mtn West Conference Previews

JIM SEZ: THE FRIDAY NFL PRESEASON WEEK 2 TILTS: IT'S FALCONS-JETS & SEAHAWKS-CHIEFS ...

PLUS OUR COLLEGE FOOTBALL CONFERENCE-BY-CONFERENCE PREVIEWS BEGIN WITH THE MOUNTAIN WEST

By Jim Hurley:

In case you had not noticed, it's getting real close to nitty-gritty time in the National Football League.

If you happened to eyeball the second edition of HBO's Hard Knocks - the cable station is chronicling the summertime exploits of the Houston Texans - then you saw second-year head coach Bill O'Brien in a take-no-prisoners mode at halftime of his team's 23-10 win against San Francisco last Saturday night ... penalties, poor clock management and the…

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Wayne Root: Tips from THE KING OF UPSETS for Finding NFLX Dogs

Earlier this week, I mentioned to you that I’m 67% so far in the NFL Preseason…with winners on Minnesota -3.5 over Pittsburgh 14-3 in the Hall of Fame Game, San Diego -3.5 over Dallas 17-7, Houston -2.5 over San Francisco 23-10, and Philadelphia -4 over Indianapolis 36-10. You longtime readers may have been wondering…why hasn’t THE KING OF UPSETS been picking many upsets?!

Did you see how few dogs won their games last week? It was clear that the best betting value was on teams who were positioned to perform well but who had been underestimated by oddsmakers. This isn’t yet…

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Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting This Weekend’s NFL

The second full week of 2015 NFL Preseason action begins tonight with a pair of games. We’ll cover all 16 Week Two games on this one report. So, please feel free to print it out or electronically save a copy so you can refer to it all weekend.

We saw last week that a lot of the sharpest Preseason action is going to come right before kickoff. The Wise Guys are trying to pin down late information on how many series each quarterback will play. There’s not much reason to bet early if that stuff isn’t known until late! What we’ll…

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Jim Sez Preseason Previews and Early College Matchups
JIM SEZ: THE NFL PRESEASON ACTION ROLLS ONHERE'S THE THURSDAY NITE MENU INCLUDING BILLS-BROWNS ON ESPN PLUS EARLY POINTSPREAD NEWS/NOTESTHE COLLEGE FOOTBALL UPDATE: DIGGING DEEPER INTO SOME OF THOSE SEASON-OPENING LAS VEGAS LINES

Okay, so in the interest of all you good folks who like to keep tabs on just how the NFL Preseason Betting Favorites fare, now hear this: Following the annual Hall of Fame Game and then a full week of preseason games, the NFL Betting Favorites so far this summer are a resounding 11-5 ATS (against the spread) with one pick 'em game tossed into the mix (see…

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Network Notebook: AFC North Preview

We pick up again with our summer series of NFL divisional previews today by studying the AFC North. That will help get you ready for the first network TV game of the 2015 exhibition slate when the Cleveland Browns host the Buffalo Bills on ESPN…as well as a full weekend for the division that sees all four teams featured in live national telecasts.

Thursday: Cleveland hosts Buffalo on ESPN

Saturday: Baltimore visits Philadelphia live on the NFL Network

Sunday: Pittsburgh hosts Green Bay live on the NFL Network

Monday: Cincinnati visits Tampa Bay on ESPN

The big news at Cleveland is still the quarterback position.…

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Network Notebook: MLB Series Preview…NY Mets at Baltimore

Many of you weren’t even born when the Miracle Mets shocked the Baltimore Orioles in the 1969 World Series. That will be 46 years ago this October. Obviously, nobody on the current Mets or Orioles current playing roster was alive back then! This week’s two-game Interleague set will provide a great dose of nostalgia for old-timers, while also looming very large over the 2015 pennant races.

*The NY Mets have surged past the Washington Nationals to grab the lead in the National League East. New York has been having trouble this year on the road (21-34)…and vs. quality teams (15-27 vs.…

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Wayne Root: Can the NY Giants Catch the NFL Napping in 2015?

Last week I talked about the outlook for the New York Jets entering the new pro football season. As promised, I’m back this week to talk about the New York Giants. You longtime readers know I’m a New Yorker at heart…having been born in Mt. Vernon as a true S.O.B. (son of a butcher!)

At the moment…it seems the whole world has forgotten about the Giants as any sort of contender. The only excitement being generated has to do with Odell Beckham. He’s a human highlight reel. The growing influence of Fantasy Sports has everyone thinking about what kinds of stats…

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Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: NFL Preseason Reactions

You longtime students here in my College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping know that I always try to keep the coursework topical. With that in mind, today will be a “read and react” discussion regarding what we saw this past weekend in the first full week of 2015 NFL Preseason play.

Personally, I was particularly focused on how a few offenses would be performing out of the gate. There were four teams on my radar who posted some very ugly numbers. Let’s take them in the order they took the field…

 

NEW YORK JETS

Given the drama last week about Geno Smith’s…

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Network Notebook: MLB Series Preview…San Francisco at St. Louis

The San Francisco Giants are hanging precariously on the edge of both divisional and Wildcard playoff races. They’re within striking distance of the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West…but drifting behind the suddenly red-hot Chicago Cubs for the second and final Wildcard spot (either Chicago or Pittsburgh is definitely going to get ONE of the spots…the Giants are on the outside looking in at the moment).

And…look at the absolutely BRUTAL schedule coming up…

Monday-Wednesday: at St. Louis (best team in baseball)

Thursday-Sunday: at Pittsburgh (arguably the third best team in baseball)

August 25-27: vs. the Chicago Cubs (recently one of the hottest…

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Network Notebook: NFC East Preview

The Philadelphia Eagles begin 2015 Preseason action Sunday afternoon against the Indianapolis Colts. This could be a make or break season for the Chip Kelly regime. He’s won enough games to make the Eagles a contender. But, there’s so much turmoil behind the scenes about how he treats players, and about whether or not a college gimmick system can win BIG games that his leash is still very short. And…any team that brings in Sam Bradford as the “answer” to their quarterback question might need to have its head examined!

Let’s run JIM HURLEY’S key indicator stats to see how the…

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Network Notebook: AFC South Preview

The Houston Texans entered their 2015 training camp with dreams of chasing down the Indianapolis Colts at the top of the AFC South. But, those took a quick hit when star running back Arian Foster suffered an injury that will likely cost him the first two months of the season. Now, the Texans enter Saturday night’s Preseason opener against the San Francisco 49ers knowing that a relatively unproven quarterback will have to rise to the occasion.

As we write this…it’s still not clear whether Brian Hoyer or Ryan Mallett will get the start and be declared the #1 quarterback. It’s even…

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Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting This Weekend’s NFL

Back, as promised, to cover the Friday, Saturday, and Sunday matchups in the first full weekend of NFL Preseason action. You probably noticed some significant LATE moves on Thursday once final quarterback rotations were pinned down more clearly. That may be common through August. I’ll only be able to report on relatively early moves here in the “sharps” reports. Be sure you’re monitoring late moves on your own. Those are almost always sharp in the Preseason because the pubic isn’t very active…nor is “square” money respected enough by sportsbooks to move the line.

Going in Nevada rotation order…

TENNESSEE AT ATLANTA: Tennessee…

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Network Notebook: NFC West Preview

We continue our series of NFL Divisional previews today with the NFC West…just in time for tonight’s big TV game featuring the two-time defending NFC Champion Seattle Seahawks and the Denver Broncos. Seattle is 1-1 in their recent Super Bowl tries…with the victory coming two February’s ago over these very same Broncos.

Is Seattle due for a fall? Or, is this a team capable of dominating for many years because their key players are so young? Let’s review last year’s key stats as we try to anticipate what’s in store for 2015…

 

2014 NFC WEST DIVISION STANDINGS

Seattle: 12-4 (+9 turnovers, #9 rated…

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Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Is “3” a Key Number in NFL Preseason?

As you’ve study this weekend’s NFL Preseason action, you’ve surely noted how many games are near what’s historically been considered the “key” number of “3.” Many games opened right on the home team -3. Others that opened lower moved toward the three. It’s very important that students here in my “College of Advanced Sports Betting and Handicapping” don’t put too much emphasis on that number!

A few reasons why…

*Home field advantage is traditionally worth 3 during the regular season…in a league known for parity. That’s part of why so many games land right on the three. But, in the preseason, home…

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Wayne Root: The Jets Got Even More Interesting…So Did Buffalo!

Earlier this week I talked about the interesting potential for the New York Jets in this Preseason. Not a day later, starting quarterback Geno Smith was knocked out of action for 6-10 weeks with a broken jaw. He was sucker punched by former teammate IK Enemkpali, who was released from the team immediately thereafter.

Unfortunately for the sake of Preseason betting…that might have limited the Jets potential to get really good results. I thought the projected quarterback rotation of Geno Smith, Ryan Fitzpatrick, and Bryce Petty had the potential to put 3-4 good quarters on the board every week. Smith and…

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Richie Baccellieri: How Sharps are Betting Thursday NFL

Wanted to do a special report this week for the first full day of NFL Preseason action. Thursday’s schedule has some fascinating storylines in play…particularly with the soap operas currently involving the New England Patriots and the New York Jets. What a way to kick off the new season! I’ll have another report up for you midday Friday to cover the rest of the weekend.

Games are listed in Nevada rotation order…

NEW ORLEANS AT BALTIMORE: This game has been frozen solid on Baltimore -3 since the opener. No interest from sharps on the team side to this point. Maybe something will…

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Network Notebook: AFC East Preview

There’s been a lot of media talk about the upcoming suspension of Tom Brady for the first four games of the 2015 NFL season. Between now and then…it could be reduced in litigation, or conceivably eliminated entirely. But…on the assumption that Brady will miss a month…what does that mean for the AFC East race?

That’s the question we’ll tackle today as we resume our NFL divisional previews just in time for the big Green Bay/New England Preseason game Thursday night. We’ll do one division per game-day this weekend…and then finish things off next week. Hopefully you’ve already printed out the NFC…

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Network Notebook: MLB Series Preview…Pittsburgh at St Louis

With all due respect to the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Kansas City Royals…it seems pretty clear that the St. Louis Cardinals (71-40) and the Pittsburgh Pirates (47-22 their last 69 games) are the best teams in baseball right now. The Dodgers just got swept in Pittsburgh! That limits their ability to make a case (though their front-end starting pitching will make them a force in October). Kansas City is in the superior league…which earns them respect from us. Still…they’re only 22 games over. 500 for the season while Pittsburgh is 25 games over .500 their past 69 games.

Whatever your…

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Wayne Root: New York Jets Could be Very Interesting Preseason Team

You longtime readers know that I follow the New York sports scene very closely. Even though I’ve been THE KING OF LAS VEGAS for many years now…I was born in Mt. Vernon, New York as a true S.O.B. (son of a butcher!). I can assure you that I’m watching the New York Jets very closely this month. Even if the team isn’t destined to compete for the AFC East title just yet….they might be a value play in August.

Why is that? Several reasons to consider as the team gets ready for its NFLX opener Thursday night in Detroit.

 

*NEW HEAD COACH

Todd…

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Kelso’s Advanced Sports Betting: Should You Respect Line Moves in NFLX?

There’s an ongoing debate between old-school handicappers like me and younger generations in terms of how much bettors should “respect” the market when studying line moves. The current generation gets more media attention…so you’re likely to hear that the market is the end-all be-all, and going against “sharp” line moves is a recipe for disaster.

Well, let me tell you, we’re in the midst of a baseball season right now where all the so-called experts had so many HUGE misreads that it’s not even funny. It’s one of the worst performances ever for “the market,” because so many kid quants overrated…

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Jim Sez for Monday, August 10 …

THE NFL PRESEASON IS OFF AND ROLLIN’ –VIKINGS DOWN STEELERS 14-3 BUT WE’RE ALREADYLOOKING AHEAD TO THE PRESEASON WEEK 1 MENU AS PACKERS-PATRIOTS, BRONCOS-SEAHAWKS ANDCOLTS-EAGLES HEADLINE THIS WEEK’S GAMES

 

Let the record state that the Minnesota Vikings – a true Super Bowl dark horse darling of many in-the-know prognosticators this summer – registered the NFL’s first preseason win of the year with Sunday night’s far-from-electrifying 14-3 Hall of Fame Game win/cover versus the 3-point underdog Pittsburgh Steelers with the “under” players winning easy with the totals price tag at 36.5 – so much for the “smart money” move, eh?

Folks, in case…

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Network Notebook: MLB Series Preview…Washington at LA Dodgers

For most of the 2015 Major League Baseball season, the Washington Nationals were seen as a LOCK to reach the playoffs. They were supposedly championship material…and they played in what was perceived as a very soft NL East division. Maybe bad luck would hit them in October. But, they were going to get to October!

Now a playoff berth is suddenly in doubt because:

*The Nationals aren’t playing anywhere near championship level

*The NY Mets have upgraded, caught fire, and are playing like champs!

*Wildcard contenders like the Cubs and Giants are also playing better than the Nats

It’s the St. Louis Cardinals who are…

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Network Notebook: NFC North Preview

Football returns to the 2015 calendar Sunday night when the Minnesota Vikings take on the Pittsburgh Steelers in the annual Hall of Fame game in Canton, Ohio. You longtime NOTEBOOK readers know that we always tag our divisional previews to early Preseason action. So, we start off the new campaign with a look at the NFC North…home of the Vikings.

Minnesota finished third in its four-team division last season. But, they have a legitimate chance to step forward with the return of Adrian Peterson and the promise of second-year quarterback Teddy Bridgewater. Let’s run the numbers to see if they can…

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Chaos, Injuries Rule 1st Week of NFL Practice
Chaos, Injuries Rule 1st Week Of NFL Practice And May Have Already Ruined Texans Season…
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31
Aug
Romo's quirky eye issue pops up again, but concern doesn't

ARLINGTON, Texas (AP) Cowboys quarterback Tony Romo practiced Monday, with his left eye looking better after his second bout with a sty that kept him out of practice for a day early in training camp a month ago.

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31
Aug
Rams still unsure who will start at center

ST. LOUIS (AP) Heading into the preseason finale, the St. Louis Rams are unsettled at center.

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31
Aug
Chiefs expect waived players to be snapped up for first time

KANSAS CITY, Mo. (AP) The first year that general manager John Dorsey and coach Andy Reid were in charge of the Chiefs, they were so short of quality depth that they snapped up seven players on waivers.

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31
Aug
Bills cutting Jackson surprises safety Aaron Williams

ORCHARD PARK, N.Y. (AP) Bills safety Aaron Williams had tears welling in his eyes and wore his emotions on his back upon learning the team had cut Fred Jackson.

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31
Aug
Beavers' Andersen has a connection with Weber State coach

CORVALLIS, Ore. (AP) Oregon State coach Gary Andersen says facing Weber State coach Jay Hill in the Beavers' opener makes him feel old.

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31
Aug
Leftwich, Brown out for Missouri opener with injuries

COLUMBIA, Mo. (AP) Freshman Drew Lock has won the backup quarterback job at Missouri.

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31
Aug
Back from hospital, LSU's Miles projects Harris as starter

BATON ROUGE, La. (AP) After a brief health scare sent Les Miles to a hospital, the LSU coach returned to practice Monday afternoon and then announced that sophomore Brandon Harris would start at quarterback in Saturday night's season opener against McNeese State.

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31
Aug
Briles says No. 4 Baylor not distracted by investigation

WACO, Texas (AP) Baylor coach Art Briles said Monday that his team isn't distracted by the school president's call for an independent investigation into the handling of a sexual assault complaint against former transfer Sam Ukwuachu.

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31
Aug
Hoosiers kick Holt off team, discipline Bryant

Indiana coach Tom Crean isn't just talking tough. He's getting tough.

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31
Aug
Hoosiers kick Holt off team, discipline Bryant

BLOOMINGTON, Ind. (AP) Sophomore Emmitt Holt was kicked off Indiana's basketball team Monday and freshman Thomas Bryant will face internal discipline after being cited for illegal possession of an alcoholic beverage.

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31
Aug
Morton resigns as assistant basketball coach at Seton Hall

SOUTH ORANGE, N.J. (AP) Dwayne Morton has resigned as an assistant basketball coach at Seton Hall.

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27
Aug
Crean questions leadership after latest legal problem

INDIANAPOLIS (AP) Indiana coach Tom Crean questioned his team's leadership and challenged his players to make better decisions on and off the court Thursday.

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31
Aug
Milwaukee funding for new Bucks arena goes before public

MILWAUKEE (AP) The public's first opportunity to formally comment on part of a $500 million funding plan to build a new Milwaukee Bucks arena attracted an overflow crowd Monday evening, with one group questioning how the city has enough money to help pay for the project but not neighborhood or school investments.

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31
Aug
Divac adds title of GM of Kings

SACRAMENTO, Calif. (AP) Vlade Divac has added the title of general manager of the Sacramento Kings.

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31
Aug
LA Clippers sign veteran free agent Chuck Hayes

LOS ANGELES (AP) The Clippers have signed free agent veteran Chuck Hayes.

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31
Aug
Milwaukee funding for new Bucks arena goes before public

MILWAUKEE (AP) The public's first opportunity to formally comment on part of a $500 million funding plan to build a new Milwaukee Bucks arena attracted an overflow crowd Monday evening, with one group questioning how the city has enough money to help pay for the project but not neighborhood or school investments.

Read More →
1
Sep
Ross shuts down Rangers, hits RBI single in 7-0 Padres win

SAN DIEGO (AP) Tyson Ross held Texas to three hits in seven innings and hit an RBI single, and the San Diego Padres won 7-0 on Monday night, handing the Rangers just their third loss in 10 games.

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1
Sep
Dodgers acquire minor league Ruggiano from Seattle

LOS ANGELES (AP) The Dodgers acquired minor league outfielder Justin Ruggiano and cash considerations from Seattle on Monday night for a player to be named later.

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1
Sep
Marlins-Braves Preview

Since they've rarely been out of contention, the free-falling Atlanta Braves have seldom had to undergo a rebuilding effort over the past two and a half decades.

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1
Sep
Keuchel's solid start helps Astros over Mariners 8-3

HOUSTON (AP) Seattle Mariners starter Vidal Nuno was done in by three bad pitches Monday night.

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